Alek Manoah

Alek Manoah

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Toronto Blue Jays
Out
Injury Arm
Est. Return 2/1/2024
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Manoah had a fantastic sophomore season embracing the role of staff ace and performing like one for those fantasy managers who took the leap of faith with the big guy. The strikeout rate was not as strong as hoped, but he cut down on his walks and was once again one of the toughest pitchers in the league to hit. The slider was once again his bread and butter pitch, but he can still overpower hitters with the fastball and the changeup took a very nice step forward in 2022 becoming more of a weapon against lefties than it was in his rookie season gaining some whiffiness along the way. He has never had a season at any level where he has worked anywhere near the volume he worked in 2022, but his physique could insulate him from the regression we have seen from other younger arms who have gone through similar workload spikes in their mid 20s. Quite honestly, that is the only risk here because all the arrows point in a positive direction for him this coming season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#68
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $745,650 contract with the Blue Jays in March of 2023.
Receives injections in pitching arm
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
September 21, 2023
Manoah has officially been ruled out for the season after receiving multiple injections in his right arm in recent weeks, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
Blue Jays team doctors have found no structural damage in Manoah's pitching arm, but the hurler has continued meeting with additional specialists over the last month. The goal with those visits, per Nicholson-Smith, is to rule out elbow and shoulder problems as well as thoracic outlet syndrome. The injections were given in order to reduce inflammation and soreness. Manoah hasn't thrown off a mound in several weeks, and it's not clear when he might be able to again. Regardless, he's not going to make it back before the end of this season, which officially closes the book on what has been a nightmarish campaign for the 25-year-old righty.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
89
How many pitches does Alek Manoah generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Alek Manoah generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-32%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .244 904 193 103 191 33 3 28
Since 2021vs Right .182 754 193 45 123 27 0 15
2023vs Left .274 230 42 35 52 11 2 9
2023vs Right .263 183 37 22 41 6 0 6
2022vs Left .237 440 83 40 93 16 1 11
2022vs Right .159 346 97 11 51 14 0 5
2021vs Left .228 234 68 28 46 6 0 8
2021vs Right .156 225 59 12 31 7 0 4
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-47%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-14%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-43%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.48 1.16 186.1 12 9 0 8.4 3.5 1.0
Since 2021Away 3.18 1.18 209.1 16 9 0 9.2 3.3 0.9
2023Home 8.15 2.29 35.1 0 5 0 7.9 8.4 2.3
2023Away 4.33 1.37 52.0 3 4 0 8.3 4.5 1.0
2022Home 2.42 0.92 96.2 7 4 0 8.0 2.1 0.7
2022Away 2.07 1.06 100.0 9 3 0 8.5 2.5 0.7
2021Home 2.32 0.85 54.1 5 0 0 9.3 2.8 0.7
2021Away 4.08 1.24 57.1 4 2 0 11.1 3.6 1.3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Alek Manoah compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.34
 
K/9
8.1
 
BB/9
6.1
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
92.8 mph
 
ERA
5.87
 
WHIP
1.74
 
BABIP
.318
 
GB/FB
1.04
 
Left On Base
69.5%
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.1%
 
Spin Rate
2214 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.4%
 
Swinging Strike
9.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Lance Lynn's physique doppleganger had an excellent rookie season, helping Toronto stay in the postseason race until the season's final day. His size and deception were tough for the league to pick up as he had greater than 30% Whiff rates on both his four-seamer and slider last season while the league hit .200 or worse against both offerings. The slider was particularly filthy with its ability to head toward home plate and seemingly change lanes like tourists driving on the interstate near Disney World out of nowhere. A slip on the dugout stairs leading to the IL and a five-game suspension for intentionally hitting Maikel Franco were the only blemishes on an otherwise stellar rookie resume. The next challenge for him is going to be working on the changeup to keep lefties at bay as lefty-laden lineups were more of a challenge while righties often walked back to the dugout in frustration.
Last season was supposed to be Manoah's breakout, but as with most prospects, the pandemic set a different course. After spring training got put on hold, he opened a gym in a Miami warehouse with his brother, where he worked on his strength and conditioning with regular games of catch mixed in. Manoah then headed to the Jays' alternate training site where he worked all summer on his changeup, among other things. At 6-foot-6, 270 pounds, Manoah has a CC Sabathia/Aaron Harang type of body that will generate skepticism from many, but so far it has not hindered his development. His mid-90s fastball (touches 98) and putaway slider remain, and he is now confident enough in his changeup to throw it to same-handed hitters in a full count. Without a full season to build up endurance, Manoah spent this offseason working on endurance and lower-body training. His breakout season may just be a year behind schedule.
Manoah arguably has the highest ceiling among the college pitchers selected in the 2019 draft, but there are a couple areas of concern. First, he did not demonstrate starter-level strike-throwing ability until his final year at West Virginia. Secondly, his 6-foot-6, 260-pound physique is matched by very few big-league starters -- CC Sabathia and Aaron Harang come to mind as having comparable bodies when they broke in as starting pitchers. That said, he has a plus mid-90s fastball with movement and a hard slider that could develop into a second plus pitch. Only his good traits were on display in a 17-inning debut in the Northwest League, where he logged a 39.7 K% and 7.4 BB%, but he never went more than four innings in an outing. He should be sent to Low-A or High-A for his first full season, where he will be tasked with getting more consistent with his slider, refining his changeup and honing his command.
More Fantasy News
Likely shut down for 2023
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
September 12, 2023
Manoah is unlikely to pitch again this season, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cleared of any health issues
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 24, 2023
Manoah has joined Triple-A Buffalo to be built back up after a wide range of medical tests cleared him of any major structural issues, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Next steps undetermined
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 19, 2023
Manoah has yet to pitch for Triple-A Buffalo since being demoted eight days ago, with the Blue Jays still working out when he'll return to the mound, Ben Nicholson-Smith of Sportsnet.ca reports.
ANALYSIS
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Optioned to Triple-A
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 11, 2023
Manoah was optioned to Triple-A Buffalo on Friday, Mitch Bannon of SI.com reports.
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Command issues in loss
PToronto Blue Jays  AAA
August 11, 2023
Manoah (3-9) took the loss Thursday, allowing four runs on four hits and three walks over four innings against Cleveland. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
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