Dillon Tate

Dillon Tate

29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Baltimore Orioles
60-Day IL
Injury Forearm
Est. Return 9/22/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Tate was arguably Baltimore's most important reliever last season. With Tyler Wells shifting from the bullpen to the starting rotation, and the team trading away two relievers right before the season, Tate was a workhorse for the O's, pitching a career-high 73.2 innings across 67 appearances. His strikeout rate (20.5%) doesn't stand out, but he makes up for it with an upper-50s groundball percentage thanks to his league-best sinker as measured by Statcast run value (-21). Tate's changeup was excellent for the fourth year in a row and his slider supplanted his cutter as a secondary he could reliably count on. The 28-year-old added five saves and 16 holds in his setup role to compliment his rock-solid 3.05 ERA (3.47 FIP), 0.99 WHIP and career-best 5.5% walk rate. Some ratio regression is likely, but Tate should remain part of the bridge to Felix Bautista and pitch in a handful of ancillary saves in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#597
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.5 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2023.
Shut down from throwing
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
July 14, 2023
Tate was shut down from throwing Friday after receiving a second opinion on his forearm, Jacob Calvin Meyer of The Baltimore Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
Tate has been on the shelf all season with a right forearm strain, and his time on the injured list doesn't appear to be ending anytime soon. The 29-year-old righty has already embarked on two separate rehab assignments this season, and there's no telling when he'll begin his third.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-28%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .250 188 30 22 41 9 0 8
Since 2021vs Right .219 390 79 17 77 21 1 5
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .265 93 14 9 22 5 0 4
2022vs Right .190 199 46 7 35 11 0 2
2021vs Left .235 95 16 13 19 4 0 4
2021vs Right .250 191 33 10 42 10 1 3
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-11%
ERA on Road
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-13%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.89 1.20 74.0 3 3 4 7.3 3.0 0.9
Since 2021Away 3.48 1.01 67.1 1 7 4 6.5 1.9 0.8
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 3.26 1.01 38.2 3 2 2 8.4 2.1 0.5
2022Away 2.83 0.97 35.0 1 2 3 6.2 1.8 1.0
2021Home 4.58 1.42 35.1 0 1 2 6.1 4.1 1.3
2021Away 4.18 1.05 32.1 0 5 1 7.0 1.9 0.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2017
2016
Summer camp did not have stats but it did have injuries. Tate experienced forearm soreness in an intrasquad game in July, and while an MRI showed no structural damage, the injury cost him the first three-plus weeks of the season. A right finger sprain later forced Tate to the IL late in September, but in between he was quite good, posting a 3.24 ERA and a couple holds with only one HR allowed in 16.2 innings. The No. 4 overall pick by the Rangers in 2015, Tate has been traded twice and lost his shine a while ago, but his future as a major-league reliever looks a lot brighter than it did at this time last year. He continued with his sinker-heavy approach but showed more confidence in his slider last season and enjoyed great results with the pitch. Assuming he's healthy, Tate should compete for a setup role, and if he shows another level with the strikeout rate, he could challenge for saves.
Tate converted almost exclusively to relief in 2019, starting just three times after previously starting nearly all of his games. The transition appeared to work in the minors, as he cruised to a 3.25 ERA in 44.1 innings across the three highest levels of the Orioles' system, striking out 22.2% of opposing batters while walking 5.6%. He looked overmatched in his 21-inning big-league debut, posting a 6.43 ERA, though his peripherals weren't all that bad. His 21.5% strikeout rate and 9.7% walk rate weren't too much worse than league average and are numbers that could theoretically work for a middle reliever given his 59.3% groundball rate. He no longer appears to have a future as a starter, however, and he doesn't look likely to be near the top of the closer depth chart even in Baltimore.
Tate was selected with the fourth overall pick in the 2015 draft by the Rangers. The UC Santa Barbara standout didn't quite have the expected polish, though, and saw his velocity dip as a starter at Low-A to begin the 2016 campaign. Tate also battled a hamstring injury, limping to a 5.12 ERA in 65 innings. Opposing batters hit .311 against the 22-year-old righty, who was unable to strike out one batter per inning. His control was also suspect, as he walked 27 batters in those 65 innings. Tate was eventually dealt to the Yankees in the Carlos Beltran trade, where he finished the season in the bullpen with better success. Tate was a closer in college, and it remains to be seen if the Yankees will continue developing him as a starter. Regardless of his role, Tate's live arm still possesses plenty of upside. Still, he needs to improve his changeup as well as his command to remain a viable starting option.
The first pitcher selected in last year’s draft (fourth overall), Tate is a difficult player to evaluate at this point, as it is completely unclear if he will be able to make it as a starter. He has a plus-plus heater and a hard slider that could be an out pitch at the highest level -- essentially the tools to be a shutdown reliever. However, given the investment the Rangers made in the 6-foot-2 righty, he will be developed as a starter for now. Tate, 21, allowed one run while striking out eight and walking three in nine innings (six appearances) across short-season and Low-A last year, but it’s nearly impossible to draw anything from that, as they were one or two-inning appearances and the sample size is minuscule. If a third pitch comes along and Tate can show the ability to withstand a heavy workload, the Rangers could have a top-of-the-rotation starter, and if not, he has the realistic floor of an above-average big league closer.
More Fantasy News
Second opinion on elbow
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
June 30, 2023
Tate (forearm/elbow) is getting a second opinion Friday on his right elbow, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
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Restarting rehab Thursday
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
June 13, 2023
Tate (forearm/elbow) will restart a rehab assignment with Triple-A Norfolk on Thursday, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moves to 60-day IL
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
June 3, 2023
The Orioles transferred Tate (forearm) to the 60-day injured list Saturday.
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Has stress reaction in elbow
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
May 26, 2023
Tate (forearm) has been diagnosed with a stress reaction in his right elbow and will remain on the injured list, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
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Decision coming soon
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
May 25, 2023
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Thursday that a decision on Tate (forearm) is coming "sometime soon," Roch Kubatko of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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