Isaac Paredes

Isaac Paredes

25-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Tampa Bay Rays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Paredes had a wonderful breakout season becoming a full-time threat in the Tampa Bay lineup while playing three of the four infield positions. Paredes has a simple approach in that he is up there to pull baseballs, ideally over the fence since he is not the fleetest of foot. Paredes hit all 31 of his homers to left field, and in fact has hit all 53 of his career major league homers to left field. Not only does he pull a lot of baseballs, he also hits a high volume of flyballs which limits his batting average upside despite that he is both accepting of walks and does not strike out as much as one would imagine. His 98 RBI season appeared with him hitting .295 with runners in scoring position after hitting just .175 in those same situations in 2022. RISP production is not a skill so this could evaporate as quickly as it appeared which means the variability of his potential fantasy value in 2024 is rather wide. 2022 is a reminder of his downside. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
#183
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.4 million contract with the Rays in January of 2024.
Avoids arbitration with Rays
3BTampa Bay Rays
January 11, 2024
Paredes signed a one-year, $3.4 million contract with the Rays on Thursday, avoiding arbitration, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
2023 was Paredes' best season at the plate to date. He slashed .250/.352/.488 with 31 homers and 98 RBI across 571 plate appearances and cemented himself as the Rays' primary third baseman. He receives a $2.665 million raise and is under team control through 2027.
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Batting Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
12
46
29
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
13
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+11%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021vs Left .791 275 39 11 42 0 .251 .353 .438
Since 2021vs Right .783 762 87 41 106 1 .223 .323 .461
2023vs Left .773 136 16 4 26 0 .259 .368 .405
2023vs Right .860 435 55 27 72 1 .247 .347 .513
2022vs Left .840 105 19 7 14 0 .231 .324 .516
2022vs Right .701 276 29 13 31 0 .196 .297 .404
2021vs Left .704 34 4 0 2 0 .286 .382 .321
2021vs Right .573 51 3 1 3 0 .159 .255 .318
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2021
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+17%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+57%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2021Home .859 497 64 30 81 1 .239 .348 .511
Since 2021Away .720 540 62 22 67 0 .223 .315 .405
2023Home .913 266 35 18 53 1 .261 .368 .544
2023Away .778 305 36 13 45 0 .241 .338 .440
2022Home .830 169 23 11 23 0 .210 .320 .510
2022Away .670 212 25 9 22 0 .202 .292 .378
2021Home .699 62 6 1 5 0 .220 .339 .360
2021Away .445 23 1 0 0 0 .182 .217 .227
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Stat Review
How does Isaac Paredes compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.56
 
