Luis Robert

Luis Robert

25-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Chicago White Sox
Out
Injury Wrist
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Robert's durability issues subsist after he was able to play in only 98 games, albeit a new personal high. He dealt with a groin issue, COVID-19, lightheadedness/blurred vision, a sprained wrist and a bruised hand. Through it all, Robert lowered his strikeout rate to a career-best 19.2%, but his average exit velocity dropped, and he hit more groundballs. The result was a drop in both power and batting average though Robert's running picked up a tad. With so many injuries over his first three seasons, it's impossible to gauge Robert's true skill level, other than to say it has the potential to be elite. Nothing in his litany of injuries appears to be chronic, so there is hope Robert can shake the health bug and develop. The temptation of a healthy season showing off plus power and speed is keeping Robert as a top-12 outfielder in early drafts. Giving in is a matter of risk management with such a huge reward. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a six-year, $50 million contract extension with the White Sox in January of 2020. Contract includes $20 million team options for 2026 and 2027.
Ruled out for season
OFChicago White Sox
Wrist
September 24, 2022
Robert (wrist) won't play again in 2022, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Robert was placed not he 10-day IL with a left wrist sprain Saturday, and the White Sox will keep him sidelined for the final week and a half of the regular season. The 25-year-old appeared in just 98 games this year while battling injuries, and he slashed .284/.319/.426 with 12 home runs, 56 RBI, 54 runs and 11 stolen bases. Mark Payton was recalled from Triple-A Charlotte to provide additional outfield depth for the White Sox down the stretch.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
17
38
7
2
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
8
11
1
1
2
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+44%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+9%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .994 204 41 11 38 2 .348 .402 .592
Since 2020vs Right .759 705 87 25 91 24 .273 .315 .444
2022vs Left .909 87 15 3 14 1 .354 .402 .506
2022vs Right .701 314 39 9 42 10 .266 .296 .405
2021vs Left 1.235 68 13 6 16 0 .397 .441 .794
2021vs Right .860 228 29 7 27 6 .321 .360 .500
2020vs Left .799 49 13 2 8 1 .262 .347 .452
2020vs Right .731 163 19 9 22 8 .218 .288 .442
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+6%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+16%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+18%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+21%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .832 414 66 20 60 14 .289 .333 .499
Since 2020Away .784 503 62 16 69 12 .287 .332 .452
2022Home .682 169 24 6 21 8 .253 .296 .386
2022Away .791 232 30 6 35 3 .306 .336 .455
2021Home 1.026 148 27 8 25 3 .351 .399 .627
2021Away .869 148 15 5 18 3 .326 .358 .511
2020Home .805 97 15 6 14 3 .258 .299 .506
2020Away .663 123 17 5 16 6 .194 .293 .370
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Stat Review
How does Luis Robert compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.22
 
