Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman

29-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Toronto Blue Jays
2023 Fantasy Outlook
2022 was a mixed bag of fantasy success for Chapman. He made the adjustment from Oakland to Toronto, and an eight-percentage point reduction in his strikeout rate helped him raise his batting average 19 points last season. Yet, he still hit 14 points below the league average and simply replicated his home run total from the previous season when many were expecting a Rogers Centre boost to his homers away from O.co Coliseum. On the plus side, he once again avoided the IL as he has done for three of the past four seasons but even hitting .250 in a season appears to be a distant memory for him as he has not done so now in four seasons. He still makes excellent hard contact and could potentially benefit from the new shifting rules as his wOBA against the shift fell 103 points when he changed divisions. It would be foolish to expect a full rebound in that area as a well-positioned second baseman next to the bag still has a fighter's chance of stopping anything up the middle. He would hit higher in a less talented lineup as he did in Oakland, but that is not likely to happen in Toronto in 2023. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a two-year, $23 million contract with the Blue Jays in March of 2022.
Takes seat for matinee
3BToronto Blue Jays
October 5, 2022
Chapman isn't starting the first game of Wednesday's doubleheader against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
Chapman was scheduled to get a day off for Tuesday's matchup before the game was postponed, and he'll instead sit for Wednesday's matinee. Cavan Biggio is starting at the hot corner and batting fifth.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
6
26
36
51
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
6
8
14
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+5%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+2%
OPS vs RHP
2021
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+31%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left .774 349 53 19 44 3 .231 .315 .459
Since 2020vs Right .736 1046 127 45 129 2 .217 .314 .422
2022vs Left .747 118 17 4 12 0 .245 .322 .425
2022vs Right .759 503 66 23 64 2 .225 .324 .435
2021vs Left .806 208 31 14 30 3 .228 .317 .489
2021vs Right .670 414 44 13 42 0 .201 .312 .358
2020vs Left .642 23 5 1 2 0 .190 .261 .381
2020vs Right .841 129 17 9 23 0 .240 .279 .562
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2022
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
2021
 
 
+24%
OPS on Road
2020
 
 
+58%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .763 690 90 36 88 2 .220 .316 .447
Since 2020Away .729 705 90 28 85 3 .221 .312 .417
2022Home .826 300 42 19 46 0 .240 .333 .492
2022Away .693 321 41 8 30 2 .218 .315 .379
2021Home .639 307 33 10 29 2 .185 .296 .342
2021Away .791 315 42 17 43 1 .234 .330 .461
2020Home .975 83 15 7 13 0 .273 .325 .649
2020Away .617 69 7 3 12 0 .185 .217 .400
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Chapman compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.40
 
