Jhoan Duran

Jhoan Duran

26-Year-Old PitcherRP
Minnesota Twins
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Duran once again led the league with 473 pitches thrown at 100 mph or greater. Even more impressive, he averaged 102 mph on his four-seamer, which was actually an improvement over 2022's 101 mph average on the pitch. Duran's secondary offerings were effective too -- he generated a 45.9% whiff percentage on his curveball while throwing more splitters (+11.3% pitch usage) than he did in his rookie season. His 65.9% groundball percentage complemented his 96th percentile strikeout rate (32.9%), but Duran issued more free passes with a below-average walk rate that approached 10%. The 26-year-old tallied a career-high 27 saves as Minnesota's primary closer and his 71.1% team save share was 10th-highest among relievers. Duran certainly has the upside to be a top-five closer in the league, but for now, he figures to settle in as one of the top 8-12 closers for 2024 drafts. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#85
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $747,200 contract with the Twins in March of 2024.
Takes loss Sunday
PMinnesota Twins
July 14, 2024
Duran (5-4) allowed an unearned run on one hit without retiring a batter to take the loss Sunday versus the Giants.
ANALYSIS
Duran gave up a triple to Mike Yastrzemski to lead off the bottom of the ninth inning, and it turned into a run after Brooks Lee's relay throw ended up in the dugout. It's a tough way for Duran to take a loss, which also ended his 7.2-inning scoreless streak, but it won't hurt his ERA, which remains at 2.93 to go with a 0.98 WHIP and 29:10 K:BB through 30.2 innings. Since Duran was pitching in a tied game before giving up the run, he also will avoid taking his second blown save of the year, and his status as the Twins' primary closer is not in question.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
14
Last 10 Games
13
Last 5 Games
13
How many pitches does Jhoan Duran generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Jhoan Duran generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-2%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .197 314 100 31 54 4 1 5
Since 2022vs Right .209 327 102 20 62 10 1 11
2024vs Left .167 63 15 5 9 0 1 2
2024vs Right .212 58 14 5 11 2 0 2
2023vs Left .205 127 51 14 23 3 0 0
2023vs Right .209 127 33 11 23 5 0 6
2022vs Left .204 124 34 12 22 1 0 3
2022vs Right .209 142 55 4 28 3 1 3
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-63%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA at Home
2023
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-71%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 1.24 1.00 80.0 5 3 27 12.0 2.7 0.3
Since 2022Away 3.35 1.08 80.2 5 11 23 10.6 3.0 1.5
2024Home 0.00 0.77 15.2 3 0 9 9.2 2.9 0.0
2024Away 6.00 1.20 15.0 2 4 6 7.8 3.0 2.4
2023Home 2.27 1.07 31.2 0 2 13 13.4 3.4 0.9
2023Away 2.64 1.21 30.2 3 4 14 10.9 3.8 0.9
2022Home 0.83 1.04 32.2 2 1 5 12.1 1.9 0.0
2022Away 2.83 0.91 35.0 0 3 3 11.6 2.3 1.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Jhoan Duran compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.90
 
