Pat Neshek
Pat Neshek
38-Year-Old PitcherRP
Philadelphia Phillies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Injuries prevented Neshek from immediately making an impact, but after finally being activated July 1, he provided the sort of numbers the Phillies were envisioning when they signed him to a two-year deal. He finished the season with five saves and a 2.59 ERA. He’s unlikely to be the primary closer in Philadelphia this season, but he’ll be fairly high up the depth chart, and manager Gabe Kapler has demonstrated an indifference to traditional bullpen roles. That could benefit Neshek, as he could earn a handful of saves even if he’s never Kapler’s most trusted reliever. There are some red flags for the veteran, however, including his age (38) and his underlying stats. Neshek struck out just 14.9% of batters and generated a low 38.0% groundball rate, leading to a 3.61 FIP and 4.99 xFIP. A bet on Neshek is a bet that his funky, sidearm delivery will help him stave off aging and continue to beat his peripherals. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $16 million contract with the Phillies in December of 2017.
Earns third save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
May 19, 2019
Neshek allowed one hit in the ninth inning but held the Rockies scoreless to earn the save Sunday.
ANALYSIS
Neshek was called upon in the ninth inning with Hector Neris having pitched both Friday and Saturday. He filled in well, allowing only a two-out single prior to closing out the game. While Neris appears to be the primary closer, Neshek now has three saves on the season, managing a 3.24 ERA and 1.20 WHIP with seven strikeouts across 16.2 innings.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-15%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .261 153 33 7 37 11 2 4
Since 2017vs Right .223 258 60 5 56 7 0 5
2019vs Left .320 26 5 1 8 0 1 2
2019vs Right .292 49 4 0 14 1 0 2
2018vs Left .300 33 4 2 9 3 1 1
2018vs Right .219 68 11 3 14 2 0 1
2017vs Left .230 94 24 4 20 8 0 1
2017vs Right .201 141 45 2 28 4 0 2
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-76%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-61%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-66%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 1.39 1.08 58.1 6 3 5 8.2 1.1 0.5
Since 2017Away 3.55 0.92 45.2 2 3 4 7.9 1.0 1.2
2019Home 2.70 1.13 13.1 0 1 3 4.7 0.7 1.4
2019Away 11.25 2.00 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 0.0 4.5
2018Home 1.46 1.38 12.1 3 1 2 5.8 2.2 0.7
2018Away 3.75 0.92 12.0 0 1 3 5.3 1.5 0.8
2017Home 0.83 0.95 32.2 3 1 0 10.5 0.8 0.0
2017Away 2.43 0.78 29.2 2 2 1 9.4 0.9 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Pat Neshek compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
9.00
 
K/9
4.7
 
BB/9
0.5
 
HR/9
2.1
 
Fastball
88.5 mph
 
ERA
4.67
 
WHIP
1.33
 
BABIP
.311
 
GB/FB
1.13
 
Left On Base
74.7%
 
Exit Velocity
86.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2193 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%
 
