Jarred Kelenic
21-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners AAA
2020 Fantasy Outlook
Kelenic has lived up to his billing as the top prep hitter from the 2018 draft, and after climbing from Low-A to Double-A in his first full season, he will soon be knocking on the door of the majors. Acquired from the Mets in last offseason's Robinson Cano/Edwin Diaz trade, Kelenic was supposed to be an average runner with a hit-over-power profile, but he seems faster (20-for-27 on SB attempts) and more intent on pulling the ball out to right field. His 17.9 LD% and 52.2 Pull% at Double-A would be concerning marks if it weren't his third level of his age-19/20 season. Still, it is worth tracking how he performs against upper-level pitching now that he can't just hunt fastballs in hitter's counts. A back injury limited him to three games in the Arizona Fall League. The Mariners had an overly aggressive promotion schedule for him last year and there's no reason to expect that to stop in 2020 if he performs. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a $4.5 million contract with the Mets in June of 2018. Traded to the Mariners in December of 2018.
Still unlikely to debut in 2020
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
July 22, 2020
Kelenic probably won't debut in the majors this season, Lauren Smith of The News Tribune reports. "He's gong to be fun to watch in a Mariner uniform for a long time, but oftentimes you see players that do get rushed through a little bit, and they can really take a step backwards, and we don't want to do that with Jarred," manager Scott Servais said last week. "We want to make sure the time is right for him and for us, and then go forward and never have to look back again."
ANALYSIS
This has been the Mariners' refrain all through camp, despite the fact that Kelenic might already be the team's best hitter. It's hard to defend this stance if the goal is to win games and if playing time is a meritocracy. As a non-contender, the Mariners are not in a hurry to start Kelenic's clock, and they would also like to give as many reps to Kyle Lewis and Jake Fraley as they can this season so that they can figure out who profiles as part of their long-term outfield next to Kelenic and Julio Rodriguez. It would be unwise to take what the team is saying as gospel, but drafting Kelenic in redraft leagues is simply a shot in the dark at this point.
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2019 Fantasy Outlook
The Mets cashed out Kelenic before his full-season debut -- if they had not, Seattle reportedly would not have included Edwin Diaz in the deal. Through 12 games in the GCL, he looked like the best player from the 2018 draft. That production was unsustainable (.514 BABIP, 58.3 Pull%), but it made him the talk of the prospect community. The No. 6 overall pick was promoted to the Appy League, where his production normalized and we got a better sense of his true talent. He showed plus speed (11-for-12 on SB attempts), hit for power (.178 ISO) and demonstrated a good handle of the strike zone (11.0 BB%, 19.5 K%). The rep on Kelenic coming into the draft was that he may be the best prep hitter in the class. He had reverse splits (.256/.340/.426 in 200 PA vs. RHP, .409/.490/.636 in 51 PA vs. LHP), which will be something to track at Low-A. Using the whole field more often will allow him to reach his ceiling as a five-category OF2.
More Fantasy News
Raking regularly in summer camp
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
July 14, 2020
Kelenic slugged two home runs in Monday's intrasquad game and added an RBI single in Tuesday's contest, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Makes intrasquad debut
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
July 11, 2020
Kelenic went 1-for-2 with a double, a walk and a stolen base in his intrasquad debut Saturday, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
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Slim chances of 2020 debut
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
July 8, 2020
There is "essentially little to no chance" Kelenic reaches the majors this season, Corey Brock of The Athletic reports.
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Impresses with additional bulk
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
July 4, 2020
Kelenic appears to have put on additional muscle while spring training was shut down, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
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Officially in player pool
OFSeattle Mariners  AAA
June 29, 2020
Kelenic is part of the Mariners' player pool that will report to summer camp, as expected, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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