Tarik Skubal
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
2021 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal had an uneven rookie season, but he emerged healthy and should have a rotation spot locked up for the foreseeable future. The 6-foot-3 southpaw's 94-mph fourseamer can touch 98 mph and plays up even more due to deception and extension. The rest of Skubal's repertoire is a work in progress, but a big lefty with a fastball that plays as a 70-grade pitch is a nice place to start. He has always been a flyball pitcher, and he gave up more home runs (nine) in 32 MLB innings than he did in 145 minor-league innings (seven). His 8.2 BB% was an improvement on the 10.6 BB% he logged at Double-A in 2019. Skubal didn't need to consistently execute his offspeed pitches to have success in the minors, and he should get more comfortable with those pitches going forward. If a couple of them can emerge as trustworthy offerings, he should be an effective high-strikeout starter who is susceptible to the long ball. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#308
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in August of 2020.
Suffers ninth loss
PDetroit Tigers
July 25, 2021
Skubal (6-9) allowed five runs across five innings to take the loss Sunday against the Royals. He gave up five hits and no walks while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
Home runs did in Skubal in this one, as the lefty allowed three long balls, including a three-run bomb to Salvador Perez just three batters into the game. Skubal has had some good moments in his second MLB season, and his ERA sits at a respectable 4.42, but he's still seeking more consistency. He's allowed exactly five earned runs in two of his last four starts, but he gave up just four earned runs combined across 12 innings in the other two outings. Skubal will look for better results in his next scheduled start Friday against the Orioles.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
88
Last 10 Games
94
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-48%
BAA vs LHP
2019
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .241 97 25 7 21 5 0 1
Since 2019vs Right .243 458 122 41 99 20 0 30
2021vs Left .264 81 22 6 19 5 0 1
2021vs Right .239 348 91 32 74 16 0 21
2020vs Left .133 16 3 1 2 0 0 0
2020vs Right .258 110 31 9 25 4 0 9
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-47%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
2019
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 3.47 1.16 72.2 4 5 0 9.7 2.6 1.1
Since 2019Away 6.50 1.54 54.0 3 7 0 11.0 4.5 3.3
2021Home 3.50 1.25 61.2 3 4 0 9.9 3.1 1.0
2021Away 5.92 1.42 38.0 3 5 0 10.7 4.0 3.6
2020Home 3.27 0.64 11.0 1 1 0 8.2 0.0 1.6
2020Away 7.88 1.81 16.0 0 2 0 11.8 5.6 2.8
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.97
 
K/9
10.2
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
94.3 mph
 
ERA
4.42
 
WHIP
1.31
 
BABIP
.297
 
GB/FB
0.92
 
Left On Base
77.8%
 
Exit Velocity
82.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.0%
 
Spin Rate
2087 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.0%
 
Swinging Strike
12.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2020 Fantasy Outlook
Skubal would be one of the game's best pitching prospects if we just scouted stats. Poor control caused him to fall in the 2018 draft as a redshirt junior out of Seattle University. He has always missed bats at an elite clip and logged 179 strikeouts in 122.2 innings in his first full season. He does it with a low-to-mid-90s fastball (touches 98) with late life that plays up due to a deceptive left-handed delivery. He doesn't consistently hit his spots, but Skubal's heater can be an unfair pitch regardless of where it is thrown (think Josh Hader), especially for minor leaguers. His middling secondaries play up as well because hitters are forced to gear up for the fastball. Sometimes he will break off a quality curveball or changeup, but they are inconsistent offerings. His injury history, command and secondaries point to a lights-out reliever role, but the Tigers will do their best to make him a starter.
More Fantasy News
Picks up sixth win
PDetroit Tigers
July 20, 2021
Skubal (6-8) allowed one run on four hits while striking out four over six innings, getting the win in Detroit's 4-1 victory over Texas on Tuesday night.
ANALYSIS
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Dealt eighth loss
PDetroit Tigers
July 8, 2021
Skubal (5-8) lost Thursday's 5-3 game at the hands of the Twins, allowing five runs (three earned) on six hits and a walk with five strikeouts in six innings.
ANALYSIS
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Gives up five runs Saturday
PDetroit Tigers
July 4, 2021
Skubal (5-7) earned the win Saturday against the White Sox despite allowing five runs on eight hits and a walk while fanning six across five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Excellent in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
June 27, 2021
Skubal allowed a run on one hit and three walks while striking out nine in seven innings Sunday versus Houston. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Misses out on win Tuesday
PDetroit Tigers
June 22, 2021
Skubal allowed two runs across 4.2 innings and did not factor into the decision in Tuesday's win over the Cardinals. He gave up four hits and two walks while striking out four.
ANALYSIS
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