2026 Stats
W-L
12-9
ERA
2.56
WHIP
1.06
K
193
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2026 Fantasy Outlook
While Messick is clearly a big-league starter due to the depth of his arsenal and his ability to handle a heavy workload, he performed a little over his head across seven starts in the majors to close 2025. Messick is a crafty, 25-year-old lefty with a burly 6-foot, 225-pound frame and three straight years of 121-plus innings. He logged a 3.47 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 18.8 K-BB% across 98.2 innings (20 starts) at Triple-A before logging a 2.72 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 38 strikeouts in 39.2 innings for the big club. His 3.6 percent walk rate and 47.9 percent groundball rate in the majors were easily better than any such rates he logged in the minors, while his 11.5 percent swinging-strike rate was lower than at any of his minor-league stops. Messick throws two distinct low-90s fastballs as well as a slider, curveball and changeup -- all of which were thrown at least 13 percent of the time in the majors. His two breaking balls have extreme horizontal movement and he logged a 31.2 percent whiff rate with his changeup, which is reserved primarily for right-handed batters. Given how well he pitched in the majors, Messick should be penciled into the Opening Day rotation, just don't expect him to prevent runs at the same clip over a full season. Read Past Outlooks
Messick allowed a run on six hits and a walk while striking out two over three innings in a no-decision versus the Royals on Sunday.
Analysis
Messick's start was a shorter one, as expected, since the Guardians had nothing to play for in the regular-season finale. This outing will function to keep him on a normal schedule heading into the playoffs, where he's expected to get a start in the ALDS. Messick allowed no more than three runs in any of his last 15 starts of the season, providing excellent consistency. He ends the regular season with a 12-9 record, 2.56 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 193:49 K:BB over 186.1 innings through 32 starts.
Messick's start was a shorter one, as expected, since the Guardians had nothing to play for in the regular-season finale. This outing will function to keep him on a normal schedule heading into the playoffs, where he's expected to get a start in the ALDS. Messick allowed no more than three runs in any of his last 15 starts of the season, providing excellent consistency. He ends the regular season with a 12-9 record, 2.56 ERA, 1.06 WHIP and 193:49 K:BB over 186.1 innings through 32 starts.
Pitching Stats
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2026 MLB Game Log
2026
2025
Minor League Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
89
Last 10 Games
89
Last 5 Games
80
How many pitches does Parker Messick generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Parker Messick generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2026
-16%
BAA vs RHP
| BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024vs Left | .247 | 58 | 14 | 57 | 6 | |||
| Since 2024vs Right | .224 | 173 | 41 | 138 | 15 | |||
| 2026vs Left | .245 | 49 | 13 | 46 | 5 | |||
| 2026vs Right | .206 | 144 | 36 | 103 | 12 | |||
| 2025vs Left | .256 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 1 | |||
| 2025vs Right | .302 | 29 | 5 | 35 | 3 | |||
| 2024vs Left | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| 2024vs Right | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | |||||||
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2024
-17%
ERA on Road
2026
-23%
ERA on Road
| ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2024Home | 2.84 | 1.14 | 111.0 | 9.9 | 2.2 | ||||
| Since 2024Away | 2.35 | 1.08 | 115.0 | 8.5 | 2.2 | ||||
| 2026Home | 2.90 | 1.15 | 93.0 | 10.2 | 2.4 | ||||
| 2026Away | 2.22 | 0.98 | 93.1 | 8.5 | 2.3 | ||||
| 2025Home | 2.50 | 1.06 | 18.0 | 8.5 | 1.0 | ||||
| 2025Away | 2.91 | 1.52 | 21.2 | 8.7 | 1.7 | ||||
| 2024Home | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| 2024Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Parker Messick compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
3.94K/9
9.3BB/9
2.4HR/9
0.8Fastball
95.5 mphERA
2.56WHIP
1.06BABIP
.284GB/FB
1.35Left On Base
80.9%Exit Velocity
81.2 mphBarrels/BBE
3.1%Spin Rate
2107 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
20.5%Swinging Strike
11.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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2025 Fantasy Outlook
Messick's dominance at Double-A last season oversells his pure stuff, but he's a crafty southpaw with a deep repertoire and good enough command to start. The 6-foot, 225-pound lefty was his normal solid self at High-A (20.1 K-BB%, 3.57 ERA, 1.28 WHIP), but he took things up a notch at Double-A, logging a 2.06 ERA, 1.01 WHIP and 24.3 K-BB% over 65.2 innings. Messick logged over 120 innings for the second year in a row, building up to a career-best 133.2 frames while splitting the year evenly between High-A and Double-A. His low-90s fastball (touches 96 mph) has good movement, which allows the pitch to play up in the zone, and his low-80s changeup is a borderline plus offering. He also mixes in a cutter, slider and curveball, none of which are above-average, but they're good enough offerings to keep hitters off balance. The Guardians have no shortage of rotation options in the upper levels of the minors, and Messick isn't on the 40-man roster yet, but he could still pitch his way to the show in the second half of 2025.
More Fantasy News
Will start Sunday vs. Kansas City
Messick will be the Guardians' starter for Sunday's regular-season finale against the Royals, Tim Stebbins of MLB.com reports.
Analysis
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No-decision against Boston
Messick did not factor into the decision Tuesday against the Red Sox, allowing one run on five hits and one walk while striking out five over five innings.
Analysis
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Secures 12th win
Messick (12-9) picked up the win Wednesday, giving up three runs on seven hits over six innings in a 6-3 win over the White Sox. He struck out eight without walking a batter.
Analysis
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Limits Twins to one run
Messick didn't factor into the decision Friday against the Twins after allowing one run on three hits and two walks while striking out five over 5.1 innings.
Analysis
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Strikes out 12 in loss
Messick (11-9) took the loss against the Tigers on Saturday, allowing three runs on seven hits and two walks with 12 strikeouts over six innings.
Analysis
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