Hunter Pence
Hunter Pence
35-Year-Old OutfielderOF
San Francisco Giants
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Apparently Pence didn't get the memo, as he was only able to muster 13 homers and 31 total extra-base hits in 2017, resulting in what was by far the lowest slugging percentage of his 11-year career. He didn't hit his first home run at home until Aug. 5, and Pence, who was once a model of good health, made another trip to the DL, missing three weeks with a hamstring injury. His contact skills remain strong as he approaches his age-35 season, but Pence doesn't run anymore, he doesn't hit for power and the health issues are mounting. The home park works against him, but it's not like he does a lot of damage on the road either. The Giants are talking about moving Pence to a part-time role, so while his name value may carry him to a top-350 ADP, at this stage he is better left for NL-only formats. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a five-year, $90 million contract with the Giants in September of 2013.
Homers in win
OFSan Francisco Giants
September 26, 2018
Pence went 2-for-5 with a solo home run and three runs scored in Tuesday's extra-innings win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Pence delivered a solo blast in the fifth inning -- his fourth long ball of the season -- and also came around to score twice more after reaching on an error and a single. It's been a trying campaign for the 35-year-old, but he's finishing on a high note; over his last six games he's 9-for-23 (.391) with a pair of home runs and four RBI.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2016
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .732 396 41 14 48 3 .249 .311 .421
Since 2016vs Right .709 833 91 16 100 5 .269 .323 .386
2018vs Left .566 109 8 3 9 2 .192 .229 .337
2018vs Right .609 139 11 1 15 3 .252 .281 .328
2017vs Left .776 158 18 4 20 0 .286 .354 .421
2017vs Right .670 381 37 9 47 2 .249 .299 .371
2016vs Left .821 129 15 7 19 1 .256 .326 .496
2016vs Right .802 313 43 6 38 0 .302 .371 .432
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .745 584 71 12 64 6 .275 .334 .411
Since 2016Away .690 645 61 18 84 2 .252 .305 .385
2018Home .562 124 13 2 9 3 .209 .258 .304
2018Away .616 124 6 2 15 2 .242 .258 .358
2017Home .729 255 32 4 29 2 .279 .329 .399
2017Away .676 284 23 9 38 0 .242 .303 .373
2016Home .880 205 26 6 26 1 .311 .385 .494
2016Away .747 237 32 7 31 0 .270 .333 .414
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Pence compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.19
 
