Mick Abel

23-Year-Old PitcherSP

Philadelphia Phillies

2025 Stats

W-L

1-0

ERA

2.35

WHIP

1.11

Rest-of-Season Projections

W-L

ERA

WHIP

Unlock Our Projections

2025 Fantasy Outlook

Abel's prospect stock has trended down each year since he was selected No. 15 overall in 2020. Initially he was seen as a potential No. 1 pitching prospect type, but he has never posted a walk rate below 10 percent and his stuff has stagnated. Abel logged a 6.46 ERA, 1.81 WHIP and a 117:78 K:BB in 108.2 innings at Triple-A last season and is unlikely to be more than an up-and-down arm in 2025. The Phillies added him to the 40-man roster, which is the natural thing to do with a pitcher you've invested this much in, but Abel's name value and pedigree are doing all of the lifting with regards to any remaining perceived dynasty value. Read Past Outlooks

RANKS

Rest of Season

Dynasty

From Preseason

Prospect

#361

ADP

League Majors

Bats R

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'5"

Weight 210

DOB 8/18/2001

Born Portland, OR

College None

Drafted 1st Rd 2020 PHI

Hurt by long ball

PPhiladelphia Phillies

June 11, 2025

Abel allowed three runs on six hits and three walks while striking out three in four innings Tuesday against the Cubs. He did not factor into the decision.

ANALYSIS
Abel showcased some shaky command Tuesday after two strong starts to begin his major-league career. He gave up solo home runs to Dansby Swanson, Ian Happ and Michael Busch -- all on pitches left up in the zone. Abel finished his day on a strong note, however, by striking out Kyle Tucker with the bases loaded and a full count. The team announced Tuesday that Aaron Nola (ribs) could be out through the All-Star break, so Abel should be able to stick around through the summer as long as he doesn't completely implode. He's currently lined up to face the Marlins on the road next week.

Read More News

Pitching Stats

Loading Pitching Stats...

2025

2025 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Pitching Game Log...

Minor League Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...

Pitching Appearances Breakdown

Average Pitch Count

Last 10 Games

Last 5 Games

How many pitches does Mick Abel generally throw?

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

1-10

11-20

21-30

31-40

41-50

51-60

61-70

71-80

81-90

91-100

101-110

111-120

121+

What part of the game does Mick Abel generally pitch?

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

1st

2nd

3rd

4th

5th

6th

7th

8th

9th

Extra

% Games Reaching Innings Threshold

% Games By Number of Innings Pitched

Left/Right Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-13%

BAA vs LHP

2025

-13%

BAA vs LHP

2024

No Stats

2023

No Stats

	BAA	Batters	K	BB	H	2B	3B	HR
Since 2023vs Left	.226	33	10	2	7	0	0	2
Since 2023vs Right	.259	28	4	1	7	0	1	1
2025vs Left	.226	33	10	2	7	0	0	2
2025vs Right	.259	28	4	1	7	0	1	1
2024vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023vs Left	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023vs Right	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Pitching Splits

Since 2023

-37%

ERA on Road

2025

-37%

ERA on Road

2024

No Stats

2023

No Stats

	ERA	WHIP	IP	W	L	SV	K/9	BB/9	HR/9
Since 2023Home	2.70	1.40	10.0	1	0	0	10.8	2.7	2.7
Since 2023Away	1.69	0.56	5.1	0	0	0	3.4	0.0	0.0
2025Home	2.70	1.40	10.0	1	0	0	10.8	2.7	2.7
2025Away	1.69	0.56	5.1	0	0	0	3.4	0.0	0.0
2024Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023Away	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Mick Abel compare to other starting pitchers?

This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

K/BB

4.67

K/9

8.2

BB/9

1.8

HR/9

1.8

Fastball

95.8 mph

ERA

2.35

WHIP

1.11

BABIP

.273

GB/FB

0.94

Left On Base

101.6%

Exit Velocity

84.5 mph

Barrels/BBE

3.2%

Spin Rate

2486 rpm

Balls Hit 95+ MPH

37.1%

Swinging Strike

12.4%

Prospect Rankings History

Advanced Pitching Stats

Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...

