David Price
David Price
33-Year-Old PitcherSP
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Price had the ability to opt out of his contract this winter, but declined to do so after Boston put a ring on it. There were times in 2018 when Price was booed by the home crowd, and then there were moments of brilliance, including his showings in the ALCS and World Series where he absolutely dominated the Astros and Dodgers. The pitcher we saw late was vintage Price -- in his final 94 innings, including the postseason, he had a 2.59 ERA and 91:28 K:BB. He doesn't throw upper 90s any longer, but he can throw three pitches for strikes and his changeup is a weapon when he is up in the count and forces hitters to expand their zones to protect. The run environment of the home park and the AL East as a whole make it very tough for him to lower his ERA, but Blake Snell showed anything is possible. While he may not be a staff building block any longer in mixed leagues, Price can still flash ace stuff and should still command heavy interest on draft day. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Agreed to a seven-year, $217 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2015.
Tosses up season-high eight hits
PBoston Red Sox
July 19, 2019
Price (7-3) allowed six runs on eight hits with one walk and four strikeouts across four innings while taking a loss against the Orioles on Friday.
ANALYSIS
The veteran lefty hadn't allowed more than two earned runs in any of his last five starts, and during that stretch, he went 3-0. But for the second time this season, Price allowed a six runs, and the eight hits he yielded set a new season high. Price owns a 3.61 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 106 strikeouts in 92.1 innings this season. He will look to bounce back at the Rays on Wednesday.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-14%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-11%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .205 248 52 11 46 7 1 4
Since 2017vs Right .238 1175 307 88 256 55 4 39
2019vs Left .196 61 12 2 11 2 0 0
2019vs Right .251 323 94 23 75 18 1 10
2018vs Left .210 117 27 5 22 4 1 4
2018vs Right .234 605 150 45 129 24 3 21
2017vs Left .206 70 13 4 13 1 0 0
2017vs Right .232 247 63 20 52 13 0 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-32%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.84 1.06 165.0 14 4 0 9.6 2.5 0.8
Since 2017Away 4.20 1.27 178.0 15 9 0 9.3 2.7 1.5
2019Home 2.89 1.13 37.1 3 1 0 11.6 2.4 0.5
2019Away 4.09 1.25 55.0 4 2 0 9.5 2.5 1.3
2018Home 2.98 1.08 96.2 9 2 0 8.8 2.7 1.0
2018Away 4.31 1.22 79.1 7 5 0 9.3 2.4 1.6
2017Home 2.32 0.94 31.0 2 1 0 9.6 1.7 0.3
2017Away 4.12 1.37 43.2 4 2 0 8.9 3.7 1.4
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Stat Review
How does David Price compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
4.24
 
