Jordan Zimmermann
Jordan Zimmermann
32-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Coming off a career-worst campaign in 2017 (6.08 ERA and 1.55 WHIP), Zimmermann bounced back and put together his best season since joining the Tigers in 2016, although that's not saying much. The veteran right-hander improved both his strikeout and walk rates in 2018, resulting in the second-best K/BB (4.27) of his career and his best since 2014. Despite the improvement, a drop in fastball velocity (his average fastball in 2018 clocked in 1.9 mph below his career average) and a jump in Zimmermann's home-run rate, from 1.63 HR/9 in 2017 to 1.92 HR/9 in 2018, resulted in an unremarkable 4.52 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. The 32-year-old is still owed $50 million over the next two seasons, assuring him a spot in Detroit's starting rotation as long as he's healthy. Zimmermann underwent sports hernia surgery after the season, but he's expected to be ready for spring training. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a five-year, $110 million contract with the Tigers in November of 2015.
Takes another loss
PDetroit Tigers
April 19, 2019
Zimmermann (0-3) allowed five runs on six hits and four walks across 6.1 innings to take the loss Friday against the White Sox. He struck out four.
Zimmermann actually pitched decently through six innings, holding the White Sox to just two runs. However, he started the seventh with a walk and a single to get into trouble. The righty followed that with a strikeout, but another single scored two runs to make it 4-1 and chase ZImmermann from the game. The 32-year-old started the season with back-to-back gems, but he's now allowed four earned runs or more in his last three outings. Zimmermann will look to get back on track in his next start, which is scheduled for Wednesday against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .293 699 123 45 188 39 5 33
Since 2017vs Right .286 682 110 33 181 31 7 29
2019vs Left .273 49 9 5 12 4 0 3
2019vs Right .224 63 10 3 13 2 0 2
2018vs Left .261 290 57 18 70 12 3 15
2018vs Right .277 266 54 8 70 11 3 13
2017vs Left .322 360 57 22 106 23 2 15
2017vs Right .304 353 46 22 98 18 4 14
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 5.76 1.39 161.0 9 14 0 6.5 2.0 1.8
Since 2017Away 4.91 1.42 157.2 6 10 0 6.6 2.5 1.7
2019Home 7.59 1.50 10.2 0 2 0 6.8 5.1 3.4
2019Away 3.24 1.02 16.2 0 1 0 5.9 1.1 0.5
2018Home 4.54 1.21 73.1 4 5 0 7.5 1.5 1.8
2018Away 4.50 1.33 58.0 3 3 0 7.8 2.2 2.0
2017Home 6.66 1.53 77.0 5 7 0 5.6 2.0 1.5
2017Away 5.53 1.57 83.0 3 6 0 6.0 2.9 1.7
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Stat Review
How does Jordan Zimmermann compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
90.4 mph
Strand %
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jordan Zimmermann
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Subject to Change
2 days ago
Todd Zola's pitcher rankings have a lot of volatility this week thanks to rain, injuries and suspensions, while top-rated Carlos Carrasco looks to build off a strong outing.
DraftKings MLB: Friday Picks
3 days ago
White Sox pitcher Carlos Rodon faces a Tigers squad that has a woeful .064 ISO against lefties while striking out 23.1 percent of the time.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Double the Fun
9 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a number of solid two-start options, including Washington's Stephen Strasburg, who faces two the league's weakest lineups.
Collette Calls: Did New Pitches Make the Team?
11 days ago
Jason Collette surveys hurlers like Jordan Zimmermann who added pitches to their repertoires this spring to see if those new offerings made it to the regular season.
