Spencer Torkelson

Spencer Torkelson

24-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Detroit Tigers
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Torkelson had an underwhelming rookie campaign in 2022 with just eight home runs and a .604 OPS in 110 games, but he found his footing during his sophomore season with 31 long balls, 94 RBI, 88 runs and a .233/.313/.446 slash line. The counting stats are impressive given the production came as a member of Detroit's poor offense, which ranked 27th with an 89 wRC+. His defense at first base still leaves plenty to be desired, and he could see more run at designated hitter going forward with Miguel Cabrera headed for retirement. Torkelson's strikeout rate worsened slightly to 25.0 percent, but he improved his walk rate a bit to 10.0 percent. The real progress came in hard contact, as he significantly improved his barrel rate and hard-hit rate (to 14.1 percent and 50.5 percent, respectively). A .252 xBA and .480 xSLG also indicate some unfortunate luck for Torkelson, so it wouldn't be surprising if he takes another step forward in 2024. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#115
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in March of 2024.
Struggles continuing at Triple-A
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
July 22, 2024
Torkelson is slashing .229/.347/.375 with five home runs, a 14.8 percent walk rate and a 30.6 percent strikeout rate over 173 plate appearances at Triple-A Toledo since his June 3 demotion.
ANALYSIS
Though he's now been at Triple-A for a month and a half, Torkelson hasn't provided any evidence that he's made enough progress with his plate approach to return to Detroit. After turning in a .129 ISO in 229 plate appearances with the Tigers prior to his demotion, Torkelson has shown only slightly more pop at against lesser pitching (.146 ISO), and his strikeout rate is actually six points higher than what he posted in the majors. Expect the Tigers to continue to get by with a committee of players at first base until Torkelson starts producing at a level that warrants a call-up.
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Batting Stats
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2024
2023
2022
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
6
11
4
3
7
10
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
2
1
3
4
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2024
 
 
+31%
OPS vs LHP
2023
 
 
+12%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+11%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022vs Left .753 317 43 15 44 0 .225 .293 .460
Since 2022vs Right .660 1000 107 28 96 3 .216 .297 .363
2024vs Left .732 49 5 2 6 0 .222 .265 .467
2024vs Right .559 180 19 2 12 0 .195 .267 .293
2023vs Left .829 161 25 11 32 0 .231 .304 .524
2023vs Right .737 523 63 20 62 3 .233 .315 .421
2022vs Left .651 107 13 2 6 0 .216 .290 .361
2022vs Right .587 297 25 6 22 0 .198 .283 .304
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2022
 
 
+16%
OPS on Road
2024
 
 
+33%
OPS at Home
2023
 
 
+17%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+49%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2022Home .630 653 69 17 61 1 .198 .291 .339
Since 2022Away .733 664 81 26 79 2 .237 .301 .432
2024Home .685 112 13 3 11 0 .210 .295 .390
2024Away .515 117 11 1 7 0 .193 .239 .275
2023Home .699 340 39 11 37 1 .219 .312 .387
2023Away .816 344 49 20 57 2 .246 .314 .502
2022Home .484 201 17 3 13 0 .157 .254 .230
2022Away .722 203 21 5 15 0 .247 .315 .407
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Stat Review
How does Spencer Torkelson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.29
 
