2024 Stats
W-L
14-6
ERA
2.91
WHIP
1.09
K
159
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible. Read Past Outlooks
Another strong outing
Valdez didn't factor into the decision Thursday against Oakland, allowing a run on five hits and a walk over 6.1 innings. He struck out six.
ANALYSIS
Valdez looked like he was on his way to a third-straight scoreless outing, as he blanked the A's through six innings. However, Oakland would eventually scratch a run across in the seventh before Brent Rooker tied the game 2-2 with a homer off Valdez in the eighth. While it was a tough finish, it was another excellent start overall for the left-hander, who's posted a 1.33 ERA over his last seven outings (47.1 innings). Valdez is 14-6 on the season with a 2.91 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 159:51 K:BB across 163.2 innings. He's currently scheduled to face the Padres on the road next week in his next outing.
Valdez looked like he was on his way to a third-straight scoreless outing, as he blanked the A's through six innings. However, Oakland would eventually scratch a run across in the seventh before Brent Rooker tied the game 2-2 with a homer off Valdez in the eighth. While it was a tough finish, it was another excellent start overall for the left-hander, who's posted a 1.33 ERA over his last seven outings (47.1 innings). Valdez is 14-6 on the season with a 2.91 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 159:51 K:BB across 163.2 innings. He's currently scheduled to face the Padres on the road next week in his next outing.
Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
97
Last 5 Games
95
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2024
-18%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022vs Left | .219 | 111 | 33 | 77 | 8 | |||
| Since 2022vs Right | .224 | 442 | 142 | 382 | 33 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .255 | 30 | 5 | 25 | 2 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .209 | 129 | 46 | 102 | 9 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 | |||
| 2022vs Left | .192 | 36 | 14 | 25 | 1 | |||
| 2022vs Right | .229 | 158 | 53 | 141 | 10 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
-2%
ERA on Road
2024
-33%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2022Home | 3.10 | 1.10 | 278.2 | 9.7 | 2.4 | ||||
| Since 2022Away | 3.04 | 1.15 | 284.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2024Home | 2.39 | 1.01 | 90.1 | 9.4 | 2.5 | ||||
| 2024Away | 3.56 | 1.19 | 73.1 | 8.0 | 3.2 | ||||
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 | ||||
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 | ||||
| 2022Home | 3.54 | 1.26 | 86.1 | 10.4 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2022Away | 2.27 | 1.08 | 115.0 | 7.4 | 2.9 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.12K/9
8.7BB/9
2.8HR/9
0.6Fastball
94.2 mphERA
2.91WHIP
1.09BABIP
.277GB/FB
3.61Left On Base
75.0%Exit Velocity
84.3 mphBarrels/BBE
3.2%Spin Rate
2280 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.4%Swinging Strike
11.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez was one of just eight hurlers to log at least 200 innings as his 201.1 frames was the fifth most in MLB. He fell six strikeouts short of 200, but as an extreme groundball pitcher, Valdez is more concerned about minimizing barrels which he did, landing in the 75th percentile. Valdez threw his sinker half the time, followed by a 90th percentile spin rate curve. He introduced a cutter (which some classified as a slider), throwing it 10% of the time with a solid 18% swinging strike rate. Further refinement of Valdez's repertoire could improve his 23.5% strikeout rate, but he's likely more focused on improving on last season's 8.1% walk rate. Valdez doesn't fan ample batters to be a fantasy ace, but his volume of innings keeps the raw total sufficient for the next tier. Valdez is a bit of a WHIP risk as grounders often inflate BABIP, but they also limit homers, hence keeping ERA in check.
More Fantasy News
Blanks Arizona for 14th win
Valdez (14-6) picked up the win in Friday's 8-0 rout of the Diamondbacks, allowing two hits and three walks over seven scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Dazzles in no-decision
Valdez came away with a no-decision in Friday's 3-2 win over the Royals, walking three batters over seven no-hit, scoreless innings. He struck out seven.
ANALYSIS
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Falters late in loss
Valdez (13-6) took the loss against the Orioles on Saturday, allowing three runs on six hits and one walk with eight strikeouts over 5.2 innings.
ANALYSIS
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Dominates in victory
Valdez (13-5) allowed three hits and a walk over seven shutout frames Sunday, striking out nine and picking up a win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Strikes out nine in win
Valdez (12-5) earned the win Monday, allowing one run on three hits and one walk over 5.2 innings against the Rays. He struck out nine.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Goes rogue in Anaheim
According to Matt Kawahara of the Houston Chronicle, Valdez shifted away from the game plan as he allowed a season-worst eight runs Monday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
The left-hander admitted his mistakes after the game, saying "I was the one that decided to go against the game plan," and added that he "had to deal with the consequences." Valdez had given up just two homers through his first six starts of the season, but the Halos took him deep three times Monday. Still, Valdez's groundball rate has rebounded to 65.3 percent this season after it was a career-low 54.2 percent in 2023.
The left-hander admitted his mistakes after the game, saying "I was the one that decided to go against the game plan," and added that he "had to deal with the consequences." Valdez had given up just two homers through his first six starts of the season, but the Halos took him deep three times Monday. Still, Valdez's groundball rate has rebounded to 65.3 percent this season after it was a career-low 54.2 percent in 2023.