The Z Files: Third Time Is the Charm
11 days ago
Todd Zola looks at some early pitching performances that have forced him to reconsider his rest-of-season projections, including an impressive start for Luis Castillo.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Zimmermann's slight semblance of fantasy relevance took another hit in 2017, as the veteran hurler turned in a career-worst 6.08 ERA over 160 innings. His exorbitant ERA was the worst mark in the majors among starting pitchers who threw at least 150 innings. Three years removed from an All-Star campaign in which he posted a 2.66 ERA and 22.8 strikeout rate, Zimmermann looked like a shell of his former self this past season. Though he still had decent zip on his fastball (roughly 93 mph average velocity), the 31-year-old saw his strikeout rate fall to a career-low 14.5 percent and he was squared up for a career-worst 1.63 HR/9. Zimmermann is a rapidly declining asset but is still owed a hefty $74 million over the final three years of his contract. While he'll likely be counted upon to eat up innings in 2018 for the rebuilding Tigers, he can be left off your fantasy radar as it seems Zimmermann's best days are long behind him.
Zimmermann just suffered his worst season ever in 2016. The real question at this point is how much of it was injury-related and how much was a degradation of skills? His 3.66 ERA in 2015 might push you closer to degradation, but his strikeout and walk rates that year were completely in line with his 2011-13 seasons while his 2014 stands out as a career year. The one key change in 2015 was his career-worst home run rate (1.1 HR/9) and it was even a tick worse in 2016 at 1.2 HR/9. Neck and lat injuries might have been at play in the career-low 15 percent strikeout rate and the spike in walk rate to six percent, his highest since 2009. Zimmermann had a 3.24 ERA through 13 starts, before he allowed 11 earned runs in 9.2 innings in two starts before the neck injury and another 15 earned runs in 9.2 innings the rest of the way with a second DL stint mixed in. A healthy Zimmermann should yield something close to a 4.00 ERA in his age-30 campaign.
Zimmermann didn't exactly have the kind of season he hoped for heading into free agency. Although his fastball was down a tick, he still averaged 93 mph, and there was no other obvious sign of decreased effectiveness in his arsenal. Still, his ERA and FIP both soared by a run or more, his home run rate spiked to a career-high 1.07, and his K/9 rate tumbled back down into the sevens after a career-high 8.2 in 2014. If he's able to rebound, there's no reason to think he won't be a solid mid-rotation starter once again, but six years removed from Tommy John surgery, the clock could be ticking on his new elbow ligament, and the slight drop in velocity might be a harbinger of rough times ahead. The Tigers signed him to a five-year, $110 million contract in the offseason, however, confident in his ability to return to form and slot in behind Justin Verlander in their rotation.
Zimmermann has become the workhorse of the Nationals' staff, averaging 203 innings and 15 wins over the last three seasons while producing consistently very-good-to-excellent ratios. His K/9 rate even spiked up to a career-best 8.2, giving him more juice than expected in five-category leagues, and while Stephen Strasburg has the shinier pedigree and gaudier strikeout numbers, it's Zimmermann that opposing hitters seem to dread facing the most, an opinion backed up by his September no-hitter. Although he continues to toy around with a changeup, he relied even more heavily than usual on his mid-90s fastball and vicious slider last year, and with free agency looming, he'll have plenty of motivation to gun for his first 20-win campaign. Given his contract status, there's a chance he could get dealt before spring training, but there aren't many teams that can provide him with the offensive and defensive support that the Nats can, so a trade wouldn't likely improve his value. In all likelihood, Zimmermann will be leading the club back into the postseason hunt in 2015.
With Stephen Strasburg unable to buy a win and Gio Gonzalez taking a step back in 2013, it was Zimmermann who took his turn as the Nationals' staff ace and set career highs in innings, wins, total strikeouts and walk rate. Somewhat amazingly, all four of his pitches (fastball, slider, curveball and changeup) showed a positive run expectancy last year, which was the main engine of his success more than any one dominant pitch. He won't challenge the 200-strikeout mark, which keeps him from being an elite fantasy starter, but Zimmermann is solidifying his spot near the top of the next tier of pitchers.
