
Casey Mize
23-Year-Old
2020 Stats
W-L
0-3
ERA
6.99
WHIP
1.48
K
26
SV
0
2021 Projections
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Mize's rookie season was a disaster from a results standpoint, but at least he is healthy and his stuff is intact. If he were in a different organization, say Cleveland, he would be advised to lean on his filthy trio of offspeed pitches while cutting his fourseamer and sinker usage from a combined 52 percent to around 40 percent. Whether Mize and the Tigers will go that route remains to be seen, but he currently has the pitches to have sustained success, he just needs to optimize his pitch usage. He also struggled to throw his fastball for strikes, which led to a 9.8 BB% -- almost double the 5.6 BB% he logged in 2019 at Double-A. Improving his fastball command would help greatly if Mize is to have a post-hype breakout in his second season. We should never expect pitching prospects to shove as rookies, yet recency bias still tends to seep in when one understandably pitches like a rookie. Read Past Outlooks

Set to compete for rotation spot
Mize will be in competition for a rotation spot come spring training, according to executive vice president of baseball operations Al Avila, Jason Beck of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The highly touted right-hander's MLB career got off to a somewhat underwhelming start in 2020, as he allowed seven homers while posting a 6.99 ERA across 28.1 innings. While the Tigers are certainly hoping Mize does enough this spring to crack the Opening Day roster, Avila's comments indicate that he is far from guaranteed to break camp with the big club.
The highly touted right-hander's MLB career got off to a somewhat underwhelming start in 2020, as he allowed seven homers while posting a 6.99 ERA across 28.1 innings. While the Tigers are certainly hoping Mize does enough this spring to crack the Opening Day roster, Avila's comments indicate that he is far from guaranteed to break camp with the big club.
Pitching Stats
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2020
2020 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
78
Last 10 Games
78
Last 5 Games
79
How many pitches does Casey Mize generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Casey Mize generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2018
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2020
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2018vs Left | .300 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 5 | |||
Since 2018vs Right | .200 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 2 | |||
2020vs Left | .300 | 12 | 9 | 18 | 5 | |||
2020vs Right | .200 | 14 | 4 | 11 | 2 | |||
2019vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2019vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2018vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
2018vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2018
-5%
ERA on Road
2020
-5%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2018Home | 7.20 | 1.80 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | ||||
Since 2018Away | 6.87 | 1.31 | 18.1 | 9.3 | 2.9 | ||||
2020Home | 7.20 | 1.80 | 10.0 | 6.3 | 6.3 | ||||
2020Away | 6.87 | 1.31 | 18.1 | 9.3 | 2.9 | ||||
2019Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2019Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2018Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2018Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Casey Mize compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.00K/9
8.3BB/9
4.1HR/9
2.2Fastball
93.7 mphERA
6.99WHIP
1.48BABIP
.290GB/FB
1.42Left On Base
52.8%Exit Velocity
82.4 mphBarrels/BBE
8.8%Spin Rate
2042 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
27.6%Swinging Strike
9.7%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Casey Mize

James Anderson unveils his rookie rankings for redraft leagues, with Marlins righty Sixto Sanchez leading of a two-player first tier.

Todd Zola offers an alternative to a standard tiered approach to drafting, intended to help determine whether rostering an aging ace like Max Scherzer is right for your squad.

Bernie Pleskoff analyzes intriguing prospects from the NL and AL Central and discusses whether they will be on his draft list for 2021.

Lead prospect writer James Anderson and Senior MLB Editor Clay Link return with a discussion on early prospect ADP.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
During Mize's final year at Auburn, he had a 2.25 ERA in his first 84 innings and a 7.01 ERA in his final 30 innings. In his first full year in pro ball, he had a 0.92 ERA in his first 78 innings and a 6.61 ERA in his final 31.1 innings. The first overall pick in 2018 has a very deep arsenal -- he added another breaking ball last year -- and his plus command allows him to be very efficient with his pitches. However, we're waiting for the 22-year-old righty to take the final step in his development and show that he can handle a MLB starter's workload. He missed a month in the middle of the year with a shoulder strain and was ominously shut down 16 days prior to the end of Double-A Erie's season. We know Mize can dominate minor-league hitters over the first few months of a season. His true test in 2020 will be pitching well over the final three months, and that test should come in the big-league rotation.
More Fantasy News

Takes loss Wednesday
Mize (0-3) allowed six runs on five hits across 4.2 innings to take the loss Wednesday against the Twins. He walked two and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Short outing Thursday
Mize (0-2) allowed five runs (three earned) on four hits and three walks while striking out one across 3.2 innings to take the loss Thursday against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Looks sharper Friday
Mize allowed two earned runs across 5.1 innings and did not factor into the decision in Friday's 4-3 loss to the White Sox. He gave up just one hit and two walks, while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Throws four innings
Mize allowed three earned runs on five hits and two walks while striking out three across four innings Sunday against the Twins. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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No-decision in third MLB start
Mize allowed two earned runs across three innings and did not factor into the decision in Sunday's win over the Twins. He gave up two hits and two walks while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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