Ian Kinsler
Ian Kinsler
36-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
San Diego Padres
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The Red Sox acquired a pair of right-handed bats for the stretch run and into the playoffs. One was the World Series MVP, the other twice cost Boston Game 3 of the Fall Classic. Kidding aside, Kinsler is still a fantasy asset in deeper formats, having posted double-digit homers and steals every season of his 13-year career, save 2010 when he fell one homer short in just 103 games. Kinsler's primary asset, other than Gold Glove defense, is contact (12.0 K% last season). However, waning speed and power have contributed to a decline in BABIP, to the point Kinsler is a batting-average liability. He will turn 37 in June, so further skills decline is likely. His 2019 utility will depend on volume. The second baseman should net a large share of playing time early on after signing with the Padres, but he could lose out on at-bats later in the year as younger players find their way up. If he's not in the lineup every day, he will no longer be mixed-league worthy. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a two-year, $8 million contract with the Padres in December of 2018. Contract includes a $3.5 million team option for 2021.
Heads to San Diego
2BSan Diego Padres
December 14, 2018
Kinsler inked a two-year, $8 million deal with the Padres on Friday, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Per Rosenthal, the contract includes a club option for a third season. Kinsler will provide San Diego with some depth at the second base position alongside Luis Urias, who made his major-league debut this past September. The club could choose to slide Urias over to shortstop and begin the year with both players manning the middle infield spots, though Rosenthal added that the club would like to place Kinsler at third base while keeping Urias as the everyday second baseman. Kinsler earned a World Series ring with the Red Sox in 2018 after being acquired from the Angels before the trade deadline. Across 128 games split between the two teams, he slashed just .240/.301/.380 with 14 home runs, 48 RBI and 16 stolen bases. Kinsler's .681 OPS was the worst mark of his career.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+56%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .761 452 71 14 37 8 .262 .323 .438
Since 2016vs Right .749 1374 202 50 146 36 .255 .322 .426
2018vs Left .486 144 14 1 4 1 .191 .236 .250
2018vs Right .756 390 52 13 44 15 .259 .326 .430
2017vs Left .896 129 24 6 15 5 .278 .357 .539
2017vs Right .680 484 66 16 37 9 .225 .302 .378
2016vs Left .893 179 33 7 18 2 .309 .369 .525
2016vs Right .809 500 84 21 65 12 .281 .340 .469
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
2016
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .764 948 149 32 101 23 .264 .331 .433
Since 2016Away .739 878 124 32 82 21 .248 .313 .425
2018Home .734 292 36 7 29 9 .257 .332 .402
2018Away .618 242 30 7 19 7 .221 .264 .354
2017Home .698 321 49 12 30 8 .223 .296 .402
2017Away .755 292 41 10 22 6 .250 .332 .423
2016Home .853 335 64 13 42 6 .309 .364 .489
2016Away .810 344 53 15 41 8 .267 .331 .479
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Stat Review
How does Ian Kinsler compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.63
 
