A.J. Puk

A.J. Puk

28-Year-Old PitcherRP
Miami Marlins
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Puk finally faded the injury bug, setting personal marks in both innings (66.1) and games played (62) after moving to the bullpen. The 6-foot-7 southpaw struck out 76 batters via his 97 mph fastball, slider and occasional sinker, while maintaining mostly above-average Statcast metrics. The few areas of deficiency were barrel percentage (8.8%) and walk rate (8.2%), especially after Puk exhibited shaky control in the second half. However, Puk's ascension to high leverage was no surprise, especially given the wave of injuries to his bullpen mates. He compiled four wins, 20 holds (T-13th in AL) and four saves, three of which came within a two-week span right after the All-Star break. Puk has the upside to close full-time, but he'll open spring training in the competition for a rotation spot. He's primarily worked as a reliever since he underwent Tommy John surgery in 2017, so his outlook is murky at best if he sticks as a starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#401
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $736,000 contract with the Marlins in March of 2023.
Earns playoff-clinching win
PMiami Marlins
October 1, 2023
Puk (7-5) earned the win Saturday against the Pirates, allowing one run on three hits over two innings while striking out three. He did not issue any walks.
ANALYSIS
Puk entered the game in the bottom of the fourth and struck out two of the first four batters he faced to get through the inning. However, the lefty reliever got himself into trouble in the fifth after surrendering a leadoff double to Ke'Bryan Hayes to open the frame, which would lead to one run coming across for the Pirates. Fortunately for Puk, the Marlins' offense would come through with two runs in the bottom of the inning, helping him secure his seventh win of the season as Miami clinched only its fourth playoff berth in franchise history.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
16
Last 10 Games
18
Last 5 Games
21
How many pitches does A.J. Puk generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does A.J. Puk generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-25%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-18%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .181 190 65 8 31 2 0 6
Since 2021vs Right .265 398 105 34 94 20 1 12
2023vs Left .197 76 29 2 14 1 0 3
2023vs Right .261 166 49 11 40 9 0 7
2022vs Left .153 97 29 4 13 0 0 3
2022vs Right .252 184 47 19 40 11 1 4
2021vs Left .267 17 7 2 4 1 0 0
2021vs Right .326 48 9 4 14 0 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-53%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-58%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-40%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-65%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 5.11 1.38 68.2 6 6 11 11.8 3.1 2.0
Since 2021Away 2.39 1.06 67.2 5 5 8 10.6 2.4 0.4
2023Home 5.29 1.45 32.1 4 3 8 14.2 2.5 2.5
2023Away 2.22 0.82 24.1 3 2 7 10.0 1.5 0.4
2022Home 4.03 1.10 29.0 2 1 3 9.0 3.4 1.6
2022Away 2.41 1.18 37.1 2 2 1 11.3 2.9 0.5
2021Home 8.59 2.18 7.1 0 2 0 12.3 4.9 1.2
2021Away 3.00 1.33 6.0 0 1 0 9.0 3.0 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does A.J. Puk compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
6.00
 