Defensive Stats

Loading MLB Defensive Stats...

Stats Vs Today's Lineup

Want more matchup stats?

View Mick Abel vs. Batter Stats

Loading Matchup Stats...

Phillies Depth Chart

Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.

Subscribe Now

Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Mick Abel See More

MLB Picks: PrizePicks Plays and Strategy for Tuesday, June 10

2 days ago

Tuesday's best PrizePicks plays include one on rookie Phillies starter Mick Abel, but in which direction?

NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week

4 days ago

A few returning hitters feature in the latest NL pickup review.

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week

5 days ago

Brace yourself for some subpar outings from fantasy baseball pitchers over the next week while planning for those in more favorable situations.

MLB DFS Pitcher & Team Stacks Guide for Wednesday, June 4

8 days ago

Ryan Pohle dives into team stacks and pitchers for Wednesday's MLB slate, featuring San Diego's Nick Pivetta in a favorable matchup against the Giants.

Fantasy Baseball Rankings: Top Pitchers This Week

12 days ago

It'll be important to select the right pitchers for the upcoming week with June promising increased offense.

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2024

2023

2021

Abel may have been passed by Andrew Painter as the most exciting pitching prospect in the Phillies' organization, but he got to spend 2023 as the team's most exciting healthy pitching prospect after Painter suffered an elbow injury in March which wound up requiring Tommy John surgery. In some circumstances, that status would have led Abel to a potentially premature MLB debut, but the Phillies didn't wind up needing to reach into their minor-league system for additional depth, and Abel's numbers in 22 outings for Double-A Reading meant he wasn't forcing his way in. Abel's 27.5% strikeout rate was strong and was nearly an exact match for his 27.6% mark from 2022, but his already worrisome 10.6% walk rate jumped all the way to 13.5%. The result was a rather ordinary 4.14 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Abel won't turn 23 until August, so he has plenty of time to get his 6-foot-5 frame under control and learn to find the zone on a more regular basis. If he does, his stuff will make him a frontline arm, but each season in which he continues to walk too many batters increases the likelihood that he tops out as an unreliable back-end starter or a reliever.

The Phillies present us with a great example of why it's fine to draft prep righties in first-year player drafts, it's just not wise to draft them with high picks. Abel was a trendy early-round target in 2021 and Andrew Painter was an affordable mid-round option in 2022, and now Painter's dynasty value greatly outpaces that of Abel. Standing 6-foot-5 and armed with a power arsenal, Abel has consistently missed bats (K% over 27% at every stop) while also consistently walking too many batters (BB% over 10% at every stop). His 1.33 WHIP in 108.1 innings at High-A and Double-A is a good illustration of the risk he still carries, even though he is healthy and in the upper levels. Additionally, Abel is an extreme flyball pitcher (38.9 GB% at High-A, 26.3 GB% at Double-A) who will someday call Citizens Bank Park home, which is not a great recipe. He won't turn 22 until August, and a significant step forward with his control could lead to a breakout year. If he doesn't take that step forward, president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski could use him to upgrade the big-league club at the trade deadline.

The only real knock on Abel is that he comes from the riskiest subset of draft prospects: prep righties. As such, the expectation should be that he won't work out, but he could be an ace if he does, which is why the Phillies selected him with the No. 15 overall pick in last year's draft. He sat at 95-99 mph with his fastball during the fall instructional league, and at 6-foot-5, 190 pounds, he could be throwing even harder (without increasing his effort) in a year or two. Abel has the best command among last year's crop of high school arms -- he projects for plus command down the road. His plus mid-80s slider is his best offspeed pitch, and he is currently working on improving his changeup and curveball, both of which have promise. On paper, Abel looks like a future No. 1 or No. 2 starter, but as we are often reminded, high school right-handers can often break our hearts in pro ball.

More Fantasy News

Impresses once again Wednesday

PPhiladelphia Phillies

June 4, 2025

Abel didn't factor into the decision Wednesday against the Blue Jays after giving up one run on three hits and no walks in 5.1 innings. He struck out two.