Framber Valdez
Framber Valdez
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
Houston Astros
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez stepped up in a huge way in the absences of Justin Verlander and Jose Urquidy, ascending to previously unforeseen new heights. Valdez was stellar over his 11 regular-season appearances (10 starts) with a 2.85 FIP over 70.2 innings, and continued to shine throughout the postseason, even earning the Game 1 nod over Zack Greinke in the ALCS. The lefty had a 1.88 ERA and 26:10 K:BB over 24 playoff innings. Don't kick yourself if you did not see this breakout coming. Valdez showed flashes in 2018 but had an ugly 13.4 BB% in 2019 before suddenly finding his control and shaving his walk rate to just 5.6% while adding nearly six percentage points to his strikeout rate. With his heavy sinker-curveball approach, Valdez does a good job keeping the ball on the ground (career 62.8 GB%), but he had a very favorable schedule last season and it's fair to wonder how much of the control gains he might give back. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#100
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Astros in August of 2018.
Nine strikeouts in win
PHouston Astros
October 17, 2020
Valdez allowed one earned run on three hits and three walks while striking out nine across six innings to earn the win in Game 6 of the ALCS.
ANALYSIS
Valdez held the Rays in check to force Game 7. The only run he surrendered came in the second inning after he allowed a single and double in the span of three batters. Besides that frame, Valdez allowed only one other hit while racking up 17 called strikes and 17 swinging strikes on 101 total pitches. The performance continued Valdez's strong results in the playoffs, as he's maintained a 1.88 ERA and 26:10 K:BB across 24 innings. If the Astros were to advance to the World Series, Valdez could be in line to start Game 2 on Wednesday.
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Pitching Stats
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2020
2019
2018
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
94
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-35%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2018vs Left .202 213 63 29 35 5 2 1
Since 2018vs Right .252 558 115 55 124 17 2 16
2020vs Left .243 80 26 5 17 1 2 0
2020vs Right .238 208 50 11 46 5 1 5
2019vs Left .197 93 23 19 14 4 0 1
2019vs Right .291 236 45 25 60 9 1 8
2018vs Left .125 40 14 5 4 0 0 0
2018vs Right .191 114 20 19 18 3 0 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-2%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-63%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2018Home 3.46 1.23 93.2 8 3 0 9.8 4.2 0.7
Since 2018Away 5.00 1.51 84.2 5 8 0 8.1 4.3 1.1
2020Home 3.52 1.08 30.2 3 1 0 10.9 2.9 0.3
2020Away 3.60 1.15 40.0 2 2 0 8.8 1.4 0.9
2019Home 4.54 1.37 41.2 3 1 0 9.1 4.5 0.9
2019Away 7.76 2.10 29.0 1 6 0 8.1 7.1 1.6
2018Home 1.27 1.17 21.1 2 1 0 9.7 5.5 0.8
2018Away 3.45 1.34 15.2 2 0 0 6.3 6.3 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.75
 
K/9
9.7
 
BB/9
2.0
 
HR/9
0.6
 
Fastball
93.1 mph
 
ERA
3.57
 
WHIP
1.12
 
BABIP
.320
 
GB/FB
3.56
 
Left On Base
65.3%
 
Exit Velocity
83.4 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.8%
 
Spin Rate
2409 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
32.7%
 
Swinging Strike
9.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Framber Valdez
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Yesterday
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126 days ago
Jason Collette looks at pulled groundball data to find hitters to fade and pitchers to target late in 2021, including Colorado's German Marquez.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
The young left-hander found success with the Astros in 2018 -- mostly working as a spot starter -- with a 2.19 ERA and 1.24 WHIP over 37 innings, and he carried that performance through his first 16 outings in 2019. But Valdez had a 9.66 ERA across his final 31.2 innings and wasn't selected for the playoff roster as a result. The 26-year-old's major issue has always been walks, and his 13.8 BB% last season remains a concern. He looked much more comfortable at Triple-A with a 69:17 K:BB over 44.1 frames, but he was unable to carry that success into the majors. Valdez's hard sinker helped produce a 62.1% groundball rate, but the 25.7 HR/FB% illustrates his general inconsistency. He split time between the rotation and bullpen in 2019, but he seems more likely to benefit the Astros in relief this season given the more reliable starting options on the team.
Despite having made just two appearances above Double-A, Valdez was summoned to the big leagues in late August and went on to make five starts and three relief appearances for the Astros, finishing with an excellent 2.19 ERA. Although the results were impressive, there are reasons to be skeptical. He was never viewed as a particularly interesting prospect and was thought to be ticketed for a bullpen role, which still seems likely as he threw his third pitch (a changeup) just 1.7% of the time. He walked far too many batters (15.6%) -- another sign of a potential bullpen future -- which contributed to a forgettable 4.65 FIP. An excellent 70.3% groundball rate makes the lefty somewhat interesting, but he's far from a lock as a future starter and would certainly have far less fantasy appeal if he ends up in a long-relief role.
More Fantasy News
Walks four in loss
PHouston Astros
October 12, 2020
Valdez took the loss to the Rays on Sunday in Game 1 of the ALCS. He allowed two runs on four hits and four walks while striking out eight over six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Secures win in Game 2
PHouston Astros
October 6, 2020
Valdez earned the win in Game 2 of the ALDS against the A's on Tuesday after allowing two runs on five hits with four strikeouts and one walk over seven innings.
ANALYSIS
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Shines in Game 1
PHouston Astros
September 29, 2020
Valdez was credited with the win in Game 1 of the AL Wild Card Series between the Astros and Twins. He allowed two hits and two walks while striking out five over five scoreless innings in relief of Zack Greinke.
ANALYSIS
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Goes seven strong innings
PHouston Astros
September 22, 2020
Valdez (5-3) earned the win Tuesday, allowing a run on five hits and striking out eight in seven innings versus the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Punches out 11
PHouston Astros
September 17, 2020
Valdez (4-3) allowed one earned run on four hits and one walk while striking out 11 across 6.1 innings to earn the win Thursday against the Rangers.
ANALYSIS
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