Bryan Abreu

Bryan Abreu

27-Year-Old PitcherRP
Houston Astros
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Abreu passed up a few relievers in Houston's high-leverage hierarchy last season. Serving as the Astros' primary setup man in the eighth inning, Abreu established career highs across multiple categories in 2023, including games played (72), innings (72.0), saves (five) and holds (24). The 26-year-old posted elite ratios and was one of five relievers last season to record 100-plus strikeouts, hitting that mark right on the nose after throwing far more sliders (58.7% usage). The right-hander's upper-90s fastball was also more effective (.165 BA, 37.3% whiff), supplementing his slider as a secondary strikeout pitch. Abreu was looking like Houston's future closer, and he could still end up in the ninth, though he's been pushed back down the ladder for the time being with the addition of Josh Hader. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#455
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.75 million contract with the Astros in January of 2024.
Steps into setup role
PHouston Astros
May 10, 2024
Abreu threw a scoreless eighth inning while allowing one hit and striking out three to record a hold Friday against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
Ryan Pressly (back) hasn't pitched since May 3, leaving Abreu as Houston's primary setup man. He blew the lead in his first opportunity in the role Sunday, but he performed well in Friday's appearance to tally his sixth hold of the season. Since allowing six earned runs across his first 5.2 innings of the campaign, Abreu has allowed only five earned runs across his last 15.2 frames.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
18
Last 10 Games
16
Last 5 Games
16
How many pitches does Bryan Abreu generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryan Abreu generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-14%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-65%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-8%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-16%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .214 324 106 41 58 9 0 6
Since 2022vs Right .183 322 119 29 53 10 0 7
2024vs Left .348 58 14 9 16 2 0 3
2024vs Right .122 54 23 4 6 1 0 2
2023vs Left .185 144 50 20 22 5 0 3
2023vs Right .171 142 50 11 22 4 0 3
2022vs Left .189 122 42 12 20 2 0 0
2022vs Right .225 126 46 14 25 5 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-52%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-7%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-48%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-74%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 1.40 1.10 83.1 3 2 1 11.8 4.0 0.8
Since 2022Away 2.89 1.19 74.2 5 1 6 14.0 4.0 0.7
2024Home 3.38 1.43 13.1 1 1 0 10.8 5.4 2.0
2024Away 3.65 1.30 12.1 0 0 0 15.3 3.6 1.5
2023Home 1.21 0.91 37.1 1 1 0 11.8 2.9 1.0
2023Away 2.34 1.18 34.2 2 1 5 13.2 4.9 0.5
2022Home 0.83 1.19 32.2 1 0 1 12.1 4.7 0.0
2022Away 3.25 1.16 27.2 3 0 1 14.3 2.9 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Bryan Abreu compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.85
 
K/9
13.0
 
BB/9
4.6
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
96.5 mph
 
ERA
3.51
 
WHIP
1.36
 
BABIP
.325
 
GB/FB
0.95
 
Left On Base
89.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.3%
 
Spin Rate
2575 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.4%
 
Swinging Strike
14.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Weighing appeal
PHouston Astros
October 22, 2023
According to Bryan Hoch of MLB.com, Abreu and the Astros are discussing whether or not to appeal his two-game suspension ahead of Game 6 of the ALCS against the Rangers on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
He received the two-game ban for throwing at Adolis Garcia in Game 5 of the ALCS, and the right-hander has until the start of Game 6 to decide whether or not to appeal. Abreu has been a key piece out of the bullpen for Houston with 11 strikeouts and just one run allowed across 6.1 frames in the playoffs.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
Abreu graduated from middle relief to high leverage as an important part of the Astros' late-inning bridge to closer Ryan Pressly. The fourth-year pro tallied a career-high 60.1 innings across 55 appearances, of which 17 were multi-inning stints. Walks (3.9 BB/9) were still an issue, but Abreu's 13.1 K/9 was 7th-best among qualified relievers thanks to a devastating slider that produced 63 of his 88 strikeouts. Abreu's fastball wasn't as effective, but he added a tick-and-a-half of velocity on average (97.2 mph) and approached triple-digits during the World Series. He also generated plenty of whiffs (98th percentile) while limiting hard contact with elite barrel (95th%) and hard hit (89th) percentages. Despite the breakout season, Abreu is unlikely to see many save chances in 2023 with Rafael Montero and Hector Neris likely ahead of him in the hierarchy. He's still worth a look in deeper formats for strikeouts and ratio support.
Abreu broke summer camp with the Astros as a middle reliever, but persistent control issues limited him to four appearances before he was demoted to the alternate training site. Expected to serve in a multi-inning capacity, Abreu only logged 3.1 frames, walking seven with only three punchouts. Abreu has a live arm but can't throw strikes consistently with any of his four pitches. Small-sample disclaimers apply, but his best pitch last season was his slider which Abreu thew for strikes at only a 53% clip. He only garnered strikes at a 20% rate on his curve, 23.1% on his fastball and 38.5% with his sinker. While these would improve with more than 3.1 innings thrown, those numbers are representative of the work Abreu needs to do to become an effective major-league pitcher. Fortunately for Abreu, Houston is adept at refining repertoires to maximize efficiency.
Abreu entered 2019 having never pitched above Low-A. He ended it in the Astros' bullpen. The 22-year-old righty made seven relief appearances, allowing just one run in 8.2 innings while striking out 13 batters. Results were considerably more mixed in 91.1 innings in the minors, where he primarily worked as a starter. His 31.8 K% at those levels was promising, though it came with a 13.6 BB%. His breaking ball, which is thrown at the speed of a slider (86 mph) but has the shape of a curveball, grades out as a 70-grade pitch, making it one of the best breaking balls on the planet. He threw it 65.1% of the time in the majors. He has a mid-90s fastball, but his seldom-thrown changeup is just a show-me pitch, which coupled with his command woes, points to a future in the bullpen. Houston may continue to develop him as a starter, but whenever they pull the plug, he could be a lights-out late-inning reliever.
More Fantasy News
Not available Monday
PHouston Astros
April 1, 2024
Astros manager Joe Espada announced that Abreu will not be available for Monday's game against the Blue Jays, Chandler Rome of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Serves two-game suspension
PHouston Astros
March 30, 2024
The Astros activated Abreu from the restricted list Saturday, per MLB's transaction log.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on restricted list
PHouston Astros
Suspension
March 28, 2024
The Astros placed Abreu on the restricted list Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Settles at $1.75 million
PHouston Astros
January 11, 2024
The Astros and Abreu avoided arbitration by agreeing to a one-year, $1.75 million contract Thursday, Ari Alexander of KPRC 2 Houston reports.
ANALYSIS
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To serve two-game ban in 2024
PHouston Astros
October 23, 2023
MLB announced Monday that Abreu's two-game suspension for throwing at the Rangers' Adolis Garcia in last Friday's Game 5 of the ALCS was upheld following an appeal, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports. Abreu will serve the suspension for the first two games of the 2024 regular season.
ANALYSIS
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