Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2024 Fantasy Outlook
A fifth-round pick in the 2020 MLB Draft out of the University of Texas, Elder rocketed through Atlanta's minor-league system and made his big-league debut in April of 2022 at the ripe age of 22. He's enjoyed a good amount of success so far at baseball's highest level, carrying a 3.66 ERA through his first 228.2 innings of work with Atlanta, but the now 24-year-old right-hander probably won't be overly popular in fantasy drafts this spring because of his low strikeout rate. Leaning heavily on cutters, sinkers and sliders, Elder likes to put batters away by inducing soft contact as opposed to the more elite fantasy starters who rack up punchouts. He should be a solid source of ERA help and wins with a locked-in rotation spot for the reigning NL East champions, but don't count on a sudden change in approach. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#481
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with Atlanta in March of 2024.
San Diego-Atlanta postponed
PAtlanta Braves
May 18, 2024
Elder and Atlanta will not play Saturday after the game versus the Padres was postponed due to inclement weather.
ANALYSIS
The teams will make up the game as part of a doubleheader Monday. Elder will now start Sunday instead, with Atlanta's scheduled starter for that day, Reynaldo Lopez, moving to Monday.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
84
Last 10 Games
84
Last 5 Games
84
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2024
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .256 549 76 52 124 28 2 16
Since 2022vs Right .246 522 118 45 115 19 1 11
2024vs Left .386 66 6 7 22 3 0 3
2024vs Right .302 47 13 4 13 2 0 1
2023vs Left .241 380 55 36 81 18 2 10
2023vs Right .248 351 73 27 79 14 1 9
2022vs Left .231 103 15 9 21 7 0 3
2022vs Right .215 124 32 14 23 3 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-18%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-49%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-11%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.55 1.30 131.2 9 3 0 7.0 3.5 1.0
Since 2022Away 4.33 1.37 120.2 6 7 0 6.9 3.4 0.9
2024Home 4.80 1.87 15.0 1 1 0 5.4 4.2 0.6
2024Away 9.35 2.08 8.2 0 1 0 10.4 4.2 3.1
2023Home 3.61 1.23 94.2 7 1 0 6.9 3.2 1.1
2023Away 4.05 1.34 80.0 5 3 0 6.2 3.3 0.8
2022Home 2.45 1.23 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
2022Away 3.66 1.25 32.0 1 3 0 7.6 3.7 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.73
 
K/9
7.2
 
BB/9
4.2
 
HR/9
1.5
 
Fastball
89.9 mph
 
ERA
6.46
 
WHIP
1.94
 
BABIP
.394
 
GB/FB
1.86
 
Left On Base
69.3%
 
Exit Velocity
82.6 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.5%
 
Spin Rate
2117 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
29.1%
 
Swinging Strike
8.8%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Elder See More
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Could start Game 3
PAtlanta Braves
October 10, 2023
Elder is an option to start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Phillies on Wednesday, per Mark Bowman of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander is on schedule to pitch Wednesday after throwing in an intrasquad game last Thursday, and he remains a candidate to take the mound. However, Elder surrendered 13 earned runs across his final three starts of the regular season, which could prompt Atlanta to go in a different direction. AJ Smith-Shawver is the other potential candidate to start or work in a bulk-relief role.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023.
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Sharp in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
May 13, 2024
Elder pitched well in Sunday's loss to the Mets but did not factor into the decision. He allowed two runs on seven hits and no walks while striking out six in 5.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Roughed up in first loss
PAtlanta Braves
May 5, 2024
Elder (1-1) was hit with the loss against the Dodgers on Saturday, allowing seven runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out four over 3.1 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Walks four in no-decision
PAtlanta Braves
April 28, 2024
Elder didn't factor into the decision Sunday, allowing two runs on four hits and four walks against the Guardians. He struck out two.
ANALYSIS
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To nab another start Sunday
PAtlanta Braves
April 25, 2024
Elder is slated to start Sunday's game against the Guardians in Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Victorious in season debut
PAtlanta Braves
April 22, 2024
Elder (1-0) earned the win Monday against the Marlins, allowing eight hits and no walks over 6.2 shutout innings. He struck out four.
ANALYSIS
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