BB Rate
10.2%
 
K Rate
18.2%
 
BABIP
.257
 
ISO
.238
 
AVG
.250
 
OBP
.352
 
SLG
.488
 
OPS
.840
 
wOBA
.369
 
Exit Velocity
86.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.4%
 
Barrels/PA
4.0%
 
Expected BA
.230
 
Expected SLG
.369
 
Sprint Speed
21.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
31.9%
 
Line Drive %
21.1%
 
Fly Ball %
47.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Isaac Paredes See More
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22 days ago
It's still all Ronald Acuna at the top, but Julio Rodriguez has now claimed the second spot in the latest edition of the RotoWire Roundtable rankings.
Farm Futures: Rookie Hitter Rankings 2.0
22 days ago
James Anderson releases volume 2.0 of his rookie hitter tiers for 2024 fantasy value only, in which Reds third baseman Noelvi Marte remains in the top spot.
Breakout Breakdown: Isaac Paredes
44 days ago
Isaac Paredes clubbed 31 homers last year despite not making much hard contact overall. What should we make of him for 2024?
RotoWire Roundtable: Fantasy Baseball Top 300 January Update
45 days ago
The RotoWire Roundtable crew shares their latest rankings, with changes as high as the early first round.
RotoWire Roundtable: Fantasy Baseball Top 300 December Update
87 days ago
From Ronald Acuna Jr. to Ryan Jeffers, the RotoWire Roundtable crew shares their updated top-300 rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2021
2020
2019
2018
The fact that Paredes's .205/.304/.435 triple-slash line translated into a 116 wRC+ on the season speaks to where the overall offensive environment was for the 2022 season. His 20 homers in part-time play was a surprise and that total would have led the Tigers had they not traded him to the Rays for Austin Meadows during the offseason. Despite the low average, Paredes is a very disciplined hitter who accepts his walks and is 90th percentile or better in contact as well as chase rate. His extreme pull tendencies get him into trouble when he doesn't loft the ball as he lacks the foot speed to convert grounders into outs. All 20 of his homers were pull shots, but it would be foolish to believe the Rays will make him an everyday player with their tendencies to platoon positions. Paredes did most of his power damage against lefties (.516 SLG%) while his .196/.297/.404 triple-slash against righties does not exactly scream for a full-time position. The 24 year old has room for growth with his power, but do not get greedy and expect 500+ plate appearances just yet.
Paredes got more playing time than expected with the big club last season, logging 108 plate appearances over 34 games. His numbers were what you would expect from an overwhelmed 21-year-old prospect, as Paredes slashed an uninspiring .220/.278/.290 with a single home run and no stolen-base attempts. His 22.2 K% was strong for a hitter his age and indicative of his best skill -- solid contact at the plate that has led to a superb 12.8 K% over the course of his time in the minors. Paredes has shown that he can hit for a decent average and even notched a 10-game hitting streak near the end of last season during which he batted .364, but he has yet to demonstrate more than average power and isn't a threat to steal many bases. He should get an opportunity to succeed for a still-rebuilding Tigers team, but his skillset doesn't portend fantasy relevance.
It is tempting to romanticize Paredes' 83:76 K:BB in 166 games at Double-A. He clearly has an excellent command of the strike zone, especially for a player who doesn't turn 21 until February. However, he is a 5-foot-11, 225-pound third baseman with below-average speed and average raw power. A mediocre defender whose body figures to get even worse over the next five years, Paredes will need to max out offensively to be an everyday player. He could have some seasons where he hits .280 with 20 home runs, but we should not expect more than that. To say Detroit lacks high-end position player talent on the big-league roster would be an understatement, so even if Paredes is just OK, he will be given a long leash as an everyday player. However, if/when the Tigers get serious about winning, he could start to get squeezed for playing time. He should spend most of the year at Triple-A.
Paredes' game is predicated on making hard contact at a high clip -- he had a 15.1 K% as one of the youngest players at High-A and Double-A. Cutting his infield-flyball rate from 32.2% to 23.9% and upping his line-drive rate from 15.9% to 22.5% helped him raise his AVG to .321 at Double-A, but that mark does not appear sustainable. He pulled the ball over 57% of the time last year. For context, Andrelton Simmons led qualified MLB hitters with a 51.0 Pull% last season, so Paredes will need to make adjustments in the coming years to avoid being neutralized by the shift. He has 50-grade power but is a below-average runner (listed at 5-foot-11, 225 pounds), which is why he seems destined for third base or the keystone. The Tigers are not competing anytime soon, so even if he appears ready this summer, they may play service-time games and keep him down until 2020.
The youngest qualified hitter in the Midwest League, Paredes more than held his own (108 wRC+), even while experiencing brutal luck (.214 BABIP) after a deadline trade from the Cubs to the Tigers. While Jeimer Candelario was the big-league ready piece in that deal, which sent Justin Wilson and Alex Avila to Chicago, Paredes was the lower-level prospect for Tigers fans to dream on. He hit four home runs in his first 10 games after the trade, but notched just 10 hits in his final 22 games. Even amid those struggles, he posted a 13:13 K:BB in 32 games with the Whitecaps. A thick 5-foot-11, he lacks prototypical size for the left side of the infield, but his bat has a chance to profile at third base if he eventually moves off shortstop. He excels at making contact, and while his batting averages don't stand out, he gets rave reviews for his hitting ability. Paredes is not as exciting or toolsy as he is polished and skilled, making him one of the safer teenage prospects in the game.
More Fantasy News
Out of Saturday's lineup
3BTampa Bay Rays
September 16, 2023
Paredes is not starting in Saturday's lineup against the Orioles, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Back in action Tuesday
3BTampa Bay Rays
September 12, 2023
Paredes (hand) is hitting fifth and manning third base Tuesday against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Held out again Monday
3BTampa Bay Rays
Hand
September 11, 2023
Paredes (hand) is not in the lineup for Monday's game against the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Sits with hand contusion
3BTampa Bay Rays
Hand
September 10, 2023
Paredes (hand) is not in the lineup Sunday versus the Mariners.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with bruised hand
3BTampa Bay Rays
Hand
September 9, 2023
Paredes was removed from Saturday's game against Seattle with a right hand contusion, Ryan Bass of Bally Sports Sun reports.
ANALYSIS
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