Luis Patino

Luis Patino

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Tampa Bay Rays
2023 Fantasy Outlook
2022 was a lost season for Patino who went down early with an oblique injury in his first start of the season and then later with shoulder discomfort limiting him to six starts at the major league level and another 11 in rehab and development in the minors. He had one very impressive outing against the lowly Royals in mid-August, but high other outings were disastrous including one outing where the Yankees hung nine earned runs on him in 1.1 inning of work. The numbers were terrible because he pitched from behind more often than not and the league rightly sat fastball and got what they were looking for. If his command and/or durability do not improve, he could be converted into a power reliever moreso than a starter, but Tampa Bay will give his mechanics and body every attempt to succeed before pushing him to the pen. The talent is there, but the execution is not yet there. A very late round dart throw at best until something changes for the better. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#586
ADP
$Traded to the Rays in December of 2020.
Moving to relief at Triple-A
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
May 7, 2023
Patino has been moved to the bullpen at Triple-A Durham, Kristie Ackert of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
Patino threw a scoreless inning Saturday for Durham in his first relief appearance of the season following a 6.66 ERA in six starts. While it doesn't necessarily look like a permanent move, if Patino helps the Rays in 2023 it seems like it will be as a reliever. "The best version that we saw of Luis was probably in (2021), I think when he was coming out of the bullpen for us," manager Kevin Cash said. "He was very, very powerful."
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-12%
BAA vs RHP
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-33%
BAA vs LHP
2021
 
 
-27%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2021vs Left .268 194 27 27 44 8 0 6
Since 2021vs Right .235 237 58 15 51 10 0 12
2023vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022vs Left .250 46 5 6 10 1 0 1
2022vs Right .372 52 6 7 16 5 0 5
2021vs Left .274 148 22 21 34 7 0 5
2021vs Right .201 185 52 8 35 5 0 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
 
 
-57%
ERA at Home
2023
No Stats
2022
 
 
-82%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2021Home 3.28 1.18 57.2 4 3 0 7.2 3.0 1.4
Since 2021Away 7.71 1.74 39.2 2 2 0 8.8 5.2 2.0
2023Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2022Home 3.68 1.36 14.2 1 1 0 4.9 3.7 1.8
2022Away 20.25 3.56 5.1 0 1 0 5.1 11.8 5.1
2021Home 3.14 1.12 43.0 3 2 0 8.0 2.7 1.3
2021Away 5.77 1.46 34.1 2 1 0 9.4 4.2 1.6
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Patino See More
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87 days ago
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139 days ago
Jason Collette's annual overview of overlooked players includes Eduardo Rodriguez, who shouldn't be forgotten about despite a poor first season in Detroit.
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234 days ago
For his end-of-year-wrap-up, Erik Halterman goes by round to list his risers to see how they performed vs. their earned auction value ranking, starting with Mookie Betts in Round 1.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
For as hard as Patino throws (96 mph), he's been a disappointment so far in his short career. While he has a 9.0 K/9, the walks (4.1 BB/9) and home runs (1.4 HR/9) have pushed his ERA near 4.50 with a 1.37 WHIP. He's basically just a fastball-slider pitcher and so far he's had problems navigating lineups even a second time. The fastball (11.3 SwStr%) and slider (14.2 SwStr%) generate a good number of swings-and-misses, but most of the contact he allows is in the air (30.8 GB%). To make matters worse, his performance deteriorated as the season went on with a 21.8 K-BB% in the first half that dropped to 10.6% in the second half. The 22-year-old has the opportunity to turn it around for a team that has historically put its pitchers in good position to succeed.
While many were clamoring for MacKenzie Gore to get the call, it was Patino who earned a promotion from the alternate site in August -- almost three months before his 21st birthday. He was promoted explicitly to work out of the bullpen and logged between one and 2.1 innings in all 11 of his appearances. It was a massive jump for the Colombian fireballer, who had only two starts above High-A under his belt prior to getting invited to the Padres' alternate site. As a flyball pitcher who walked an uncharacteristically high percentage of batters (16.5 BB%), Patino struggled to prevent runs. He leaned heavily on his 97-mph fourseamer (touches 100), throwing his changeup and slider a combined 35 percent of the time. The Padres are open to Patino winning a rotation spot this spring, but it's also possible he could reprise a multi-inning role out of the bullpen or continue developing as a starter at Triple-A.
Other than the high-risk nature of young pitchers who throw hard, Patino has few flaws. At 6-foot, he is undersized for a right-handed starter; he struggles to generate groundballs (38.4 GB% at High-A); and he dealt with a blister at the end of the season -- sometimes blisters reoccur. Everything else about the 20-year-old generates glowing praise. He has been the youngest starting pitcher in every full-season league he has played in. With his arsenal, it is easy to see why. His pitches all have excellent life, and it starts with his mid-90s fastball, which is a 70-grade pitch. He throws a hard slider that flashes plus and is working on getting more consistent with his changeup. His command/control improved as the season went on and he made two starts at Double-A as a 19-year-old. With good health, he will throw 100-plus innings for the first time and could reach the majors in some capacity.
A dominant full-season debut allowed Patino to emerge as a top-five pitching prospect in the top system in baseball, which is no small feat. Among Midwest League pitchers who threw at least 80 innings, Patino had the lowest FIP (2.33), lowest WHIP (1.07), highest K-BB% (22.4) and also happened to be the youngest pitcher in that subset. He dominates with a mid-90s fastball and a pair of potentially plus breaking balls. His changeup is still a work in progress, but given his age and advanced feel, it would not be surprising if that too ended up being a plus pitch for the 6-foot, 192-pound righty. He threw 70-plus pitches in all but one of his 17 starts, so he has experience turning a lineup over multiple times. While there is a temptation to ding shorter righties, Patino’s repertoire will allow him to have success at the highest level. From a dynasty-league perspective, the only knock is that he is a pitching prospect who is a couple years away from the majors.
More Fantasy News
Optioned to Triple-A
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 25, 2023
Patino was optioned to Triple-A Durham on Saturday, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Struggling in recent starts
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 25, 2023
Patino was knocked around for seven runs in 2.2 innings in his final spring start Friday against the Mets, raising his Grapefruit League ERA to 11.17.
ANALYSIS
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Holding opponents scoreless
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 12, 2023
Patino has thrown 5.1 scoreless innings with five strikeouts and three walks in three appearances in the Grapefruit League.
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Option for rotation
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
March 1, 2023
Patino is a candidate to enter the Rays rotation while Tyler Glasnow (oblique) remains sidelined, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Being built up as starter
PTampa Bay Rays  AAA
February 24, 2023
Rays manager Kevin Cash confirmed Friday that Patino (shoulder) is being built up as a starter this spring, Neil Solondz of the Rays Radio Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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