BB Rate
4.4%
 
K Rate
23.8%
 
BABIP
.282
 
ISO
.106
 
AVG
.226
 
OBP
.258
 
SLG
.332
 
OPS
.590
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
A year removed from his first injury-plagued season in 2015, Pence missed nearly two months of action after suffering a serious hamstring injury in early June. Despite missing one-third of the season, the enigmatic outfielder was still able to produce solid offensive stats, finishing with 13 homers and 57 RBI while slashing .289/.357/.451 in 106 games. It is important to note that Pence only stole one base in 2016, a far cry from his speed renaissance in 2013. The lack of steals could be attributed to the nature of his injury, but it could also be a result of getting a little long in the tooth. In fact, since stealing 22 bases back in 2013, Pence has seen his stolen base totals decline steadily every season. He is still quite useful in all formats, but Pence is no longer the five-category contributor he was in his prime. Assuming good health, he should be good for another 20-homer season with a good batting average and solid counting stats batting in the heart of the Giants' lineup.
Prior to 2015, Pence was the definition of an everyday player, missing just 16 games in the previous seven years and playing all 162 for the Giants in 2013 and 2014. The clean bill of health was finally broken in spring training when he took a fastball off a forearm that caused him to miss the first month and a half of the season. He managed to suit up for 52 games, batting .275 with nine homers, 30 RBI and three steals during that span, but more arm problems popped up and effectively ended his 2015 campaign. When healthy, Pence is a five-category contributor who belongs in the top 20-40 of fantasy outfielders. Looking ahead, the concern is that his nagging arm issues from 2015 rear appear again in 2016. At age 32, you can't take arm injuries lightly, especially from hitters who are expected to top 20 homers in a season. Still, Pence deserves the benefit of the doubt given his long history of durability prior to last season, and he proved in the 52 games that he played that he can still fill the stat sheet.
If memes are a solar system, Pence is the sun. It would hardly be surprising if Pence ate his pizza with a fork, preferred baths to showers or hated bacon. There is nothing typical about the way he plays the game, but his unique approach generates consistently excellent results. Durability is the crux, as Pence has missed just 16 games in the last seven seasons combined –- while being included in two midseason trades during that span. In each of those seven seasons, Pence has hit at least 20 home runs, scored 75 runs and driven in 70, often providing better counting stats than those floors, including a career-high 106 runs in 2014. As a five-category contributor, Pence is a rock, albeit a rock who very eerily resembles Marv from “Home Alone,” the crook who nearly spoiled two Christmases for young Kevin McAllister in the early 90s. Early in spring training, Pence suffered a fractured left forearm, which will sideline him for approximately two-to-four weeks once the regular season begins in April.
Pence truly had a sensational year in 2013 after it seemed that his career was trending downwards in 2012. He hit .283/.339/.483 with 27 homers, 99 RBI and a solid 133 wRC+ while starting all 162 game for the Giants. The biggest surprise was Pence's newfound speed, as he stole more than 20 bases for the first time in his career. And it wasn't just a case of Pence taking off more often, as he was caught stealing just three times, leading to the best success rate (88.0%) of his career. Pence announced in spring training that he would be more active on the basepaths in 2013 and he stuck to his word. Now that Pence is once again a threat on the basepaths, the rest of the league may start paying more attention to him next season. Otherwise, there is nothing in Pence's underlying numbers that indicate he can't repeat his offensive statistics in 2014.
Despite hitting 24 home runs, 2012 was Pence's worst season to date in terms of his wOBA (.323) and wRC+ (102). His batting average dropped due to an expected regression in his BABIP from .368 in 2011 to .290 and a career-worst strikeout rate (21.4 percent). His 12.9 percent swinging-strike rate indicates that strikeouts could be a problem in 2013. Pence's HR/FB rate dropped to a career worst 11.5 percent with his move to AT&T Park, so it's not a given he'll continue to post 20 or more home runs.
The Phillies acquired Pence from the Astros prior to the trade deadline last season in order to bring some balance to their lineup. Pence proved to be a solid addition hitting .324 with 11 home runs while in a Phillies uniform. The former top prospect has settled in as a nice major league player with his mid-20s home-run power and double-digit stolen base numbers. Those numbers are likely to hold steady, but the batting average might be in for a correction as Pence's .370 BABIP last season is much higher than his career .321 rate. Pence had surgery for a hernia in the offseason but the procedure is considered minor and he will be ready for spring training.
Like many of his teammates, Pence got off to a miserable start last season, but he recovered enough to put up numbers pretty similar to his 2009 line. The one slightly worrisome development was the regression in his walk rate, dropping to 2008 levels and giving up all of the gains he made in 2009. Pence is streaky, so if you draft him, expect your share of up and down months. Whether he will recapture the plate discipline and take his game to the next level remains to be seen, but for now Pence is the answer to one of the Astros' questions in the outfield.
It was a streaky season for the young outfielder, whose season batting average fell from .358 at the end of May to .278 at the end of August. He redeemed himself with a torrid September, salvaging what was beginning to look like a disappointing season. The good news for Pence was that he showed greatly improved discipline at the plate all year, cutting his strikeouts down by nearly 15 percent and matching his walk total from 2008 by the end of July. His midseason slump should give you pause, but there's still upside here as he enters his prime.
After bursting onto the scene as a rookie in May 2007, big things were expected out of Pence last season. He suffered the mother of sophomore slumps in the first half, especially in April when he hit .260 with just one home run. However, he rebounded nicely, especially in the power department, and ended up hitting .269 with 25 homers and 83 RBI. He also stole 11 bases, but was caught 10 times. Pence's breakneck style in the outfield a la Eric Byrnes makes him a fan favorite, and we expect a nice bounce back this year. Last year's early season struggles may allow you to get him at a discounted rate in 2009, something a prepared owner should be ready to take advantage of.
Pence was widely considered the Astros' best prospect entering the 2007 season, and his eventual callup to the majors was just a matter of time. With Chris Burke struggling to make the transition to center field, Pence was promoted at the end of April after a strong first month at Triple-A Round Rock. He had a fantastic rookie season, hitting .322 with 17 homers, 30 doubles, nine triples and 11 steals in 456 at-bats. He came in third in the Rookie of the Year voting behind Milwaukee's Ryan Braun and Colorado's Troy Tulowitzki. He was shifted to right field toward the end of the season, and with Houston's acquisition of Michael Bourn, he will stay there for the foreseeable future.
Pence hit .283/.357/.533 with 28 homers, 31 doubles, 95 RBI and 17 stolen bases in 21 chances at Double-A Corpus Christi in 2006. He moves great considering his 6'4'', 220 pound frame, and has good instincts in the outfield. He has plus power to all fields, and has a natural uppercut swing, a la Jim Edmonds. His range is limited for center, and he doesn't have the arm to play right, so his future is likely in left field. He'll start the year at Triple-A Round Rock, and should make his major league debut sometime during the season.
Scouts don't like Pence, describing him as awkward, but the guy has hit since the day he was drafted. He could stand to be challenged, something he should get at Double-A this year. He'll have to hit, as he won't have the range for center field at higher levels. No in-between here: he'll either be headed for the majors or buried by this time next year.
More Fantasy News
Hitting leadoff Monday
OFSan Francisco Giants
September 24, 2018
Pence is starting in right field and hitting leadoff Monday against the Padres, John Shea of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Homers, drives in three
OFSan Francisco Giants
September 19, 2018
Pence went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, three RBI and a stolen base in Tuesday's win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in start
OFSan Francisco Giants
July 25, 2018
Pence went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 4-3 win over the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Reaches base three times
OFSan Francisco Giants
July 21, 2018
Pence went 3-for-5 with a double, two RBI and a stolen base Saturday against the Athletics.
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Plays role of hero Sunday
OFSan Francisco Giants
June 25, 2018
Pence started and went 1-for-4 with a pair of RBI in Sunday's walkoff win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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