BB Rate
7.5%
 
K Rate
12.0%
 
BABIP
.250
 
ISO
.140
 
AVG
.240
 
OBP
.301
 
SLG
.380
 
OPS
.681
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005
On the surface, it appears 2017 was a huge disappointment for Kinsler coming off his renaissance 2016 campaign. However, on a per-plate-appearance basis, his power didn't drop that much. The real issue was a precipitous drop in batting average. While his overall hard hit rate was well above average, Statcast data paints a gloomier picture as Kinsler's barrel rate was well below average. Putting this together, while he may have hit into some bad luck, Kinsler did not make the type of contact conducive to base hits very often. On the plus side, he's still one of the toughest hitters in the game to fan, and even at 35 years old, he's still running, chipping in with double-digit steals. Called injury prone early in his career, Kinsler had shed the label, but only played in 139 games last season after averaging 156 over the previous three campaigns. Kinsler isn't done, but he's a batting average risk though it doesn't hurt hitting in front of Mike Trout and friends.
It had been four years since Kinsler hit as many as 20 homers in a season, but he took full advantage of the power market in 2016, jacking 28 balls out of the yard. While 15 second basemen hit 20-plus homers last season, Kinsler was one of just six who added double-digit steals, and one of just three who hit 25-plus homers with 10-plus steals. He also scored 117 runs by getting on base 34.8 percent of the time and running the bases effectively. The last time Kinsler hit this many home runs, his HR/FB was 12.5 percent. It was also that same percentage in 2016 but those bookended five seasons of six-to-seven percent figures. He does not run as well as he once did, but he has posted double-digit steals in every season of his career and has been double-double in steals and home runs each of the past six seasons. As long as he is hitting in front of Miguel Cabrera he can fall into 85 runs, but don't bank on him hitting 20 homers again.
For a second consecutive season, Kinsler defied the odds and continued to be a valuable offensive player after leaving Texas to the more spacious Comerica Park. His RBI total fell by 19, but he posted his fifth consecutive double-double season and hit for his highest average since the 2008 season. Kinsler has one job and that is to get on base and set the table for the big boys behind him to clean up. As long as the thunder stays healthy behind him, he’s a lock for 85-plus runs but his double-double days may be over. Middle infielders age quicker than other positions because of the demands of the position and he has played a lot of baseball in his career. His stolen base total has declined five years running now and the days of even 10-plus steals are likely nearing an end.
While the days of Kinsler posting 30-30 seasons are likely a thing of the past, he proved to still be a very valuable fantasy commodity in his first season with the Tigers. Kinsler slashed .272/.307/.420 in 684 at-bats. He led all second basemen in RBI (92), while ranking in the top five at the position homers (17), doubles (40), hits (188) and runs (100). For the most part, his offensive production met or surpassed his final season in Texas. The only area Kinsler saw a dip was in his walk rate, which dropped to a career-low mark of 4.0% and resulted in a lower on-base percentage than normal. His strikeout rate (10.9%) was on par with past seasons and he posted a stellar 88 percent contact rate, so it appears Kinsler went with a more aggressive approach at the plate and hasn’t seen a drop in his skill set. On the defensive side of the ball, Kinsler had one of his better seasons, posting a 13.0 UZR and career-high .988 fielding percentage. Turning 33 in June, it’s clear that Kinsler’s best days are behind him, but he also proved in 2014 that he still has plenty of gas left in the tank. He’ll once again be the everyday second baseman for Detroit while hitting at or near the top of the lineup.
Kinsler's fade continued in 2013, as he hit just 13 homers and stole 15 bases. His road numbers (.263/.317/.418) continue to be problematic, something that is even more of an issue after he was traded to the Tigers in November. Where he fits into the Detroit lineup remains to be seen, as Kinsler doesn't offer the protypical skills of an above-average leadoff hitter. Further, he may see a similarly reduced amount of power across the board now that he's playing half of his games in the more spacious Comerica Park rather than the hitter-friendly confines of The Ballpark in Arlington.
Kinsler seems to have shaken the injury bug that seemed to always be lingering, as he eclipsed the 155-game plateau for the second straight year. While 20-20 second baseman don't grow on trees, his 2012 season has to be considered a disappointment, particularly for those in more advanced leagues that were hurt by his .749 OPS. His second-half swoon (.229/.308/.399, six steals) could be attributed by a lot of baseball in two years, a theory that gets more traction as you start digging into the second-half numbers of many of his teammates. His road numbers were downright abysmal (.220/.290/.321), and there have been some rumblings of a switch to a corner-outifield spot to make room for both Elvis Andrus and Jurickson Profar. His counting stats remain solid, borderline elite for a second baseman, so he makes for a nice buy-low candidate if he comes cheap this spring.
