Randy Arozarena

Randy Arozarena

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Arozarena's third consecutive 20-20 season may look like more of the same, but there is more under the hood here. While his .254 batting average was the worst of his career and a continued decline in average, he was more accepting of walks than he has ever been in his career and used the OBP resurgence to set a new career high in runs scored. He improved his chase rate on the season, and it would have been even better if not for a massive slump in July as he prepared and then participated in the home run derby which saw him hit .153 with his lowest monthly walk rate of the season. 16 of his 23 homers came before the break and his .279 first half average against his .220 second half average show just how much that slump hurt his overall numbers. Arozarena has seen his fantasy futures rise from risky single-digit round pick to a safe first five round selection in a short time, but this is likely his fantasy peak. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#43
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $8.1 million contract with the Rays in January of 2024.
Rare day off Thursday
OFTampa Bay Rays
April 18, 2024
Arozarena is absent from the lineup for Thursday's contest versus the Angels.
ANALYSIS
Arozarena will get just his second day off this season while he's stuck in a 2-for-23 rut at the plate that has dropped his slash line to .174/.240/.275 for the season. While Arozarena rests, Harold Ramirez will pick up a start in left field.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
6
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
8
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+38%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .838 302 45 15 42 16 .271 .351 .487
Since 2022vs Right .735 1092 132 30 136 42 .245 .333 .402
2024vs Left .547 35 4 1 3 3 .161 .257 .290
2024vs Right .396 60 6 1 3 1 .143 .200 .196
2023vs Left .828 138 22 8 18 5 .254 .362 .466
2023vs Right .778 516 73 15 65 17 .254 .364 .413
2022vs Left .923 129 19 6 21 8 .317 .364 .558
2022vs Right .734 516 53 14 68 24 .249 .318 .416
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+30%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2022
Even Split
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .753 683 86 22 92 35 .246 .338 .415
Since 2022Away .762 711 91 23 86 23 .255 .336 .426
2024Home .497 57 7 2 6 4 .154 .228 .269
2024Away .382 38 3 0 0 0 .143 .211 .171
2023Home .779 319 49 11 42 16 .245 .364 .415
2023Away .798 335 46 12 41 6 .262 .364 .434
2022Home .774 307 30 9 44 15 .264 .332 .442
2022Away .771 338 42 11 45 17 .261 .322 .448
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Stat Review
How does Randy Arozarena compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.30
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
28.4%
 