The Nationals took the shackles off Zimmermann in 2012 and his numbers showed no regression, as his walk and strikeout rates were almost identical to the season before. He pounds the strike zone with plus stuff, and while that has not translated into elite numbers, he does not need to reach that level in a rotation that already features two aces in Stephen Strasburg and Gio Gonzalez. If Davey Johnson starts letting him go a little deeper into games his win total might pick up a bit, but otherwise expect more of the same from Zimmermann.
Zimmermann was the Nationals' most consistent starting pitcher during the 2011 season. He got stronger as the season progressed, something that is typical for pitchers on the mend from Tommy John surgery. He was shut down in September because he reached his innings limit. Zimmermann’s control was impeccable (1.73 BB/9IP) locating his fastball (93.3 mph), slider, curveball and occasional change-up. However, he was somewhat lucky concerning his HR/FB ratio (5.9 percent). His flyball tendencies should lead to more home runs next season, and a slightly higher ERA will likely follow.
Zimmermann's return from Tommy John surgery was a resounding success, as other than a spike in his HR/9IP rate his numbers were remarkably similar in seven 2010 starts to what he put up before getting hurt. In short, the surgery just put his career on pause for 12 months and didn't appear to set back his development, which is excellent news for a team trying to build around its young rotation. With Stephen Strasburg taking his own turn under the knife, Zimmermann will likely be the Nationals' No. 1 starter in 2011, which means you should expect solid numbers everywhere but in the wins category.
Zimmermann posted exceptional numbers for a rookie, even if his ERA didn't reflect it. Any kid who can strike out better than a batter an inning with a better than 3.0 K/BB ratio, and who isn't particularly flyball prone to boot, has a chance to be someone very special. Unfortunately, he won't get a chance to show how special until at least late 2010 thanks to Tommy John surgery, but assuming he eventually regains his form he'll pair up with Stephen Strasburg down the road to give the Nats a truly scary young pitching duo at the head of their rotation.
Zimmermann had no problem adjusting to full season ball in 2008, making it all the way up to Double-A and maintaining a strikeout-an-inning pace, while keeping the ball down in the strike zone and not walking too many batters. Given their recent history with their top pitching prospects you can expect Zimmermann to make his big league debut in 2009 but unlike previous hurlers like Ross Detwiler, Zimmermann might actually be ready to hold his own in the majors. He's got three quality pitches including a plus slider, and it's entirely possible that he'll head into spring training camp in 2010 as the Nationals de facto ace.
The second-round pick had a great 2007 debut in Rookie ball, displaying better-than-expected control to go along with a very good slider and two other quality pitches. He's a few years away from regular major league duty, but as the Nationals showed last year with Ross Detwiler, the organization isn't afraid to give its top prospects a late-season cup of coffee to let them know what's ahead of them. Assuming Zimmerman doesn't suffer a setback in his first exposure to full season ball, he could make his big league debut this September even if he's not ready for a regular spot until 2010.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up in Minnesota
PDetroit Tigers
April 14, 2019
Zimmermann (0-2) surrendered five runs on eight hits and a walk while striking out one over three innings and took the loss Sunday against the Twins.
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Strikes out four in loss
PDetroit Tigers
April 9, 2019
Zimmermann (0-1) took the loss Tuesday against the Indians, allowing five runs (four earned) on four hits and two walks across 4.1 innings. He struck out four.
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Strikes out six in no-decision
PDetroit Tigers
April 2, 2019
Zimmermann gave up one earned run over 6.2 innings in a no-decision against the Yankees on Tuesday, allowing six hits and one walk while striking out six as the Tigers won 3-1.
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Looks great in opener
PDetroit Tigers
March 28, 2019
Zimmermann pitched seven scoreless innings but didn't factor into the decision in Thursday's 10-inning win over the Blue Jays. He allowed just one hit and struck out four.
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Earns Opening Day nod
PDetroit Tigers
March 24, 2019
The Tigers announced Sunday that Zimmermann will be the team's Opening Day starter, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
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