Kinsler bounced back in a big way following 2010's injury-marred season, posting another 30-30 season for the second time in three years. He was a MVP candidate despite a .255 average thanks to excellent defense, 121 runs, 89 walks and a 30-for-34 mark on the basepaths. Plate discipline was a major strength for Kinsler last season, as he delivered a career-high 89 percent contact rate while walking in 13 percent of his plate appearances. He's far from a lock for 150 games, but he's among the league's elite when healthy.
Kinsler's injury woes struck again, costing him all of April and July with ankle and groin injuries after a relatively healthy 2009 season. His numbers took a dip as a result, as he swatted just nine homers and stole 15 bases on the heels of a 30-30 season. He did manage a nice OBP thanks to 56 walks in 103 games, but limped to the finish (.250/.339/.395 after the All-Star break) before redeeming himself a bit with some big hits in the postseason. He's not a top of the order hitter any longer with Elvis Andrus' emergence, but will focus on regaining his quickness in the offseason in an effort to regain some of his basestealing prowess. He deserves a mulligan for 2010, and could be a nice rebound candidate bargain for 2011.
Kinsler posted a 30-30 season but was largely considered a disappointment with his .253 average. His BABIP figure of .245 was a drop of nearly 100 points from the .339 he had in 2008, but it was more a reflection on him being content to hit lazy flyballs in hopes of clearing the fence as opposed to spraying the ball all over the field and racking up the base hits. He remained relatively healthy, requiring just one stint on the DL, after failing to eclipse 130 games played in each of his three previous seasons. He'll be a fantasy MVP candidate if he can manage to hit around .280 and retain his power/speed combo, and he's slotted to spend the year in the No. 2 spot in the Texas order after seeing time at both the leadoff spot and in the middle third last season after the emergence of Julio Borbon.
Kinsler missed a large chunk of the season again, this time due to a sports hernia in mid-August that kept him sidelined for the remainder of the season. Talks of wanting to play in the World Baseball Classic are encouraging in that he should start the season healthy, but he has all the looks of a player that will miss 30 games a season due to injury. When healthy, he was up there among the elite as far as second baseman go. The scary part? He hit just four of his 18 homers at home all season. There's an MVP-worthy campaign in him if he can manage to stay healthy.
Kinsler had a nice season in his second full year as Texas' everyday second baseman, but was forced to the sidelines for an extended period for the second time in as many seasons (this time to a stress fracture in his left foot). He draws walks, hits for power and swipes bases at a nice clip so there's tons to like, but he still shows massive home/road splits (.674 OPS on the road, .924 OPS at home in his two-year career).
Kinsler missed six weeks early in the season due to a dislocated thumb injury, but his overall numbers (14 HR, 11 SB) were a nice debut for the rookie second baseman. Toss in 40 walks in 423 at-bats and it gets even better. His home/road splits were large (.927 OPS at home, .673 on the road), and his batting average dipped a bit as the season wore one but his batting eye remained solid. With new manager Ron Washington promising to be more agressive on the bases, Kinsler could well reach the 20/20 plateau in 2007.
Kinsler has cooled off a bit over the past 18 months after a scorching beginning to the 2004 season. He still posted a respectable .274/.348/.464 line at Triple-A Oklahoma City, though. He's the heir apparent at second base now that Alfonso Soriano is in Washington and will provide immediate dividends with his power/speed combo.
Kinlser was leading all minor leaguers with 30 doubles before being promoted to Double-A Frisco. His .866 OPS there pales in comparison to the 1.157 OPS from low Single-A Clinton, but his .306/.369/.500 season in the Arizona Fall League re-affirmed Kinsler as a top infield prospect. He figures to progress as high as Triple-A in 2005 and will likely be the reason Alfonso Soriano's stay in Texas will be short-lived.
More Fantasy News
Remains out for Game 5
2BBoston Red Sox
October 28, 2018
Kinsler is not in the lineup for Game 5 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Sunday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
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Sits out Game 4
2BBoston Red Sox
October 27, 2018
Kinsler is not in the lineup for Game 4 of the World Series against the Dodgers on Saturday, Jason Mastrodonato of the Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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On bench for Game 3
2BBoston Red Sox
October 26, 2018
Kinsler is out of Friday's lineup for Game 3 of the World Series against Los Angeles, Jason Mastrodonato of The Boston Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not starting Game 1
2BBoston Red Sox
October 13, 2018
Kinsler is not in the lineup for Game 1 of the ALCS against the Astros on Saturday, Christopher Smith of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Hits bench for Game 3
2BBoston Red Sox
October 8, 2018
Kinsler will be on the bench for the third game of the ALDS against the Yankees on Monday, Evan Drellich of NBC Sports Boston reports.
ANALYSIS
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