Tarik Skubal

Tarik Skubal

25-Year-Old PitcherSP
Detroit Tigers
60-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 5/1/2023
2022 Fantasy Outlook
To say Skubal's 4.34 ERA and 1.26 WHIP were league average is burying the lede. He posted those ratios despite a 5.5% home run rate, second to only Mike Foltynewicz among starting pitchers. Skubal kept his ratios in check with a 25.9 K% and 7.4 BB%. His 18.5 K-BB% was an impressive 27th among pitchers with at least 140 innings. Skubal's four-seamer was responsible for 22 of his 35 homers. Better location or even cutting back on its 43% usage rate could help Skubal keep the ball in the yard. The changeup was Skubal's most effective pitch with an 18.8 SwStr%, followed by his slider at 15%. Skubal's potential and likely presence on so-called sleeper lists will drive up the price for his sophomore campaign, potential wiping out profit. On the other hand, there are pathways to fewer homers, with that road potentially leading to elite status. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#190
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Tigers in August of 2020.
Undergoes flexor tendon surgery
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
August 17, 2022
Skubal, who has already been ruled out for the rest of the 2022 season, underwent successful flexor tendon surgery on his left elbow Wednesday, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
The 25-year-old was ruled out for the season last week and was set to visit a specialist in Los Angeles, who apparently determined that surgery was necessary. A typical recovery takes nine months, so Skubal is likely to miss significant time to begin the 2023 campaign. The lefty made 21 starts for Detroit this season and finished with a 3.52 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 117:32 K:BB across 117.2 innings.
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Pitching Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
91
Last 10 Games
92
Last 5 Games
90
How many pitches does Tarik Skubal generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Tarik Skubal generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-4%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2020
 
 
-48%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2020vs Left .249 240 49 9 56 16 0 2
Since 2020vs Right .240 997 266 80 216 44 2 51
2022vs Left .250 104 18 1 25 8 0 1
2022vs Right .234 373 99 31 79 20 2 8
2021vs Left .264 120 28 7 29 8 0 1
2021vs Right .240 514 136 40 112 20 0 34
2020vs Left .133 16 3 1 2 0 0 0
2020vs Right .258 110 31 9 25 4 0 9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2020
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2020
 
 
-59%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2020Home 3.46 1.15 158.2 9 12 0 8.7 2.6 1.1
Since 2020Away 4.99 1.31 135.1 7 11 0 10.5 2.9 2.1
2022Home 3.34 1.16 56.2 4 4 0 7.6 2.9 0.6
2022Away 3.69 1.15 61.0 3 4 0 10.2 2.1 0.7
2021Home 3.56 1.21 91.0 4 7 0 9.5 2.7 1.3
2021Away 5.55 1.34 58.1 4 5 0 10.5 3.1 3.4
2020Home 3.27 0.64 11.0 1 1 0 8.2 0.0 1.6
2020Away 7.88 1.81 16.0 0 2 0 11.8 5.6 2.8
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Tarik Skubal compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.66
 
K/9
8.9
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.7
 
Fastball
94.4 mph
 
ERA
3.52
 
WHIP
1.16
 
BABIP
.307
 
GB/FB
1.60
 
Left On Base
67.3%
 
Exit Velocity
81.5 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
2.8%
 
Spin Rate
2071 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
20.7%
 
Swinging Strike
12.1%
 
Prospect Rankings History
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tarik Skubal
Todd's Takes: Arsenals and Angles
30 days ago
Todd Zola analyzes pitchers with limited arsenals before tackling the most interesting fantasy fall-out from Wednesday's schedule.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
45 days ago
Mike Barner previews Wednesday’s Yahoo slate, making his picks to help you craft an effective DFS entry across a 15-game schedule.
Fantasy Baseball Injury Report: Kirilloff Slated for Surgery
53 days ago
The Twins will lose Alex Kirilloff for the remainder of the season as he undergoes a surgery to hopefully fix his lingering wrist woes that have caused him persistent pain.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2021
2020
Skubal had an uneven rookie season, but he emerged healthy and should have a rotation spot locked up for the foreseeable future. The 6-foot-3 southpaw's 94-mph fourseamer can touch 98 mph and plays up even more due to deception and extension. The rest of Skubal's repertoire is a work in progress, but a big lefty with a fastball that plays as a 70-grade pitch is a nice place to start. He has always been a flyball pitcher, and he gave up more home runs (nine) in 32 MLB innings than he did in 145 minor-league innings (seven). His 8.2 BB% was an improvement on the 10.6 BB% he logged at Double-A in 2019. Skubal didn't need to consistently execute his offspeed pitches to have success in the minors, and he should get more comfortable with those pitches going forward. If a couple of them can emerge as trustworthy offerings, he should be an effective high-strikeout starter who is susceptible to the long ball.
Skubal would be one of the game's best pitching prospects if we just scouted stats. Poor control caused him to fall in the 2018 draft as a redshirt junior out of Seattle University. He has always missed bats at an elite clip and logged 179 strikeouts in 122.2 innings in his first full season. He does it with a low-to-mid-90s fastball (touches 98) with late life that plays up due to a deceptive left-handed delivery. He doesn't consistently hit his spots, but Skubal's heater can be an unfair pitch regardless of where it is thrown (think Josh Hader), especially for minor leaguers. His middling secondaries play up as well because hitters are forced to gear up for the fastball. Sometimes he will break off a quality curveball or changeup, but they are inconsistent offerings. His injury history, command and secondaries point to a lights-out reliever role, but the Tigers will do their best to make him a starter.
More Fantasy News
Done for season, seeing specialist
PDetroit Tigers
Elbow
August 12, 2022
Skubal is visiting a specialist in Los Angeles on Monday to check on his elbow and isn't on track to return this season, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shifts to 60-day IL
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
August 12, 2022
Skubal (arm) was transferred to the 60-day injured list Friday.
ANALYSIS
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Resuming throwing program
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
August 5, 2022
Skubal (arm) is scheduled to restart his throwing program within the next couple days, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Heads to IL
PDetroit Tigers
Arm
August 3, 2022
The Tigers placed Skubal on the 15-day injured list Wednesday with left arm fatigue.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with forearm inflammation
PDetroit Tigers
Forearm
August 2, 2022
Skubal was diagnosed with left forearm inflammation Tuesday and is expected to miss at least one turn through Detroit's starting rotation, Chris McCosky of The Detroit News reports.
ANALYSIS
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