Chase Headley
Chase Headley
34-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Headley had a fine, if unspectacular season in his age-33 campaign. He was only slightly better than average at the plate as measured by wRC+ (104), but Headley was on the field almost every day and compiled useful run and RBI totals. As has been the case every year since 2012, Headley disappointed in the power department -- he has ranged between 11-14 homers over the past five years -- as his hard-hit and flyball rates fell to 30 percent and 31.7 percent, respectively. Headley upped his walk rate to 10.2 percent, a five-year high, and maintained a strikeout rate right around his career average, but he didn't improve much from the right side and his defense graded out poorly. The Yankees were able to dump the final year of his contract on the Padres by attaching Bryan Mitchell this offseason, which will allow Headley to get everyday at-bats at third base to start the season without having the Yankees' top prospects breathing down his back. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Headley signed a four-year, $52-million deal with the Yankees in December of 2014.
Released by Padres
3BFree Agent  
May 18, 2018
Headley was released by the Padres on Friday, Dennis Lin of The Athletic San Diego reports.
ANALYSIS
Headley's second term with the team that drafted him back in 2005 ended in failure, as he was designated for assignment and released after hitting just .115 in 27 games. The rebuilding Padres had little reason to devote a roster spot to an underperforming veteran, but there's a good chance he finds a fit with another team in a bench role. He's a switch hitter who had posted a wRC+ of at least 92 for 10 straight seasons prior to this year, so unless the entire league believes he's completely fallen off a cliff at age 34, there's likely still a spot for him somewhere in the league. The chance of him finding enough at-bats to have much fantasy relevance seems slim, however.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+89%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+10%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .678 355 45 7 32 2 .258 .310 .368
Since 2016vs Right .735 820 92 19 84 15 .254 .347 .389
2018vs Left .220 14 0 0 0 0 .077 .143 .077
2018vs Right .415 46 2 0 4 0 .128 .261 .154
2017vs Left .708 164 24 4 15 1 .260 .299 .409
2017vs Right .778 422 53 8 46 8 .279 .373 .405
2016vs Left .686 177 21 3 17 1 .270 .333 .352
2016vs Right .726 352 37 11 34 7 .240 .327 .399
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+92%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+16%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .738 575 77 18 62 8 .242 .336 .402
Since 2016Away .699 600 60 8 54 9 .267 .335 .364
2018Home .275 38 1 0 2 0 .061 .184 .091
2018Away .529 22 1 0 2 0 .211 .318 .211
2017Home .822 268 43 7 29 3 .291 .378 .443
2017Away .706 318 34 5 32 6 .259 .330 .376
2016Home .721 269 33 11 31 5 .220 .316 .405
2016Away .704 260 25 3 20 3 .281 .342 .362
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Chase Headley compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.30
 
