Bryce Elder

Bryce Elder

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Atlanta Braves
2023 Fantasy Outlook
This is an endgame pick that should please the Elder Gods. While Elder does not light up the radar gun with overpowering stuff -- he clocks in around 90-91 mph -- the right-hander does a good job of keeping the ball on the ground with his sinking fastball. He allowed just a single homer on the sinker last season (369 thrown). The slider, cutter and changeup complement the primary pitch, giving Elder a diverse repertoire that projects well in the Atlanta starting rotation. His 10.1 K-BB% from his rookie season does little to excite, but the team context and a groundball rate pushing 50% give Elder streaming appeal in a wide variety of leagues. He threw his cutter almost exclusively against left-handed batters last season. While the cutter was effective for him, it's not a big swing-and-miss pitch, so the slider and changeup will have to do the heavy lifting if he's to take a step forward with the strikeouts in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#555
ADP
$Signed an $847,500 contract with the Braves in June of 2020.
Sent to Triple-A
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 14, 2023
Atlanta optioned Elder to Triple-A Gwinnett on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Both Elder and Ian Anderson were dismissed from the competition for a spot in the Opening Day rotation, leaving Jared Shuster and Dylan Dodd as the main candidates to begin the season as Atlanta's No. 5 starter. Elder turned in a 3.17 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 47;23 K:BB across 54 innings over his 10 appearances (nine starts) with the big club in 2022.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
87
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
97
How many pitches does Bryce Elder generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Bryce Elder generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .231 103 15 9 21 7 0 3
Since 2020vs Right .215 124 32 14 23 3 0 1
2022vs Left .231 103 15 9 21 7 0 3
2022vs Right .215 124 32 14 23 3 0 1
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-33%
ERA at Home
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 2.45 1.23 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
Since 2020Away 3.66 1.25 32.0 1 3 0 7.6 3.7 0.6
2022Home 2.45 1.23 22.0 1 1 0 8.2 4.1 0.8
2022Away 3.66 1.25 32.0 1 3 0 7.6 3.7 0.6
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Bryce Elder compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.04
 
K/9
7.8
 
BB/9
3.8
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
90.8 mph
 
ERA
3.17
 
WHIP
1.24
 
BABIP
.275
 
GB/FB
1.70
 
Left On Base
78.2%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
5.4%
 
Spin Rate
2129 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
22.7%
 
Swinging Strike
10.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Bryce Elder See More
Spring Training Job Battles: National League
24 days ago
Erik Halterman covers every NL job up for grabs during spring training, including the shortstop job in Atlanta where Vaughn Grissom likely will battle it out with Orlando Arcia.
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Elder is a true starting pitcher all the way, with four pitches (sinker, cutter, changeup, slider) that he throws over 20% of the time. All of his pitches have excellent vertical movement, which helps make up for the fact that his sinker tops out in the low-90s. His changeup and slider are what he relies on for whiffs, but he is also willing to pitch to contact, having logged groundball rates over 50% in the minors. Elder was thrust into action as Atlanta's sixth starter early this season. If he is able to command his pitches and limit hard contact, he could be up for most of the season, but it is conceivable he could be sent to Triple-A for more seasoning, given that he only made seven starts there in 2021.
More Fantasy News
Making bid for rotation spot
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 4, 2023
Elder gave up one hit and struck out three over three scoreless innings in Friday's Grapefruit League game against the Astros.
ANALYSIS
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To make second start Friday
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
March 2, 2023
Elder is scheduled to make his second Grapefruit League start Friday against the Astros, Justin Toscano of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans five in Monday's loss
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
October 4, 2022
Elder (2-4) took the loss Monday, giving up four runs on six hits and a walk over five innings as Atlanta fell 4-0 to the Marlins. He struck out five.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts out Nats
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 27, 2022
Elder (2-3) allowed six hits and a walk while striking out six in a complete game shutout of the Nationals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs another start
PAtlanta Braves  AAA
September 26, 2022
Elder is scheduled to start Monday's game in Washington.
ANALYSIS
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