MacKenzie Gore

23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Out
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 2/1/2023
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Say it with us: there is no such thing as a pitching prospect. For all the hype Gore has had in the minors, he has averaged 50 innings a season in the minors over five seasons of work at that level and his time in the majors this past season was also disrupted by an elbow issue. While he was able to avoid surgery, his fantasy outlook certainly changed when he was traded from the situation in San Diego to the mess in Washington for the forseeable future. Gore's fastball performed decently enough, but his breaking stuff was simply too hittable as both his curveball and slider had actual and expected batting averages .250 or higher. Remove the name from the situation, and you have a pitcher whose secondary stuff is still developing pitching for a team that is very likely to finish last in its division, maybe even by a healthy margin. Reset leagues should have little to no interest in this situation for 2022 while keeper and dynasty leagues can approach things differently if he is not already rostered in either situation. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Traded to the Nationals in August of 2022.
Won't return in 2022
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 30, 2022
Gore (elbow) won't make a start for the Nationals prior to the end of the regular season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The Nationals hoped that Gore would be able to make his debut for the team prior to the end of the season, but he'll be held out due to uncertain weather. However, he feels healthy heading into the offseason and expects to be back to 100 percent in time for spring training in 2023.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2022 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
79
Last 10 Games
77
Last 5 Games
67
How many pitches does MacKenzie Gore generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does MacKenzie Gore generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
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9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-27%
BAA vs LHP
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .193 71 15 13 11 1 2 0
Since 2020vs Right .263 238 57 24 55 8 0 7
2022vs Left .193 71 15 13 11 1 2 0
2022vs Right .263 238 57 24 55 8 0 7
2021vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-39%
ERA on Road
2021
No Stats
2020
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 5.67 1.53 33.1 1 3 0 9.5 4.9 0.8
Since 2020Away 3.44 1.42 36.2 3 1 0 9.1 4.7 1.0
2022Home 5.67 1.53 33.1 1 3 0 9.5 4.9 0.8
2022Away 3.44 1.42 36.2 3 1 0 9.1 4.7 1.0
2021Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2021Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2020Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does MacKenzie Gore compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.95
 
K/9
9.3
 
BB/9
4.8
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
94.7 mph
 
ERA
4.50
 
WHIP
1.47
 
BABIP
.320
 
GB/FB
1.20
 
Left On Base
73.0%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.0%
 
Spin Rate
2192 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
26.2%
 
Swinging Strike
10.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring MacKenzie Gore
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39 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
Mound Musings: The “Kids on Parade” Watch List for 2023
60 days ago
As the MLB regular season draws to its conclusion, Brad Johnson presents his Kids on Parade list, and at the top sits Grayson Rodriguez, the Orioles' star prospect.
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Pitching remains Jan Levine's focus for the final week of September.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
Gore was the consensus top pitching prospect in baseball in 2019, but he struggled so much in 2021 that he spent time in the Arizona Complex League and didn't necessarily look like a future starter against rookie-level hitters. Through nine innings of big-league spring training, he has elevated his stock, striking out 11 while giving up just two runs and five baserunners. At the very least, he is back on the redraft radar and could push for starts early this season. Whether he can successfully turn a big-league lineup over twice remains to be seen, but at least for now, things are trending up.
Those highest on Gore thought he would debut in 2020, even in a shortened season, so the fact that he did not is relevant. The Padres maintain Gore was not promoted in part because they want him to debut in the rotation, not the bullpen, which is supposedly why Luis Patino got the call over him in August. He was on the postseason taxi squad, but it was Ryan Weathers whom the Padres turned to when they allowed a left-handed pitching prospect to make his MLB debut in a playoff game, not Gore. If they thought Gore was up for debuting in the rotation, they would have found room for him, so the fact is, he was kept down for performance reasons. He struggled with his command for much of the summer and needs to get more consistent with his secondary offerings. Gore's upside remains high and there have been no reports of an injury, so he will once again be a player to track this spring.
Gore turns 21 in February and finished 2019 with five starts at Double-A, so he is well ahead of schedule. Even so, one pitcher under 23 qualified for leaderboards last year, so we should never assume that a 21- or 22-year-old pitcher is ready to provide positive fantasy value. Other than left-handedness, there is nothing we would say about Gore that we wouldn't have said about Forrest Whitley a year ago, and we know how Whitley's 2019 played out. Gore has prototypical size (6-foot-3, 195 pounds), four plus pitches and plus control. If he avoids significant arm injuries, he should be one of the game's top starting pitchers during his prime, but realistically we are still a few years away from the beginning of his prime. San Diego likes to aggressively promote prospects, so there is a scenario where he spends a good chunk of the year in the big-league rotation, but don't pay for the best-case scenario.
In early April, farm director Sam Geaney said publicly that the Padres were intent on fast-tracking Gore through the minor-league ranks. Unfortunately, injuries -- namely blister issues -- got in the way. A blister on Gore's left hand forced him to the DL to begin the season, and he struggled mightily in two starts upon his return before the issue put him right back on the shelf. Gore went on a brilliant run shortly after his return in June, posting a 2.25 ERA, 1.03 WHIP and 43:13 K:BB over a seven-start stretch (32 innings) and reminding everyone why he is one of the most highly-regarded left-handed pitching prospects in the game. Gore's season ended prematurely due to a fingernail problem and he finished with just 60.2 innings, all at the Low-A level. The lost development time likely takes a 2019 debut off the table, but if he can build up past 110 innings or so this season, Gore could be a rotation regular for most of 2020.
The 2017 draft had a lot of high-end pitching talent, but Gore stands out as the cream of the crop. A prep product from North Carolina, Gore was drafted third overall by the Padres, receiving a slightly over-slot $6.7 million bonus. The 6-foot-2 lefty made his pro debut in the AZL and struck out five or more in five of his seven starts, despite never going more than four innings. Gore utilizes a mid-90s fastball and a knee-buckling curveball, both of which are at least plus pitches. He features a unique, straightened leg kick that comes up to his chin -- a timing mechanism that he is able to repeat from pitch to pitch. Gore’s intensity on the mound is another separator among his peers. In just 21.1 innings, he has already established himself as one of the game’s best pitching prospects. He should be one of the first few players from last year’s draft to come off the board in dynasty leagues, and has the potential to cruise to the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
On track for one MLB start
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 27, 2022
Gore (elbow) is trending toward making one start for the Nationals before the end of the season, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another rehab start coming Monday
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 23, 2022
Gore (elbow) will make another rehab start for Triple-A Rochester on Monday, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Next rehab outing Wednesday
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 20, 2022
Gore (elbow) will make a rehab start for Triple-A Rochester on Wednesday, Paul Mancano of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Works 2.2 frames in rehab start
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 20, 2022
Gore (elbow) struck out two and worked around four hits and two walks to cover 2.2 scoreless innings in his most recent rehab start Friday for Triple-A Rochester.
ANALYSIS
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Will make another rehab start
PWashington Nationals
Elbow
September 13, 2022
Gore (elbow) is scheduled to make his next rehab start Friday with Triple-A Rochester, Mark Zuckerman of MASNSports.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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