Out
Injury Oblique
Est. Return 2/1/2024
2023 Stats
W-L
4-8
ERA
6.65
WHIP
1.65
K
79
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Severino experienced arm soreness so the Yankees initially took it easy on the Tommy John recoveree, but it wasn't long before Severino was up to speed. He posted a 3.45 ERA and 1.07 WHIP with 95 punchouts in 86 innings through July 13, but then a lat injury sent Severino to the 60-day IL. He returned for three starts in September, registering a 1.69 ERA and .63 WHIP with 17 strikeouts in 16 frames. Including rehab and playoffs, Severino logged 123.1 innings, so he shouldn't be under too much of a restriction, likely nothing more than a few maintenance days. Severino's 27.7% strikeout rate was lower than pre-TJS while his 7.4% walk rate was a little high, as was his home run rate. His 96.3-mph fastball was down a tick, but when he came back in September, Severino was throwing 97-98 mph. There is risk, but Severino can post SP1 numbers, albeit with fewer innings, drafted much later than the staff anchors. Read Past Outlooks

Heads to Mets on one-year pact
Severino (oblique) agreed to a one-year, $13 million contract with the Mets on Wednesday, Jeff Passan of ESPN.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old right-hander will make the short move to Queens after a rollercoaster eight-year run with the crosstown Yankees. He arrived in the Bronx with loads of promise back in 2015 but has battled a range of injuries over the last handful of seasons. It was a high-grade oblique strain that cut short his 2023 campaign, and he stumbled to a 6.65 ERA in 89.1 innings when healthy. That said, Severino should be 100 percent by the beginning of spring training in 2024 and figures to have a spot in the Mets' Opening Day rotation if he gets through camp without any physical complications. His career ERA in the majors is 3.79.
The 29-year-old right-hander will make the short move to Queens after a rollercoaster eight-year run with the crosstown Yankees. He arrived in the Bronx with loads of promise back in 2015 but has battled a range of injuries over the last handful of seasons. It was a high-grade oblique strain that cut short his 2023 campaign, and he stumbled to a 6.65 ERA in 89.1 innings when healthy. That said, Severino should be 100 percent by the beginning of spring training in 2024 and figures to have a spot in the Mets' Opening Day rotation if he gets through camp without any physical complications. His career ERA in the majors is 3.79.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
86
Last 10 Games
87
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Luis Severino generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Luis Severino generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-16%
BAA vs RHP
2023
-19%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .269 | 68 | 27 | 94 | 19 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .225 | 131 | 38 | 93 | 18 | |||
2023vs Left | .333 | 34 | 17 | 61 | 11 | |||
2023vs Right | .271 | 45 | 17 | 52 | 12 | |||
2022vs Left | .196 | 34 | 10 | 32 | 8 | |||
2022vs Right | .195 | 78 | 20 | 40 | 6 | |||
2021vs Left | .333 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |||
2021vs Right | .059 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-30%
ERA at Home
2023
-40%
ERA at Home
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 3.82 | 1.18 | 94.1 | 9.4 | 2.6 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 5.42 | 1.37 | 103.0 | 8.7 | 3.3 | ||||
2023Home | 4.87 | 1.33 | 40.2 | 7.5 | 3.1 | ||||
2023Away | 8.14 | 1.91 | 48.2 | 8.3 | 3.7 | ||||
2022Home | 3.14 | 1.06 | 51.2 | 11.0 | 2.3 | ||||
2022Away | 3.22 | 0.93 | 50.1 | 8.8 | 3.0 | ||||
2021Home | 0.00 | 1.00 | 2.0 | 9.0 | 0.0 | ||||
2021Away | 0.00 | 0.25 | 4.0 | 13.5 | 2.3 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
2.32K/9
8.0BB/9
3.4HR/9
2.3Fastball
96.5 mphERA
6.65WHIP
1.65BABIP
.342GB/FB
1.43Left On Base
64.5%Exit Velocity
83.0 mphBarrels/BBE
5.8%Spin Rate
2202 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
26.3%Swinging Strike
9.7%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Severino returned to MLB game action 18 months and three weeks after undergoing Tommy John surgery at the end of February in 2020. He made five appearances out of the Yankees' bullpen over the final 10 days of the regular season and into the postseason, giving up one earned run on three hits and two walks while striking out nine in 7.1 innings. While he looked like the same guy on the mound, Severino's average velocity on his four-seamer was 95.4 mph, down from averages of 97.8 mph in 2018 and 96.0 mph in 2019. His slider was also down a couple ticks from the 88 mph it averaged from 2016 through 2018. It's possible he could gain a tick of velocity as he gets even further removed from the surgery, and even if everything remains where it was in 2021, Severino still has premium stuff. Heading into his age-28 season, the biggest concern with the 6-foot-2 righty is quantity of innings. A healthy Severino is the Yankees' second-best starter, so he should be a part of the rotation, but he will likely have some starts skipped and probably won't go much more than five or six innings, even when he's dealing.
More Fantasy News

Resumes throwing
Severino (oblique) has progressed to throwing in his rehab process and is feeling good, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out with high-grade oblique strain
Severino will miss the remainder of the season after being diagnosed with a high-grade left oblique strain, Brendan Kuty of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Placed on injured list
Severino landed on the 15-day injured list with an upper-body injury on his left side Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Will undergo testing on side
Severino will undergo diagnostic testing on his left side Saturday after his early departure from Friday's game against the Brewers.
ANALYSIS
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Exits start with injury
Severino was removed from his start Friday versus the Brewers due to an apparent injury, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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