Mick Abel

21-Year-Old PitcherP
Philadelphia Phillies AA
2023 Fantasy Outlook
The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a $4.08 million contract with the Phillies in June of 2020.
Joining big-league camp
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
January 24, 2023
Abel will attend the Phillies' big-league camp this spring.
The 2020 first-round pick remains an interesting prospect, but he's been passed within his own organization by 2021 first-rounder Andrew Painter, who's moved into the conversation for top pitching prospect in the game. Painter appears to have a legitimate shot to break camp in the majors, but Abel isn't at that stage yet. That's not an insult to Abel, who's just 21 years old and has yet to reach Triple-A. He owns a 27.6 percent strikeout rate in 23 professional starts, but he'll need to trim his 10.6 percent walk rate to take the next step. If a 2023 major-league debut is in the cards, it will probably happen late in the year.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
55 days ago
Jesse Siegel provides his latest prospect review, with a look at another potential future star in Detroit.
Rookie Pitcher Tiers 2.0
83 days ago
James Anderson updates his pitching prospect tiers for 2023 value only, in which he explains why he is not paying the price to roster Orioles righty Grayson Rodriguez.
Rookie Pitcher Tiers 1.0
128 days ago
James Anderson ranks rookie pitchers for 2023 value within tiers, and Astros righty Hunter Brown is one of four pitchers in the top tier.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
May 10, 2022
Jesse Siegel continues his look at the progress of a few phenoms.
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
May 18, 2021
Jesse Siegel analyzes the Rays' prospect strategy while providing updates on a few up-and-comers from around the leagues.
2021 Fantasy Outlook
The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.
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Receives bump to Double-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
August 14, 2022
The Phillies are promoting Abel from High-A Jersey Shore to Double-A Reading on Sunday, Matt Gelb of The Athletic reports.
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Skidding in High-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
July 17, 2022
Abel has a 5.28 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 27:14 K:BB across his last five starts (29 innings) for High-A Jersey Shore.
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Missing bats in High-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
May 3, 2022
Abel has posted a 3.86 ERA, 1.07 WHIP and 23:3 K:BB across 14 innings spanning four starts for High-A Jersey Shore.
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Expected to open in High-A
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
April 4, 2022
Abel is expected to open the 2022 season at High-A, according to Baseball America.
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Dealing with shoulder tendinitis
PPhiladelphia Phillies  AA
August 24, 2021
Abel is battling shoulder tendinitis and may not pitch again until the instructional league, Scott Lauber of The Philadelphia Inquirer reports.
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