Matt Harvey
Matt Harvey
30-Year-Old PitcherSP
Oakland Athletics
2019 Fantasy Outlook
When Harvey made like Snake Plisken and escaped from New York, most analysts suggested that Cincinnati was the worst place for him to land. And given the ballpark, team context and general starting pitching woes, the consensus point of view made sense. But while it was a far cry from his "Dark Knight" peak days, Harvey stabilized with the Reds, posting a 4.50 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 128 innings. The only drawback for the Reds was that they weren't able to flip Harvey for a prospect at the trade deadline, given his pending free agency. Before the trade, Harvey was averaging 92.5 mph on his fastball and sinker; after working with the Reds, that climbed to 94.7 mph. He'll need to maintain that sort of velocity with the Angels if he's to have any chance of returning to prominence. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a minor-league contract with the Athletics in August of 2019.
Joining Triple-A
POakland Athletics  AAA
August 15, 2019
Harvey will likely start for Triple-A Las Vegas on Friday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
Harvey linked up with the Athletics earlier in the week after parting ways with the Angels in mid-July. The veteran right-hander struggled during his time with Los Angeles, posting a 7.09 ERA, 1.54 WHIP and 39:29 K:BB in 12 starts (59.2 innings). Harvey hasn't seen game action in close to a month, so he'll likely need to make one or more minor-league starts before the A's determine if (and how) he fits into their plans.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .289 671 117 64 171 36 4 34
Since 2017vs Right .270 689 120 49 167 26 2 27
2019vs Left .295 126 20 18 31 10 2 5
2019vs Right .258 140 19 11 32 5 0 8
2018vs Left .263 341 69 19 83 18 1 17
2018vs Right .279 322 62 18 82 14 2 10
2017vs Left .331 204 28 27 57 8 1 12
2017vs Right .264 227 39 20 53 7 0 9
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-4%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 6.22 1.34 152.0 10 7 0 7.4 3.4 2.3
Since 2017Away 5.56 1.60 155.1 5 14 0 6.5 3.2 1.3
2019Home 8.92 1.75 38.1 2 4 0 5.6 4.7 2.6
2019Away 3.80 1.17 21.1 1 1 0 6.3 3.8 0.8
2018Home 4.83 1.16 72.2 5 2 0 9.3 2.2 2.0
2018Away 5.03 1.43 82.1 2 7 0 6.1 2.1 1.2
2017Home 6.15 1.27 41.0 3 1 0 5.7 4.2 2.4
2017Away 7.14 2.03 51.2 2 6 0 7.1 4.9 1.7
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Stat Review
How does Matt Harvey compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 70 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.34
 
