Casey Mize
Casey Mize
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Mize's rookie season was a disaster from a results standpoint, but at least he is healthy and his stuff is intact. If he were in a different organization, say Cleveland, he would be advised to lean on his filthy trio of offspeed pitches while cutting his fourseamer and sinker usage from a combined 52 percent to around 40 percent. Whether Mize and the Tigers will go that route remains to be seen, but he currently has the pitches to have sustained success, he just needs to optimize his pitch usage. He also struggled to throw his fastball for strikes, which led to a 9.8 BB% -- almost double the 5.6 BB% he logged in 2019 at Double-A. Improving his fastball command would help greatly if Mize is to have a post-hype breakout in his second season. We should never expect pitching prospects to shove as rookies, yet recency bias still tends to seep in when one understandably pitches like a rookie. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#414
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in August of 2020.
Solid in brief outing
PDetroit Tigers
September 25, 2021
Mize didn't factor into the decision in Friday's 3-1 loss to the Royals, allowing one run on two hits over three innings. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Detroit is limiting the innings of the younger members of its rotation down the stretch, and as a result Mize hasn't worked more than three innings in any of his four September starts. The 24-year-old has a 4.09 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 10:2 K:BB through 11 innings on the month, and he should get one more outing in 2021 next week in Minnesota.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
2020 MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
67
Last 5 Games
51
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .263 355 65 34 82 16 4 21
Since 2019vs Right .211 373 75 20 72 9 1 9
2021vs Left .254 283 53 25 64 11 4 16
2021vs Right .213 312 61 16 61 9 1 7
2020vs Left .300 72 12 9 18 5 0 5
2020vs Right .200 61 14 4 11 0 0 2
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-16%
ERA on Road
2020
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 4.40 1.31 75.2 3 7 0 6.9 3.3 1.4
Since 2019Away 4.00 1.10 99.0 4 4 0 7.5 2.4 1.6
2021Home 3.97 1.23 65.2 3 5 0 7.0 2.9 1.1
2021Away 3.35 1.05 80.2 4 3 0 7.0 2.2 1.7
2020Home 7.20 1.80 10.0 0 2 0 6.3 6.3 3.6
2020Away 6.87 1.31 18.1 0 1 0 9.3 2.9 1.5
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.78
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
2.5
 
HR/9
1.4
 
Fastball
93.6 mph
 
ERA
3.63
 
WHIP
1.13
 
BABIP
.255
 
GB/FB
1.53
 
Left On Base
78.5%
 
Exit Velocity
81.8 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2002 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.0%
 
Swinging Strike
9.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Casey Mize
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Saving the Best For Last
Yesterday
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitching for the final weekend of the season, as Zack Wheeler has two more chances to embellish his Cy Young resume.
MLB Betting: Friday Best Bets
2 days ago
Juan Carlos Blanco eyes up Friday's MLB slate and identifies several wagers to target, including a look at a Royals offense that has had success against Detroit starter Casey Mize this season.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
2 days ago
With the Dodgers in Arizona on Friday, Chris Bennett likes the idea of plugging in Will Smith as a value bat against Humberto Castellanos.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Breakdown
2 days ago
Mike Barner thinks Adalberto Mondesi might be worth taking a chance on with his matchup against the Tigers’ Casey Mize.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Good News, Bad News?
8 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching, which offers plenty of double-dippers but only a few quality arms like Robbie Ray with two starts.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
During Mize's final year at Auburn, he had a 2.25 ERA in his first 84 innings and a 7.01 ERA in his final 30 innings. In his first full year in pro ball, he had a 0.92 ERA in his first 78 innings and a 6.61 ERA in his final 31.1 innings. The first overall pick in 2018 has a very deep arsenal -- he added another breaking ball last year -- and his plus command allows him to be very efficient with his pitches. However, we're waiting for the 22-year-old righty to take the final step in his development and show that he can handle a MLB starter's workload. He missed a month in the middle of the year with a shoulder strain and was ominously shut down 16 days prior to the end of Double-A Erie's season. We know Mize can dominate minor-league hitters over the first few months of a season. His true test in 2020 will be pitching well over the final three months, and that test should come in the big-league rotation.
There was not much drama at 1-1 in 2018, as Mize had been rumored there for months and was indeed selected by Detroit, garnering a class-high $7.5 million bonus. A 6-foot-3 righty with a workhorse 220-pound frame, Mize has a deep, complex arsenal. He sits at 94-95 mph with his fastball, touching 96 in pro ball and 97 in college. His 88-mph splitter essentially works as his changeup, and is seen as his best pitch, grading anywhere from plus to double-plus, depending on when it was seen. He also throws a mid-80s cutter and a low-80s slider -- both of which will flash plus. Mize is known as a strike thrower with the potential for plus command, giving him true frontline upside. He battled arm issues in 2017 but stayed healthy in 2018 and was shut down at High-A in mid-August after reaching his innings limit. The Tigers will assign him to either High-A or Double-A. If he stays healthy he should be the first starting pitcher from his class to reach the majors.
More Fantasy News
Wednesday's game postponed
PDetroit Tigers
September 22, 2021
Mize and the Tigers won't play Wednesday against the White Sox after the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Tosses three innings
PDetroit Tigers
September 17, 2021
Mize allowed a run on three hits and a walk over three innings in Friday's loss against the Rays. He struck out three.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Takes eighth loss
PDetroit Tigers
September 11, 2021
Mize (7-8) allowed three runs across two innings to take the loss Saturday against the Rays. He gave up three hits and a walk while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Three innings in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
September 6, 2021
Mize didn't factor into the decision Sunday against Cincinnati after tossing three scoreless innings, fanning two.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Yields three runs in loss
PDetroit Tigers
August 30, 2021
Mize (7-7) allowed three runs on five hits and a walk over six innings Monday, striking out four and taking a loss against Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.