Jake Fraley

Jake Fraley

27-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2022 Fantasy Outlook
If you like OBP, Jake Fraley provides that. Throughout Fraley's short MLB career, he totaled 13 home runs and 11 steals with a slash line of .196/.320/.336 in 335 plate appearances. Fraley's high BB% at 17.4% comes a 26.8% K%. With more playing time, Fraley's upside could be a 20/20 season. However, Fraley's .531 OPS versus lefties may limit that. In terms of skills, Fraley rocks a 24.7% LD% and 5.9% barrel rate with a patient approach, evidenced by the 22.6% O-Swing% and 41.4% Swing% well below the league averages. Fraley dealt with a quad, hamstring, and shoulder injury throughout 2020-2021 that caused him to lose plate appearances. Outside of Mitch Haniger and Jarred Kelenic, Fraley will battle with Taylor Trammell, Dylan Moore, and Kyle Lewis in the outfield. Top prospect Julio Rodriguez is also on his way. Fraley serves as a cheap source of power and speed. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#554
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2021. Traded to the Reds in March of 2022.
Steals fourth base
OFCincinnati Reds
September 27, 2022
Fraley went 1-for-4 with a stolen base in a 4-1 loss Tuesday in Pittsburgh.
ANALYSIS
Fraley singled and stole second base in the fifth inning. He has four stolen bases in five attempts with three of those stolen bases coming since Aug. 21. Tuesday was his first start since Thursday, as the Reds went with other options over the last four games. The 27-year-old has performed well since returning from the injured list at the end of July, posting a .287/.370/.513 line in 173 plate appearances.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
14
3
1
16
1
1
2
2
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+58%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+69%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+53%
OPS vs RHP
2020
 
 
+149%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .513 119 10 2 9 5 .158 .286 .228
Since 2020vs Right .813 393 51 17 53 11 .246 .357 .456
2022vs Left .493 30 4 1 3 1 .148 .233 .259
2022vs Right .833 191 27 9 23 3 .265 .351 .482
2021vs Left .531 85 6 1 6 4 .169 .306 .225
2021vs Right .815 180 21 8 30 6 .231 .374 .441
2020vs Left .250 4 0 0 0 0 .000 .250 .000
2020vs Right .623 22 3 0 0 2 .200 .273 .350
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+5%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+7%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .789 232 25 8 26 5 .242 .368 .421
Since 2020Away .697 283 36 11 36 11 .210 .314 .383
2022Home .918 92 13 5 11 0 .293 .370 .549
2022Away .688 129 18 5 15 4 .216 .310 .378
2021Home .701 132 11 3 15 5 .208 .374 .327
2021Away .738 133 16 6 21 5 .212 .331 .407
2020Home .536 8 1 0 0 0 .143 .250 .286
2020Away .501 21 2 0 0 2 .158 .238 .263
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Stat Review
How does Jake Fraley compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.48
 
BB Rate
10.4%
 
K Rate
21.7%
 
BABIP
.277
 
ISO
.202
 
AVG
.249
 
OBP
.335
 
SLG
.451
 
OPS
.786
 
wOBA
.344
 
Exit Velocity
85.7 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
27.2%
 
Barrels/PA
4.4%
 
Expected BA
.244
 
Expected SLG
.408
 
Sprint Speed
23.4 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
44.2%
 
Line Drive %
20.4%
 
Fly Ball %
35.4%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Jake Fraley
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Monday Picks
16 days ago
Mike Barner’s Monday Yahoo picks include Jays starter Jose Berrios against visiting Tampa.
FanDuel MLB: Monday Targets
16 days ago
Framber Valdez hasn't allowed more than three runs in a start since April 19 and pitching against the Tigers who are last in MLB in runs scored and 29th in team OPS.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
18 days ago
Chris Morgan sees C.J. Cron breaking out of his latest slump at home versus Madison Bumgarner and the D-backs.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Targets
19 days ago
Chris Bennett has all your FanDuel DFS recommendations for Friday’s 12-game slate.
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Breakdown
20 days ago
Chris Morgan delivers his Thursday picks to help lead you to DraftKings DFS success.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
2019
2017
Fraley hasn't done much with his major-league opportunities, posting a .152/.200/.227 slash line and registering a 35.7 K% across 70 plate appearances over parts of the last two seasons. The outfielder's struggles are a sharp contrast to his hitting prowess in the minors. Between 2018 and 2019, Fraley batted .316 and struck out less than 20% of the time while progressing from High-A to Triple-A. His appeal grew with an emergence of power in 2019, when he more than doubled his previous minor-league output with 19 homers in only 382 at-bats. Fraley has reached double-digit stolen bases three times in four minor-league seasons, so he could have fantasy value as a moderate speed-power contributor if he can prove himself against big-league pitching. However, Fraley turns 26 in May and Jerred Kelenic is waiting in the wings, so Fraley's window to squeeze himself into Seattle's future plans could be closing.
The Mariners had to add Fraley to the 40-man in 2019 one way or another, so they selected his contract in August after he obliterated Double-A pitching (156 wRC+) and was OK in 38 games at Triple-A (104 wRC+). His season was cut short when he sprained ligaments in his thumb. Fraley missed significant time due to injuries earlier in his career, so he is not a normal 24-year-old from a developmental standpoint. The No. 77 pick from 2016 has been dominant at almost every MiLB stop. He is an above-average defender with above-average speed who excels at lifting the ball, but his LD% dipped after his promotion from Double-A while he worked on using the whole field. Fraley projects to be a better real-life player than Mallex Smith, so he will be given the opportunity this spring to take the center field job and run with it. There is some swing-and-miss in his game, but he has 20/20 upside.
Injuries prevented Fraley's career from taking off in his first full season after being selected by the Rays with the No. 77 overall pick in 2016. However, he hit .361/.449/.680 with 13 home runs and 39 steals over 40 games in the Australian Baseball League last offseason, which put him squarely back on the dynasty-league map. He followed that up by notching a 172 wRC+ in 260 plate appearances at High-A, but undisclosed injuries once again cost him time. An offseason trade to the Mariners put him on the national radar, which unfortunately ups the acquisition cost, but it was a boon for those who already had him rostered, as he goes from a club with ridiculous depth to an organization where he should have a clear path to playing time. Fraley is an excellent defender in center field, makes hard contact to all fields and rarely strikes out. The key going forward will be proving he can hold up over a full season. He will likely be assigned to Double-A.
The 21-year-old center fielder slashed .238/.339/.364 with a homer, 18 RBI, seven triples and 33 stolen bases at short-season Hudson Valley after being selected 77th overall in the 2016 first-year player draft. He posted a solid 14.2 percent strikeout rate and 83 percent contact rate while batting at or near the top of the order. The speed and plate skills make him somewhat intriguing, but will Fraley hit enough against higher-level pitching to take full advantage of his speed? Time will tell. . . and for most, waiting it out will be a tough sell.
More Fantasy News
Fades into reserve role
OFCincinnati Reds
September 26, 2022
Fraley is out of the lineup for Monday's game against the Pirates.
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Remains on bench
OFCincinnati Reds
September 25, 2022
Fraley is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Saturday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 24, 2022
Fraley isn't in the lineup Saturday against the Brewers.
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On bench Friday
OFCincinnati Reds
September 23, 2022
Fraley isn't starting Friday against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Steps out of lineup
OFCincinnati Reds
September 18, 2022
Fraley is not in the lineup for Sunday's game at St. Louis.
ANALYSIS
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