Matt Harvey
Matt Harvey
32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
2021 Fantasy Outlook
There was no outlook written for Matt Harvey in 2021. Check out the latest news below for more on his current fantasy value.
RANKSFrom Preseason
#599
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Orioles in February of 2021.
Rocked in return to New York
PBaltimore Orioles
May 12, 2021
Harvey (3-3) took the loss Wednesday against the Mets after surrendering seven runs on eight hits with four strikeouts and one walk over 4.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
The 31-year-old pitched against the Mets for the first time after spending most of his career with the team, and he was tagged for seven earned runs in his worst start of the year. Harvey has a 4.81 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 29:11 K:BB across 39.1 innings this season.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Matt Harvey generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Matt Harvey generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-1%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-36%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .294 233 33 23 60 16 2 9
Since 2019vs Right .297 273 45 22 73 12 2 13
2021vs Left .200 70 9 2 13 3 0 1
2021vs Right .313 105 20 9 30 6 2 2
2020vs Left .471 37 4 3 16 3 0 3
2020vs Right .423 28 6 2 11 1 0 3
2019vs Left .295 126 20 18 31 10 2 5
2019vs Right .258 140 19 11 32 5 0 8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-23%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-57%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 7.44 1.68 65.1 3 9 0 6.3 4.0 2.6
Since 2019Away 5.76 1.50 45.1 3 2 0 6.4 3.2 0.6
2021Home 3.20 1.17 19.2 1 2 0 7.3 2.7 1.4
2021Away 6.41 1.58 19.2 2 1 0 5.9 2.3 0.0
2020Home 11.05 2.73 7.1 0 3 0 7.4 3.7 6.1
2020Away 12.46 2.77 4.1 0 0 0 8.3 4.2 2.1
2019Home 8.92 1.75 38.1 2 4 0 5.6 4.7 2.6
2019Away 3.80 1.17 21.1 1 1 0 6.3 3.8 0.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Harvey compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.64
 
