Lorenzo Cain
Lorenzo Cain
33-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Milwaukee Brewers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
After a seven-year stint with the Royals, Cain returned to the team that drafted him, signing with the Brewers in January. The move was announced mere minutes after the trade for Christian Yelich, which set up the Brewers' outfield for years to come. Yelich won the MVP, but Cain was almost equally as valuable, and he set career highs with a .308 batting average. .395 OBP, and 30 stolen bases while also scoring 90 runs, the second best mark of his career. Cain's role and approach limited his power numbers -- his 38 RBI were his fewest since 2012 -- but he was still plenty useful for fantasy players. Cain will turn 33 next April, but because he has relied more on getting on base than power, that concern is mitigated. Cain provides exceptional defense -- it's puzzling he didn't win a Gold Glove in 2018 -- and will be in the second year of a five-contract in 2019, so expect him to reprise his role as the Brewers' regular center fielder and leadoff hitter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $80 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2018.
In starting nine
OFMilwaukee Brewers
October 1, 2019
Cain is in the starting lineup for Tuesday's National League Wild Card Game against the Nationals, batting seventh.
ANALYSIS
The 33-year-old left Saturday's game with a sprained left ankle and is now ready to return to Milwaukee's starting lineup against right-hander Max Scherzer. In his last seven games, Cain is slashing .524/.565/.810 with a home run and three RBI.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
59
5
5
1
12
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
47
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+3%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .847 484 84 15 37 19 .304 .374 .473
Since 2017vs Right .745 1403 167 21 98 55 .284 .356 .388
2019vs Left .747 178 26 6 14 9 .264 .326 .421
2019vs Right .677 444 49 5 34 9 .258 .324 .352
2018vs Left .979 162 26 4 10 6 .373 .451 .528
2018vs Right .753 458 64 6 28 24 .285 .376 .378
2017vs Left .824 144 32 5 13 4 .277 .347 .477
2017vs Right .797 501 54 10 36 22 .306 .367 .430
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .759 926 128 14 59 34 .284 .361 .398
Since 2017Away .783 961 123 22 76 40 .293 .361 .421
2019Home .713 318 45 7 28 10 .251 .333 .380
2019Away .680 304 30 4 20 8 .269 .316 .364
2018Home .775 296 50 4 15 11 .291 .385 .390
2018Away .846 324 40 6 23 19 .323 .404 .442
2017Home .788 312 33 3 16 13 .311 .365 .423
2017Away .817 333 53 12 33 13 .289 .360 .456
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Stat Review
How does Lorenzo Cain compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.47
 
