Clayton Richard
Clayton Richard
35-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
60-Day DL
Injury Knee
Est. Return 3/1/2019
2018 Fantasy Outlook
The pitching-starved Padres sent Richard to the hill every five days, where he recorded a 4.79 ERA and 1.52 WHIP in 32 starts, spanning 197.1 innings. The silver lining is Richard's ratios were slightly inflated by a .353 BABIP, unusually high even for a groundball specialist. His 4.23 FIP and 3.76 xFIP are a better reflection of his skills. The veteran lefty features a 91-mph fastball along with a slider and change. A 17.7 percent strikeout rate indicates he doesn't miss many bats, preferring to induce grounders, which he did 59 percent of the time. The Padres must be hopeful Richard pitches more to his expected ERAs as they inked him to a two-year extension in September, with intentions on keeping him in the rotation for at least this season. With Petco Park at his back, Richard is a viable spot starter in mixed leagues with deep benches, but be ready to cut bait if he struggles as there's no upside worth waiting for. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a two-year, $6 million contract extension with the Padres in September of 2017.
Moved to 60-day DL
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
August 31, 2018
Richard (knee) was shifted to the 60-day disabled list Friday, Jeff Sanders of the San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Richard will undergo a pair of procedures over the next couple weeks after being placed on the DL on Tuesday with a knee injury. This move won't impact Richard's timetable, as he will remain sidelined for the rest of the 2018 campaign.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2016
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .272 441 105 24 108 12 3 3
Since 2016vs Right .296 1405 195 126 372 81 11 44
2018vs Left .242 145 28 10 31 5 1 2
2018vs Right .269 537 80 50 128 30 4 17
2017vs Left .286 217 62 8 57 6 2 1
2017vs Right .315 641 89 51 183 42 6 23
2016vs Left .286 79 15 6 20 1 0 0
2016vs Right .305 227 26 25 61 9 1 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-28%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2016
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 4.00 1.37 213.2 11 12 0 6.7 2.7 0.6
Since 2016Away 5.53 1.60 209.0 7 18 1 6.0 3.7 1.4
2018Home 3.94 1.22 77.2 2 3 0 6.4 2.5 0.6
2018Away 6.67 1.53 81.0 5 8 0 5.9 4.2 1.6
2017Home 4.30 1.47 104.2 7 7 0 7.2 2.5 0.8
2017Away 5.34 1.56 92.2 1 8 0 6.5 2.9 1.5
2016Home 3.16 1.40 31.1 2 2 0 6.0 3.7 0.0
2016Away 3.47 1.87 36.1 1 2 1 5.0 4.5 1.0
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Stat Review
How does Clayton Richard compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.80
 
