2025 Stats
AVG
.252
HR
12
RBI
40
R
44
SB
15
Rest-of-Season Projections
2025 Fantasy Outlook
The Home Run Derby curse is mostly pseudo-science, but Arozarena is doing his best to disprove that line of thought. Arozarena was arguably on the best run of his regular-season career in 2023 prior to the derby, but he was terrible after it, and the 2024 season was mostly an extension of the same. Arozarena did get to another 20-20 season, and only he and Jose Ramirez have done that each of the past four seasons, but Arozarena has now had 926 post-derby plate appearances and has a .219/.332/.382 slash line with 27 homers and 32 steals. It was long expected the Rays would deal Arozarena in his expensive years, but the move to Seattle was a terrible one for his run production, and he hit five homers in 54 games after the trade. The puzzling part with Arozarena is the increased strikeout rate does not come from him chasing out of the zone, but instead because his in-zone contact rate has declined now for three consecutive seasons. He has become a more disciplined hitter these days, but his struggles against fastballs in 2024 (.221 vs .282 in 2023) were extremely concerning. The volume should once again be there, but at what cost? Read Past Outlooks
Signed a one-year, $11.3 million contract with the Mariners in January of 2025.
Keeps raking
Arozarena went 2-for-3 with a solo home run and a sacrifice fly during Wednesday's 3-2 win over the Royals.
Analysis
Arozarena has been on a tear lately, having homered in three consecutive games -- bringing his season total to 12 long balls -- and logging multiple hits in five straight contests. The outfielder's hot streak dates back 14 games, during which he's gone 21-for-56 (.375) with six doubles and four home runs.
Arozarena has been on a tear lately, having homered in three consecutive games -- bringing his season total to 12 long balls -- and logging multiple hits in five straight contests. The outfielder's hot streak dates back 14 games, during which he's gone 21-for-56 (.375) with six doubles and four home runs.
Batting Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
25
35
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
20
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2023
+9%
OPS vs LHP
2025
+5%
OPS vs LHP
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023vs Left | .815 | 415 | 17 | 47 | .257 | ||||
| Since 2023vs Right | .745 | 1259 | 38 | 136 | .233 | ||||
| 2025vs Left | .816 | 96 | 2 | 10 | .303 | ||||
| 2025vs Right | .780 | 276 | 10 | 30 | .227 | ||||
| 2024vs Left | .803 | 181 | 7 | 19 | .232 | ||||
| 2024vs Right | .688 | 467 | 13 | 41 | .214 | ||||
| 2023vs Left | .828 | 138 | 8 | 18 | .254 | ||||
| 2023vs Right | .778 | 516 | 15 | 65 | .254 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
| Minor League Splits→ | View Minor League Split Stats | ||||||||
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2023
Even Split
2025
+1%
OPS at Home
| OPS | PA | HR | RBI | AVG | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Since 2023Home | .761 | 805 | 32 | 98 | .227 | ||||
| Since 2023Away | .764 | 869 | 23 | 85 | .250 | ||||
| 2025Home | .796 | 173 | 9 | 23 | .217 | ||||
| 2025Away | .787 | 199 | 3 | 17 | .275 | ||||
| 2024Home | .724 | 313 | 12 | 33 | .216 | ||||
| 2024Away | .715 | 335 | 8 | 27 | .221 | ||||
| 2023Home | .779 | 319 | 11 | 42 | .245 | ||||
| 2023Away | .798 | 335 | 12 | 41 | .262 | ||||
| More Splits→ | View More Split Stats | ||||||||
Stat Review
How does Randy Arozarena compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
BB/K
0.42BB Rate
11.1%K Rate
26.4%BABIP
.324ISO
.187AVG
.252OBP
.361SLG
.439OPS
.800wOBA
.354Exit Velocity
91.7 mphHard Hit Rate
42.1%Barrels/PA
6.3%Expected BA
.251Expected SLG
.441Sprint Speed
21.6 ft/secGround Ball %
41.2%Line Drive %
19.4%Fly Ball %
39.4%Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2017
Arozarena's third consecutive 20-20 season may look like more of the same, but there is more under the hood here. While his .254 batting average was the worst of his career and a continued decline in average, he was more accepting of walks than he has ever been in his career and used the OBP resurgence to set a new career high in runs scored. He improved his chase rate on the season, and it would have been even better if not for a massive slump in July as he prepared and then participated in the home run derby which saw him hit .153 with his lowest monthly walk rate of the season. 16 of his 23 homers came before the break and his .279 first half average against his .220 second half average show just how much that slump hurt his overall numbers. Arozarena has seen his fantasy futures rise from risky single-digit round pick to a safe first five round selection in a short time, but this is likely his fantasy peak.
More Fantasy News
Lifts another homer
Arozarena went 2-for-4 with a solo home run in Tuesday's 6-3 loss to the Royals.
Analysis
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Crosses 100-homer mark in career
Arozarena went 2-for-4 with a pair of home runs and four RBI in Monday's 6-2 win over the Royals.
Analysis
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Swipes bag in loss
Arozarena went 2-for-3 with one RBI and a stolen base in Saturday's 3-2 extra-inning loss to the Rangers.
Analysis
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Productive month continues in loss
Arozarena went 1-for-3 with a walk in Wednesday's 2-0 loss to the Twins.
Analysis
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Swipes two bags
Arozarena drew three walks, was hit by a pitch, stole two bases and scored two runs in Sunday's 6-0 win over the Guardians.
Analysis
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Dodgers in pursuit?
According to Mark Feinsand of MLB.com, the Dodgers are interested in acquiring Arozarena from the Rays.
Analysis
The offensive production from Los Angeles' outfielders this season -- Teoscar Hernandez notwithstanding -- has been underwhelming, so adding an outfielder at the deadline would make sense. Arozarena has endured his own struggles and has a career-worst .213/.319/.398 slash line through 99 games, though his bat has come alive in July with a .949 OPS. The 29-year-old is making $8.1 million this season and has two more years of arbitration eligibility, and the cost-conscious Rays could look to cash in on the trade market before his salary soars.
The offensive production from Los Angeles' outfielders this season -- Teoscar Hernandez notwithstanding -- has been underwhelming, so adding an outfielder at the deadline would make sense. Arozarena has endured his own struggles and has a career-worst .213/.319/.398 slash line through 99 games, though his bat has come alive in July with a .949 OPS. The 29-year-old is making $8.1 million this season and has two more years of arbitration eligibility, and the cost-conscious Rays could look to cash in on the trade market before his salary soars.