K/9
8.5
 
BB/9
2.9
 
HR/9
1.2
 
Fastball
100.4 mph
 
ERA
2.93
 
WHIP
0.98
 
BABIP
.218
 
GB/FB
2.71
 
Left On Base
65.6%
 
Exit Velocity
80.7 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.4%
 
Spin Rate
1976 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.8%
 
Swinging Strike
13.3%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
Duran impressed the Twins during spring training and made the Opening Day roster as part of the bullpen. It was a role change for the career-long starter, but the rookie adapted quickly and was dominant from the outset. Duran threw a league-leading 392 pitches at 100 mph or greater while averaging a ridiculous 101 mph on his 4-seamer. He complemented his fastball with a knee buckling curve (49.7% whiff percentage) that served as his primary strikeout pitch, leading to a 33.5% strikeout rate. Duran also induced plenty of ground balls (61%) while limiting his free passes (6%) to finish with impressive ratios. With Minnesota struggling to hold leads in the late innings, Duran earned high leverage opportunities rather quickly. He tallied 18 holds on the season, but only finished with eight saves despite the upside for more. Upside is the key word, as he could be a top 5 closer in the league with full-time duties, but there's a greater chance the Twins are more flexible with his role.
Duran is one of Minnesota's top pitching prospects, but he threw just 16 innings last season due to elbow issues. He could contend for the major league rotation later this season, but his workload may be managed as he works his way back to form. Duran relies on a power sinker and a fastball that has touched triple digits on the radar gun, but needs to find a third pitch to complement his sinker and equally nasty splitter to stick as a starter. He could also figure into the bullpen mix and is a dark horse to close games thanks to his velocity.
The 23-year-old spent all of last season at the Twins' alternate training site but didn't appear in a big-league game, which was not a surprising development for a pitcher who had only 37 innings at Double-A on his ledger. Duran is one of the arms in pipeline for Minnesota that made Brusdar Graterol expendable. Like Graterol, Duran relies on a power sinker that has touched triple digits on the radar gun, but he also features a more athletic 6-foot-5 frame that might be better suited for a rotation role in the long run. He'll need to find a third pitch to complement his sinker and equally nasty splitter to stick as a starter, but his arsenal is more than good enough to thrive as a high-leverage reliever if he doesn't. Duran will look to get his development back on track in 2021, likely at Triple-A, and could make his Twins debut this season.
Duran has a couple monster pitches and has not logged a FIP over 3.93 in full-season ball, but he may fit best as a power reliever long term. A 6-foot-5, 230-pound righty who headlined Minnesota's return for Eduardo Escobar in the 2018 deadline deal with Arizona, Duran's best skill is an ability to generate groundballs at an elite clip (65.4 GB% at Low-A, 52.9 GB% at High-A, 63.3 GB% at Double-A since joining the Twins). He accomplishes this with a four-seam fastball that can touch triple digits and a unique low-90s split-fingered sinker -- both rate as plus-plus pitches. Duran could easily slot into a big-league bullpen as is and have success. In order to make it as a starter at the highest level, however, he will need to turn his curveball into a reliable third pitch while demonstrating at least fringe-average command. Look for him to spend the bulk of 2020 in the upper levels of the minors.
Duran has an electric arm (100+ mph fastball), plus an ideal 6-foot-5, 175-pound frame for a 20-year-old hurler and developing secondary pitches in his slider and changeup. Duran's command needs some work for him to make it as a starter, but he has plenty of time to get that ironed out.
More Fantasy News
Converts 15th save
PMinnesota Twins
July 13, 2024
Duran struck out one in a perfect inning to earn the save in Saturday's 4-2 win over the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs 14th save
PMinnesota Twins
July 10, 2024
Duran picked up the save in the second game of Wednesday's doubleheader versus the White Sox, striking out a pair in a perfect ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
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Earns fourth win
PMinnesota Twins
July 7, 2024
Duran (4-3) earned the win Sunday over the Astros, allowing a hit and a walk while striking out one over a scoreless inning.
ANALYSIS
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Secures 13th save
PMinnesota Twins
July 3, 2024
Duran struck out one in a perfect ninth inning Tuesday to record his 13th save of the season in a 5-3 win over the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Locks down save Sunday
PMinnesota Twins
July 1, 2024
Duran picked up the save in Sunday's 5-3 win over the Mariners, pitching a perfect ninth while striking out a batter in the process.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Velocity remains down
PMinnesota Twins
June 25, 2024
Duran is averaging 100.3 mph on his fastball this season, which is down from 101.9 mph in 2023, and the Twins don't have a clear answer for the dip in velocity, reports Aaron Gleeman of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander missed the first month of the season with an oblique strain, but he's been back two full months now and is reportedly healthy. Duran and the coaching staff attempted some mechanical tweaks in May but were unable to address the issue. The 26-year-old remains one of the hardest throwers in baseball, but his effectiveness has taken a hit, with a 3.91 ERA and 5.01 FIP being noticeable jumps from his 2.45 and 3.20 figures from 2023, respectively. Duran remains locked in as Minnesota's closer for now, but a further dip in effectiveness could prompt the Twins to change course, especially with the trade deadline looming.
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