K/9
6.1
 
BB/9
3.4
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
90.1 mph
 
ERA
5.33
 
WHIP
1.38
 
BABIP
.292
 
GB/FB
2.96
 
Strand %
62.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
Richard opened 2016 as one of the final members of the Cubs' bullpen, but a variety of minor ailments and poor results over 25 relief appearances led to his removal from the roster in late July. With a pitching staff plagued by injuries throughout the season, the Padres signed Richard in August in their quest to find viable innings eaters down the stretch. Working mostly as a starter in San Diego, Richard churned out a 2.52 ERA despite 5.7 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9, mainly via avoiding extra damage from free passes by keeping the ball on the ground (63.2 percent groundball rate) and stranding baserunners at an elevated rate (79.8 left-on-base percentage). At age 33, Richard inked a one-year, $1.75 million deal to return to the Padres, where he will presumably open the year in the rotation. However, all the indicators are there for him to perform much worse this time around, leaving him as an end-game play in NL-only leagues.
Richard had an odd year, starting nine games for Triple-A Indianapolis before the Pirates sold him to the Cubs, who kept designating him for assignment and then bringing him back. Richard's numbers aren't fantasy worthy - his strikeout rate in particular is embarrassing - but he turned himself into an extreme groundballer in 2015 and had some mild success. His 5.06 GB/FB ratio is nowhere near the figures he's put up throughout his career, but that rate has been steadily increasing over the last several seasons before shooting up last year. Is there room for a veteran pitcher who keeps the ball on the ground, can occasionally spot start, but also isn't too proud to spend time in the minors? Apparently so. That doesn't make him a good fantasy asset though.
Slated to head the Padres' rotation last year, Richard suffered through incompetence and an intestinal virus, before undergoing season-ending surgery in July to relieve discomfort in the acromiovacular joint in his left shoulder. Once the campaign concluded, the Padres outrighted the southpaw, who eventually elected to explore free agency. Organizations may be dubious of Richard, who recorded a 7.01 ERA, 1.633 WHIP, and 24:21 K:BB ratio in 52.2 innings, despite the built in advantage of taking the mound half of the time in the friendly confines of Petco Park. However, he's entering his age-31 season and is one year removed from posting a 54 percent groundball rate, which could translate in another pitcher's park.
Coming off of a 2011 season that was ended prematurely by shoulder surgery, Richard's 2012 season was by most accounts a fine bounceback effort. While he was unable to regain the strikeout rate he had prior to the surgery, he was able to improve his command greatly as he walked fewer than five percent of the batters he faced and improve upon his groundball rate, which was up to almost 54 percent when the 2012 season ended. If those two characteristics of his game carry over to 2013, there is little reason to think that he can't post a sub-4.00 ERA for the fourth consecutive season. Owners who are able to pick and choose his starts would be wise to start him only at home (Petco Park), where he has a career 2.82 ERA over 284 innings pitched.
It's hard to put much stock into Richard's 2011 numbers as he suffered from shoulder issues all season and underwent season-ending surgery in July. His overall numbers weren't exactly terrible, but the significant drops in his K/9IP and K/BB were strong indicators that something was wrong. He is expected to be at 100 percent come the start of spring training and if all goes well, should end up in the Padres' starting rotation next year. Given the rehab and the fact that he wasn't a dominant pitcher to begin with, you should keep your expectations low.
In his first full season as a member of the Padres' rotation, Richard was a useful starter for fantasy owners. He posted a 3.75 ERA, 1.408 WHIP, 1.96 K/BB ratio and 14 wins in more than 200 innings. He improved his strikeout rate to 6.8 K/9IP, but has yet to show the kind of control he had in the minors. Owners capable of streaming him only at home would be wise to do so as he posted much better numbers at Petco Park (3.15 ERA, .227 BAA) than on the road (4.41 ERA, .308 BAA) last season.
Richard's prospect status is based on him walking 2.5 guys per nine innings in the minors, something he hasn't come close to doing in the majors. With a big body and a less-than-impressive fastball, Richard is vaguely reminiscent of Mark Hendrickson, and could well have Hendrickson's career.
The big guy looks like he should throw harder and be more dominant than he is. As it stands, Richard was way too hittable in the majors, and like a bunch of Sox pitching prospects, will have to learn how to get outs with subpar stuff in the majors. One of Richard, Lance Broadway and Jack Egbert will probably have a career, but it's hard to say which.
More Fantasy News
Will require surgeries on both knees
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
August 29, 2018
Richard will require a pair of procedures in the coming weeks, one to address inflammation in his left knee and another to clean up bone spurs and rough cartilage in his right knee, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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Set for season-ending knee surgery
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
August 28, 2018
Richard will undergo surgery on his left knee and miss the rest of the 2018 season, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
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Hits disabled list with knee inflammation
PSan Diego Padres
Knee
August 28, 2018
Richard was placed on the 10-day disabled list Tuesday with left knee inflammation.
ANALYSIS
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Lit up again in loss
PSan Diego Padres
August 24, 2018
Richard (7-11) took the loss against the Dodgers on Friday, giving up seven runs (six earned) on nine hits over 3.2 innings, striking out three and walking two in San Diego's 11-1 defeat.
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Gives up five runs in no-decision
PSan Diego Padres
August 18, 2018
Richard allowed five runs on nine hits while striking out three over five innings in a no-decision against the Diamondbacks on Saturday. He did not issue a walk.
ANALYSIS
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