K/9
12.4
 
BB/9
2.1
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
95.8 mph
 
ERA
3.97
 
WHIP
1.18
 
BABIP
.350
 
GB/FB
1.25
 
Left On Base
71.7%
 
Exit Velocity
82.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.6%
 
Spin Rate
2227 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.8%
 
Swinging Strike
15.2%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
Health issues and ineffectiveness have limited Puk to 24.2 big-league innings since he was drafted as the sixth overall pick in 2016. The southpaw didn't break camp with Oakland last season, but was promoted in April and made one appearance in long relief before suffering a strained left biceps that forced a trip to the injured list. He was not activated until late-May and was optioned to Triple-A after getting hit hard during his rehab. Puk has yet to start a game in the majors with just 22 relief appearances on his resume, so it's fair to start questioning whether a starting role is still in his future. Last year, he went three innings or more just four times in 41 appearances between the majors and minors. He also lost a few ticks on his fastball and slider compared to 2019 and both pitches were far less effective. However, Puk still has plenty of upside and is worth a late-round flier in deeper leagues.
Puk appeared poised for a spot in Oakland's starting rotation heading into 2020, but a shoulder issue that popped up in March and ultimately required surgery wiped out his season. It was a disappointing turn of events for the organization -- and for fantasy managers -- after the young southpaw flashed his limitless potential in a bullpen role at the tail end of the 2019 campaign. Despite coming off Tommy John surgery and being mostly limited to two pitch types during that stint, Puk registered a 27.7 K% and 13.9 SwStr% while allowing four earned runs over 11.1 innings. Of course, the pitches he relied upon -- a blazing fastball and wicked slider -- are his two best, but the expansion of his arsenal should only help him put away hitters. The good news is that Puk's shoulder surgery was relatively minor, and he should be ready for spring training. The tools are undeniable, but arm health remains a concern.
Puk successfully made it back from April 2018 Tommy John surgery, which in itself is no small feat. He threw 25.1 innings in the minors as the final step of his rehab before joining the big-league bullpen in late-August. The 6-foot-7 southpaw is still being groomed as a starter, but working out of the bullpen not only helped the big-league club secure a playoff spot, but it allowed the A's to carefully manage his workload. His 97-mph fourseam fastball and 90-mph slider can be truly dominant offerings. The extension he gets on his pitches is unfair from a southpaw. He only threw his 89-mph changeup 9.4% of the time, but it was also a very effective offering. His 10.6 BB% was not a surprising mark for a towering pitcher returning from TJS. If his command improves slightly, he has the stuff and size to be one of the game's best left-handed starters. He could log between 125-150 innings in the rotation in 2020.
The 6-foot-7 lefty was the talk of A's camp early last spring and appeared primed to spend most of the year in the big-league rotation. But then a ligament injury surfaced and the worst-case scenario was realized, with Dr. James Andrews recommending Tommy John surgery. Puk underwent the procedure April 10 and would seem to stand a good chance to make his big-league debut in 2019, though perhaps not until June or July. The scouting report on Puk: high-90s heat and a wipeout slider, both potential plus-plus offerings at maturity. He can also spin a curveball and change speeds with fringe-average command -- the total package here has clear frontline potential. The strikeout upside is through the roof and the Ks should make it easier to stomach some of the inevitable bumps in the road. Puk is not really in the mix for redraft leagues outside of draft-and-hold formats, but it's worth saving a chunk of FAAB for when he's ready.
Puk's 184 strikeouts ranked third in the minors last season, and he logged almost 20 fewer innings than the two pitchers ahead of him (Alec Hansen and Triston McKenzie). The big 6-foot-7 lefty, who was the first college pitcher to come off the board in 2016, dominated hitters while splitting time evenly at High-A and Double-A. His upper-90s fastball and wipeout slider both have the potential to be 70-grade offerings by the time he reaches the majors. His command and control were seen as fringe average when he was coming out of the University of Florida, and while he has made strides, Puk still struggles at times to locate his pitches, as do most young pitchers. His changeup and curveball are not in the same class as his fastball and slider, which is why he can struggle the third time through the lineup. His 2.35 FIP at Double-A was the worst mark of his career, and he has given up just three home runs in 157.2 innings, so he may not get a true challenge until he reaches the big leagues, perhaps as early as this summer.
Puk has everything the scouts look for in a pitching prospect: tremendous raw stuff with tons of projectability on a big frame. It doesn't hurt that he's a southpaw. Indeed, Puk was rumored to be in the mix to go No. 1 overall in June but ended up falling to the A's with the sixth pick. His initial run in short-season ball was impressive, with his 3.31 BB/9 rate representing perhaps the most encouraging stat as a lack of command and control was his biggest knock coming out of the University of Florida. Of course, given his age and level, we won't truly know if he has made significant strides in that department until he receives a couple promotions. His fastball was sitting in the mid-90s and continues to grade as a borderline plus-plus pitch, while his slider and changeup will both need to jump a grade for him to profile atop a rotation. Turning 22 in April, Puk likely will receive a full-season assignment early on in 2017, and it would not be a surprise if the A's took an aggressive, sink-or-swim approach to his development in the coming seasons.
More Fantasy News
Collects first hold
PMiami Marlins
August 28, 2023
Puk walked one and struck out two in a scoreless seventh inning Sunday to record his first hold of the season in a win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Locks down 16th save
PMiami Marlins
July 29, 2023
Puk picked up the save in Friday's 6-5 victory over the Tigers, allowing one run on two hits while striking out three over one inning. He didn't record a walk.
ANALYSIS
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Blows another save
PMiami Marlins
July 24, 2023
Puk blew the save in Sunday's 3-2 win over the Rockies. He allowed one run on two hits and one walk while striking out two over two-thirds of an inning.
ANALYSIS
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Remaining closer for now
PMiami Marlins
July 21, 2023
Marlins manager Skip Schumaker said Friday that Puk will remain the team's closer for the time being, Craig Mish of the Miami Herald reports.
ANALYSIS
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Serves up walk-off homer
PMiami Marlins
July 18, 2023
Puk (4-4) was charged with the loss Tuesday against the Cardinals after he gave up three runs (two earned) on one hit and one walk over two-thirds of an inning.
ANALYSIS
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