John Means

John Means

31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Baltimore Orioles
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 9/1/2025
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Means underwent Tommy John surgery in April of 2022. He was ticketed for a return around the All-Star break, but he was diagnosed with an upper back strain in May, putting his rehab on hold. Means finally made it back for four starts in September. He posted a 2.66 ERA and .72 ERA over those 23.2 innings, but don't get too excited as Means fanned only 10 batters while surrendering four homers. He benefited from a .130 BABIP and 88.7 percent left on base mark, both which would have corrected if he compiled more innings. Most importantly, Means' velocity and control were at pre-surgery level, and starting four games should allow Means to undergo a regular offseason. Even so, with fewer then 50 frames thrown last season (including rehab games), Means 2024 workload will likely be capped. He should benefit from the 2022 renovations in Camden Yards, but Means has never been a strikeout hurler, so he remains subject to the whims of batted ball fate. If someone wants to draft last season's small sample, by all means, let them. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season
From Preseason
#329
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $3.33 million contract with the Orioles in January of 2024.
Shifted to 60-day IL
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
June 13, 2024
The Orioles transferred Means (elbow) from the 15-day injured list to the 60-day IL on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
The transaction clears a spot on the 40-man roster for right-hander Levi Stoudt, who was claimed off waivers from the Mariners. Means is done for the season after undergoing his second career Tommy John surgery last week.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
80
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does John Means generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does John Means generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-100%
BAA vs LHP
2023
 
 
-18%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-51%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .119 47 7 3 5 2 0 2
Since 2022vs Right .218 155 26 5 32 7 1 4
2024vs Left .000 15 3 1 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right .254 65 13 1 16 4 1 2
2023vs Left .182 23 3 1 4 1 0 2
2023vs Right .150 65 7 3 9 3 0 2
2022vs Left .143 9 1 1 1 1 0 0
2022vs Right .292 25 6 1 7 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-77%
ERA on Road
2024
 
 
-100%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-63%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-50%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 4.50 0.88 26.0 1 2 0 4.8 0.3 1.7
Since 2022Away 1.03 0.84 26.1 2 0 0 6.5 2.4 0.3
2024Home 5.06 1.13 10.2 1 0 0 5.9 0.0 1.7
2024Away 0.00 0.60 10.0 1 0 0 8.1 1.8 0.0
2023Home 3.97 0.71 11.1 0 2 0 4.0 0.0 2.4
2023Away 1.46 0.73 12.1 1 0 0 3.6 2.9 0.7
2022Home 4.50 0.75 4.0 0 0 0 4.5 2.3 0.0
2022Away 2.25 1.75 4.0 0 0 0 11.3 2.3 0.0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does John Means compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
8.00
 
K/9
7.0
 
BB/9
0.9
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
90.5 mph
 
ERA
2.61
 
WHIP
0.87
 
BABIP
.249
 
GB/FB
0.44
 
Left On Base
78.9%
 
Exit Velocity
81.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.4%
 
Spin Rate
2277 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
32.1%
 
Swinging Strike
11.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Means made only two starts in 2022 before he required Tommy John surgery and missed the rest of the season. The left-hander started a throwing program in October and is likely to miss the first couple months of 2023, but he should be available by at least the All-Star break. He had a 3.62 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 134:26 K:BB across 146.2 innings during the 2021 campaign and should be a key piece of Baltimore's rotation once healthy, but his workload is likely to remain limited early on in his return from the procedure. Means' value could rise significantly if he returns ahead of schedule -- especially with Camden Yards being more pitcher friendly since the left-field fence was moved back -- though he may also need some time to round back into form while coming off a major elbow surgery.
On the surface, Means rebounded from 2020's disappointing campaign with numbers resembling 2019. However, in terms of peripherals, Means was much closer to 2020 when he ramped up his strikeouts. This is reflective of his style. His flyball nature, especially in Camden Yards, leaves Means among the league leaders in homers allowed. However, it also fuels a low BABIP, and since he's stingy with free passes (4.4 BB%), he generates a low WHIP. This leaves his ERA up to how many ducks are on the pond when he yields a long ball. In 2020, 77% of the runs Means surrendered came on a home run, compared to 70% last season. Durability is also an issue as Means has missed time two of the past three campaigns with left shoulder soreness. Means' perennially low WHIP is enticing, but his strikeouts aren't sufficient to balance possible ERA damage. Streaming is risky since Camden Yards mitigates home field advantage.
Means was an All-Star in 2019, though that says far more about the Orioles than about his own talents. His 4.41 FIP and 5.48 xFIP suggested that a fair amount of regression in his 3.60 ERA was due, and that did indeed happen, as he finished 2020 with a 4.53 ERA in 10 starts. While his ERA rose by nearly a run, his underlying numbers generally moved in an encouraging direction. His K% jumped from 19.0 to 23.9, due in part to a jump in fastball velocity from 91.8 to 93.8 mph. He also cut his BB% from 6.0 to 4.0 while increasing his groundball rate from 30.9% to 43.9%. The righty's ERA increase can be traced in large part to his massive jump in HR/FB rate from 9.9% to 21.8%, a number over which a pitcher typically doesn't exercise much control. While the new version of Means certainly isn't special, a locked-in starter who produces a league-average K% and an ERA around 4.50 does have value in deeper leagues.
Means broke camp in a relief role but quickly moved into the rotation, establishing himself as Baltimore's most dependable pitcher over the remainder of the season by winning 12 games -- no small feat on a 54-win team -- while posting a 3.73 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 27 starts. The lefty dealt with shoulder and biceps injuries over the summer, which coincided with his worst stretch of the season (5.18 ERA in July and August), though he rebounded in September and pitched into the seventh inning in five of his last seven starts. While Means does a good job limiting free passes (2.2 BB/9) and hard contact, he doesn't record many strikeouts (7.0 K/9) and allows too many homers (1.3 HR/9) while pitching in a tough division, which limits his fantasy upside. His spot in a weak Orioles rotation is safe, though indicators suggest Means was pitching over his head last season (4.41 FIP and 5.48 xFIP).
More Fantasy News
Second career Tommy John surgery
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
June 3, 2024
Means underwent successful Tommy John surgery Monday in Texas to repair a torn UCL in his left elbow, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Needs UCL surgery
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
May 31, 2024
Orioles general manager Mike Elias announced Friday that Means will undergo surgery to repair the UCL in his left elbow and will miss the rest of the season, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Seeking second opinion
PBaltimore Orioles
Forearm
May 24, 2024
Orioles manager Brandon Hyde said Friday that Means will get a second opinion on his throwing elbow, Andy Kostka of TheBaltimoreBanner.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to IL with strained forearm
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
May 23, 2024
The Orioles placed Means on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a left forearm strain, Dan Connolly of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with elbow discomfort
PBaltimore Orioles
Elbow
May 22, 2024
Means was removed from Wednesday's start against the Cardinals due to left elbow discomfort and will undergo medical testing, Jake Rill of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Feels ahead of schedule
PBaltimore Orioles
July 7, 2022
Means, who is on the injured list with an elbow injury, hopes to be fully training in the weight room in a couple of weeks, reports Zachary Silver of MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
Means had Tommy John surgery on April 25 and is reportedly progressing well in the rehabilitation process. While he feels ahead of schedule, the lefty likely won't be ready to participate in-game action by the beginning of next season and a midseason return seems most likely at this point. Baltimore will have two years of team control beyond this year and, Means should remain a major piece of the rotation once healthy.
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