Tarik Skubal

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
2022 Fantasy Outlook
To say Skubal's 4.34 ERA and 1.26 WHIP were league average is burying the lede. He posted those ratios despite a 5.5% home run rate, second to only Mike Foltynewicz among starting pitchers. Skubal kept his ratios in check with a 25.9 K% and 7.4 BB%. His 18.5 K-BB% was an impressive 27th among pitchers with at least 140 innings. Skubal's four-seamer was responsible for 22 of his 35 homers. Better location or even cutting back on its 43% usage rate could help Skubal keep the ball in the yard. The changeup was Skubal's most effective pitch with an 18.8 SwStr%, followed by his slider at 15%. Skubal's potential and likely presence on so-called sleeper lists will drive up the price for his sophomore campaign, potential wiping out profit. On the other hand, there are pathways to fewer homers, with that road potentially leading to elite status. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#190
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in August of 2020.
Whiffs 11 in win
PDetroit Tigers
May 15, 2022
Skubal (3-2) allowed three hits and two walks while striking out 11 in six scoreless innings to earn the win over the Orioles on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Skubal gave up six runs (five earned) during his final start in April, but he's been dominant over his first three May outings. The southpaw has posted three consecutive quality starts, and he matched his career high with 11 strikeouts during Sunday's victory. Since the start of May, Skubal has recorded a 0.95 ERA, 25:5 K:BB and 0.89 WHIP in 19 innings. He projects to make his next start on the road against Cleveland on Saturday.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
90
Last 10 Games
90
Last 5 Games
92
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-48%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .239 166 40 8 37 9 0 1
Since 2020vs Right .243 753 203 57 166 32 0 45
2022vs Left .200 30 9 0 6 1 0 0
2022vs Right .244 129 36 8 29 8 0 2
2021vs Left .264 120 28 7 29 8 0 1
2021vs Right .240 514 136 40 112 20 0 34
2020vs Left .133 16 3 1 2 0 0 0
2020vs Right .258 110 31 9 25 4 0 9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-58%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.17 1.13 125.0 8 9 0 9.4 2.4 1.1
Since 2020Away 5.64 1.38 91.0 4 8 0 10.8 3.2 2.9
2022Home 1.57 1.04 23.0 3 1 0 9.8 2.3 0.0
2022Away 3.78 1.14 16.2 0 1 0 10.8 1.1 1.1
2021Home 3.56 1.21 91.0 4 7 0 9.5 2.7 1.3
2021Away 5.55 1.34 58.1 4 5 0 10.5 3.1 3.4
2020Home 3.27 0.64 11.0 1 1 0 8.2 0.0 1.6
2020Away 7.88 1.81 16.0 0 2 0 11.8 5.6 2.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.63
 
K/9
10.2
 
BB/9
1.8
 
HR/9
0.5
 
Fastball
94.2 mph
 
ERA
2.50
 
WHIP
1.08
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.43
 
Left On Base
72.1%
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.5%
 
Spin Rate
2079 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
18.4%
 
Swinging Strike
12.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tarik Skubal
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
3 days ago
Erik Siegrist reviews the free-agent pool in the American League and finds a mixed bag of prospects, veterans and players returning from injuries, including Blue Jays catcher Danny Jansen.
DraftKings MLB: Sunday Breakdown
3 days ago
Chris Morgan is endorsing Bryan Reynolds as a salary saver against Hunter Greene and the Reds.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Mercury Rising
4 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the week's starting pitching as warming weather is contributing to more scoring. Sugar Shane McClanahan only has one start, but still tops the AL rankings.
Collette Calls: Still Chasing Wins
5 days ago
Wins have been hard to come by this season. Jason Collette examines early run-support numbers and notes pitchers that have enjoyed good fortune in that regard, and those that have not, like Corbin Burnes.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
8 days ago
Jesse Siegel continues his look at the progress of a few phenoms.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
Skubal had an uneven rookie season, but he emerged healthy and should have a rotation spot locked up for the foreseeable future. The 6-foot-3 southpaw's 94-mph fourseamer can touch 98 mph and plays up even more due to deception and extension. The rest of Skubal's repertoire is a work in progress, but a big lefty with a fastball that plays as a 70-grade pitch is a nice place to start. He has always been a flyball pitcher, and he gave up more home runs (nine) in 32 MLB innings than he did in 145 minor-league innings (seven). His 8.2 BB% was an improvement on the 10.6 BB% he logged at Double-A in 2019. Skubal didn't need to consistently execute his offspeed pitches to have success in the minors, and he should get more comfortable with those pitches going forward. If a couple of them can emerge as trustworthy offerings, he should be an effective high-strikeout starter who is susceptible to the long ball.
Skubal would be one of the game's best pitching prospects if we just scouted stats. Poor control caused him to fall in the 2018 draft as a redshirt junior out of Seattle University. He has always missed bats at an elite clip and logged 179 strikeouts in 122.2 innings in his first full season. He does it with a low-to-mid-90s fastball (touches 98) with late life that plays up due to a deceptive left-handed delivery. He doesn't consistently hit his spots, but Skubal's heater can be an unfair pitch regardless of where it is thrown (think Josh Hader), especially for minor leaguers. His middling secondaries play up as well because hitters are forced to gear up for the fastball. Sometimes he will break off a quality curveball or changeup, but they are inconsistent offerings. His injury history, command and secondaries point to a lights-out reliever role, but the Tigers will do their best to make him a starter.
More Fantasy News
Looks dominant in win
PDetroit Tigers
May 10, 2022
Skubal (2-2) tossed seven scoreless innings to earn the win in the first game of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Athletics. He allowed three hits and three walks while striking out five.
ANALYSIS
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Looks good in no-decision Thursday
PDetroit Tigers
May 5, 2022
Skubal allowed just two runs on six hits across six innings but did not factor in the decision in Thursday's loss to the Astros. He didn't walk anyone and struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss Thursday
PDetroit Tigers
April 28, 2022
Skubal (1-2) allowed six runs (three earned) on six hits across five innings to take the loss Thursday against the Twins. He walked two and struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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Blanks Rockies in big win
PDetroit Tigers
April 23, 2022
Skubal (1-1) pitched six scoreless innings to earn the win over the Rockies in the first game of Saturday's doubleheader. He allowed five hits and struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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Friday's start postponed
PDetroit Tigers
April 22, 2022
Skubal won't start as scheduled Friday versus the Rockies after the game was postponed due to inclement weather, Evan Woodbery of MLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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