CJ Abrams

CJ Abrams

21-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2022 Fantasy Outlook
Abrams, one of the fastest players in the minors, was performing as expected at Double-A before suffering a fractured left tibia and a sprained MCL in early July. Any kind of prospect ranking method that incorporates hard-hit data is going to be much lower on Abrams, as he had a 15.7 Hard% in 183 PA before suffering the season-ending injury. However, he was one of the youngest players at Double-A and was still 12% better than league average. He is a career .343 hitter in the minors with a 14.4 K%, so his hit tool is way ahead of his power. His 80-grade speed has led to 28 steals in 76 games, and if he reaches his ceiling, Abrams has a chance to be a similar fantasy producer to Trea Turner. That upside is extremely alluring, but there is no denying the fact that he needs to make significant strides as a power hitter to be more than a slappy leadoff type. He has been gradually adding muscle to his 6-foot-2 frame, and this will be a big year for the 21-year-old speedster to show he is still heading in the right direction. With a strong start to the year, he could be in position to be the No. 1 prospect for fantasy following some graduations this summer. Expecting him to reach San Diego in 2022 is probably unrealistic, but shortstop, center field and second base are all potential landing spots in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#487
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Padres in April of 2022. Traded to the Nationals in August of 2022.
Nabs sixth steal
SSWashington Nationals
September 28, 2022
Abrams went 0-for-4 with a run scored and a stolen base in Tuesday's 8-2 loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
The 21-year-old is beginning to flash his speed, swiping three bags in the last three games to give him six steals on the season. Abrams is slashing .289/.298/.398 through 84 plate appearances in September with five doubles, two triples, six RBI and 12 runs as he solidifies his spot as the Nationals' shortstop of the future.
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Batting Stats
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2022
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
10
7
13
20
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
4
5
9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+75%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+75%
OPS vs RHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .391 86 7 0 6 2 .157 .186 .205
Since 2020vs Right .685 190 24 2 14 4 .274 .314 .371
2022vs Left .391 86 7 0 6 2 .157 .186 .205
2022vs Right .685 190 24 2 14 4 .274 .314 .371
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+23%
OPS on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .529 134 14 1 8 3 .200 .241 .288
Since 2020Away .651 142 17 1 12 3 .271 .305 .346
2022Home .529 134 14 1 8 3 .200 .241 .288
2022Away .651 142 17 1 12 3 .271 .305 .346
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does CJ Abrams compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.11
 
BB Rate
1.8%
 
K Rate
16.7%
 
BABIP
.278
 
ISO
.081
 
AVG
.236
 
OBP
.274
 
SLG
.318
 
OPS
.592
 
wOBA
.264
 
Exit Velocity
86.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
24.2%
 
Barrels/PA
1.8%
 
Expected BA
.244
 
Expected SLG
.322
 
Sprint Speed
24.8 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.6%
 
Line Drive %
19.0%
 
Fly Ball %
33.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
In a normal year, Abrams would have spent the bulk of his age-19 season at High-A, but instead he spent the summer at the alternate training site. His top areas of improvement were his defense at shortstop, thanks to lots of hands-on work with the organization's best infield instructors, and added strength that has upped his long-term power potential. He still has a lean, 6-foot-2 frame reminiscent of Byron Buxton, but his forearms and biceps are stronger. Given that frame, it's difficult to envision him slowing down anytime soon, so 30-steal potential should be there for the foreseeable future. With burgeoning power, game-changing speed and a career .393 AVG and 14:11 K:BB in 34 pro games, there's really no cap on Abrams' fantasy upside. He probably won't debut at his natural position, but he is a special enough talent that the Padres should find a spot for him when he is ready, likely in early 2022.
The same six hitters were at the top of most team's draft boards in June, and while Abrams was the last of the six to get drafted (sixth overall), he had the most impressive statistical debut. An athletic prep shortstop with plus-plus speed, Abrams' bat-to-ball ability was on full display in the AZL. He logged a 9.0 K% and had as many steals (14) as strikeouts in 32 games. Abrams won the AZL's batting title and MVP award and his 189 wRC+ was the league's second-best mark. His hit tool and speed were as advertised, but he exceeded expectations in the power department (.261 ISO) and should grow into more thump as he fills out his 6-foot-2, 185-pound frame. The plan was for him to spend the final month at Low-A, but a shoulder injury cut his season short just days after receiving that promotion. Some evaluators think he will eventually move to center field, but there are no real fantasy-relevant concerns.
More Fantasy News
Three hits, two steals Sunday
SSWashington Nationals
September 25, 2022
Abrams went 3-for-4 with a double, two runs scored, an RBI and two stolen bases in a 6-1 victory Sunday in Miami.
ANALYSIS
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Two hits, two runs Thursday
SSWashington Nationals
September 8, 2022
Abrams went 2-for-5 with a double, one RBI and two runs scored in Thursday's victory over the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting against southpaw
SSWashington Nationals
September 7, 2022
Abrams is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Collects four hits
SSWashington Nationals
September 5, 2022
Abrams went 4-for-5 with a triple and two runs scored in Monday's 6-0 win over St. Louis.
ANALYSIS
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Steps out of lineup
SSWashington Nationals
September 1, 2022
Abrams is not in the lineup for Thursday's game against the A's.
ANALYSIS
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