Mark Reynolds
Mark Reynolds
35-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Washington Nationals
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The final numbers for Reynolds look great, but he faded in a major way down the stretch, and his fantasy outlook will be far less rosy if he leaves Colorado. In fact, it will be kind of bleak. He hit .294/.393/.584 at Coors Field in 2017 compared to just .242/.311/.392 on the road, while slumping to a .661 OPS during the final month of the campaign. Reynolds drew walks at a good clip, but he struck out close to 30 percent of the time overall and was a huge negative in the field -- he had just a 0.8 fWAR even with the big offensive numbers. He didn't hit lefties very well (.231/.347/.413) and will turn 35 next spring, so Reynolds is probably best suited for a part-time DH role on an American League team. This is a classic case of "don't chase last season's production." Expect a return to single-digit earnings in 15-team leagues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a minor-league contract with the Nationals in April of 2018.
Smacks two-run homer
1BWashington Nationals
September 6, 2018
Reynolds went 2-for-5 with a home run, a single and two RBI in Thursday's loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
Reynolds gave the Nationals a 3-2 lead with his two-run shot in the fourth inning, but they weren't able to hold the lead against the Cubs on Thursday night. Reynolds doesn't draw regular playing time, but he does have multiple hits in his last two starts. He now has a .268 average with 13 homers and 38 RBI over 192 plate appearances in 2018.
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Batting Stats
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Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+10%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+14%
OPS vs RHP
2016
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016vs Left .753 378 47 11 45 2 .256 .352 .401
Since 2016vs Right .859 868 121 46 145 1 .277 .350 .508
2018vs Left .895 72 7 2 11 0 .328 .403 .492
2018vs Right .812 140 18 11 29 0 .224 .300 .512
2017vs Left .760 170 23 7 23 1 .231 .347 .413
2017vs Right .869 423 59 23 74 1 .281 .355 .515
2016vs Left .673 136 17 2 11 1 .250 .331 .342
2016vs Right .865 305 44 12 42 0 .297 .367 .498
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2016
 
 
+35%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+55%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+39%
OPS at Home
2016
 
 
+20%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2016Home .952 620 105 36 117 2 .309 .390 .562
Since 2016Away .707 625 63 21 73 1 .235 .312 .395
2018Home 1.038 98 14 7 26 0 .348 .398 .640
2018Away .669 113 11 6 14 0 .177 .283 .385
2017Home .978 300 56 21 58 1 .294 .393 .584
2017Away .703 293 26 9 39 1 .242 .311 .392
2016Home .880 222 35 8 33 1 .310 .383 .497
2016Away .732 219 26 6 20 0 .255 .329 .403
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Stat Review
How does Mark Reynolds compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
10.4%
 
