Brett Cecil
Brett Cecil
33-Year-Old PitcherRP
St. Louis Cardinals
Out
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 3/1/2020
2019 Fantasy Outlook
A year after making 73 appearances for the Cardinals -- a career high and almost 20 more than he made in 2016 -- Cecil battled injuries and his performance fell off a cliff. He landed on the DL with a shoulder strain during the first week of the season and also battled left foot tendinitis while on the shelf. Cecil returned in mid-May but missed another stretch of time during the summer with right foot inflammation. The lefty's walk rate nearly tripled (to 15.9%) and his K-rate was cut almost in half as hitters simply did not chase his pitches out of the strike zone like they had in the past (26.7 O-Swing%, down from 37% in 2017). It was a bad year, but Cecil has a lengthy track record of success against left-handed bats (.240/.299/.373) and should get every chance to show that 2018 was an anomaly. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a four-year, $30.5 million contract with the Cardinals in November of 2016.
Moved to 40-man roster
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
November 1, 2019
Cecil (wrist) was placed on the Cardinals' 40-man roster Friday.
ANALYSIS
Cecil ended the year on the 60-day injured list due to a wrist injury, but now that the season has concluded, the club has moved him back to the 40-man roster.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-29%
BAA vs RHP
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
-5%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-39%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .331 182 28 18 53 13 1 5
Since 2017vs Right .236 252 57 23 53 11 1 7
2019vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .310 66 9 7 18 2 1 2
2018vs Right .296 91 10 18 21 4 1 3
2017vs Left .343 116 19 11 35 11 0 3
2017vs Right .208 161 47 5 32 7 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-19%
ERA at Home
2019
No Stats
2018
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-5%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.30 1.46 46.0 0 1 0 7.0 4.1 1.0
Since 2017Away 5.33 1.48 54.0 3 4 1 8.2 3.3 1.2
2019Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home 4.86 1.80 16.2 0 0 0 3.2 7.0 1.1
2018Away 9.00 2.13 16.0 1 1 0 7.3 6.8 1.7
2017Home 3.99 1.26 29.1 0 1 0 9.2 2.5 0.9
2017Away 3.79 1.21 38.0 2 3 1 8.5 1.9 0.9
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Brett Cecil
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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The lefty took the ball a career-high 73 times in 2017 and totaled 67.1 innings, his most since his days as a starter in Toronto. He's no longer the sub-3.00 ERA reliever he was a few years ago, but Cecil was still plenty effective last season with more than four strikeouts for every walk thanks to a 37.0 O-Swing percentage. Renewed faith in his changeup -- he more than doubled his changeup usage from any of the previous four seasons to 14.4 percent -- helped Cecil post career-best numbers against right-handers (.230 OBP, .331 SLG). Unfortunately, his performance against lefties declined dramatically, with his .392 wOBA allowed to lefty batters coming in more than 100 points higher than his career mark. He also saw fewer high-leverage opportunities later in the year after a rough stretch in August, so Cecil may be confined to the middle innings to open 2018.
Cecil tied the major league record for consecutive games without allowing an earned run (38) in the first week of 2016, carrying over from a strong 2015 season. However, things quickly went downhill as he went 0-5 with a 5.14 ERA and .339 BAA over 21 first-half appearances. The left-hander missed about six weeks with a torn lat, but showed improvement upon his return. He allowed just one run after Aug. 24 en route to a 3.18 ERA, .221 BAA and 33 strikeouts over 33 appearances (22.2 innings) post All-Star break. Cecil demonstrated great control throughout his turbulent campaign, posting a career-best 2.0 BB/9 while racking up an 11.0 K/9 -- marking the 29-year-old's fourth straight season of managing an 11-plus K/9. He'll have prominent role in the St. Louis bullpen after signing a a four-year, $30.5 million deal.
For long stretches of the 2015 season, Cecil was the best reliever in the Blue Jays bullpen. However, when he was pressed into the closer role, Cecil was particularly perilous. Starting the season as the team’s closer, he blew his first save opportunity — an ominous start for the first-time closer. At the end of April, he held a 5.14 ERA, but settled down in May, allowing just one earned run. When pressed into being the closer once again in June, he held a 9.00 ERA, allowing 10 earned runs across 10 innings of work. He finished the season with a 2.48 ERA and 70 strikeouts across 54.1 innings and thrived in the setup role. Cecil tore a muscle in his calf during the playoffs, but is expected to make a full recovery in time for the start of the season where he should be a nice piece in the back-half of the team’s bullpen.
