Framber Valdez
31-Year-Old
Free Agent
2025 Stats
W-L
13-11
ERA
3.66
WHIP
1.24
K
187
SV
0
2026 Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Valdez is just one of fiave pitchers to work at least 900 innings over the past four baseball seasons joining Webb, Gausman, Berrios, and Wheeler. His 68 wins ranks 1st, his 3.20 ERA ranks 8th, his strikeouts 13th, his 1.17 WHIP 23rd of all pitchers with at least 600 innings pitched from 2021-2025. He allowed two or fewer earned runs in 18 of his 31 starts in 2025 with 11 of those including 0 or 1 earned runs in 6+ innings of work. He also threw in five outings with 10+ strikeouts. He is, however, not immune to occassional awful outing as he twice allowed seven earned runs without any homers allowed and had seven overall outings with at least five earned runs allowed. Only Webb and Fried have better HR/9 than Valdez has had over the past four seasons for the aforementioned qualification which helps Valdez avoid bigger troubles. If you are a believer in Saberhagenmetrics, Valdez does better in even years, but his overall consistency over the past four seasons is tough for any other pitcher to match. Valdez is not flashy, but he volumes his way to success like few others. Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $18 million contract with the Astros in January of 2025.
Handed qualifying offer
The Astros extended a one-year, $22.05 million qualifying offer to Valdez on Thursday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
Analysis
Valdez is expected to decline the offer and pursue a significantly larger deal as a free agent this offseason. Thursday's move ensures the Astros will receive a compensatory draft pick if Valdez does not return to Houston. He logged a 3.66 ERA and a 187:68 K:BB across 192 innings in 2025, and the soon-to-be 32-year-old has now thrown at least 175 innings in four consecutive campaigns.
Valdez is expected to decline the offer and pursue a significantly larger deal as a free agent this offseason. Thursday's move ensures the Astros will receive a compensatory draft pick if Valdez does not return to Houston. He logged a 3.66 ERA and a 187:68 K:BB across 192 innings in 2025, and the soon-to-be 32-year-old has now thrown at least 175 innings in four consecutive campaigns.
Pitching Stats
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2025 MLB Game Log
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
93
Last 10 Games
93
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Framber Valdez generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Framber Valdez generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-9%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .243 | 112 | 30 | 89 | 12 |
| Since 2023vs Right | .227 | 444 | 150 | 388 | 35 |
| 2025vs Left | .257 | 33 | 11 | 35 | 5 |
| 2025vs Right | .234 | 154 | 57 | 136 | 10 |
| 2024vs Left | .252 | 34 | 5 | 27 | 2 |
| 2024vs Right | .214 | 135 | 50 | 113 | 11 |
| 2023vs Left | .220 | 45 | 14 | 27 | 5 |
| 2023vs Right | .230 | 155 | 43 | 139 | 14 |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-28%
ERA at Home
2025
-45%
ERA at Home
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 2.83 | 1.08 | 292.1 | 9.5 | 2.4 |
| Since 2023Away | 3.91 | 1.24 | 274.0 | 8.2 | 3.3 |
| 2025Home | 2.58 | 1.16 | 94.1 | 9.7 | 3.1 |
| 2025Away | 4.70 | 1.33 | 97.2 | 7.8 | 3.3 |
| 2024Home | 2.53 | 1.05 | 96.0 | 9.2 | 2.5 |
| 2024Away | 3.36 | 1.17 | 80.1 | 8.0 | 3.1 |
| 2023Home | 3.35 | 1.05 | 102.0 | 9.4 | 1.8 |
| 2023Away | 3.56 | 1.21 | 96.0 | 8.7 | 3.5 |
Stat Review
How does Framber Valdez compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.75K/9
8.8BB/9
3.2HR/9
0.7Fastball
94.3 mphERA
3.66WHIP
1.24BABIP
.306GB/FB
2.98Left On Base
72.0%Exit Velocity
84.6 mphBarrels/BBE
4.5%Spin Rate
2304 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
31.1%Swinging Strike
11.6%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Valdez has worked the fifth-most innings of any starting pitcher over the past two seasons trailing only Alcantara, Cole, Webb, and Mikolas. The lefty has returned three consecutive seasons of double digit wins, strong ratios, and a voluminous strikeout total and even threw in a no-hitter this season against Cleveland. Valdez was 9-7 with a 3.07 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP after completing that no-hitter on August 1st but was just 3-4 with a 4.29 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP from then on, which does not even include his very disappointing postseason where he allowed 12 earned runs and lost all three of his starts. Valdez absolutely brings the volume you want from a high-draft pick/cost starting pitcher, but he lacks the elite velocity or K-BB% that fantasy managers like to see from foundational pitchers. His extreme groundball tendencies minmize some of that risk, and the run support in Houston continues to be plentiful. 2022 was his peak, but something between it and 2023 is very possible.
More Fantasy News
Fans 10 in quality start
Valdez (13-11) earned the win against the Athletics on Thursday, allowing one run on seven hits and two walks while striking out 10 batters across seven innings.
Analysis
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Struggles again with control
Valdez (12-11) took the loss in the Saturday's contest against the Mariners, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks over 4.2 innings. He struck out four.
Analysis
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Falls to Atlanta
Valdez (12-10) took the loss Sunday against Atlanta, allowing five runs on six hits and four walks over four innings. He struck out two.
Analysis
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Goes seven innings in loss
Valdez (12-9) took the loss Sunday against the Rangers, allowing four runs (three earned) on five hits and one walk with five strikeouts over seven innings.
Analysis
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Moved up to start Sunday
Valdez will start Sunday's series finale against Texas, Brian McTaggart of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Extension talks haven't occurred
Valdez said Thursday that the Astros have not approached him or his representation regarding a contract extension, reports Chandler Rome of The Athletic.
Analysis
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.
Valdez noted that he is open to discussing a long-term deal should the Astros want to talk, but at this point it doesn't appear as though that's in the cards. Houston has never guaranteed a starting pitcher more than $85 million, which is a figure Valdez might be able to at least double next offseason. No left-hander has thrown more innings since 2021 than Valdez, who became a full-time starter that year.