K/9
10.3
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
92.1 mph
 
ERA
3.61
 
WHIP
1.20
 
BABIP
.330
 
GB/FB
1.35
 
Left On Base
70.1%
 
Exit Velocity
87.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2070 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
35.9%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
Elbow soreness surfaced for Price in spring training, and the initial expectation was that he would open the season on the DL and return soon after Opening Day, but Price did not debut in 2017 until the final week of May. Blister and fingernail woes arose in June and July before he returned to the DL with more elbow soreness prior to the non-waiver trade deadline. Price rehabbed back to the 25-man roster and closed 2017 as a reliever, which included two appearances out of the bullpen during the ALDS against Houston. In addition to 6.2 scoreless frames in the postseason, Price fared well overall when he was on the mound in 2017, with a 3.38 ERA and 1.19 WHIP along with a 76:24 K:BB in 74.2 innings. An offseason of rest should afford him a clean bill of health when spring training begins, but Price enters Year 3 of his seven-year deal with Boston having plenty of concern about his ability to shoulder a 200-inning workload again.
Price's final numbers were respectable -- 3.99 ERA and 228 strikeouts in a league-high 230 innings -- but not worth $30 million a year. He struggled with command at times, allowing a career-high 30 homers and his highest WHIP since 2009. When his season started slowly, there was the sense he'd come around. When he didn't, there was talk of reduced fastball velocity, reminding us that Price is entering his 30s and may be losing some mustard. Then his leg kick wasn't as high as it used to be. When the velocity and the mechanics came back, there was always something -- poor command, too many hits, inability to put hitters away, a shaky bullpen -- conspiring against him. He eventually pitched better in the second half and still wound up with a BB/9 below 2.00 for the fourth straight year. A spring arm injury provided a significant scare and will inevitably suppress his cost, but Price is expected to avoid surgery.
The perception was that Price didn’t really get going until he was traded to Toronto. But it’s tough to say that his Detroit performance was at all lagging: 2.53 ERA, 1.11 ERA, 8.5 K/9 and 4.8 K:BB ratio in 146 IP. He was great. He simply went from great to elite after the trade: 2.30 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, 10.5 K/9, and 4.8 K:BB ratio in 74 IP. It’s hard to say you were unheralded in a 2nd-place Cy Young season, but it seemed that Price wasn’t given as much attention as the other aces in the league. Maybe it’s the 435 IP of 3.29 ERA in 2013-14 that dinged his image as a fantasy stud, but the skills in those seasons were right in line with those from 2012 and 2015, both of which saw him lead the AL in ERA. He offers a measure of reliability at a position where volatility reigns supreme. Buy, buy, buy!
In the surprise move of the 2014 trade deadline, Price was shipped from Tampa to Detroit. In 23 starts for the Rays, Price went 11-8 with a 3.11 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, 189 strikeouts and 23 walks in 170.2 innings. He had a couple of rough starts after joining Detroit, but the results were similar. His 271 strikeouts ranked first in the majors and easily eclipsed his previous career high of 218 strikeouts. Price’s fastball no longer sits in the 95-mph range it did earlier in his career, but he has offset that dip by developing one of the more effective cutters in the league. Price will return to the Tigers for at least one more season before hitting free agency. Leaving the pitcher-friendly confines of Tropicana, not to mention Tampa’s usual stellar defense, could result in a slight dip in Price’s peripheral stats over the course of a full season, but Detroit will provide more run support than the star southpaw is accustomed to seeing, which will lead to plenty of wins. Entering his age-29 season, Price will be the Tigers’ ace and the ace of many fantasy squads.
Coming off the AL Cy Young Award in 2012, expectations could not have been higher for the southpaw Price. While his win total declined from 20 to 10 and he missed over a month of the season with a triceps injury, his overall numbers were about on par with his excellent past few seasons. In just 27 starts, he tied for the lead in the AL with four complete games. Though his strikeout percentage dipped slightly, he took a big step in improving control, with 1.3 BB/9 and a 5.59 K/BB ratio, both tops in the AL. He finished the season with a 10-8 record and 3.33 ERA and he continued his run of dominance over AL East opponents, going 6-3 over 14 starts. Entering the 2014 season at age 28, Price remains one of the top fantasy options on the mound and is the true ace of his pitching staff.
After a small step back in production in 2011, Price flipped the switch in 2012 en route to the AL Cy Young award. Even with a struggling Rays offense, he dominated, going 20-5 with a 2.56 ERA and 205 strikeouts in 31 starts. He also posted a 10-2 record with a 2.51 ERA against AL East opponents, which has been a drain on his value in the past. He has an outstanding fastball that averaged out at 95.5 mph in 2012 and for the first time in his career threw more two-seam than four-seam fastballs. At 27, Price is still just entering the prime years of his career, and he should be drafted as a top starting pitcher in 2013.
Many will point at the loss of seven wins (19 to 12) and the modest raise in ERA (2.72 to 3.49) and think Price had a down season after an outstanding 2010. The truth is overall he improved in many areas when looking past some of the obvious stats. He improved his K/9IP rate slightly while walking almost one fewer batter per 9IP. As far as his skill set he has a lethal, bat-breaking fastball that routinely works in the mid-90s. The fastball is so good he throws it over 70 percent of the time and even when batters know it's coming, they often miss. Price's next best pitch is his slider which has a ton of knee-buckling action and he has a curve and a change-up he can throw in as well. Hope on draft day other owners look at his win and ERA stats and prepare to snag Price once the elite starting pitchers are off the board.
Price turned in one of the league's most dominating pitching performances last season, finishing 19-6 in his second year in the rotation. He had a 2.72 ERA and struck out 188 batters over 208.2 innings. Price finished second to Felix Hernandez in the Cy Young vote, earning four first-place votes. His success last season can be attributed to raising his K/9IP rate by almost one and increasing his average fastball (95.3 mph) by more than two miles per hour. His "out" pitch is a nasty slider that has a lot of late breaking movement, baffling right-handed hitters. Price enters the season as a top-10 pitching option looking to build on last year's success.
Price finished his rookie campaign with mixed results. After starting the season in the minors, he won 10 games for the Rays, but sported a 4.42 ERA and a 1.348 WHIP. On the positive side, he held opposing batters to a .241 average and improved his control as the year went on (1.51 K/BB in the first half, 2.39 in the second half) suggesting an improvement in his numbers should be in line for this year. Despite being a lefty, he was equally effective on both left-handed hitters (.242 BAA) and right-handed batters (.236). Plan on him taking the next step this season once he learns to trust his stuff and cuts down on the walks.
Price had a great season at three levels in the minors for Tampa Bay in 2008, and was a relief star in the postseason; despite that bullpen success, the Rays reiterated over the winter that they had no plans to recast him as a closer. With the trade of Edwin Jackson to Detroit, Price likely begins 2009 as the Rays' fourth starter, barring injury or an awful spring. Given Price's great fastball and his impressive repertoire of other pitches (remember his total dismantling of Jason Varitek in the ninth inning of ALCS Game 7?), he could be very successful with one of baseball's best defensive clubs behind him.
Price had gone 11-0, 2.59 in 17 regular season starts (133 innings) for Vanderbilt before the Rays took him with the first overall pick in the 2007 draft. Given that workload, the Rays did not give Price any game action after he signed in August, although he threw a few bullpens in the minors and also saw Instructional League action. Price has everything you want in a pitching prospect: size, velocity, command, a great body, intelligence and confidence. He'll start 2008 at either High-A or Double-A for the Rays; although they won't push to promote him to the bigs this season, if Price shows he's ready, they won't stop him, either.
More Fantasy News
Whiffs seven in no-decision
PBoston Red Sox
July 14, 2019
Price did not factor into the decision against the Dodgers on Sunday, pitching five innings and giving up four runs (one earned) on four hits and three walks while striking out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Rolls to seventh victory
PBoston Red Sox
July 7, 2019
Price (7-2) secured the victory after allowing one run on four hits and two walks while striking out six over five innings Sunday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Yields two runs in win
PBoston Red Sox
July 3, 2019
Price (6-2) allowed two runs on four hits and four walks while recording seven strikeouts across six innings to earn a victory against the Blue Jays on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Earns win Tuesday
PBoston Red Sox
June 26, 2019
Price (5-2) picked up the win after allowing three runs (two earned) on eight hits while striking out nine over six innings against the White Sox on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Start pushed to Tuesday
PBoston Red Sox
June 21, 2019
Price will make his next start Tuesday versus the White Sox, Jen McCaffrey of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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