BB Rate
7.0%
 
K Rate
24.5%
 
BABIP
.253
 
ISO
.129
 
AVG
.201
 
OBP
.266
 
SLG
.330
 
OPS
.597
 
wOBA
.267
 
Exit Velocity
88.8 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
22.7%
 
Barrels/PA
3.0%
 
Expected BA
.192
 
Expected SLG
.325
 
Sprint Speed
22.9 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
36.4%
 
Line Drive %
9.1%
 
Fly Ball %
54.5%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Torkelson is a cautionary tale that prospect hype doesn't always translate to immediate MLB success. The No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 draft made his much-anticipated debut on Opening Day 2022 but never really got going for the Tigers. He batted .190 in April with a 33.8 percent strikeout rate, which set the tone for the rest of his rookie season. Torkelson was optioned to Triple-A Toledo in July to help get him back on track, and he returned to Detroit in September. He was marginally better over the final month of the season, batting .219 with a 21.7 percent strikeout rate. Overall, it was a disappointing campaign for the 23-year-old, but fantasy managers should remain patient. Torkelson was regarded as an elite hitter during his time at Arizona State, and prospects sometimes just take a little longer to get comfortable in the majors. The Tigers are also still very much in rebuilding mode, so they should have plenty of playing time available for Torkelson. If he gets off to a better start in his second season, he could hit his stride and never look back.
Torkelson, the No. 1 overall pick in the 2020 draft, climbed through the three highest levels of the minors in his first pro season and has made the Tigers' Opening Day roster to begin the 2022 campaign. All told, he hit .267/.383/.552 with 30 home runs, a 21.5 K% and a 14.5 BB% in 121 games, with his production getting slightly worse as he moved up the ladder. To cap things off, he hit .450 with eight walks and five strikeouts in seven Arizona Fall League games before a sprained ankle ended his run there. He excels at getting the ball in the air, logging groundball rates below 36% at every stop. For now, it seems Torkelson will be power over hit and better in OBP leagues than AVG leagues, but we're working with just one year's worth of data. Torkelson split time between first base and third base at High-A and Double-A, but he played first base exclusively at Triple-A, and that's his presumptive home in the majors. Seen as one of the best college hitters of the past couple decades, the Arizona State product hasn't notably increased or decreased his stock since entering pro ball, but he's expected to be the primary option at first for Detroit this year.
Perhaps the biggest question with last year's No. 1 overall pick is which position he will end up at. Torkelson has been labeled a generational college hitter by many evaluators -- one who projects to hit for big-time power with at least a plus hit tool. He has yet to play in an official minor-league game, but nothing about his offensive profile has changed since the draft, and he got plenty of quality reps at the alternate site and in fall instructs. However, in a surprising move, the Tigers have developed him strictly as a third baseman after Torkelson played first base exclusively at Arizona State. He says the transition has gone well and he expects to be able to handle the hot corner with more reps. There may be years where he is eligible at both corner-infield spots, but short of that, it doesn't really matter for fantasy. He could debut as early as this summer if he performs as expected.
More Fantasy News
Officially sent to Triple-A
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
June 3, 2024
The Tigers optioned Torkelson to Triple-A Toledo on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Heading to Triple-A
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
June 2, 2024
The Tigers are expected to option Torkelson to Triple-A Toledo on Monday, Evan Petzold of the Detroit Free Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Out of lineup Sunday
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
June 2, 2024
Torkelson is out of the lineup for Sunday's game against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Resting Friday
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
May 31, 2024
Torkelson is out of the lineup for Friday's game against Boston.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in three-hit game
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
May 26, 2024
Torkelson went 3-for-5 with a solo home run, a double and two additional runs scored in Sunday's 14-11 victory over Toronto.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Demotion not yet considered
1BDetroit Tigers  AAA
May 7, 2024
Tigers manager A.J. Hinch said after Tuesday's win over the Guardians that demoting Torkelson has yet to be discussed, and that the first baseman will "get the opportunity to work himself through it," reports Cody Stavenhagen of The Athletic.
ANALYSIS
Torkelson went 1-for-4 with a double, a walk and a run Tuesday and is still searching for his first home run of the season. The 24-year-old is coming off a 31-homer campaign but has a .218/.286/.308 slash line through 147 plate appearances in 2024. Torkelson has had a difficult time against fastballs in particular, as he entered Tuesday's contest with a .188 average against the heater. It seems Torkelson will remain Detroit's primary first baseman for the near future as he attempts to bust out of the slump, but fantasy managers will likely want to see some improvement before reinserting him into their lineups.
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