Kyle Muller

25-Year-Old PitcherSP

Oakland Athletics

2023 Stats

W-L

1-5

ERA

7.26

WHIP

1.92

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2023 Fantasy Outlook

Muller has logged three or more starts in the majors in back-to-back seasons but he still retains prospect eligibility heading into 2023. The big 6-foot-7 southpaw made notable improvements last year at Triple-A compared to 2021, upping his strikeout rate from 27.0% to 29.3% while dropping his walk rate from 12.9% to 7.4%. He scuffled down the stretch at Triple-A but showed stretches of dominance. Muller had two decent MLB starts in the second half and a terrible start where he walked six batters in 2.2 innings May 1, which dragged down his overall numbers. He threw a career-best 147 innings on the year, so he will be without restrictions in his age-25 season. The range of velocity on Muller's fastball was pretty wide (92 to 97 mph), and he will obviously be more successful if he can consistently sit in the mid-90s rather than regularly dipping into the low-90s. He throws all four of his pitches harder than the average MLB southpaw, and his upper-80s slider is arguably his best pitch. A trade from Atlanta to Oakland won't help Muller in the win column, but he should have a clear path to as many MLB starts as he can handle in 2023. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#547

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 6'7"

Weight 250

DOB 10/7/1997

Born Dallas, TX

College None

Drafted 2nd Rd 2016 ATL

Works in relief Saturday

POakland Athletics

September 11, 2023

Muller tossed two innings out of the bullpen in Saturday's 3-2 loss to the Rangers, giving up two earned runs on four hits and two walks while striking out one.

ANALYSIS
In his previous outing Sept. 3 versus the Angels, Muller started and kept the Halos off the board through the first three innings, but he melted down in the fourth, giving up three runs before being pulled. Since Muller carried a 7.62 ERA and 1.93 WHIP over 15 appearances (13 starts) on the season heading into the weekend, the Athletics opted to move him to the bullpen and gave Sean Newcomb an audition as a starter. Newcomb delivered four scoreless frames Saturday before turning the game over to Muller, though neither pitcher was ultimately stuck with the loss. In any case, with Newcomb making the most of his opportunity, look for him to get at least one more start while Muller sticks in a relief role.

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Pitching Stats

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2023

2022

2021

2020

2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Kyle Muller generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Kyle Muller generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-2%

BAA vs LHP

2023

-8%

BAA vs RHP

2022

-100%

BAA vs LHP

2021

-9%

BAA vs LHP

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2021vs Left	.290	123	19	12	31	4	1	4
Since 2021vs Right	.297	453	83	54	115	26	0	14
2023vs Left	.362	78	9	6	25	4	1	3
2023vs Right	.333	284	44	32	82	18	0	11
2022vs Left	.000	9	2	3	0	0	0	0
2022vs Right	.295	50	10	5	13	2	0	2
2021vs Left	.188	36	8	3	6	0	0	1
2021vs Right	.206	119	29	17	20	6	0	1
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2021

-26%

ERA at Home

2023

-51%

ERA at Home

2022

-100%

ERA at Home

2021

-90%

ERA on Road

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2021Home	5.51	1.63	67.0	0	4	0	7.0	4.2	1.1
Since 2021Away	7.49	1.79	57.2	4	6	0	7.8	5.5	1.6
2023Home	5.08	1.67	44.1	0	1	0	6.1	3.5	1.2
2023Away	10.34	2.27	31.1	1	4	0	6.6	6.0	2.3
2022Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022Away	8.03	1.70	12.1	1	1	0	8.8	5.8	1.5
2021Home	6.35	1.54	22.2	0	3	0	8.7	5.6	0.8
2021Away	0.64	0.79	14.0	2	1	0	9.6	3.9	0.0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Kyle Muller compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

1.39

K/9

6.3

BB/9

4.5

HR/9

1.7

Fastball

93.5 mph

ERA

7.26

WHIP

1.92

BABIP

.367

GB/FB

1.29

Left On Base

67.0%

Exit Velocity

85.0 mph

Barrels/BBE

6.2%

Spin Rate

2272 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

31.1%

Swinging Strike

8.9%

Prospect Rankings History

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Defensive Stats

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Stats Vs Today's Lineup

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Athletics Depth Chart

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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Muller See More

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9 days ago

Todd Zola rocks and fires with his Weekly Pitcher Rankings, including a two-start week for Milwaukee's Freddy Peralta.

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16 days ago

Todd Zola rocks and fires with his Weekly Pitcher Rankings, including a two-start Brandon Woodruff at the top of the rankings.

DraftKings MLB: Saturday Breakdown

16 days ago

Dan Marcus has offered a pair of hitting stacks, including a value option with potential upside.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2022

2021

2017

The last time Muller had a BB% below 12% was at Double-A in 2018, so while he has good size (6-foot-7, 250 pounds) and good stuff, it still requires a bit of a leap of faith to project him as a starter long term. His 93-mph fastball (up to 97) has above-average spin, while his upper-80s slider and low-80s curveball have strong characteristics and worked well against big-league hitters last season. As things stand, Muller will get to compete with Tucker Davidson for the fifth spot in the rotation, but it's possible Atlanta will bring in another starter after the lockout. Given his proximity and strikeout upside, the big southpaw should be a mid-round pick in draft-and-hold leagues, however, he would need a strong spring training to emerge as a solid reserve option in standard redraft leagues.

Muller got a chance to showcase his stuff in spring training following a strong 2019 minor-league campaign, but he was roughed up in two appearances, yielding six earned runs and retiring only three batters. The 6-foot-7 southpaw was nonetheless added to the Braves' 60-man player pool and ended up spending all of 2020 at the team's alternate training site. Muller has generated some buzz within the organization after posting a 3.14 ERA and 25.6 K% at Double-A between 2018 and 2019, though his 14.5 BB% and 16 wild pitches over that span are cause for concern. Part of the problem is a tendency to overthrow; while Muller features a plus mid-90s fastball, his command of the offering tends to waver as he pushes the velocity. He may be best served to better mix in his curveball, which ranks as his second-best pitch. If he can learn to harness his control, Muller could get a chance to contribute as soon as 2021.

While Muller didn't come off the board until the 44th pick in last year's draft, his $2.5 million signing bonus is more in line with the recommended value of the 17th overall pick. This draft subtlety and the fact that there are eight or nine more recognizable pitching prospects in this loaded farm system opens up an opportunity for dynasty league owners to acquire Muller at a discount, relative to his talent. Despite his 6-foot-6, 240-pound frame, Muller relies more on above-average fastball command than elite velocity at this development stage. Given his age and size, he could add a couple ticks in the coming years and move into the mid-90s on a regular basis, but for now his upside is capped at a No. 3 starter. His numbers in the Gulf Coast League were certainly eye-popping, but the southpaw won't receive a true test until the Braves take the training wheels off and allow him to log more than three innings per start while facing hitters in the Appalachian and South Atlantic leagues this season.

More Fantasy News

Tagged for three runs

POakland Athletics

September 3, 2023

Muller yielded three runs on five hits and a walk over four innings during Sunday's win over the Angels. He struck out three and did not factor in the decision.

ANALYSIS
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