BB Rate
11.0%
 
K Rate
27.4%
 
BABIP
.277
 
ISO
.204
 
AVG
.229
 
OBP
.324
 
SLG
.433
 
OPS
.757
 
wOBA
.333
 
Exit Velocity
92.2 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
40.2%
 
Barrels/PA
7.7%
 
Expected BA
.234
 
Expected SLG
.440
 
Sprint Speed
23.0 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
34.0%
 
Line Drive %
17.4%
 
Fly Ball %
48.5%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
Chapman missed the second half of the abbreviated 2020 season after undergoing surgery to repair a torn hip labrum. While he continued to flourish defensively in 2021 -- he took home his third Rawlings Gold Glove at the hot corner -- his struggles on the other side of the ball make it hard to not wonder if he was still experiencing discomfort in his hip. After seeing his K% drop in both 2018 and 2019, Chapman endured ugly swing-and-miss numbers for the second year in a row. His 202 strikeouts set an Athletics franchise record and left him behind only Joey Gallo for the major-league lead. Despite his struggles making contact, however, Chapman was still able to log 27 home runs and a career-high 80 walks while slashing .210/.314/.403. Fantasy owners can expect the 28-year-old's elite defense to keep him in the lineup everyday, and if he's able to cut down substantially on his strikeout numbers, Chapman still possesses an offensive ceiling that could be worth taking a flyer on in 2022.
If defense was a category in standard mixed leagues, Chapman could be a top-20 selection. Even without the glove, there is so much to like about him at the plate. He does not hit for a high average, but when he puts a ball in play, it comes off his bat hot. His batted-ball metrics in 2020 were near the top of the league in terms of hard contact, but something was off. His strikeout rate had improved every season from 2017-2019, but it spiked in 2020 in a big way, jumping from 21.9% to 35.5%. That, coupled with a plunge in his walk rate, showed something was not right, and then we learned Chapman was going to shut it down early to have hip labrum surgery in September. Players who recently had the same surgery include Troy Tulowitzki (2014), Mark Canha (2016), Nick Ahmed (2016) and Buster Posey (2018). Check out their subsequent seasons as you decide where you want to draft Chapman in 2021.
Chapman burnished his reputation as one of the sport's top two-way talents in 2019, popping 36 homers and claiming his second Platinum Glove. The 26-year-old may have already reached his peak defensively, but fortunately for fantasy purposes, there's reason to think his best is yet to come on the offensive side. Though Chapman took steps forward in terms of isolated power (.257) and plate discipline (career-best 21.9 K% and 11.1 BB%), a 29-point drop in batting average from 2018 kept him from being a top-10 fantasy option at the loaded third-base position. Chapman's elite exit velocity and hard-hit rate offer hope for a turnaround in BABIP, but he'll still likely need to trade more groundballs for line drives before he becomes a trusted annual batting-average asset. Even if that never comes to fruition, Chapman's plate skills as is make him eminently valuable and give him a high floor in three categories.
One of the league's best defenders, Chapman built on the offensive skills he teased during his 84-game big-league debut in 2017, increasing his batting average, OBP and SLG all by at least 30 points. He cut his K% from 28.2 to 23.7 and maintained a walk rate above 9%. While hitting second for his final 57 games of the season, he rolled to the tune of a .294/.354/.563 line over 254 plate appearances. Chapman held several prominent spots on the 2018 Statcast leaderboards, highlighted by an eighth-place finish in average exit velocity (93.0 mph). He underwent left thumb surgery in October and shoulder surgery in December, but the expectation is that he will be fine for spring training. As long as his March tune-ups look normal, Chapman should end up a bargain in mixed leagues, but expect the price to climb in AL-only, where playing time with Chapman's stability will command a surcharge.
Many of the skills that Chapman showcased in Oakland's farm system were on display during his first year in the majors. He was solid defensively, helping turn 34 double plays, ranking fourth among American League third basemen. The power translated, as Chapman finished the year with 14 home runs, 23 doubles and two triples (.472 slugging percentage) in just over a half-season's worth of games (84). He also walked at a strong 9.8 percent clip. Strikeouts hindered what could have been a great showing; Chapman struck out in 28.2 percent of his plate appearances, which was in line with what he'd done at Double-A Midland and Triple-A Sacramento where his K-rates always hung around the 30.0 percent mark. His defensive ability should keep Chapman at the hot corner close to every day in 2018. It'd be nice to see him cut down on strikeouts, but there's enough here already to like Chapman as a low-cost corner infield option.
Chapman has done almost all of his damage at Stockton, a park notorious for artificially boosting the stock of hitting prospects, and Midland, which also favors hitters. He sold out for power at Double-A, posting a 29.2 percent strikeout rate, and was even more power-hungry after a brief promotion to Triple-A, notching just a 101 wRC+ despite hitting seven home runs in 18 games. This is not the first time an A's hitting prospect has boosted their stock at High-A and Double-A, but Renato Nunez and Matt Olson, for instance, are younger, have reached the big leagues, and have shown the ability to make contact at an acceptable clip in the upper levels of the minors. Chapman has more raw power than those two, but he may also have the worst hit tool of the three. Unless he can close some of the holes in his swing, Chapman seems destined to occupy the short side of a platoon. With Ryon Healy's emergence, that may come in right field or at DH.
Chapman was the A's first-round selection in 2014, and that pick started paying dividends in 2015, as he slugged 23 homers at High-A Stockton in only 304 at-bats. Chapman greatly improved his walk rate from 3.5% in 2014 to 11.1% in 2015 while keeping his strikeouts stable. His ISO of .316 was extremely promising and most scouting reports rave about his raw power. Chapman projects to be a solid third baseman on defense and possesses a gigantic arm — he actually pitched at Cal State Fullerton and threw in the mid-90s. He was scheduled to play in the 2015 Arizona Fall League, but a lingering wrist injury caused him to skip it. Assuming the wrist is healed by the spring, Chapman will probably begin the season in Double-A with his likely debut in Oakland coming in 2017.
Chapman was the A's first-round pick in 2014 out of Cal State Fullerton. The third baseman received 207 professional at-bats in 2014, mostly at Low-A Beloit, where he hit only .246 with five homers. His plate discipline still needs to be refined, as he struck out 47 times in 2014 while only walking eight times. There was some concern about the amount of swing-and-miss in Chapman's approach entering the draft, but he could become a good right-handed bat in time. If Chapman fails to stick as a position player, he could eventually surface as a late-inning reliever, as he touches 98 mph with his fastball. As a position player, Chapman profiles as a gap power hitter with solid bat speed and a cannon of an arm at the hot corner. He could move through the system reasonably quickly if he puts the contact concerns to rest, and the A's are likely to assign him to High-A Stockton to begin 2015.
More Fantasy News
Resting Tuesday
3BToronto Blue Jays
October 4, 2022
Chapman is not in Tuesday's lineup against the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Notches two extra-base hits
3BToronto Blue Jays
September 21, 2022
Chapman went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, three RBI and two additional runs in Tuesday's 18-11 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Goes yard twice Friday
3BToronto Blue Jays
September 17, 2022
Chapman went 3-for-4 with two home runs, three RBI and three runs scored in Friday's 6-3 win over the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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Drops in order with Springer back
3BToronto Blue Jays
September 5, 2022
Chapman will serve as the Blue Jays' designated hitter and No. 6 batter in the first game of Monday's doubleheader with the Orioles.
ANALYSIS
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On base three times against BoSox
3BToronto Blue Jays
August 24, 2022
Chapman went 2-for-4 with a walk, a triple, a run scored and an RBI in Tuesday's 9-3 win over the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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