Bobby Miller

Bobby Miller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
15-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 6/19/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
There is no other way to say it; Miller is going to be one of the most highly sought after pitchers in fantasy baseball this season after his successful rookie debut. He won half his 22 starts at the big league level showcasing elite velocity as well as six different offerings - five of which had at least a 20% whiff rate attached to them. It is impossible not to be excited about Miller's fantasy future as long as his right arm avoids the surgeon's table after watching so many talented pitchers run into that unfortunate future in recent seasons and especially last season. The only area where Miller could stand to improve is generating more strikeouts as his current production is not limited by his stuff but more by the fact opposing batters do not chase his stuff out of the zone. Once he is able to get hitters into protect mode more frequently, the sky is the limit for him. Miller's upside is staff ace, but it is unlikely he will provide the same volume of other aces in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#76
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in March of 2024.
Returning Wednesday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 14, 2024
Manager Dave Roberts said Friday that Miller (shoulder) will return from the 15-day injured list and start Wednesday against the Rockies in Los Angeles, Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Right shoulder inflammation has kept Miller on the IL since mid-April, but he began a rehab assignment May 26. While he's put up a 7.80 ERA, 1.80 WHIP and 10:8 K:BB through 15 innings over four starts between Single-A Rancho Cucamonga and Triple-A Oklahoma City, he sported his usual velocity in most recent outing Thursday, touching 99 miles per hour with his fastball. Miller will be welcomed back to the big leagues with a matchup against a Rockies offense that currently ranks 17th in the majors with a .687 OPS, and he'll have the luxury of pitching at home rather than at hitter-friendly Coors Field.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2024 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2023 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
75
Last 10 Games
75
Last 5 Games
75
How many pitches does Bobby Miller generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bobby Miller generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-46%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-20%
BAA vs LHP
2022
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .200 288 76 25 52 10 3 6
Since 2022vs Right .258 267 61 13 64 13 0 8
2024vs Left .167 20 11 2 3 0 0 1
2024vs Right .308 30 7 4 8 1 0 1
2023vs Left .202 268 65 23 49 10 3 5
2023vs Right .252 237 54 9 56 12 0 7
2022vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-10%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-32%
ERA on Road
2022
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.12 1.03 63.1 6 3 0 9.0 2.3 1.0
Since 2022Away 3.72 1.22 72.2 6 2 0 9.2 2.7 0.9
2024Home 0.00 0.50 6.0 1 0 0 16.5 1.5 0.0
2024Away 11.12 2.47 5.2 0 1 0 11.1 7.9 3.2
2023Home 4.55 1.08 57.1 5 3 0 8.2 2.4 1.1
2023Away 3.09 1.12 67.0 6 1 0 9.0 2.3 0.7
2022Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bobby Miller compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.00
 
K/9
13.9
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
98.3 mph
 
ERA
5.40
 
WHIP
1.46
 
BABIP
.377
 
GB/FB
2.00
 
Left On Base
70.4%
 
Exit Velocity
80.9 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.2%
 
Spin Rate
2374 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
16.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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15 days ago
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Ride the wave
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 21, 2023
Miller owns a 1.15 ERA in his last three outings and is slated for a two-start week ahead.
ANALYSIS
Miller will likely face Boston and Cleveland in coming days. Boston ranks 18th in total home runs but third in team batting average, while Cleveland ranks last in all power metrics but strikes out the least of any team in baseball. Miller's 3.70 ERA aligns with his 3.73 xERA through 14 starts, symbolizing the reliability the 24-year-old brings to the table.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Miller's pure stuff and ability to miss bats has not been in question since he was drafted by the Dodgers at the end of the first round in 2020. Inconsistency has been an issue for most of his pro career, but he finished 2022 with his best run to date. From July on, the 6-foot-5 righty logged a 3.56 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and an 82:16 K:BB in 55.2 innings across 11 starts between Double-A and Triple-A. Even in this impressive stretch, Miller failed to make it out of the third inning in three of his 11 starts and he struck out double-digit batters in four of 11 starts, so inconsistency remains. However, when he was on, he looked like a potential high-strikeout No. 2 starter whose power arsenal (fastball/slider/changeup) should make up for imperfect command and mechanics. The Dodgers have fifth starter candidates Ryan Pepiot and Michael Grove on the 40-man roster while the more exciting duo of Gavin Stone and Miller remain off the 40-man roster entering the year. This may not be a meritocracy right away, and the team could still trade for or sign another starter to further crowd the picture.
The No. 29 pick in the 2020 draft, Miller made his pro debut in 2021, logging 66.1 innings across High-A, Double-A and the Arizona Fall League. An oblique strain limited his innings, but his 7.2 BB% and 28.9 K% across his three stops were strong marks. He has good size at 6-foot-5, 220 pounds, and he can touch 100 mph with his mid-90s fastballs -- he throws both a four-seamer and a sinker. He throws three secondaries, all of which have above-average to plus potential. Miller was babied for most of the year, throwing less than four innings in 12 of his 17 pre-AFL starts. It might even be a stretch for Miller to get up over 100 innings in his age-23 season. There's a high ceiling to dream on, but there's also still plenty of risk that he doesn't make it as a true 160-plus inning starter.
The Dodgers have had success getting the most out of pitching prospects, and they have a lot to work with in Miller, the No. 29 overall pick in last year's draft. Despite a big frame (6-foot-5, 220 pounds) and a quality four-pitch repertoire, he carries some bullpen risk, as he had an 11.2 BB% in 2019 and a 9.7 BB% in four starts as a junior at Louisville. His mid-90s sinker touches 99 mph, but he might be better served emphasizing his fourseamer more in pro ball. He also has a plus slider that can touch the low-90s along with a changeup and curveball that have above-average potential. He has an unusual delivery and worked as a reliever for parts of his first two campaigns, only logging 20 starts across two-plus seasons. All of his shortcomings are potentially correctable, and the quality and depth of his arsenal suggests he could develop into a No. 2 starter if he can improve his command.
More Fantasy News
Works 4.2 innings
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 13, 2024
Miller (shoulder) allowed five earned runs on six hits and three walks while striking out four across 4.2 innings in a rehab outing with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Geared up for another rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 11, 2024
Miller (shoulder) will make another rehab start with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Thursday, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could make another rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 10, 2024
The Dodgers may be leaning toward having Miller (shoulder) make another rehab start in the minors, per MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
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Goes four frames in rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 8, 2024
Miller (shoulder) tossed four-plus innings in a rehab start with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Friday, allowing two runs (one earned) on four hits and two walks while striking out two batters.
ANALYSIS
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Requires another rehab start
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Shoulder
June 2, 2024
Miller (shoulder) is scheduled for a rehab start Friday with Triple-A Oklahoma City after he allowed four runs on five hits and one walk over 3.1 innings Saturday for Single-A Rancho Cucamonga, Eric Stephen of SBNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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