Chase Burns

Chase Burns

22-Year-Old PitcherSP
Cincinnati Reds
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Burns was touching triple digits as an amateur but made it to campus at Tennessee and eventually transferred to Wake Forest for his junior season before the Reds selected him second overall in 2024. He logged a 7.7 percent walk rate as a junior, which is a mark in line with a typical premium college starting pitching prospect, and his elite 48.8 percent strikeout rate just barely edged out Hagen Smith, whom the White Sox selected fifth overall. Burns hasn't had any notable arm injuries or surgeries, which is a bit surprising given how long he's been throwing this hard. In addition to his fairly straight upper-90s fastball (touches 102 mph), Burns has a monster upper-80s slider that is one of the best pitches in the class. His curveball is also a plus pitch, and his seldom-used changeup will flash plus. There's a chance big-league hitters are able to tag his fastball more often than its velocity would portend, but there are no obvious concerns here beyond the fact that pitchers who throw this hard often need Tommy John surgery early in their careers. He didn't pitch in official games after signing and should spend the bulk of 2025 in the upper levels of the minors. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#385
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Reds in June of 2025.
Records just one out
PCincinnati Reds
June 30, 2025
Burns (0-1) took the loss after throwing just 0.1 innings, allowing seven runs (five earned) on five hits and two walks, during Monday's 13-6 loss to the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
Burns had a tough go of things during his second career start. In a bit of reversal from his first outing, in which he struck out five of the first batters he faced, the rookie right-hander got tagged for seven runs in the first inning, and he lasted just 33 pitches and one out before his evening came to a close. With Hunter Greene (groin/back) still on the shelf, the 22-year-old is likely to stick and make at least one more start, but will need to have a short memory with the NL East-leading Phillies looming next.
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Pitching Stats
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2025
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
57
Last 10 Games
57
Last 5 Games
57
How many pitches does Chase Burns generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Chase Burns generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2025
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2023vs Left .353 18 5 1 6 1 0 1
Since 2023vs Right .455 12 3 1 5 1 1 1
2025vs Left .353 18 5 1 6 1 0 1
2025vs Right .455 12 3 1 5 1 1 1
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
 
 
-96%
ERA at Home
2025
 
 
-96%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2023Home 5.40 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 14.4 0.0 1.8
Since 2023Away 135.00 21.00 .333333 0 1 0 0.0 54.0 27.0
2025Home 5.40 1.20 5.0 0 0 0 14.4 0.0 1.8
2025Away 135.00 21.00 .333333 0 1 0 0.0 54.0 27.0
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Chase Burns compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
0.00
 
K/9
14.4
 
BB/9
0.0
 
HR/9
1.8
 
Fastball
98.2 mph
 
ERA
5.40
 
WHIP
1.20
 
BABIP
.450
 
GB/FB
0.40
 
Left On Base
65.2%
 
Exit Velocity
0.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
0.0%
 
Spin Rate
0 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
0.0%
 
Swinging Strike
13.6%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Chase Burns See More
MLB DFS Pitcher & Team Stacks Guide for Monday, June 30
Yesterday
Ryan Pohle dives into team stacks and pitchers for Monday's MLB slate, featuring Boston's Garrett Crochet in a matchup against the Reds.
Top MLB Player Prop Bets for Monday, June 30
Yesterday
Check out Mike Barner's best plays on today's MLB slate, including props on the highly anticipated Chase Burns start at Fenway vs. Garrett Crochet and the Red Sox
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
2 days ago
Read this column if you're looking for a player providing guaranteed starts at second base.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week
3 days ago
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More Fantasy News
Awarded another start
PCincinnati Reds
June 28, 2025
Burns is slated to make his next start for the Reds on Monday against the Red Sox at Fenway Park.
ANALYSIS
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Promising results in MLB debut
PCincinnati Reds
June 24, 2025
Burns took a no-decision Tuesday against the Yankees, giving up three runs on six hits and no walks in five innings. He struck out eight.
ANALYSIS
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Called up, will start Tuesday
PCincinnati Reds
June 24, 2025
Cincinnati selected Burns' contract from Triple-A Louisville on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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Slated to make major-league debut
PCincinnati Reds
June 21, 2025
Burns is expected to be called up from Triple-A Louisville to start Tuesday against the Yankees in Cincinnati, C. Trent Rosecrans of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dominant in second Triple-A start
PCincinnati Reds
June 19, 2025
Burns struck out seven over seven innings while allowing one run on three hits and zero walks Wednesday for Triple-A Louisville.
ANALYSIS
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