Swinging Strike
9.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pat Neshek
Mound Musings: Checking the NL Bullpens
8 days ago
Brad Johnson looks at National League closer situations, where in San Francisco closer Will Smith is doing so well, he may be a target in trade talks later this season.
MLB Barometer: Risers & Fallers
32 days ago
Erik Halterman's stock watch this week features the Cubs' Willson Contreras, who looks to be firmly back in the top tier of catchers after failing to live up to lofty expectations last season.
NL FAAB Factor - Waiver Pickups of the Week
40 days ago
Jan Levine returns with the latest crop of available NL players, including an injured Nick Senzel primed to return to Cinci in the next month.
Mound Musings: NL East Draft Day Targets
99 days ago
Mound Musings is back with Brad Johnson offering an in-depth look at the pitching staff of each division, starting with the NL East where the Braves have Kevin Gausman and a deep pool of young arms.
Regan’s Rumblings: Chasing Categories
253 days ago
Dave Regan offers up player suggestions in specific categories in which you might be trying to make up ground at the last second, such as steals, where he’s suggesting Kansas City’s Adalberto Mondesi.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2003
The sidearmer turned in his best season yet at 36 years of age. His 1.86 FIP was the sixth-lowest in baseball among pitchers with at least 60 innings, trailing only Kenley Jansen (1.31), Craig Kimbrel (1.42), Roberto Osuna (1.74), Chad Green (1.75) and Tommy Kahnle (1.83). Neshek's ERA more than doubled after being traded from Philadelphia to Colorado, but he was still excellent given the setting (2.45 ERA), and the peripherals were even better after the move (24:1 K:BB). Overall, Neshek walked just 2.6 percent of the batters he faced while striking out 29.4 percent, and rarely were the balls put in play against him hit hard (24.4 percent hard-hit rate). Neshek, who re-signed with Philadelphia in the offseason, has never been given an extended look in a closing role (eight career saves), but that could change in 2018 if Hector Neris gets hurt or pitches his way out of the job.
Neshek put up solid numbers for the Astros as a right-handed matchup pitcher in 2016, with a 3.06 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. He struck out 43 hitters in 47 innings over 60 appearances, roughly in line with his career average. Neshek's sidearm delivery has helped him be particularly nasty against right-handed hitters, who have hit just .181 against him over his career, and just .169 in 2016. He can thank his slider for his especially good 2016 numbers, as he threw 54 percent sliders in 2016, up from 39 percent in 2015 and 34 percent in 2014. The fact that Neshek, who recently turned 36 years old, has relied more on deception and movement than velocity throughout his career has likely helped him stay effective with age. Looking forward, Neshek was traded to Philadelphia in the offseason, where he will represent a veteran bullpen arm on a young, rebuilding team. He may have a shot at closing should a younger Phillies reliever fail to emerge, but Hector Neris is the favorite to begin the year in the ninth-inning role.
Signed by the Astros to a two-year deal last offseason, Neshek was one of the club's most dependable relievers in 2015. He logged the second-most appearances (66) on the team behind fellow reliever Will Harris (68) and frequently pitched in high-leverage situations. The 35-year-old ranked fifth in baseball with 28 holds while maintaining a respectable 3.62 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 51:12 K:BB over 54.2 innings. He did not allow a walk over the first two months of the season, issuing his first in his 25th appearance June 7. After a successful first season in Houston, Neshek likely will return to a setup role to open 2016.
A fan favorite, Neshek turned a spring training invite into his best season as a major leaguer. He was terrific in whatever situation the Cardinals put him in, finishing the season with 25 holds and six saves while posting a 1.87 ERA and a very impressive 0.79 WHIP. Neshek had some concerning flyball tendencies but a low 4.3% HR/FB rate kept him out of trouble and partially explains why his xFIP for 2014 was 3.29. Neshek still logged 67.1 innings and struck out 68 batters, making him a valuable fantasy asset in any league that counts holds. He'll likely have a similar role after signing a two-year deal with the Astros. Even if he doesn't get an opportunity to close in Houston, Neshek will be a main setup guy and rack up holds again in 2015.
Neshek was serviceable for the A's in 2013, putting together a 3.35 ERA over 40.1 innings. Neshek's strikeout rate dropped to a career-low 6.5 K/9 and his WHIP spiked to 1.36, thus his ERA in the mid-3.00s was a little bit lucky. Neshek was released by the A's in the offseason and he will look to catch on in middle relief for another squad.
Neshek arrived in Oakland late in the year after a deal with Baltimore and was very effective in his short stint with the A's. He also served as an inspiration to the team after pitching in the ALDS a couple of days after the death of his newborn son, Gehrig. Neshek was nasty against righties in 2012 holding them to a paltry .189 slugging percentage. Neshek should be an effective ROOGY again in the Oakland bullpen.
Neshek struggled in his first season back from Tommy John surgery as he had a noticeable drop in velocity to a mid-80s fastball from throwing in the high 80s/low-90s before the surgery. His lack of velocity was reflected in a low strikeout rate of just 5.7 K/9IP at Triple-A. Still, Neshek could improve in his second year back. When healthy, Neshek's funky delivery is a tough matchup for right-handed hitters, which made him a key setup man for the Twins. He'll likely begin the season at Triple-A, but could be a key late-inning option again if he regains his velocity.
Neshek underwent Tommy John surgery in Nov. 2008 and could be ready for the start of spring training. If healthy, he could return to his role as the top right-handed set-up man for Joe Nathan.
Neshek suffered a partial tear of the ulnar collateral ligament in his right elbow in May. He at first tried to rehab the injury, but suffered a full tear in November. He underwent Tommy John surgery and will miss the entire 2009 season.
Neshek enters 2008 as the top set-up man to closer Joe Nathan and perhaps the most likely candidate to get saves should Nathan get hurt. He has an 89-90 mph fastball, a good slider and a deceptive delivery that's especially tough on right-handed batters. Neshek proved his strong rookie season wasn't a fluke with a 1.70 ERA and 52:13 K:BB ratio before the All-Star break. He alleviated concerns from his rookie season that he wasn't effective against left-handed hitters by holding them to a .613 OPS (compared to .570 against righties), in part due to a new changeup. However, he struggled in the second half with a 6.23 ERA and was shut down twice in September due to an inflamed ligament in his elbow. He was used heavily last season, including seven of nine games at one point in July and a career-high 74 games, which makes overuse a concern for his 2008 fantasy value.
Neshek was arguably the best middle reliever in baseball during his rookie season. The Minnesota native has an 89-90 mph fastball, a good slider, and a deceptive delivery that's especially tough on right-handed batters. He's a rare side-arm pitcher who can also post high strikeout totals. There's a concern once hitters get more familiar with his delivery, he won't be able to duplicate his success. However, his minor league strikeout and control numbers argue otherwise. A more pressing concern is that he wasn't as effective against left-handed batters (.811 OPS vs. lefties compared to a .311 OPS vs. righties), which may limit his innings. Still, he'll be a key set-up man in the Minnesota bullpen.
Neshek was the closer at Double-A New Britain and recorded 24 saves and a 95/21 K/BB ratio in 82 1/3 innings. He has an 89-90 MPH fastball, a good slider, and a deceptive delivery. He'll start out next season at Triple-A Rochester and a strong first half could have him in the mix for a relief role with the big league club.
More Fantasy News
Gets save against Brewers
PPhiladelphia Phillies
May 13, 2019
Neshek picked up a save against the Brewers on Monday, working around one hit to throw a scoreless ninth inning and preserve a 7-4 victory. He didn't record a walk or a strikeout.
ANALYSIS
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Takes loss in 11th inning
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 16, 2019
Neshek (0-1) was handed the loss after giving up an unearned run in the 11th inning Monday against the Mets. He struck out one, walked one and allowed one hit in his inning of work.
ANALYSIS
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Grabs team's second save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
April 9, 2019
Neshek picked up the save Monday against the Nationals despite a shaky ninth inning in which he allowed a run on two hits, including one homer.
ANALYSIS
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Smooth start to camp
PPhiladelphia Phillies
March 18, 2019
Neshek has allowed just one run in 3.1 innings of work this spring, striking out five while walking just one.
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Records fifth save
PPhiladelphia Phillies
September 15, 2018
Neshek tossed a perfect ninth inning Saturday to pick up his fifth save of the season in a 5-4 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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