CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

22-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Abrams, the No. 6 overall pick in 2019, was traded from San Diego to Washington in the blockbuster Juan Soto deal. His numbers down the stretch with the Nationals were mostly underwhelming, although he stole six bases in 44 games following the trade, showcasing the speed that made him a top prospect in both real-life and fantasy circles. At 22 years old, Abrams is still mostly projection with the bat. He showed that there is some thump in there during his time at Triple-A El Paso last season, smacking seven homers with a .507 SLG in 30 games with the affiliate, but he didn't look particularly close to putting it together at the big-league level. The Nationals will be patient with Abrams as they embrace a long-term rebuild. Can he hit enough at this stage to allow the speed to play? Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#243
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Nationals in March of 2023.
Swipes two bags Sunday
SSWashington Nationals
October 1, 2023
Abrams went 2-for-6 with an RBI, a run and two steals in Sunday's 10-9 win over Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
Abrams finished off 2023 with back-to-back multi-hit efforts and cemented his name in the franchise record books. His eighth-inning steal brought him up 47 for the year which broke the single-season record for the Nationals. He finishes the year hitting .244/.299/.413 with 18 homers, 64 RBI, 83 runs and a 32:118 BB:K in 614 plate appearances. Abrams was one of four players this season to hit at least 15 home runs and steal at least 45 bases, joining Ronald Acuna, Corbin Carroll and Bobby Witt.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2023 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
52
1
3
38
12
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
19
1
1
21
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+63%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+54%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+81%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .466 261 26 3 24 10 .163 .220 .246
Since 2021vs Right .759 655 90 17 61 44 .278 .322 .437
2023vs Left .511 169 19 3 18 8 .166 .240 .272
2023vs Right .786 445 64 15 46 39 .274 .322 .464
2022vs Left .387 92 7 0 6 2 .157 .185 .202
2022vs Right .702 210 26 2 15 5 .287 .322 .379
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
2021
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .695 453 58 10 43 26 .247 .303 .392
Since 2021Away .656 463 58 10 42 28 .244 .283 .373
2023Home .764 298 42 9 34 23 .258 .326 .438
2023Away .663 316 41 9 30 24 .233 .275 .389
2022Home .568 155 16 1 9 3 .226 .260 .308
2022Away .642 147 17 1 12 4 .268 .301 .341
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does CJ Abrams compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.27
 
BB Rate
5.2%
 
K Rate
19.2%
 
BABIP
.279
 
ISO
.167
 
AVG
.245
 
OBP
.300
 
SLG
.412
 
OPS
.712
 
wOBA
.311
 
Exit Velocity
87.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
29.5%
 
Barrels/PA
5.0%
 
Expected BA
.247
 
Expected SLG
.399
 
Sprint Speed
24.1 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
43.7%
 
Line Drive %
18.2%
 
Fly Ball %
38.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring CJ Abrams See More
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3 days ago
Erik Halterman looks at the best and worst players by round for earned auction value rankings, including Freddie Freeman, who from a pure "spots gained" perspective, was the best pick of Round 1.
Farm Futures: Prospect Mailbag
4 days ago
James Anderson uses dozens of subscriber questions to preview next week's final 2023 update to the top 400 prospect rankings, in which Twins phenom Walker Jenkins will ascend into the top 10.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
Abrams, one of the fastest players in the minors, was performing as expected at Double-A before suffering a fractured left tibia and a sprained MCL in early July. Any kind of prospect ranking method that incorporates hard-hit data is going to be much lower on Abrams, as he had a 15.7 Hard% in 183 PA before suffering the season-ending injury. However, he was one of the youngest players at Double-A and was still 12% better than league average. He is a career .343 hitter in the minors with a 14.4 K%, so his hit tool is way ahead of his power. His 80-grade speed has led to 28 steals in 76 games, and if he reaches his ceiling, Abrams has a chance to be a similar fantasy producer to Trea Turner. That upside is extremely alluring, but there is no denying the fact that he needs to make significant strides as a power hitter to be more than a slappy leadoff type. He has been gradually adding muscle to his 6-foot-2 frame, and this will be a big year for the 21-year-old speedster to show he is still heading in the right direction. With a strong start to the year, he could be in position to be the No. 1 prospect for fantasy following some graduations this summer. Expecting him to reach San Diego in 2022 is probably unrealistic, but shortstop, center field and second base are all potential landing spots in 2023.
In a normal year, Abrams would have spent the bulk of his age-19 season at High-A, but instead he spent the summer at the alternate training site. His top areas of improvement were his defense at shortstop, thanks to lots of hands-on work with the organization's best infield instructors, and added strength that has upped his long-term power potential. He still has a lean, 6-foot-2 frame reminiscent of Byron Buxton, but his forearms and biceps are stronger. Given that frame, it's difficult to envision him slowing down anytime soon, so 30-steal potential should be there for the foreseeable future. With burgeoning power, game-changing speed and a career .393 AVG and 14:11 K:BB in 34 pro games, there's really no cap on Abrams' fantasy upside. He probably won't debut at his natural position, but he is a special enough talent that the Padres should find a spot for him when he is ready, likely in early 2022.
The same six hitters were at the top of most team's draft boards in June, and while Abrams was the last of the six to get drafted (sixth overall), he had the most impressive statistical debut. An athletic prep shortstop with plus-plus speed, Abrams' bat-to-ball ability was on full display in the AZL. He logged a 9.0 K% and had as many steals (14) as strikeouts in 32 games. Abrams won the AZL's batting title and MVP award and his 189 wRC+ was the league's second-best mark. His hit tool and speed were as advertised, but he exceeded expectations in the power department (.261 ISO) and should grow into more thump as he fills out his 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame. The plan was for him to spend the final month at Low-A, but a shoulder injury cut his season short just days after receiving that promotion. Some evaluators think he will eventually move to center field, but there are no real fantasy-relevant concerns.
More Fantasy News
Drives in three, swipes bag
SSWashington Nationals
September 22, 2023
Abrams went 2-for-4 with a walk, a double, three RBI, a run scored and a steal in Friday's 9-6 loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Two doubles, two RBI in win
SSWashington Nationals
September 21, 2023
Abrams went 2-for-3 with two doubles, two RBI and two runs scored in Wednesday's 13-3 win over the White Sox. He also drew two walks.
ANALYSIS
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First career two-homer game
SSWashington Nationals
September 11, 2023
Abrams went 2-for-4 with two home runs, three RBI and two runs scored in Monday's 6-2 victory over the Pirates.
ANALYSIS
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Returns after one-game absence
SSWashington Nationals
September 11, 2023
Abrams (knee) will start at shortstop and bat leadoff Monday versus the Pirates in his return to the lineup, Bobby Blanco of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Managing knee issue
SSWashington Nationals
Knee
September 10, 2023
Abrams is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Dodgers due to a knee injury, though manager Dave Martinez said the shortstop should be available off the bench, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.comreports.
ANALYSIS
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