2026 Stats
W-L
5-2
ERA
3.63
WHIP
1.07
K
40
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Ober's status as an anchor at the top of the rotation is in question after a subpar season. He began last season looking like his prior three years with a 3.48 ERA and 50:14 K:BB ratio in his first 62 innings. He then fell apart in June by giving up 30 ER and 14 HR in 30 IP in five starts (all losses). He may have been pitching hurt as he then missed July with a left hip impingement. He wasn't much better when he returned with a 4.80 ERA in his final ten starts. Ober had a sharp decline in velocity to a 90.3 mph average fastball from 91.8 mph in 2024. His strikeout rate tanked to 19.2% from 26.9% in 2024 as a result. His home runs allowed also increased to 1.85/9 from 1.37/9 in 2024. Ober doesn't have overpowering stuff, but it's offset by his outstanding control (5.0% BB%) and superb change-up (.262 wOBA allowed). If healthy this spring and showing an uptick in velocity, he could have a bounceback season. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $3.55 million contract with the Twins in January of 2025.
Secures fifth win
Ober (5-2) allowed three runs on six hits and two walks while striking out one over five innings to earn the win over the Brewers on Sunday.
Analysis
Ober wasn't nearly as dominant as in his last start, which was a complete-game shutout versus the Marlins on Tuesday. He threw 46 of 77 pitches for strikes and was tagged for home runs by Garrett Mitchell and Christian Yelich, accounting for two of the three runs on the right-hander's line. Ober has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last six outings, but he wasn't quite as sharp against a tough opponent. He's at a 3.63 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 40:17 K:BB through 57 innings over 10 starts this season. Ober's next start is projected to be on the road in Boston.
Ober wasn't nearly as dominant as in his last start, which was a complete-game shutout versus the Marlins on Tuesday. He threw 46 of 77 pitches for strikes and was tagged for home runs by Garrett Mitchell and Christian Yelich, accounting for two of the three runs on the right-hander's line. Ober has allowed two runs or fewer in four of his last six outings, but he wasn't quite as sharp against a tough opponent. He's at a 3.63 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 40:17 K:BB through 57 innings over 10 starts this season. Ober's next start is projected to be on the road in Boston.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
85
Last 10 Games
85
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Bailey Ober generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Bailey Ober generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2026
-18%
BAA vs LHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .225 | 157 | 39 | 163 | 35 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .243 | 194 | 52 | 176 | 29 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .187 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 6 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .229 | 24 | 9 | 24 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .274 | 54 | 16 | 85 | 17 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .275 | 66 | 15 | 74 | 13 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .190 | 87 | 15 | 58 | 12 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .223 | 104 | 28 | 78 | 15 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-1%
ERA at Home
2026
-54%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 4.33 | 1.13 | 207.2 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.39 | 1.12 | 174.1 | 8.1 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2026Home | 2.79 | 1.02 | 42.0 | 7.1 | 2.6 | ||||
| 2026Away | 6.00 | 1.20 | 15.0 | 4.2 | 3.0 | ||||
| 2025Home | 5.12 | 1.20 | 82.2 | 7.6 | 2.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.09 | 1.43 | 63.2 | 7.1 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 4.34 | 1.11 | 83.0 | 10.0 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.67 | 0.91 | 95.2 | 9.3 | 1.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Bailey Ober compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.35K/9
6.3BB/9
2.7HR/9
1.1Fastball
88.6 mphERA
3.63WHIP
1.07BABIP
.235GB/FB
0.75Left On Base
72.3%Exit Velocity
81.7 mphBarrels/BBE
5.6%Spin Rate
2163 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
22.9%Swinging Strike
9.1%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2025
2024
2023
2022
Ober has become a key part of the Minnesota staff after a successful first full season in the rotation. Ober doesn't have an overpowering fastball (91.8 mph average), but it's offset by his outstanding control (6.1% BB%) and deadly change-up (.212 wOBA allowed). About his only knock is that he faded at the end of the season, like his entire team, with a 5.32 ERA in his last four starts. He's had back-to-back seasons of 144 innings or more (178.2 innings) after struggling with injuries earlier in his career. He looks set to be a dependable part of the Minnesota rotation.
More Fantasy News
Goes distance in dominant win
Ober (4-2) earned the win over Miami on Tuesday, allowing two hits and striking out seven batters without issuing a walk over nine scoreless innings.
Analysis
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Tagged with loss Wednesday
Ober (3-2) was tagged wth the loss Wednesday against the Nationals after allowing five runs on six hits and two walks across five innings. He struck out three.
Analysis
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Improves to 3-1
Ober (3-1) earned the win over Toronto on Thursday, allowing one run on four hits and two walks while striking out two batters over six innings.
Analysis
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Posts quality start in first loss
Ober (2-1) took the loss against the Rays on Saturday, allowing two runs on three hits and two walks with three strikeouts over six innings.
Analysis
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Strikes out 10 in no-decision
Ober did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 7-4 extra-inning loss to the Reds, allowing one unearned run on three hits and four walks with 10 strikeouts over 6.1 innings.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Piggyback role being considered
Ober could operate in a piggyback role with Dallas Keuchel once Joe Ryan returns from his groin injury, per Dan Hayes of The Athletic.
Analysis
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.
The Twins are weighing whether to move to a six-man rotation or use the piggyback strategy once Ryan is back, which could be as early as this weekend. Ober has certainly earned his spot in the rotation with a 3.41 ERA over 118.2 innings this year, but that workload -- plus 17.2 frames at Triple-A -- already represents a career high by nearly 30 innings. Minnesota will likely want to manage the right-hander's workload in some form during the final five-plus weeks of the regular season, though it remains to be seen exactly how the organization chooses to do so.