2025 Stats
W-L
1-2
ERA
3.21
WHIP
1.21
K
19
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
Varland's future role and status as a major league pitcher are in question after he took a big step backward lats season. Varland ended the 2023 season as a weapon out of the bullpen posting a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings with a 17:1 K:BB ratio and a fastball that touched triple digits. The Twins debated whether to keep him in the major league bullpen in the spring, but decided to return him back to the rotation at Triple-A. He wasn't impressive at Triple-A with a 4.75 ERA but he may have been unlucky with a .357 BABIP as he had a 10.4 K/9 and 3.76 xFIP. When he was finally called up to the major league rotation, Varland struggled with home runs. He gave up an astounding 12 homers in 49.2 innings. After seven starts (6.40 ERA) he was moved to the bullpen where he continued to flounder. Despite his troubles, Varland was likely unlucky with a meteoric 21.1 HR/FB rate and .357 BABIP. He still had a strong 96.1 average mph fastball. He could stick in the bullpen next season and will compete for a major league role in the spring. Read Past Outlooks
Move to bullpen going well
Varland allowed one walk while striking out one over a scoreless inning Thursday against the Royals.
ANALYSIS
Varland moved to the bullpen this spring, and the returns have been encouraging so far, as he has a 3.86 ERA and 10:3 K:BB in seven innings. He could be used in higher-leverage spots if he continues his early success. The right-hander struggled last season as a starter in Triple-A with a 4.75 ERA, but he showed promise as a reliever in the majors in 2023 with a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings and a 17:1 K:BB.
Varland moved to the bullpen this spring, and the returns have been encouraging so far, as he has a 3.86 ERA and 10:3 K:BB in seven innings. He could be used in higher-leverage spots if he continues his early success. The right-hander struggled last season as a starter in Triple-A with a 4.75 ERA, but he showed promise as a reliever in the majors in 2023 with a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings and a 17:1 K:BB.
Pitching Stats
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2025
2024
2023
2022
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
14
Last 10 Games
14
Last 5 Games
11
How many pitches does Louis Varland generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Louis Varland generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-3%
BAA vs RHP
2025
-56%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .283 | 58 | 15 | 63 | 13 | |||
| Since 2023vs Right | .275 | 81 | 22 | 84 | 18 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .389 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 2 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .171 | 15 | 2 | 6 | 1 | |||
| 2024vs Left | .325 | 26 | 6 | 37 | 6 | |||
| 2024vs Right | .310 | 23 | 10 | 31 | 6 | |||
| 2023vs Left | .209 | 28 | 7 | 19 | 5 | |||
| 2023vs Right | .275 | 43 | 10 | 47 | 11 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2023
-1%
ERA at Home
2025
-11%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | 5.57 | 1.39 | 72.2 | 9.5 | 2.1 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | 5.64 | 1.41 | 59.0 | 9.5 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2025Home | 3.38 | 1.25 | 8.0 | 13.5 | 1.1 | ||||
| 2025Away | 3.00 | 1.17 | 6.0 | 10.5 | 4.5 | ||||
| 2024Home | 6.94 | 1.63 | 35.0 | 8.7 | 2.8 | ||||
| 2024Away | 9.20 | 1.84 | 14.2 | 9.2 | 3.1 | ||||
| 2023Home | 4.55 | 1.15 | 29.2 | 9.4 | 1.5 | ||||
| 2023Away | 4.70 | 1.28 | 38.1 | 9.4 | 2.8 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Louis Varland compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 30 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
4.75K/9
12.2BB/9
2.6HR/9
1.9Fastball
98.0 mphERA
3.21WHIP
1.21BABIP
.328GB/FB
1.00Left On Base
85.9%Exit Velocity
86.0 mphBarrels/BBE
7.7%Spin Rate
2137 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
30.8%Swinging Strike
12.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
Varland's improved velocity turned him into a late-season weapon out of the bullpen and has put him in contention for a prominent role in 2024 - but it's not clear whether that will be in the rotation or bullpen. Varland's improved velocity (up to 95.3 mph average fastball from 93.9 mph in the majors the previous season) resulted in a strong year at Triple-A with a 9.8 K/9 and 3.97 ERA and 3.32 FIP. He was called up early in the season as a starter and had initial success with a 3.51 ERA in seven starts, but then gave up 17 runs in 15 innings in his next three starts and was sent to the minors in June. He was called up to the bullpen in September and was a dominant reliever with a 1.50 ERA in 12 innings with a 17:1 K:BB ratio with a fastball that touched triple digits. Varland has said he'd like to remain a starter, but it will be hard for the Twins to keep him out of the bullpen given his success. Still, he's in the mix for the fifth starter role this spring.
More Fantasy News
Likely to win bullpen role
Varland is expected to make the Twins' major-league roster as a reliever, Matthew Leach of MLB.com reports. He's thrown nine scoreless innings with a 5:2 K:BB ratio this spring.
ANALYSIS
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Likely to move to bullpen
Varland is likely to work as a reliever this spring and try to win a spot in the bullpen, Bobby Nightengale of the Minnesota Star Tribune reports. "It's very possible that we see a good amount of him out of the bullpen this year," manager Rocco Baldelli said.
ANALYSIS
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Moving to bullpen
Varland is expected to be used in a traditional relief role down the stretch, Dan Hayes of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Disastrous outing as bulk reliever
Varland (0-6) took the loss Wednesday, surrendering eight runs on five hits and a walk over 2.1 relief innings as the Twins were downed 9-4 by the Rays. He struck out one.
ANALYSIS
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Recalled, should work in bulk relief
The Twins recalled Varland from Triple-A St. Paul on Wednesday.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Sticking in bullpen?
Per Dan Hayes of The Athletic, there is a "growing sense" that Varland will primarily work as a reliever in 2025.
ANALYSIS
The right-hander earned a spot in Minnesota's Opening Day rotation last year but made just seven starts as he surrendered 23 earned runs over 32.1 innings. Varland didn't fare much better in nine relief appearances with a 9.87 ERA, but he's still likely a more proper fit in the bullpen. No official decision has been made, and Varland's role to begin 2025 may ultimately depend on the health of the Twins' other rotation options this spring.
The right-hander earned a spot in Minnesota's Opening Day rotation last year but made just seven starts as he surrendered 23 earned runs over 32.1 innings. Varland didn't fare much better in nine relief appearances with a 9.87 ERA, but he's still likely a more proper fit in the bullpen. No official decision has been made, and Varland's role to begin 2025 may ultimately depend on the health of the Twins' other rotation options this spring.