Dustin May

Dustin May

26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/18/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
With his 2021 Tommy John surgery in the rearview mirror and a handful of starts near the end of 2022 in his back pocket to instill confidence, May looked primed for a breakout heading into last season. The fireballing right-hander began the campaign with a bang, tossing seven shutout innings in his first start, and through three games he posted a 1.47 ERA while holding opponents to a .115 batting average. May would pitch in only six more contests, however, as he left a start in mid-May with elbow pain and ultimately underwent both flexor tendon and UCL reconstruction revision surgery in his pitching arm. A typical timeline for recovery would allow May to get back the on mound around the 2024 All-Star break, though it wouldn't be surprising if Los Angeles is ultra-conservative with his return considering the hurler's recent injury history. General manager Brandon Gomes suggested as much in November, saying that the team won't push May's return and stopping short of committing to the 26-year-old pitching next season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#531
ADP
$Agreed to a one-year, $2.135 million contract with the Dodgers in January of 2024.
Goes on 60-day IL
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
February 8, 2024
The Dodgers placed May (elbow) on the 60-day injured list Thursday, Eric Stephen of SBNation.com reports.
ANALYSIS
May began a throwing program in January, but he isn't expected back until the second half of the season after he underwent surgery on his right flexor tendon and UCL in July. His roster spot will be filled by Ryan Brasier, who officially signed a two-year deal with Los Angeles on Thursday.
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Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
82
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
81
How many pitches does Dustin May generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dustin May generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-9%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-26%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .159 221 62 28 30 9 0 4
Since 2021vs Right .208 186 36 8 36 5 0 4
2023vs Left .165 106 22 14 15 6 0 1
2023vs Right .182 81 12 2 14 4 0 0
2022vs Left .148 66 17 9 8 1 0 1
2022vs Right .241 61 12 5 13 1 0 2
2021vs Left .159 49 23 5 7 2 0 2
2021vs Right .214 44 12 1 9 0 0 2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-45%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-38%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-68%
ERA on Road
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 4.17 1.17 49.2 2 2 0 8.7 3.1 0.7
Since 2021Away 2.28 0.86 51.1 5 3 0 8.8 3.3 0.7
2023Home 3.20 1.03 25.1 1 0 0 5.0 2.1 0.4
2023Away 1.99 0.84 22.2 3 1 0 7.9 4.0 0.0
2022Home 7.07 1.50 14.0 1 2 0 11.6 5.8 1.3
2022Away 2.25 0.88 16.0 1 1 0 6.2 2.8 0.6
2021Home 2.61 1.06 10.1 0 0 0 13.9 1.7 0.9
2021Away 2.84 0.87 12.2 1 1 0 13.5 2.8 2.1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dustin May compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.13
 
