Luis Patino

22-Year-Old PitcherSP
60-Day IL
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 6/30/2022
2022 Fantasy Outlook
For as hard as Patino throws (96 mph), he's been a disappointment so far in his short career. While he has a 9.0 K/9, the walks (4.1 BB/9) and home runs (1.4 HR/9) have pushed his ERA near 4.50 with a 1.37 WHIP. He's basically just a fastball-slider pitcher and so far he's had problems navigating lineups even a second time. The fastball (11.3 SwStr%) and slider (14.2 SwStr%) generate a good number of swings-and-misses, but most of the contact he allows is in the air (30.8 GB%). To make matters worse, his performance deteriorated as the season went on with a 21.8 K-BB% in the first half that dropped to 10.6% in the second half. The 22-year-old has the opportunity to turn it around for a team that has historically put its pitchers in good position to succeed. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#307
ADP
$Traded to the Rays in December of 2020.
Seven Ks in fifth rehab start
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
June 28, 2022
Patino (oblique) struck out seven over five innings and allowed two runs on six hits and no walks in his most recent rehab start Sunday for Triple-A Durham.
ANALYSIS
Aside from two wild pitches, Patino was supremely efficient in Sunday's outing, the fifth overall of his rehab start. He tossed 57 of his 78 pitches for strikes, and at this point, Patino looks to be fully stretched out for starting duty. The Rays have yet to declare their plans for Patino, but the big club will have a need for an extra starter this week with a doubleheader on tap Saturday in Toronto. Patino has been on the 60-day injured list since April 12 due to an oblique strain, which he suffered in his first appearance of the season.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
13
Last 10 Games
13
Last 5 Games
13
How many pitches does Luis Patino generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Luis Patino generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-41%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .253 187 32 25 40 8 0 6
Since 2020vs Right .225 234 63 18 48 6 0 9
2022vs Left .000 2 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 1.000 1 0 0 1 1 0 0
2021vs Left .274 148 22 21 34 7 0 5
2021vs Right .201 185 52 8 35 5 0 7
2020vs Left .188 37 10 4 6 1 0 1
2020vs Right .316 48 11 10 12 0 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-42%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.86 1.27 53.2 3 3 0 8.4 3.5 1.3
Since 2020Away 5.40 1.51 41.2 3 1 0 9.7 4.8 1.5
2022Home 13.50 1.50 .666666 0 1 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Home 3.14 1.12 43.0 3 2 0 8.0 2.7 1.3
2021Away 5.77 1.46 34.1 2 1 0 9.4 4.2 1.6
2020Home 6.30 1.90 10.0 0 0 0 10.8 7.2 1.8
2020Away 3.68 1.77 7.1 1 0 0 11.0 7.4 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luis Patino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
0.0
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
0.0
 
Fastball
94.7 mph
 
ERA
13.50
 
WHIP
1.50
 
BABIP
.347
 
GB/FB
0.50
 
Left On Base
0.0%
 
Exit Velocity
78.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
2370 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%
 
Swinging Strike
7.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Patino
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Ray Bringing the Heat
5 days ago
Todd Zola ranks this week's starting pitching as Robbie Ray looks to continue his recent run with two soft home dates.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
59 days ago
Pitcher Shane McClanahan is one of a number of young players Erik Halterman believes is jumping to the next level.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
74 days ago
Erik Siegrist sifts through the AL free-agent pool and looks at relievers in a number of unsettled bullpens, including potential closer Josh Staumont in Kansas City.
DraftKings MLB: Monday Breakdown
80 days ago
Dan Marcus drops in with his best insights for Monday’s 12-game DraftKings offering, recommending a Rays stack against Oakland.
FanDuel MLB: Monday Targets
80 days ago
Byron Buxton is healthy to start the season, has hit three home runs in three games and should continue his hot start against Chris Flexen.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
While many were clamoring for MacKenzie Gore to get the call, it was Patino who earned a promotion from the alternate site in August -- almost three months before his 21st birthday. He was promoted explicitly to work out of the bullpen and logged between one and 2.1 innings in all 11 of his appearances. It was a massive jump for the Colombian fireballer, who had only two starts above High-A under his belt prior to getting invited to the Padres' alternate site. As a flyball pitcher who walked an uncharacteristically high percentage of batters (16.5 BB%), Patino struggled to prevent runs. He leaned heavily on his 97-mph fourseamer (touches 100), throwing his changeup and slider a combined 35 percent of the time. The Padres are open to Patino winning a rotation spot this spring, but it's also possible he could reprise a multi-inning role out of the bullpen or continue developing as a starter at Triple-A.
Other than the high-risk nature of young pitchers who throw hard, Patino has few flaws. At 6-foot, he is undersized for a right-handed starter; he struggles to generate groundballs (38.4 GB% at High-A); and he dealt with a blister at the end of the season -- sometimes blisters reoccur. Everything else about the 20-year-old generates glowing praise. He has been the youngest starting pitcher in every full-season league he has played in. With his arsenal, it is easy to see why. His pitches all have excellent life, and it starts with his mid-90s fastball, which is a 70-grade pitch. He throws a hard slider that flashes plus and is working on getting more consistent with his changeup. His command/control improved as the season went on and he made two starts at Double-A as a 19-year-old. With good health, he will throw 100-plus innings for the first time and could reach the majors in some capacity.
A dominant full-season debut allowed Patino to emerge as a top-five pitching prospect in the top system in baseball, which is no small feat. Among Midwest League pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, Patino had the lowest FIP (2.33), lowest WHIP (1.07), highest K-BB% (22.4) and also happened to be the youngest pitcher in that subset. He dominates with a mid-90s fastball and a pair of potentially plus breaking balls. His changeup is still a work in progress, but given his age and advanced feel, it would not be surprising if that too ended up being a plus pitch for the 6-foot, 192-pound righty. He threw 70-plus pitches in all but one of his 17 starts, so he has experience turning a lineup over multiple times. While there is a temptation to ding shorter righties, Patino’s repertoire will allow him to have success at the highest level. From a dynasty-league perspective, the only knock is that he is a pitching prospect who is a couple years away from the majors.
More Fantasy News
Fourth rehab outing coming Tuesday
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
June 20, 2022
Patino (oblique) is scheduled to make his next rehab start Tuesday at Triple-A Durham, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Makes second rehab start
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
June 13, 2022
Patino (oblique) completed his second rehab start Saturday with the Rays' rookie-level Florida Complex League affiliate, covering two scoreless innings and striking out five while allowing one hit and no walks.
ANALYSIS
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Set for live batting practice
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
June 1, 2022
Patino (oblique) will throw live batting practice Wednesday, Adam Berry of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resumes mound work
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
May 18, 2022
Patino (oblique) threw off a mound Tuesday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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To resume playing catch
PTampa Bay Rays
Oblique
April 27, 2022
Patino (oblique) will resume playing catch Thursday, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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