K Rate
25.9%
 
BABIP
.289
 
ISO
.247
 
AVG
.258
 
OBP
.335
 
SLG
.505
 
OPS
.840
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
The Rockies signed Reynolds to a one-year deal last winter with the hope that he could be a solid platoon partner with Ben Paulsen at first base. However, the veteran slugger shocked everyone by earning a full-time role at first base during spring training. Also to many people's surprise, the 33-year-old maintained a batting average above .300 into the month of June and posted a career-low 25.4 percent strikeout rate. Of course, not everything was pleasant for Reynolds in 2016, as he only mustered 14 home runs and 53 RBI on the season despite playing nearly every day. His walk rate also sunk below 10 percent for the first time since his first season in the big leagues, and Reynolds was forced to settle for a minor league deal to return to Colorado this offseason. Injuries to Ian Desmond and David Dahl have opened the door for Reynolds to not only make the roster, but to play somewhat regularly early on.
Reynolds found more playing time than expected when the righty slugger signed with the Cardinals last winter after incumbent first basemen Matt Adams went down with a quad injury that limited him to less than half a season. Reynolds turned in numbers that most expected hitting .230/.315/.398 in 382 at-bats this season, but it was somewhat disappointing that he only delivered 13 home runs and instead hitting 22 doubles. It was only the third time in his nine-year career Reynolds had more doubles than home runs and prior to 2015 he'd never hit more than three more doubles. Reynolds signed a one-year contract with Colorado after the season and will likely platoon at first base with Ben Paulsen. Reynolds could be a fantasy sleeper with the Rockies as his power will thrive in Coors Field and since he'll have less exposure to right-handed pitching.
Reynolds returned to the National League last season for the first time since 2010, and he had trouble with the new hurlers, hitting a career-low .196. Despite the low average, he still topped the 20 home run plateau for the seventh straight season and played surprisingly good defense at both first base and third base. Reynolds' poor plate discipline could ultimately limit his playing time, but he'll provide a right-handed complement to Matt Adams at first base and Matt Carpenter at the hot corner after signing with St. Louis.
Reynolds was another of general manager Brian Cashman's scrap-heap acquisitions in 2014, and he did things typical of his career norms upon coming to the Yankees, hitting six homers in 110 at-bats, but striking out 35 times. Power is hard to come by, so Reynolds could be worth a look if he latches on somewhere where he can get consistent playing time in a park that plays to his strengths as a hitter, but the contact issues are very problematic and will continue to make him a liability in the batting average department.
Reynolds fell out of favor during a horrid April in which he struck out 30 times in 63 at-bats and failed to field cleanly at third base. A move to first base cured his defensive woes and Reynolds rallied with 16 of his 23 home runs coming in the second half. He is still a strikeout machine, but Reynolds improved his walk rate from 12.1 percent to 13.6 percent and cut his strikeout rate from 31.6 percent to 29.6 percent from 2011 to 2012. This has not helped his average much, as his BABIP in two seasons for the Orioles is in the .270s, well below the league average and a far cry from his first three seasons with the Diamondbacks. Unable to reach a deal with the Orioles, Reynolds signed a one-year, $6 million deal with the Indians in December to serve as the Tribe's regular first baseman and provide some much-needed right-handed power in the Cleveland lineup.
Reynolds does one thing, and he does it very well: power. The third baseman socked 30 home runs for the third straight year, checking in at 37 in a very down offensive year for third basemen. Unfortunately, all that swinging for the fences yields loads of strikeouts (31.6 percent of his at-bats), and all those strikeouts severely limit his batting average. He finished at .221 in 2011, just 17 points below his career mark. Look for more of the same in 2012 - great power numbers, but with an almost certain drain in the batting average category.
Reynolds failed to break his own single-season strikeout record (223), but he eclipsed the 200-whiff mark for the third consecutive season while hacking his way to a .198 average thanks to a 58 percent contact rate and surprisingly low .262 BABIP. Fortunately, there is at least some silver lining in that he was playing hurt throughout the season as a lingering quad injury, hand and wrist ailments, as well a concussion limited him at various points last season. We have to think that the leg injury in particular limited his prowess on the basepaths, especially since five of his seven steals came before the All-Star break. Traded to Baltimore during the offseason, Reynolds should continue to collect everyday at-bats in a good hitter's park, making him a 40-homer threat and likely one that will come at a discount on draft day given the batting average risk he presents.
Reynolds swatted a career-high 44 homers in what turned out to be one of the league's most impressive breakout performances last season. Few players in baseball have the ability to match his raw power, but that comes at the expense of a lot of strikeouts as Reynolds whiffed an MLB-record 223 times in 2009. Among qualified hitters, Reynolds' 61 percent contact rate was the worst by a significant margin, so his average could slide back into the .240 range if he doesn't improve his approach. Further, it's unlikely that he'll be given the constant green light en route to another 20-plus steals, after a surprising 24-swipe effort last season. Fortunately, Reynolds is just 26 years old, so slight improvement isn't out of the question, but there's a lot of risk here for what you'll need to pay for him on draft day.
Reynolds finished the 2008 season with a .239/.320/.458 line along with 28 homers and 97 RBI in 539 at-bats. He became more active on the basepaths, finishing with 11 stolen bases after going without a steal as a rookie in 2007. The D-Backs are considering moving Reynolds to second base in 2009, which would significantly boost his fantasy value -- think Dan Uggla territory -- if that switch comes to fruition. His low average doesn't appear to be going away anytime soon, however, as Reynolds set the major league strikeout record in 2008 by whiffing once in every 2.64 at-bats. Even in leagues that utilize on-base percentage rather than batting average, Reynolds is a risky proposition, but his .329 BABIP was the lowest of any season during his professional career, so he's shouldn't be as much of a liability in those areas going forward.
Reynolds seized his opportunity to get regular at-bats with Chad Tracy in and out of the lineup with various ailments last season. Bouts of inconsistency had those on the bandwagon tearing their hair out at times, but the end results weren't bad for a 23-year-old rookie. The greatest problem in his skill set right now is the apparent hole in his lumber, as Reynolds fanned 129 times in 366 big-league at-bats (2.8 AB/K). We're not advocates of relying on a .386 BABIP number either, but there's not too much disparity between that and Reynolds' totals in the minors. Given his power and the possibility of a move to second base down the road, tread with cautious optimism on draft day and hope that he begins to make more contact.
More Fantasy News
Knocks in two vs. Milwaukee
1BWashington Nationals
September 2, 2018
Reynolds went 2-for-4 with two RBI in Sunday's game against the Brewers.
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Crushes pinch-hit grand slam
1BWashington Nationals
August 27, 2018
Reynolds came on as a pinch hitter in the eighth inning of Sunday's 15-0 rout over the Mets and stayed in the game at second base, going 1-for-1 with a grand slam and a second run scored.
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Slugs pinch-hit homer
1BWashington Nationals
August 1, 2018
Reynolds supplied a pinch-hit three-run home run Tuesday in the Nationals' 25-4 win over the Mets.
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Logs fourth straight start
1BWashington Nationals
July 29, 2018
Reynolds will start at third base and bat seventh Sunday against the Marlins.
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On bench again
1BWashington Nationals
July 15, 2018
Reynolds is out of the lineup Sunday against the Mets.
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