K/9
5.9
 
BB/9
4.4
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
93.2 mph
 
ERA
7.09
 
WHIP
1.54
 
BABIP
.279
 
GB/FB
1.47
 
Left On Base
59.6%
 
Exit Velocity
90.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
7.3%
 
Spin Rate
2248 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
41.8%
 
Swinging Strike
9.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Trevor Bauer takes the mound Thursday amid swirling trade rumors. Kevin Payne gives his outlook on the righty's DFS upside on FanDuel.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Not long ago, Harvey was one of the most sought-after arms in fantasy baseball. After entering the league in 2012, he posted a gleaming 2.53 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 from 2012-15 despite missing the 2014 season to Tommy John surgery. However, 2016 saw Harvey take a turn for the worse, and his decline continued in 2017. A nagging shoulder injury limited him to just 19 appearances last season, marking the second straight year in which he pitched fewer than 100 innings. Batters hit a lofty .291 against Harvey as his fastball appeared completely flat, with his FIP reaching a career-high 6.37. Harvey didn't make things easier for himself with his control, or lack thereof, as he posted a dismal 10.4 percent walk rate. He figures to be in the rotation, but the honeymoon in fantasy is long over. Less volatile options can be found at his same price point.
The Dark Knight suffered through many dark nights in a disastrous half season that eventually resulted in thoracic outlet syndrome surgery. After a glimmer of hope in a five-start stretch (2.25 ERA in 32 innings), Harvey failed to finish four innings in back-to-back starts and was placed on the DL with shoulder soreness. Shortly thereafter, we learned that he had symptoms consistent with TOS -- including tingling fingers when pitching -- and would need the surgery. While he is expected to be ready for spring training, there haven't been many strong returns from the surgery in its relatively limited history. It's unknown how long the symptoms were there in his 92.2 innings, but he suffered through career-worst marks virtually across the board, including lost velocity on every one of his four pitches. News of the tingling being gone is certainly positive, but those looking to buy need to be diligent about paying attention to spring reports regarding his velocity and command. It would be prudent to look elsewhere without a substantial discount.
An insane spring training rocketed Harvey’s price into the top-15 starting pitchers and he rewarded those risk-takers with the 11th-best season at the position. Lingering effects of Tommy John surgery sprung up at times (including three starts of seven earned runs apiece), but he always rebounded quickly and outside of those few bumps, he was one of the half-dozen best pitchers in the game. The only difference skills-wise from 2013 was a small drop in strikeouts, but he remained great in that area and still has best-in-league upside during any given season. With the innings reins loosened, 300 strikeouts are a legitimate upside. He probably won’t reach it (Kershaw’s 301 was the first such season since 2002), but Harvey is that kind of pitcher. Harvey is one of four pitchers (Tim Lincecum, Roy Oswalt, and Sonny Gray) since 2000 to log 400+ IP with a 3.00 or lower ERA in his first three seasons, and his 2.53 ERA is the best of the bunch. Bid with confidence!
Harvey took the league by storm in 2013 with one of the best seasons in the league, but the rug was pulled out from under him and everyone else when he missed the final month of that season and eventually underwent Tommy John surgery. That ended up costing him the 2014 season, but the timing is such that he will now be 16 months from surgery on Opening Day which puts him in line to be at least in the rotation by then if not starting that very first game. It is tough to know what to expect considering he last threw a pitch that mattered on August 24th, 2013, but that doesn’t mean he will come cheaply at the draft table. The fantasy community has become much more comfortable with Tommy John recovery cases, especially at the elite end of the spectrum, so you should expect to see Harvey’s name off the board relatively early. The pitching landscape mitigates some of the risk because even if he flames out, there will likely be a host of useful arms to pop up in-season. Meanwhile, the upside is an unquestioned ace, even if his innings are managed a bit throughout the season.
Harvey established himself as one of the premier starting pitchers in baseball in 2013, while also making an All-Star Game start in his home park and getting a supermodel girlfriend, before it all came crashing down. After struggling in two of his last three starts, Harvey was diagnosed with a partially-torn UCL in his right elbow. After considering rehab and a throwing program, Harvey opted for Tommy John surgery, which was performed on Oct. 22. Harvey now faces a 12-to-18 month recovery period and will likely miss the entire 2014 season. Speculation is that his power slider, which he throws close to 90 mph, may have contributed to the injury, so it will be interesting to see if Harvey changes his arsenal when he returns for the 2015 campaign.
Whe the Mets' season went south after the All-Star break, Harvey came riding in on his white horse to give the Amazin' faithful something to look forward to every five days. Harvey lived up to his status as either the team's No. 1 or No. 1A prospect following his late-July call up, posting a 2.73 ERA with a 70:26 K:BB and 42 hits allowed in 59.1 innings. Harvey made significant strides with his fastball command in his final month in the minors to go with his major-league-ready curveball, which led to his promotion. That fastball command was a big reason for the strikeouts and his .275 BABIP. Harvey will open 2013 in the Mets' rotation, and the only downside of his 2012 season is that he no longer has rookie eligibility.
Harvey, selected seventh overall in 2010 out of North Carolina, blazed through High-A St. Lucie, posting a 92:24 K:BB in 76 innings with a 2.37 ERA. He didn't experience the same success at Double-A Binghamton, but got better as he went along, excelling over his last nine starts. Harvey's fastball sits in the low-to-mid 90s, topping out about 97 mph, along with a slider, occasional curveball and change-up he added at Double-A. The development of that curveball may ultimately decide Harvey's ceiling, though, for now, he is projected to be a No. 2 starter in the majors. If he is unable to find consistency with that pitch, look for him to end up as a closer.
Harvey, selected seventh overall last year out of UNC, signed too late to pitch for the Mets in 2010. Harvey's fastball sits in the low-to-mid 90s, topping out around 97 mph, along with a slider and curveball, though he is likely to develop and use that curveball as a professional as it looks to be a more dominant pitch. Harvey needs to work on adding a third pitch, likely a changeup, as well as improve his command and find a consistent release point. Harvey figures to start 2011 at High-A St. Lucie and if he masters the areas that he needs to work on, he could move quickly through the system.
More Fantasy News
Signing with Oakland
POakland Athletics  AAA
August 14, 2019
Harvey signed a minor-league deal with the Athletics on Wednesday, Jon Heyman of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cut loose by Angels
PFree Agent  AAA
July 21, 2019
The Angels requested unconditional release waivers on Harvey on Sunday.
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DFA'd by Angels
PLos Angeles Angels  AAA
July 19, 2019
Harvey was designated for assignment by Los Angeles on Friday.
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Gets wild in loss to Houston
PLos Angeles Angels  AAA
July 19, 2019
Harvey (3-5) suffered the loss against the Astros on Thursday, tossing six innings and giving up six runs on seven hits and five walks while striking out one.
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Strong in return
PLos Angeles Angels  AAA
July 13, 2019
Harvey (3-4) allowed one run on four hits and three walks in 5.2 innings. He earned the win and struck out three in a 9-2 win over the Mariners on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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