K/9
6.6
 
BB/9
2.5
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
93.1 mph
 
ERA
4.81
 
WHIP
1.37
 
BABIP
.328
 
GB/FB
1.50
 
Left On Base
58.2%
 
Exit Velocity
82.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.9%
 
Spin Rate
2143 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.5%
 
Swinging Strike
7.8%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Harvey's days as a worthwhile lottery ticket may be over. After yet another disappointing campaign, it's now been five years since he was an effective pitcher, with his four straight bad seasons now outnumbering the three strong years that opened his career. His 2019 campaign was his worst yet, leaving little reason to have any faith in a bounceback this season. After winning a spot in the Angels' rotation, he struggled to a 7.50 ERA in 10 starts before suffering a back injury in late May. Once healthy, he made just two more starts before the Angels decided they'd seen enough and released him. He eventually signed a minor-league deal with Oakland but was never promoted to the big-league roster. There's little reason to believe a pitcher with a 5.65 ERA over the last four years will get many opportunities this year in his age-31 season, even if that pitcher is Matt Harvey.
When Harvey made like Snake Plisken and escaped from New York, most analysts suggested that Cincinnati was the worst place for him to land. And given the ballpark, team context and general starting pitching woes, the consensus point of view made sense. But while it was a far cry from his "Dark Knight" peak days, Harvey stabilized with the Reds, posting a 4.50 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in 128 innings. The only drawback for the Reds was that they weren't able to flip Harvey for a prospect at the trade deadline, given his pending free agency. Before the trade, Harvey was averaging 92.5 mph on his fastball and sinker; after working with the Reds, that climbed to 94.7 mph. He'll need to maintain that sort of velocity with the Angels if he's to have any chance of returning to prominence.
Not long ago, Harvey was one of the most sought-after arms in fantasy baseball. After entering the league in 2012, he posted a gleaming 2.53 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 9.5 K/9 from 2012-15 despite missing the 2014 season to Tommy John surgery. However, 2016 saw Harvey take a turn for the worse, and his decline continued in 2017. A nagging shoulder injury limited him to just 19 appearances last season, marking the second straight year in which he pitched fewer than 100 innings. Batters hit a lofty .291 against Harvey as his fastball appeared completely flat, with his FIP reaching a career-high 6.37. Harvey didn't make things easier for himself with his control, or lack thereof, as he posted a dismal 10.4 percent walk rate. He figures to be in the rotation, but the honeymoon in fantasy is long over. Less volatile options can be found at his same price point.
The Dark Knight suffered through many dark nights in a disastrous half season that eventually resulted in thoracic outlet syndrome surgery. After a glimmer of hope in a five-start stretch (2.25 ERA in 32 innings), Harvey failed to finish four innings in back-to-back starts and was placed on the DL with shoulder soreness. Shortly thereafter, we learned that he had symptoms consistent with TOS -- including tingling fingers when pitching -- and would need the surgery. While he is expected to be ready for spring training, there haven't been many strong returns from the surgery in its relatively limited history. It's unknown how long the symptoms were there in his 92.2 innings, but he suffered through career-worst marks virtually across the board, including lost velocity on every one of his four pitches. News of the tingling being gone is certainly positive, but those looking to buy need to be diligent about paying attention to spring reports regarding his velocity and command. It would be prudent to look elsewhere without a substantial discount.
An insane spring training rocketed Harvey’s price into the top-15 starting pitchers and he rewarded those risk-takers with the 11th-best season at the position. Lingering effects of Tommy John surgery sprung up at times (including three starts of seven earned runs apiece), but he always rebounded quickly and outside of those few bumps, he was one of the half-dozen best pitchers in the game. The only difference skills-wise from 2013 was a small drop in strikeouts, but he remained great in that area and still has best-in-league upside during any given season. With the innings reins loosened, 300 strikeouts are a legitimate upside. He probably won’t reach it (Kershaw’s 301 was the first such season since 2002), but Harvey is that kind of pitcher. Harvey is one of four pitchers (Tim Lincecum, Roy Oswalt, and Sonny Gray) since 2000 to log 400+ IP with a 3.00 or lower ERA in his first three seasons, and his 2.53 ERA is the best of the bunch. Bid with confidence!
Harvey took the league by storm in 2013 with one of the best seasons in the league, but the rug was pulled out from under him and everyone else when he missed the final month of that season and eventually underwent Tommy John surgery. That ended up costing him the 2014 season, but the timing is such that he will now be 16 months from surgery on Opening Day which puts him in line to be at least in the rotation by then if not starting that very first game. It is tough to know what to expect considering he last threw a pitch that mattered on August 24th, 2013, but that doesn’t mean he will come cheaply at the draft table. The fantasy community has become much more comfortable with Tommy John recovery cases, especially at the elite end of the spectrum, so you should expect to see Harvey’s name off the board relatively early. The pitching landscape mitigates some of the risk because even if he flames out, there will likely be a host of useful arms to pop up in-season. Meanwhile, the upside is an unquestioned ace, even if his innings are managed a bit throughout the season.
Harvey established himself as one of the premier starting pitchers in baseball in 2013, while also making an All-Star Game start in his home park and getting a supermodel girlfriend, before it all came crashing down. After struggling in two of his last three starts, Harvey was diagnosed with a partially-torn UCL in his right elbow. After considering rehab and a throwing program, Harvey opted for Tommy John surgery, which was performed on Oct. 22. Harvey now faces a 12-to-18 month recovery period and will likely miss the entire 2014 season. Speculation is that his power slider, which he throws close to 90 mph, may have contributed to the injury, so it will be interesting to see if Harvey changes his arsenal when he returns for the 2015 campaign.
Whe the Mets' season went south after the All-Star break, Harvey came riding in on his white horse to give the Amazin' faithful something to look forward to every five days. Harvey lived up to his status as either the team's No. 1 or No. 1A prospect following his late-July call up, posting a 2.73 ERA with a 70:26 K:BB and 42 hits allowed in 59.1 innings. Harvey made significant strides with his fastball command in his final month in the minors to go with his major-league-ready curveball, which led to his promotion. That fastball command was a big reason for the strikeouts and his .275 BABIP. Harvey will open 2013 in the Mets' rotation, and the only downside of his 2012 season is that he no longer has rookie eligibility.
Harvey, selected seventh overall in 2010 out of North Carolina, blazed through High-A St. Lucie, posting a 92:24 K:BB in 76 innings with a 2.37 ERA. He didn't experience the same success at Double-A Binghamton, but got better as he went along, excelling over his last nine starts. Harvey's fastball sits in the low-to-mid 90s, topping out about 97 mph, along with a slider, occasional curveball and change-up he added at Double-A. The development of that curveball may ultimately decide Harvey's ceiling, though, for now, he is projected to be a No. 2 starter in the majors. If he is unable to find consistency with that pitch, look for him to end up as a closer.
Harvey, selected seventh overall last year out of UNC, signed too late to pitch for the Mets in 2010. Harvey's fastball sits in the low-to-mid 90s, topping out around 97 mph, along with a slider and curveball, though he is likely to develop and use that curveball as a professional as it looks to be a more dominant pitch. Harvey needs to work on adding a third pitch, likely a changeup, as well as improve his command and find a consistent release point. Harvey figures to start 2011 at High-A St. Lucie and if he masters the areas that he needs to work on, he could move quickly through the system.
More Fantasy News
Gives up four unearned runs in loss
PBaltimore Orioles
May 7, 2021
Harvey (3-2) allowed four unearned runs on four hits and a walk while striking out three in four innings to take the loss against the Red Sox on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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One out away from quality start
PBaltimore Orioles
May 2, 2021
Harvey (3-1) earned the win Saturday against the Athletics. He gave up two runs on four hits and three walks while fanning one across 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Quality start against Yankees
PBaltimore Orioles
April 26, 2021
Harvey (2-1) picked up the win Monday, allowing one run on three hits and three walks over six innings in a 4-2 victory over the Yankees. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up first win
PBaltimore Orioles
April 20, 2021
Harvey (1-1) earned the win Tuesday after holding the Marlins to three runs on eight hits and no walks while striking out four over five innings.
ANALYSIS
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Touched up late by Mariners
PBaltimore Orioles
April 15, 2021
Harvey allowed two earned runs on three hits while striking out three and walking one across 4.2 innings in the first game of Thursday's doubleheader against the Mariners. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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