BABIP
.190
 
ISO
.080
 
AVG
.149
 
OBP
.221
 
SLG
.230
 
OPS
.451
 
wOBA
.209
 
Exit Velocity
91.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.7%
 
Barrels/PA
4.2%
 
Expected BA
.212
 
Expected SLG
.375
 
Sprint Speed
21.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
45.0%
 
Line Drive %
15.0%
 
Fly Ball %
40.0%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Randy Arozarena See More
MLB Picks: PrizePicks Plays and Strategy for Monday, April 22
Yesterday
Saturday's PrizePicks include Randy Arozarena, who likely is not going to emerge from his current slump while hitting against Tigers pitcher Tarik Skubal.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Throwing Shade
3 days ago
Juan Soto is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, and his New York Yankees are one of the teams playing a full seven games, as Todd Zola digs in with his Weekly Hitter Ranking for April 21-27.
Lineup Lowdown: American League
6 days ago
With Anthony Volpe vaulting up to the top of the New York Yankees' lineup, Ryan Boyer delivers Lineup Lowdown, with trends and movement up and down American League lineups.
Weekly Hitter Rankings: Manic Monday
10 days ago
Todd Zola presents the Weekly Hitter Rankings.
MLB DFS Picks: FanDuel Plays and Strategy for Tuesday, April 9
14 days ago
Tuesday's top MLB DFS options on FanDuel include Nathan Eovaldi in a home start against Oakland.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Mariners have inquired
OFTampa Bay Rays
December 4, 2023
The Mariners inquired with the Rays earlier this offseason regarding the availability of Arozarena, Ken Rosenthal of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Rosenthal also confirms that the M's asked about Isaac Paredes, which had been previously reported. Tampa Bay reportedly is not looking to trade Arozarena but is listening to offers as it seeks to create some payroll flexibility. Meanwhile, the Mariners now have loads of financial wiggle room after dumping salary with their trades of Eugenio Suarez and Jarred Kelenic. Arozarena is projected to earn around $9 million via arbitration in 2024 and is under team control for two additional seasons.
See All MLB Rumors
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2017
Arozarena turned in his second consecutive 20-20 campaign despite not hitting his first long ball until May 9. He added 12 bags to his 2021 total and cut his strikeout rate by close to four percentage points. Statcast's expected stats paint Arozarena's game in a rather unfavorable light, but keep in mind only Trea Turner, Jose Ramirez and Arozarena have gone 20-20 the past two seasons in Major League Baseball. This is a rare skill set and the outfielder seems to like his round numbers as he briefly talked about the possibility of 20-40 after reaching 20 homers in late September. A lot hinges on Arozarena continuing to play every single day, which generally goes against the Rays' philosophy. He has been the exception to the rule the past couple seasons.
Arozarena is many things, but one thing he never is is boring. He set an impossibly high bar for his fantasy output with his improbable performance in September and October of 2020, yet still was one of just 10 players to post a 20-20 season and even did something only mimicked by Shohei Ohtani in that he hit 20 homers, stole 20 bases and was caught 10 times. By mid-June, Arozarena was 10-for-11 in steals, but then he went 10-for-19 the rest of the way, going over two months without a steal at one point while seven of his 20 steals came in the final three weeks of the season. He is streaky in every way possible, and his expected offensive statistics should raise some eyebrows considering his results well outpaced his expected outcomes. He will punish misplaced fastballs, but the league has also shown an ability to use his aggressiveness against him to get himself out. He's a risky early-round pick.
A hitter who was never a top-100 prospect and just had the best statistical postseason ever is technically still a prospect. He doesn't feel like it anymore, though, and Arozarena is six years older than Wander Franco. Arozarena has notable regular-season splits (279 wRC+, 11.1 K% vs. LHP, 125 wRC+, 31.9 K% vs. RHP), but he logged a 1.408 OPS, eight HR, and a 21.6 K% against RHP in his historic postseason run. Small samples are all we have with him against MLB pitching -- he hit lefties better than righties in the minors -- but it's safe to say he has the power (career .381 ISO) and sprint speed (93rd percentile) to go 20/20 in a full season. There is no doubt Arozarena will play almost every day early in 2021, but the Rays can be ruthless with platoons, so the main risk on this loaded roster would be that he struggles against righties early and starts ceding playing time to left-handed hitters.
Arozarena made his big-league debut at age 24, performing well in a small sample. He spent the bulk of the season in the high minors, hitting .344/.431/.571 with 15 homers and 17 steals in 92 games at the Double-A and Triple-A levels. All told, Arozarena had a 1.174 OPS in 84 PA against southpaws across the three levels (he had a 1.000 OPS in 96 PA vs. LHP in 2018), which was part of the appeal when the platoon-happy Rays acquired him from St. Louis in a multi-player offseason deal. His 12 home runs in 64 games at Triple-A were at least partially the product of the juiced ball at that level, but his sprint speed is in the 96th percentile. As one of their outfielders with minor-league options remaining, Arozarena is a long shot to break camp with the Rays. However, his ability to handle all three outfield spots and crush lefties could lead to opportunities at some point this summer.
Arozarena, who has been labeled as one of the top young Cuban prospects, inked a deal with the Cardinals in July of 2016. The 21-year-old's skill set is highlighted by his advanced plate discipline, plus contact skills and impressive speed on the basepaths. He operates more as a contact hitter, but has the tools to develop into a modest home run hitter in the future. During his last full season in the Cuban Serie Nacional, Arozarena batted .291/.412/.419 with 15 steals (21 attempts). He spent the 2015-2016 season playing in the Mexican Northern League, where he led all players in batting average and stolen bases. It is yet to be seen what position he will play for the Cardinals, as he has seen extended time at second base and the outfield in the past. It wouldn't be a surprise to see him start the season in full-season ball.
More Fantasy News
Stays aggressive on basepaths
OFTampa Bay Rays
April 17, 2024
Arozarena went 1-for-4 with an RBI and a stolen base Wednesday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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Swipes third bag
OFTampa Bay Rays
April 15, 2024
Arozarena went 1-for-4 with an RBI, a run scored and a stolen base Sunday against the Giants.
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Takes seat Sunday
OFTampa Bay Rays
April 7, 2024
Arozarena is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Rockies, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
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Powers team with homer, two steals
OFTampa Bay Rays
March 30, 2024
Arozarena went 2-for-3 with a walk, a solo home run, three total runs scored and two stolen bases in Saturday's 5-1 win over the Blue Jays.
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Could steal more aggressively
OFTampa Bay Rays
March 5, 2024
The Rays are focused on being more aggressive on the basepaths, which could help Arozarena's stolen base total in 2024, Marc Topkin of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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