15-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/1/2024
2023 Stats
W-L
0-1
ERA
8.10
WHIP
2.70
K
3
SV
0
Rest-of-Season Projections
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Fresh off winning the AL Cy Young with Toronto in 2021, Ray joined Seattle on a five-year, $115 million deal helped his new team break a 20-year playoff drought. However, the left-hander saw his effectiveness drop across the board and finished 2022 with a 3.71 ERA, 1.19 WHIP and 212:67 K:BB over 189 innings. He surrendered four runs in three frames during the wild-card round, and he then took a loss out of the bullpen in the ALDS without recording an out. It was an unceremonious end to the campaign as he surrendered 21 earned runs in his final 31 frames between the regular season and playoffs. Still, Ray had a solid 8.0 percent walk rate, which illustrates that his improved control from 2021 wasn't a one-year fluke. Now 31 years old, he likely won't be in contention for another Cy Young Award, but he should remain a strong mid-rotation piece for the Mariners if he can continue to keep the walks down. Read Past Outlooks

Undergoes Tommy John surgery
Ray underwent Tommy John surgery Wednesday, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
The procedure was performed by Dr. Keith Meister in Texas at the TMI Sports Medicine facility. Ray will travel to Arizona in a few weeks following his initial recovery to begin his rehab. The left-hander has already been ruled out for the remainder of the 2023 season, and it's very likely that Ray will miss time to begin the 2024 campaign as well.
The procedure was performed by Dr. Keith Meister in Texas at the TMI Sports Medicine facility. Ray will travel to Arizona in a few weeks following his initial recovery to begin his rehab. The left-hander has already been ruled out for the remainder of the 2023 season, and it's very likely that Ray will miss time to begin the 2024 campaign as well.
Pitching Stats
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2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2023 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log

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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
91
Last 5 Games
91
How many pitches does Robbie Ray generally throw?
1-10
11-20
21-30
31-40
41-50
51-60
61-70
71-80
81-90
91-100
101-110
111-120
121+
What part of the game does Robbie Ray generally pitch?
1st
2nd
3rd
4th
5th
6th
7th
8th
9th
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-10%
BAA vs LHP
2023
-38%
BAA vs RHP
BAA | K | BB | H | HR | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021vs Left | .203 | 91 | 13 | 56 | 10 | |||
Since 2021vs Right | .226 | 372 | 107 | 261 | 55 | |||
2023vs Left | .400 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |||
2023vs Right | .250 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | |||
2022vs Left | .212 | 44 | 5 | 29 | 4 | |||
2022vs Right | .236 | 168 | 57 | 134 | 28 | |||
2021vs Left | .187 | 44 | 7 | 25 | 6 | |||
2021vs Right | .216 | 204 | 46 | 125 | 27 | |||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2021
-26%
ERA at Home
2023
-100%
ERA on Road
ERA | WHIP | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Since 2021Home | 2.88 | 1.01 | 221.2 | 10.5 | 2.4 | ||||
Since 2021Away | 3.90 | 1.30 | 164.0 | 11.3 | 3.3 | ||||
2023Home | 8.10 | 2.70 | 3.1 | 8.1 | 13.5 | ||||
2023Away | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | ||||
2022Home | 3.02 | 1.02 | 110.1 | 10.0 | 2.4 | ||||
2022Away | 4.69 | 1.42 | 78.2 | 10.2 | 3.8 | ||||
2021Home | 2.58 | 0.94 | 108.0 | 11.0 | 2.1 | ||||
2021Away | 3.16 | 1.20 | 85.1 | 12.2 | 3.0 | ||||
More Splits→ | View More Split Stats |
Stat Review
How does Robbie Ray compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
K/BB
0.60K/9
8.1BB/9
13.5HR/9
0.0Fastball
93.0 mphERA
8.10WHIP
2.70BABIP
.385GB/FB
2.00Left On Base
44.4%Exit Velocity
77.0 mphBarrels/BBE
3.1%Spin Rate
2229 rpmBalls Hit 95+ MPH
25.0%Swinging Strike
9.9%Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Todd Zola breaks down Wednesday's box scores, which included a shutdown performance from Hunter Brown against the Rays.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A large majority of the baseball world missed on Ray last season, us included. Statistically speaking, there was no case for drafting Ray heading into 2021. He had posted a double-digit walk rate in four consecutive seasons, including a 17.9 BB% during the shortened 2020 campaign, he struggled with homers and his WHIP had been north of 1.33 in all but one of his big-league seasons. However, the lefty provided a valuable reminder that these players are human beings and not static numbers on a spreadsheet. After joining the Blue Jays on a one-year, $8 million deal, Ray went to work on his mechanics, reverting to an old three-quarters arm slot he had used in the past. His adjustments bore immediate fruit in spring training and Ray's dominance continued into the regular season, culminating in an improbable AL Cy Young Award. He was more confident attacking hitters and shaved more than 10 percentage points off his walk rate. The Mariners bought high in the form of a five-year, $115 million contract. You'll have to buy high too if you want him on your fantasy roster this season.
More Fantasy News

Needs surgery, done for season
Mariners manager Scott Servais announced Wednesday that Ray is scheduled to undergo season-ending surgery to repair the flexor tendon in his left elbow, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could return in middle of May
Mariners general manager Jerry Dipoto said Wednesday that Ray (elbow) could return from the 15-day injured list around the middle of May, Jen Mueller of Root Sports Northwest reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not ready to begin throwing program
Ray (elbow) told reporters before Tuesday's game against the Brewers that he's not quite ready to begin a throwing program, but that the progression on his left flexor strain has been good and he'll undergo an MRI later this week, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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To be re-evaluated Monday
Ray (elbow) will be re-evaluated Monday, after which a throwing program could be mapped out, Daniel Kramer of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Not cleared to throw yet
Mariners manager Scott Servais told reporters before Tuesday's game against the Cubs that Ray (elbow) hasn't started throwing yet but is feeling better, Ryan Divish of The Seattle Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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