BB Rate
8.0%
 
K Rate
17.0%
 
BABIP
.301
 
ISO
.112
 
AVG
.260
 
OBP
.325
 
SLG
.372
 
OPS
.697
 
wOBA
.311
 
Exit Velocity
89.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
36.5%
 
Barrels/PA
3.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Lorenzo Cain
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39 days ago
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45 days ago
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51 days ago
Jeff Stotts suggests fantasy owners needing a boost in stolen bases should plug Adalberto Mondesi back into lineups immediately, as his return to action has started with a bang.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2007
Cain spent his walk year in Kansas City proving he could finally do the one thing that he hadn't done to that point in his career -- stay healthy. 2017 was the first time Cain avoided the disabled list and yet the increased playing time did not lead to him setting any new career highs in the counting categories. One area where he game improved was in the contact department (15.5 strikeout percentage), which is notable given the trend league-wide to make less contact and hit with more power. Cain landed a lucrative five-year, $80 million deal with the Brewers in January and will be an everyday outfielder in the club's impressive lineup. The veteran outfielder should be a solid contributor of average, runs and steals, but it is tough to forecast success beyond that as Cain turns 32 at the start of the season and the aging curve for center fielders is not kind. In reset leagues, he should see a bump in value, but in keeper leagues, don't go the extra dollar.
Coming off a breakout 2015 campaign, much was expected from Cain. However, even prior to suffering a mid-August wrist injury which slowed down the outfielder before truncating his campaign in September, Cain was a fantasy disappointment. Will 2015 go down as his career year? Before the wrist woes, Cain lost time with a hamstring injury which isn't encouraging for a guy on the wrong side of 30 who's never played more than 140 games in a season. On the other hand, his plate skills were reasonably close to 2015 and should be stable; it was his homers and steals that were lacking. Cain is back to where he was before 2015 -- a highly skilled player with significant power and speed upside. The good news is prospective owners no longer need to pay extra for this. The bad news is he's a year older and it's hard to expect anything more than 130-140 games. Don't be afraid to invest but don't expect 2015 levels either.
Last season was the career year everyone had been waiting to get out of Cain, as he finally put together the power to go along with the speed game that he has always had. He is one of just six full-time players to hit over .300 each of the last two seasons, and a legit threat to be a 20-20 player in 2016. He is a low-risk player because he has cut his strikeouts down quite a bit and his speed buys him hits that slower players do not get. That said, he also turns 30 near the start of the season, which is hard to believe, considering he has only had three full seasons of major league play under his belt. The power production could eclipse the speed production in short order, but for now, he’s a safer option to own over someone like Adam Jones.
Cain had a career-year in 2014 for the Royals, driving in 53 runs and stealing 28 bases, to go along with a .301/.339/.412 slash line. Although he started the season near the bottom of the batting order, manager Ned Yost moved him up to the three-hole in mid-September and never looked back, keeping him there for most of their playoff run. The outfielder saw his walk rate dip a bit (4.8%) and his strikeout rate increase (21.5%), but a .380 BABIP helped him hit above the .300 mark for the first time in his major league career. Cain may not bring much to the table from a power standpoint (just five home runs), but his ability to hit for average and prowess on the basepaths make him a solid fantasy outfielder. If he maintains that position in the batting order, he should be able to drive in more runs, as well as score more often this time around.
It was another year of disappointment for Cain and his owners, as injuries continually disrupted his campaign He did not get off to a fast start and hit just .259 with four home runs and 10 stolen bases over 286 at-bats in the first half. Before he even had a chance to turn things around, an oblique injury landed him on the disabled list for part of July and most of August; and when he did finally return, he failed to earn his job back and fell into a platoon with Jarrod Dyson and David Lough. Cain should open the 2014 season as the Royals' starting center fielder and still has that 15-15 potential, but until he can stay healthy for a full season and hit for more power, he remains a mid- to low-end fantasy option.
Expectations ran high for Cain in 2012 after he won the starting center field job with a torrid spring, but an early-season groin injury followed immediately by a strained hip flexor completely derailed his season and limited him to just five games in the first half. He batted .275 with seven home runs and 10 stolen bases when he returned after the All-Star break, but had his season cut short in mid-September by yet another leg injury, this time a strained hamstring. Cain has legitimate 15-15 potential, but will need to work on his plate discipline to achieve that level. It is not that he is up at the plate hacking away at pitches outside the zone, but his contact rates are slightly below average and he swings through a lot of pitches, as evidenced by his increasing swinging-strike rate, which rose for the third straight season and topped out at 11.1 percent. Once again, he will be the favorite to earn the starting center field job in 2013 and, if he can stay healthy, just might live up to that potential the Royals saw when they acquired him in the Zack Greinke deal after the 2010 season.
When Cain came over from Milwaukee to Kansas City as part of the Zack Greinke deal, many thought he would immediately jump into the team's center field role and run with it. Instead, he spent the majority of the season at Triple-A Omaha where he hit .312/.380/.497 with 16 home runs and steals. He was blocked at the major league level by Melky Cabrera, who turned in a career year, so the move was understandable at the time. With Cabrera getting traded to San Francisco, the door has opened for Cain to step in and finally claim the center field position. The fact that Ned Yost likes his players to stay active on the basepaths plays right into Cain's skill set as he can hit for average and has shown good speed in the past (33 stolen bases in 2010 between Double-A, Triple-A and the majors with Milwaukee). That combination alone should have fantasy owners excited about what 2012 holds for Cain.
Cain rebounded from a lost 2009 season to make his way to the majors and put himself in a position to be Milwaukee's starting center fielder in 2011. Cain hit .306/.348/.415 in 43 games with seven stolen bases for the Brewers after a late season callup and played above average defense. His .373 BABIP average should give fantasy owners a reason to pause before selecting him. Traded to the Royals as part of the Zack Greinke deal in December, Cain should have every opportunity to secure the starting job this spring as the rebuilding efforts in Kansas City continue.
Cain was on track to get a shot at a starting center-field job in 2010, but then missed half of last season with a partially torn MCL and played poorly after he returned. When healthy, he's shown an improving ability to get on base and a moderate amount of power. Combining that with the ability to play center field leads to a capable major league player. The Brewers' trade for Carlos Gomez indicates that they don't feel Cain is ready for prime-time duty just yet. He'll likely play next season at Triple-A Nashville where a good season can put him back on track for a roster spot in Milwaukee.
Cain finally came through on the potential tag that has been hanging on him for the past few years with a solid 2008 season. Prompted to Double-A Huntsville halfway through the season, he hit .277/.363/.486 in 40 games. He followed that up with a 1.017 OPS in 18 Arizona Fall League games. Cain's ability to play center and a 25 of 31 success rate on stolen bases last season only enhances his chances of moving quickly through the Milwaukee system. The Brewers will likely start him off at Double-A in 2009, but don't be shocked if he finds himself in Milwaukee before the season is out.
Cain is an intriguing sleeper prospect for the Brewers. In 2006 he hit .307/.384/.425 with 34 SB for Low-A West Virginia as a 20 year old. Right now he doesn't hit for much power, but most scouts think he'll fill out as he gets older and the power will develop. If that power stroke does come around, Cain will be one of the brighter prospects in the Milwaukee system.
More Fantasy News
Active for wild-card game
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Ankle
October 1, 2019
Cain (ankle) is on the Brewers' wild-card roster, Adam McCalvy of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expects to play Tuesday
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Ankle
September 30, 2019
Cain (ankle) expects to play in Tuesday's Wild Card game against the Nationals, Sam Fortier of The Washington Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Missing regular-season finale
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Ankle
September 29, 2019
Cain (ankle) is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with ankle sprain
OFMilwaukee Brewers
Ankle
September 28, 2019
Cain was removed from Saturday's game against the Rockies with a left ankle sprain.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in loss
OFMilwaukee Brewers
September 27, 2019
Cain went 2-for-3 with a solo home run in Friday's loss to the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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