Nico Hoerner
23-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Hoerner acquitted himself quite well in 2019, as his .282/.305/.436 line in 20 games at the MLB level was quite impressive for someone who played in just 89 career minor-league games. He wasn't able to carry that level of success into his second season, however, looking overmatched en route to a .222/.312/.259 slash line with zero homers. He'll still be 23 on Opening Day and was only just drafted in 2018, so it's not as if we should give up on him at this stage. He'll also seemingly get the playing time necessary to keep developing, with the Cubs selling off pieces. There are some red flags, however, particularly pertaining to the notion of fantasy upside. His contact simply isn't nearly good enough, as his career 1.3% barrel rate and 2.2 degree launch angle demonstrate. His defensive versatility and youth will get him playing time, while his contact skill and modest speed are the top selling points in fantasy. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#470
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Cubs in February of 2021.
Off to hot start
2BChicago Cubs
March 6, 2021
Hoerner went 2-for-2 with a solo home run and two RBI in Friday's Cactus League game against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
Hoerner is off to a great start this spring, as he's now 7-for-8 with three extra-base hits and a steal so far in Cactus League action. The 23-year-old is competing with David Bote, Ildemaro Vargas and potentially the newly added Eric Sogard for playing time at second base, so Hoerner can really help himself out if he keeps this up.
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Batting Stats
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2020
2019
2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
5
16
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
5
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+15%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018vs Left .676 50 8 1 8 1 .267 .320 .356
Since 2018vs Right .641 153 23 2 22 2 .246 .307 .333
2020vs Left .636 38 7 0 3 1 .265 .342 .294
2020vs Right .555 83 11 0 10 2 .211 .301 .254
2019vs Left .795 12 1 1 5 0 .273 .250 .545
2019vs Right .732 70 12 2 12 0 .284 .314 .418
2018vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2018
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2018
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2018Home .680 107 17 3 13 1 .237 .308 .371
Since 2018Away .612 89 13 0 17 2 .272 .303 .309
2020Home .619 64 8 0 5 1 .218 .328 .291
2020Away .524 50 9 0 8 2 .244 .280 .244
2019Home .755 43 9 3 8 0 .262 .279 .476
2019Away .722 39 4 0 9 0 .306 .333 .389
2018Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Nico Hoerner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.50
 
BB Rate
9.6%
 
K Rate
19.2%
 
BABIP
.279
 
ISO
.037
 
AVG
.222
 
OBP
.312
 
SLG
.259
 
OPS
.571
 
wOBA
.267
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.4%
 
Barrels/PA
0.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nico Hoerner
Spring Training Job Battles: Let the Competition Begin
8 days ago
Erik Halterman analyzes the top job battles on every major league team, including a look at the Mets' closer situation. Will Edwin Diaz regain the job this season?
The Z Files: Putting a Price on Multiple Eligibility
15 days ago
Todd Zola examines the added value provided by players eligible at multiple positions, such as Cavan Biggio, in different league formats.
Baseball Draft Kit: Player Values by Position
23 days ago
Jeff Erickson ranks the players at each position for the 2021 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Collette Calls: 2021 NL Central Bold Predictions
31 days ago
Jason Collette continues his Bold Predictions series with the National League Central. Find out why Craig Kimbrel's fall from grace is undeserved.
Bernie on the Scene: Evaluating NL Rookie Hitters
159 days ago
Bernie Pleskoff evaluates NL rookie hitters, like the Padres' Jake Cronenworth, and whether they should be on your draft list for next season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
Hoerner would have debuted in 2020 under normal circumstances, but he was the best option at shortstop in September when Javier Baez and Addison Russell got hurt, so he got the emergency callup with the Cubs fighting for a playoff spot. Including a 2018 stint in the Arizona Fall League, Hoerner only played 110 games before reaching the majors, yet he hit .282 with a 13.4 K% and didn't look overmatched at all. He could end up with a plus hit tool, which will be important, as he doesn't have any other plus tools. Hoerner could develop 20-homer power and may chip in 8-10 steals, but the main selling point is that he could be a good enough hitter to bat second in a good lineup. His walk rate should improve as he gets more reps. Baez isn't going anywhere, but Hoerner could be his long-term double-play partner. In the short term, he may head to Triple-A for a couple months before joining the MLB roster for good.
Rarely does a hitter get sent to the Arizona Fall League the year he was drafted. Even rarer is the prospect who gets that assignment and performs as one of the league's best hitters. Hoerner finished his season by hitting .337/.362/.506 in 89 AFL at-bats, but let's go back at the beginning. The Cubs selected the Stanford shortstop with the No. 24 pick in the draft -- potentially this regime's best pick since Kris Bryant in 2013. Hoerner may not stick at shortstop, but unlike recent first-round picks Kyle Schwarber and Ian Happ, making consistent contact shouldn't be a problem. Hoerner produced with a wood bat in the Northwoods and Cap Cod leagues, and that success carried over across brief stops at three levels before an elbow injury ended his regular season, prompting the AFL assignment. If he maxes out, Hoerner will be a plus hitter with plus speed and 15-homer pop. He should be one of the first 2018 draftees to reach the majors.
More Fantasy News
Two hits Tuesday
2BChicago Cubs
March 2, 2021
Hoerner made his Cactus League debut Tuesday and went 2-for-3 with a double in a 3-2 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Could begin in minors
2BChicago Cubs
February 22, 2021
Hoerner will compete for the starting job at second base this spring, though he's also a candidate to begin the year at Triple-A Iowa, Jordan Bastian of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not in Monday's lineup
2BChicago Cubs
September 21, 2020
Hoerner is not starting Monday against the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting Sunday
2BChicago Cubs
September 20, 2020
Hoerner is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Plates three runs
2BChicago Cubs
September 11, 2020
Hoerner went 2-for-4 with a double, a stolen base, a run scored and three RBI in a victory versus Cincinnati on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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