Luke Raley

Luke Raley

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Seattle Mariners
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Did anyone have Raley stealing more bases in 2023 than Ozzie Albies, Jeremy Pena, or Adolis Garcia? Yea, that really happened. Not bad for a player who was out of options coming into camp and was nearly cut at the end of camp. Raley refused to let that happen, as he continued to hit becoming a more nimble version of Ji-Man Choi for the Rays as someone who could come in and generate offense against righties (133 wRC+, 17 homers) and play both first base and a corner outfield position. Raley is built like a tight end and is yet deceptively quick which is why the club permitted him to attempt 17 steals last season. He does have voluminous swing and miss in his game but is also quite capable of barreling up mistakes to all fields. His role in 2024 should be more of the same but the swing and miss in his game opens the door to more volatility in his outcomes than other players. Set expectations around 375-400 plate appearances, which takes him off mixed league draft plans. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#333
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Mariners in March of 2024.
Idle against lefty
OFSeattle Mariners
July 12, 2024
Raley is out of the lineup for Friday's game against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Raley will yield to Victor Robles in left field Friday as the Angels trot out southpaw Tyler Anderson. Raley had started each of the Mariners' previous three games, going 1-for-10 with two runs scored.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
6
15
14
8
10
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
2024
 
 
+37%
OPS vs RHP
2023
 
 
+13%
OPS vs RHP
2022
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .653 101 10 3 5 0 .237 .287 .366
Since 2022vs Right .777 646 86 27 74 20 .241 .321 .455
2024vs Left .543 44 5 1 2 0 .195 .250 .293
2024vs Right .743 225 28 9 24 6 .246 .304 .440
2023vs Left .741 43 5 2 2 0 .268 .302 .439
2023vs Right .834 363 51 17 47 14 .247 .337 .497
2022vs Left .721 14 0 0 1 0 .273 .357 .364
2022vs Right .553 58 7 1 3 0 .180 .293 .260
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2024
 
 
+34%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+131%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .762 350 46 13 39 14 .229 .313 .448
Since 2022Away .758 397 50 17 40 6 .250 .320 .438
2024Home .816 132 17 6 19 6 .264 .321 .496
2024Away .609 137 16 4 7 0 .213 .270 .339
2023Home .792 187 24 7 19 8 .222 .323 .469
2023Away .850 219 32 12 30 6 .272 .342 .508
2022Home .337 31 5 0 1 0 .111 .226 .111
2022Away .778 41 2 1 3 0 .265 .366 .412
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Stat Review
How does Luke Raley compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.09
 
BB Rate
3.0%
 
K Rate
32.1%
 
BABIP
.327
 
ISO
.180
 
AVG
.241
 
OBP
.295
 
SLG
.420
 
OPS
.716
 
wOBA
.316
 
Exit Velocity
89.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
32.3%
 
Barrels/PA
4.8%
 
Expected BA
.225
 
Expected SLG
.395
 
Sprint Speed
25.3 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
47.7%
 
Line Drive %
19.4%
 
Fly Ball %
32.9%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
Raley seemed destined for a bigger major-league opportunity when he was traded from the Dodgers to the Rays shortly before Opening Day, but he wound up with the exact number of plate appearances (72) for the second year in a row and similar production, as well. He crushed the ball again at Triple-A, which should be expected since he was 27 at the time (now 28) and repeating the level for a third time. Raley has good raw power and has shown elite sprint speed in the majors, but he might not ever make enough contact for it to matter. He's out of options, so it could be make-or-break time.
Raley made his big-league debut for the Dodgers last season and had a .538 OPS in 72 plate appearances, and he'll now joined the Rays after being traded for third time in his career. Raley spent most of last year at Triple-A Oklahoma City where he slashed .294/.393/.570 with 19 home runs, 69 RBI, 60 runs and eight stolen bases across 72 minor-league appearances He'll compete for a depth role in the outfield behind Tampa Bay's established group of Randy Arozarena, Kevin Kiermaier, Manuel Margot and Austin Meadows, with top prospect Josh Lowe also waiting in the wings. He could find a platoon role in the outfield if an opportunity emerges.
The Dodgers reacquired Raley in February of 2020; they traded him to the Twins in the Brian Dozier deal back in 2018 and got him back in the return for Kenta Maeda. Raley never joined the Dodgers' major-league roster in 2020, but at press time he remains on the club's 40-man roster. That's subject to change as he has to be on the short list for removal as a 26-year-old who had a 30.4 K% and 5.1 BB% at Triple-A. He bats from the left side and Raley has a little pop, but it's going to be tough for him to hit enough to clear the high bar that is required of corner outfielders at the MLB level.
A dislocated tendon in his left ankle held Raley to just 33 games with Triple-A Rochester, but that was enough for the Twins to shield him from the Rule 5 draft, putting him on the 40-man roster. Raley slashed .302/.362/.516 for the Red Wings. He was sidelined from mid-May until late September, rehabbing from surgery. Raley is a stocky 6-foot-4, 235 pounds but is athletic for his frame, totaling 19 triples in 2017-2018 and swiping 17 bases in 18 tries from 2017-2019. Still, his game is power though Raley needs to improve his plate skills to fully tap into it. He fanned 42 times to only seven walks in 138 plate appearances during his truncated 2019 campaign. Look for Raley to return to Rochester to work on contact. His lefty bat could make its way to Minnesota as a reserve if he cuts down on the strikeouts as he can play both corner outfield spots while filling in at center field in a pinch.
More Fantasy News
Knocks 10th homer Saturday
OFSeattle Mariners
July 7, 2024
Raley went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in a loss to the Blue Jays on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Plates pair in victory
OFSeattle Mariners
July 6, 2024
Raley went 1-for-3 with a two-run double in a win over the Blue Jays on Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up steal in loss
OFSeattle Mariners
July 2, 2024
Raley went 0-for-3 with a stolen base in Tuesday's 2-0 loss to the Orioles.
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Three hits Sunday
OFSeattle Mariners
July 1, 2024
Raley went 3-for-5 with a double, an RBI and a run scored in Sunday's 5-3 loss to the Twins.
ANALYSIS
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Back in lineup
OFSeattle Mariners
June 29, 2024
Raley (shoulder) will bat fifth and play left field Saturday against Minnesota.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
On fire in May
OFSeattle Mariners
May 22, 2024
Raley has a .396/.439/.679 slash line with four homers through 16 games in May.
ANALYSIS
Raley's career in Seattle got off to a slow start as he posted a .505 OPS and 30.4 percent strikeout rate in March and April, but his bat has come alive this month. The 29-year-old opened the campaign with a semi-regular spot in the lineup, but he's now started 12 of the past 13 games. Raley has seen most of his action in the corner outfield but also has four starts at first base.
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