BB Rate
4.2%
 
K Rate
19.2%
 
BABIP
.329
 
ISO
.142
 
AVG
.284
 
OBP
.319
 
SLG
.426
 
OPS
.746
 
wOBA
.327
 
Exit Velocity
89.3 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
30.6%
 
Barrels/PA
6.7%
 
Expected BA
.272
 
Expected SLG
.449
 
Sprint Speed
22.6 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
45.1%
 
Line Drive %
22.0%
 
Fly Ball %
32.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Luis Robert
2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Way Too Early Top 300 Draft Ranks
46 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
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59 days ago
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MLB Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook Today: MLB Picks, Player Props and Parlays for October 5
61 days ago
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Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: End of Regular-Season Wrap-Up
69 days ago
Jeff Stotts breaks down significant injuries as the MLB regular-season winds down and he starts with Ronald Acuna, who's had a disappointing season while recovering from an ACL tear suffered last season.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Robert was slashing .316/.359/.463 before suffering a Grade 3 right hip flexor strain on May 2. He returned on Aug. 9 and then raked, posting a .350/.389/.622 line over his final 43 games. Robert's power was supported with a 94.8 mph flyball exit velocity, but his .394 BABIP was due to regress 40-50 points. That said, a BABIP in that range fuels a high batting average, especially if Robert can maintain the contact gains. To wit, Robert fanned at a 20.6% clip, the best of his professional career. He's not patient, but in today's game, walks are secondary to solid contact with power. Robert also possesses elite speed, putting him in the five-category class. Health is the only obstacle to first-round/$30-plus status. While he was fully recovered from his hip tear, Robert left the White Sox's last playoff game with right leg tightness. He'll be healthy for 2022, but it serves to reiterate the injury risk.
Sky-high expectations reached outer space after Robert signed a long-term extension with the White Sox in January of 2020 before making his major-league debut. We all had to wait longer than expected for that debut, but Robert did not disappoint early with a .298/.348/.612 line, 10 homers and four steals in 33 games through the end of August. Arbitrary endpoint warning: Robert then hit .136/.237/.173 with 32 strikeouts and one extra-base hit in his final 93 PA after the calendar flipped to September. There is a learning curve for all players and it was easy to see that Robert would have some growing pains at some point because for as highly-touted as he was as a prospect, the plate skills are unrefined. The tools are off the charts and the considerable upside makes it tempting to overlook the fact that he's still a work in progress. He will likely be batting in the middle of an exciting White Sox lineup.
If we were just scouting the stats (.328 AVG, 32 HR, 36 SB) across Robert's stops at High-A, Double-A and Triple-A, he would be the top prospect in baseball. However, there are some small areas of concern. First, he had a 129:28 K:BB in 122 games, and it's not like he was particularly young (by top prospect standards) for the levels he played at in his age-21/22 season. He struggles to pick up offspeed pitches, which could result in strikeout rates north of 30% early on against MLB pitching. Robert's elite athleticism should allow him to largely overcome those issues and be a productive fantasy outfielder from Day 1. His plus-plus raw power and plus speed will translate to some 30-20 or even 40-20 seasons, but it may take a few years for him to not be a BA drain. He is unlikely to ever be a positive contributor in OBP, but Robert should debut right away after inking a long-term deal in January.
Robert has impressive physical tools, but his stock has dipped since the White Sox committed $52 million to sign him in 2017. A left thumb injury erased his first two months of 2018. He was eased back with a two-week Sally League assignment before getting promoted to the Carolina League, where his age and pedigree suggested he belonged. Robert re-injured his thumb after just nine games with Winston-Salem and did not return until early August. The only level where he has ever been a below league-average hitter (81 wRC+) was the only level (High-A) where he was age-appropriate. In fact, his only two home runs in 68 stateside games came in the hitter-friendly Arizona Fall League, where he slashed .324/.367/.432 with a 13:5 K:BB and five steals in 18 games. He has tools (plus power, plus speed) that are tough to give up on, but the odds seem long that he will hit for a high average while displaying that 25-25 upside in the big leagues.
The final impact Cuban prospect to sign under the old international rules, Robert received a $26 million bonus from the White Sox, resulting in a $52 million commitment after the overage tax. A lean, athletic 6-foot-3 center fielder, Robert hadn't played competitively for about a year when he signed, so he was eased into pro ball in the Dominican Summer League. The 20-year-old's production should be essentially thrown out, as the talent disparity between Robert and the rest of the DSL would be akin to sending an established major leaguer to Double-A for 28 games. Evaluators agree that he is a plus runner with premium bat speed that could lead to plus power. However, there are conflicting reports about how he projects as a hitter. Some think he will hit for a relatively high average with good on-base skills, while others think his swing may need to be overhauled if he is to make enough contact against upper-level pitching. He is an extreme upside gamble in dynasty leagues. Robert is expected to be assigned to Low-A or High-A.
More Fantasy News
Lands on injured list
OFChicago White Sox
Wrist
September 24, 2022
Robert landed on the injured list with a sprained left wrist Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Remains on bench Friday
OFChicago White Sox
September 23, 2022
Robert isn't starting Friday's game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out Thursday
OFChicago White Sox
September 22, 2022
Robert isn't starting Thursday against Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to bench Wednesday
OFChicago White Sox
September 21, 2022
Robert isn't starting Wednesday against the Guardians, Daryl Van Schouwen of the Chicago Sun-Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of Sunday's lineup
OFChicago White Sox
September 18, 2022
Robert is not in Sunday's lineup against the Tigers, James Fegan of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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