A left-handed pitcher with stuff will get a long leash in the rotation. After 439 innings of a 4.77 ERA and 1.41 WHIP across 74 starts, the Jays finally decided that it just wasn’t going to work for Cecil. He still had plenty of talent, but it was becoming clear that it would only play in short bursts. And it has. Cecil has had back-to-back strong seasons out of the pen, including an All-Star bid in 2013. He was essentially better in 2014, but a 25% line-drive rate fueled a .344 BABIP, which resulted in a 1.37 WHIP. He weirdly flipped his platoon split as lefties managed a .714 OPS against him. Expect improvement there, and if his gains are legitimate, Cecil may keep the ninth-inning role after being named the Blue Jays' closer in March when Aaron Sanchez was shifted into the rotation.
After struggling as a starter in 2011 and 2012, Cecil reinvented himself as a highly effective reliever in 2013, finishing with a 2.82 ERA over 60.2 innings. The ERA was backed by strong rate numbers, as he posted a 10.4 K/9 and 3.4 BB/9 in his first season working strictly as a reliever. He shut down lefties to the tune of an ugly .186/.223/.235 line, while also holding his own against right-handers (.208/.341/.394). Cecil will likely have a setup or middle-relief role again 2014, while Sergio Santos is the best bet to close for the Jays if Casey Janssen falters.
There was cause for concern in 2011 when Cecil lost velocity on his fastball, averaging just 88.5 mph after checking in at 90.1 the previous year. His pitch speed increased across the board in 2012, but he induced fewer groundballs and subsequently, was more vulnerable to the long ball for the second consecutive season. As a lefty, he will likely be moved into the bullpen after the Jays rebuilt their rotation during the winter.
Splat. Cecil followed up his 15-win season of a year ago with an ugly 4-11 record and saw his ERA jump to 4.73 despite similar ratios to his 15-win season. His WHIP (1.326) was nearly identical, but his control (3.1 BB/9IP) and home-run rate (1.6 HR/9IP) both slipped just enough to produce some volatile outings. He didn't pick up a victory after July, losing seven of his last 10 starts, despite solid numbers after the All-Star break (1.215 WHIP, 4.37 ERA in 13 starts). He was a bit unlucky in the second half, which bloated his overall numbers, but life in the AL East isn't going to get any easier. He'll be counted on again to make 25-28 starts for the Jays, and while he'll most certainly improve on last year's effort there's enough here to still see some growing pains.
Cecil lost out in a battle for a rotation spot in spring training but was up with the Jays by the end of April and never looked back, notching 15 wins with a 4.22 ERA in 28 starts. He faded badly down the stretch (6.92 ERA, 1.962 WHIP despite a 4-0 record in five September starts) due to a knee injury and fatigue. Cecil went 10-3 against the beasts of the AL East (Tampa, New York and Boston) and posted a 1.84 ERA over 34 innings against the Yankees. If either trend reverses itself Cecil could be in store for a sharp decline. He'll be back as the team's third starter.
Cecil bounced around between Triple-A Las Vegas and Toronto, making 17 starts for the Jays with a 5.30 ERA and a 1.650 WHIP. He's always relied more on command and control rather than pure stuff, though he did have an above average K/9IP rate (6.7) with the Jays so he'll have his share of struggles, especially in the AL East. The Jays are counting on him to hold down a spot in the middle of their rotation.
Cecil has been advanced quickly, working his way up to make six starts at Triple-A Syracuse in just his second season. He went 6-2 with a 2.55 ERA and a nice 87:23 K:BB ratio in 77.2 innings at Double-A New Hampshire. It's hard to imagine he'd be ready for the majors with just 168 innings under his belt as a pro, but he'll likely have an outside chance to win a rotation spot this spring. He relies more on command than pure stuff so it will be interesting to see how he fares in a full season at Triple-A.
Cecil had a nice pro debut after being a supplemental pick in the June draft and signing quickly. In 49.2 innings, Cecil allowed just 36 hits, one home run, 11 walks and fanned 56 hitters. He doesn't throw very hard, topping out around 90 mph, so there's some concern that he'll turn into another Josh Banks given Toronto's lack of success in developing recent pitchers with less-than-stellar stuff. His performance at Double-A will tell us a lot.
More Fantasy News
Still limited to live BP sessions
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
August 21, 2019
Cecil (wrist) is still facing hitters in live batting practice sessions but remains without any type of timetable for return, Jenifer Langosch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Resumes facing hitters
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
July 23, 2019
Cecil (wrist) recently resumed facing hitters in live batting practice at the Cardinals' spring-training facility in Florida, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Nearing mound work
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
June 12, 2019
Cecil (wrist) said Wednesday that he expects to begin throwing 15-pitch, low-intensity bullpen sessions next week, Rick Hummel of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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Starting throwing program
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
May 17, 2019
Cecil (wrist) will begin a throwing program Monday, Dave Sessions of MLB.com reports.
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Getting key medical checkup
PSt. Louis Cardinals
Wrist
May 12, 2019
Cecil (wrist) has returned to St. Louis to meet with the doctor who performed his wrist surgery earlier this spring and could be cleared to resume throwing as soon as this week, Derrick Goold of the St. Louis Post-Dispatch reports.
ANALYSIS
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