BB Rate
10.0%
 
K Rate
33.3%
 
BABIP
.188
 
ISO
.019
 
AVG
.115
 
OBP
.233
 
SLG
.135
 
OPS
.368
 
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
Headley got off to a brutal start to 2016, as he hovered at or below the Mendoza Line for the first six weeks. He found a way to right the ship after that, but the end result was more of the same as the third baseman's 14 home runs, 51 RBI and .253 batting average resemble the kind of player he has been over the course of his career, save for his fluke 2012 season. The 32-year-old brought down his strikeout totals a bit, but he still whiffed in 22.3 percent of his plate appearances. It's unlikely he'll have much competition at the hot corner in the Bronx, so he figures to be in the lineup most nights again next season (he's played in at least 135 games five straight years), but at this point in his career it's fair to continue expecting more of the same. Headley lacks standout tools and has posted a 92 wRC+ in back-to-back seasons. He should continue to perform as a slightly below league-average hitter.
Headley signed a long-term deal with the Yankees following a successful second half in 2014 after a deadline deal to the Bronx, but was unable to do much better in his first season in pinstripes. Outside of an outlier MVP-caliber season in 2012, in which the third baseman hit 31 homers with a .286/.374/.498 line, Headley's 2015 numbers basically fall in line with his career averages. Though his production was about what should be expected out of him at this point, Headley's 2015 season disappointed owners who hoped the full-time move from Petco Park to Yankee Stadium would help in the power department. While it didn't have any impact for fantasy purposes, the Yankees were also disappointed with his defensive play, as the two-time Gold Glove winner committed 23 errors at the hot corner, though the lack of a viable backup kept his job relatively safe. Entering his age-32 season, it's reasonable to expect more of the same from him at the plate.
Most people that drafted Headley over the years did so with the hope that he would be traded out of Petco National Park that season and go to the Yankees. That finally happened in 2014, but you’d never know if from his statistics. Headley hit .229/.296/.355 for the Padres and .262/.371/.398 for the Yankees. The spike in OBP came from a five percentage point jump in his walk rate in the American League, but 2014 was the third time in five seasons Headley has failed to slug over .400. He also is taking up residence in Splitsville; he has hit over .250 against lefties just twice in the past six seasons and that number has declined each of the past four seasons. Re-signed by the Yankees in December, Headley could be much more productive in his first full campaign in the Bronx with improved health, but we’re still talking about a player who has had one outlier of a power season in the past six. Another 30-homer season is highly unlikely, and it might even be a surprise if he swats 20.
After driving in an NL-leading 115 RBI in 2012, Headley had a tough act to follow, and a fractured thumb sustained late in spring training didn't exactly aid in realizing similar output, as his season debut was delayed until Apr. 17. Morever, his year of misery concluded with news of a torn meniscus in his left knee, which had apparently been bothering him since March. In between, there were some positives, including a second half in which he slashed .280/.371/.458, but certain season-long marks, namely a wOBA (.330) and HR/FB rate (10.9 percent), were in line with his career numbers. If he enters 2014 with a fully healthy knee, there's no reason to believe he can't reach base more regularly or steal double-digit bases for the fifth time in six seasons, with ordinary power for a corner infielder.
It's amazing what can happen when power ends up in the hands of the right man at the right time. In 2012, Headley found that power and put it to good use as he hit a career-high 31 homers and 31 doubles. His 115 RBI were not only a career high, but led the National League as well. As for his other skills, Headley made contact 74.8 percent of the time, which is low for him, but otherwise stayed true to who he is with walk and strikeout rates within his normal range. At 29 years old, owners should not be expecting an encore performance in 2013 from Headley as there is little to suggest the power he showed in 2012 (.212 ISO after a .110 mark in 2011) is likely to carry over. The switch-hitting Headley should benefit from having the fences in right field moved in at Petco Park, however. If anything, invest in him for his speed, which has produced double-digit steals each of the last four seasons, and be happy with more moderate power.
When Headley first arrived in San Diego, he was a highly touted third-base prospect who was capable of hitting for a high average with decent power totals. While it has taken a few seasons in the majors to make the necessary adjustments, he finally found his groove in 2011 and posted a career best .289/.374/.399 slash line. With an improved 11.8 percent walk rate and an annually improving 80 percent contact rate, Headley has finally delivered the on-base numbers we saw back in the minors and is becoming more of a complete ballplayer. His minor league power may never translate in the majors due to the dimensions of Petco Park, but he should still produce everywhere else, including the continued contribution of double-digit steals.
Headley stole more bases and reduced his strikeout rate for the second season in a row, but the rest of his skills remained the same in 2010, which wasn't a good thing. He again didn't hit for average, had trouble getting on base, didn't hit for power and continued to struggle against lefties. For someone who plays third base (or any position), these aren't the best skills to have. If he can continue to reduce his strikeout rate and turn around his sliding slugging percentage, there's hope that he can become a useful fantasy asset entering his age 27 season. However, it appears that a platoon role would likely be in his and fantasy owners' best interest.
Strikeouts and power need to be correlated for hitters. If you can't make enough contact to hit .300, then you need to be able to drive the ball when you do connect. Headley hasn't been that guy, with a 25 percent strikeout rate chewing up his batting average and limiting his OBP, but just a .403 SLG in two seasons as a regular that doesn't make up for it. Throw in bad defense at a hitting position, and he's been a disappointment. If the Padres ever free up third base for him, he might hit a little better and he'd certainly field better; until then, he's someone you'll be looking to improve upon. Caveat: He's third-base eligible in most formats, so worth a late pick.
Headley's strong start at Triple-A Portland earned him a mid-June promotion. He had an odd season as he hit five homers but did not walk in his first 87 at-bats, then hitting only four more homers in his last 244 at-bats, but walking 30 times. This is the type of plate discipline Headley displayed in the minors, though his contact rate with the Padres was less than 70 percent, a mark he needs to improve as his power will become more consistent as he matures. Originally a third baseman, Headley showed surprising dexterity in left field, where he will likely spend his 2009 season. If Kevin Kouzmanoff has any issues getting healthy in time for Opening Day, Headley could spend time at the hot corner to begin the year.
The Padres love Headley and would give him the reins at third base if Kevin Kouzmanoff wasn't already there. As a result, Headley's 2008 role is uncertain. The Padres will experiment with him as an outfielder during spring training. Triple-A is also a possibility, although the Padres think the 23-year-old is ready for prime time. Headley is a solid all-around hitter; in 433 Double-A at-bats last year, he hit .330 with 20 homers, 78 RBI and 74 walks. He gained 15 pounds of muscle during the offseason and is up to 230 pounds. Headley is a very good sleeper, but watch his role during spring training.
Headley has excellent plate discipline and moderate power and was named to the High-A California League's Postseason All-Star Team after he hit .291/.389/.434 with 12 homers and 73 RBI in 484 at-bats. He was believed to be San Diego's best young third baseman until the team traded for Kevin Kouzmanoff in November, a move which considerably clouds Headley's future with the Padres.
More Fantasy News
Designated for assignment
3BSan Diego Padres  
May 12, 2018
Headley was designated for assignment Saturday, Dennis Lin of The Athletic San Diego reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Remains on bench
3BSan Diego Padres  
April 5, 2018
Headley is out of the lineup Thursday against Colorado.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sits out Wednesday
3BSan Diego Padres  
April 4, 2018
Headley is not in the lineup Wednesday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sits against lefty
3BSan Diego Padres  
April 3, 2018
Headley is not in the lineup for Tuesday's game against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Sits again Saturday
3BSan Diego Padres  
March 31, 2018
Headley is out of the starting lineup for the second straight day against the Brewers on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.