K/9
6.4
 
BB/9
3.0
 
HR/9
0.2
 
Fastball
97.0 mph
 
ERA
2.63
 
WHIP
0.94
 
BABIP
.216
 
GB/FB
1.43
 
Left On Base
71.1%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.1%
 
Spin Rate
2457 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
23.5%
 
Swinging Strike
6.7%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dustin May See More
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4 days ago
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5 days ago
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143 days ago
Erik Halterman gives his best bets from each MLB Divisional Series matchup. Can the Arizona Diamondbacks pull off the upset over the Los Angeles Dodgers?
Top 400 MLB Prospect Rankings Update
271 days ago
James Anderson answers dozens of questions about his updated top 400 prospect rankings, in which Orioles shortstop Jackson Holliday has ascended to the top spot.
MLB Barometer: If You Could Do It All Over Again
272 days ago
Erik Halterman breaks down the biggest movers from the Memorial Day Second Chance drafts, including unquestioned top pick Ronald Acuna Jr.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2019
2017
It took May 475 days to resume his major league pitching career after his Tommy John Surgery in May of 2021. He made six starts for the Dodgers and pitched about as well as any young arm recovering from a major surgery would. The velocity and movement were there as those two aspects are typically the first things to come back, but the command was not as he struggled to throw strikes and was more hittable than the guy we saw before he went down with his injury. Even with all the challenges, he still had three pitches with greater than a 30% whiff rate, so it really comes down to him getting more repetitions and rediscovering his command. His electric stuff is rarely straight, but he must be able to put it where it needs to go and not rely upon it getting there accidentally. The work on reshaping his slider toward the end of the season is worth watching as well. Drafting his full ceiling is risky given the fact he has never worked a full season at the major league level and has never eclipsed the 135 inning mark in any one season as a professional.
While May was used in a flexible role during the postseason, he was mostly a true starter during the regular season, starting 10 of his 12 games. Judging purely by his 2.57 ERA, it appears as though he's already delivering on his considerable hype, but his underlying numbers don't paint him in quite the same light, especially his 4.62 FIP. May's 54.7% groundball rate and 7.1 BB% were both strong, but his 19.6 K% wasn't very impressive. He wasn't a high strikeout guy in the minors, either, posting a 23.3 K% at the two highest levels. May's 8.4% swinging-strike rate came in a full three ticks below league average, so, despite his pedigree, don't expect him to suddenly start racking up whiffs any time soon. It's certainly possible to carve out a long and successful career with modest strikeout numbers, and May has the rest of the profile necessary to make that work, but it does put a cap on his ceiling.
May logged over five innings in four of his first five MLB appearances and then shifted to a bullpen role due to the Dodgers' impressive rotation depth. He is the best pitching prospect in a deep system, even though his strikeout rates don't stand out. His 44.4 GB% in the majors was easily his worst mark in pro ball, and generating weak contact will be critical if May is to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter. His repertoire is unusual, as his three best pitches (sinker, cutter, fourseam fastball) are all thrown at over 90 mph, while he has not had much success with his curveball, changeup or slider. That said, he turned 22 in September, so he is not a finished product, and no other MLB pitcher his age throws six distinct pitches with above-average command. There will be stiff competition for the Dodgers' final rotation spots. Even if May doesn't break camp in the rotation, he should still make double-digit starts.
If May can improve his secondary pitches, he would have No. 2 starter upside. Considering he is entering his age-21 season, we certainly can't rule out that possibility. A lean 6-foot-6, 180-pound righty, May has steadily increased his fastball velocity, and that pitch is now a mid-90s worm-killing monster (GB% around 55%), which gives his repertoire an excellent base. He has two decent secondary offerings in his curveball and cutter, but both pitches still need a good deal of refinement. His control was excellent (4.2 BB%) in 17 starts at High-A, and while that mark almost doubled after a promotion to Double-A (8.3 BB%), he comfortably projects to have at least 50-grade command/control in the majors. May should return to Double-A to start the year, but could spend most of 2019 at Triple-A. If he improves those two secondary offerings, his stock will skyrocket. If not, he could be a groundball-heavy No. 4 starter or power reliever.
A tall, lanky right-hander boasting an impressive mid-90s fastball with sink, May showed unexpectedly stellar command in 30.1 innings in the Arizona League following the 2016 draft. The teenager posted a 34:4 K:BB over that span, did not allow a single home run and ended up with a 3.86 ERA in his first taste of the minors. At 6-foot-6, there are some concerns about his ability to repeat his delivery, though May did not have any issues to begin his professional career. It is just as likely that May ends up in the bullpen, but for now he will remain a starter. The development of a third pitch will be key in his growth. The Dodgers could decide to be bullish on May and start him at Low-A Great Lakes to begin the 2017 campaign.
More Fantasy News
Begins throwing program
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
January 17, 2024
May (elbow) began a throwing program Wednesday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Avoids arbitration
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
January 11, 2024
May (elbow) agreed to a one-year, $2.135 million deal with the Dodgers on Thursday, avoiding arbitration, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out 12 months after surgery
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
July 19, 2023
May is expected to be sidelined 12 months after undergoing right flexor tendon and UCL reconstruction revision surgery Tuesday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out for season
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
July 4, 2023
May will undergo surgery July 18 to repair the flexor tendon in his right elbow.
ANALYSIS
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Not yet throwing
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Forearm
June 29, 2023
Manager Dave Roberts said Thursday that May (forearm) has not resumed throwing and is still rehabbing, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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