2026 Stats
W-L
1-1
ERA
3.31
WHIP
1.29
K
18
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
Burns made quick work of his very first full-season assignment in 2025, earning a promotion from High-A to Double-A after three starts and ultimately jumping three levels in 11 weeks, debuting June 24 against the Yankees. He debuted less than a full calendar year after being drafted by the Reds as the No. 2 overall pick out of Wake Forest. The right-hander more than held his own in his first outing but then managed to record just one out against the Red Sox in his second career start. Showcasing elite fastball velocity and a big swing-and-miss slider (43.7 Whiff%), Burns recorded double-digit strikeouts four times in the span of five starts from July 11 to Aug. 8 before landing on the injured list with a right elbow flexor strain. Upon his return in September, Burns worked exclusively out of the bullpen, totaling nine innings across five relief appearances. He made another appearance out of the bullpen in the wild-card round. After a full offseason of rest, Burns is expected to re-enter the Cincinnati rotation in 2026. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in March of 2026.
Gives up five runs in loss
Burns (1-1) was tagged with the loss Friday against the Angels after allowing five runs on seven hits and four walks while striking out two through 5.1 innings.
Analysis
Burns was coming off a quality start on the road against the Rangers last time out, but he didn't have his best stuff in this one. He tossed only 57 of his 92 pitches for strikes and also gave up two homers -- a two-run shot to Zach Neto and a solo homer to Josh Lowe. Burns had allowed just one earned run through 11 innings in his previous two starts, so some regression was inevitable. He'll hope to bounce back in his next scheduled start against the Giants at home next week.
Burns was coming off a quality start on the road against the Rangers last time out, but he didn't have his best stuff in this one. He tossed only 57 of his 92 pitches for strikes and also gave up two homers -- a two-run shot to Zach Neto and a solo homer to Josh Lowe. Burns had allowed just one earned run through 11 innings in his previous two starts, so some regression was inevitable. He'll hope to bounce back in his next scheduled start against the Giants at home next week.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
86
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Chase Burns generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Chase Burns generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-23%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-74%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .252 | 43 | 15 | 27 | 5 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .194 | 40 | 5 | 20 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .227 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .059 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .259 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 4 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .221 | 33 | 4 | 19 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-30%
ERA at Home
2026
-100%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 3.12 | 1.04 | 26.0 | 14.2 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 4.45 | 1.41 | 28.1 | 13.3 | 4.1 | ||||
| 2026Home | 0.00 | 0.80 | 5.0 | 12.6 | 5.4 | ||||
| 2026Away | 1.50 | 1.00 | 6.0 | 13.5 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.86 | 1.10 | 21.0 | 14.6 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2025Away | 5.24 | 1.52 | 22.1 | 13.3 | 4.8 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Chase Burns compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.25K/9
9.9BB/9
4.4HR/9
1.7Fastball
98.6 mphERA
3.31WHIP
1.29BABIP
.263GB/FB
1.00Left On Base
89.3%Exit Velocity
82.9 mphBarrels/BBE
2.3%Spin Rate
2538 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.2%Swinging Strike
20.6%Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Dominant in no-decision
Burns did not factor into the decision in Sunday's 2-1 win over the Rangers, allowing one run on five hits and one walk with nine strikeouts over six innings.
Analysis
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Dazzles in season debut
Burns (1-0) earned the win Monday against the Pirates, allowing no runs on one hit and three walks in five innings. He struck out seven.
Analysis
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Will pitch fourth game
Burns is scheduled to start the fourth game of the regular season, March 30, against the Pirates, Rich Rovito of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Makes his first Opening Day roster
Burns was told by the Reds that he has made the Opening Day roster, Gordon Wittenmyer of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
Analysis
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Not yet locked in for Opening Day
The Reds could elect to hold Burns off the Opening Day roster to ensure he has enough time to ramp up to a starter's workload, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
Analysis
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