Trea Turner

Trea Turner

29-Year-Old ShortstopSS
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Turner finished the season as the 6th best fantasy player in standard formats with another strong season as a five-category contributor. The drop in batting average was offset by a surprising surge in RBIs thanks to hitting leadoff less frequently but more importantly, he avoided the injured list for just the second time in the past five full seasons. His speed buys him hits others cannot afford as his 33 infield hits helped prop up his average as he struggled with breaking balls (.247 average) throughout the season. Even as he approaches 30, he retains his elite speed and back-to-back full big volume seasons ease the health concerns that followed him in previous years. It is scary to think what Turner could accomplish in steals under the new rules as he was already one of the best thieves by success rate in the league. The only question is where he will suit up in 2023 as a free agent with a very full wallet as he remains a top five draft pick because the upside outweighs any risk. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
$Signed a one-year, $21 million contract with the Dodgers in March of 2022.
Cleared to play
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
October 15, 2022
Turner (finger) will bat second and play shortstop Saturday in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Turner jammed his right ring finger sliding back into first base on a pickoff attempt in Game 3, though he was able to remain in the game. His X-rays were negative, and while it's possible the injury affects him in some fashion, the fact the he's cleared not just to hit but also to throw is seemingly a good sign.
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Batting Stats
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2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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2018 MLB Game Log
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2017 MLB Game Log
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Minor League Game Log
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
19
55
38
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
23
21
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+26%
OPS vs LHP
2022
 
 
+13%
OPS vs LHP
2021
 
 
+39%
OPS vs LHP
2020
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020vs Left 1.037 408 79 24 69 10 .349 .400 .637
Since 2020vs Right .822 1193 172 36 142 61 .305 .351 .471
2022vs Left .886 183 28 10 29 3 .298 .344 .542
2022vs Right .782 523 73 11 71 24 .298 .342 .440
2021vs Left 1.150 167 36 11 32 4 .392 .437 .712
2021vs Right .828 479 71 17 45 28 .305 .353 .475
2020vs Left 1.191 58 15 3 8 3 .392 .466 .725
2020vs Right .918 191 28 8 26 9 .322 .372 .546
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2020
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2022
 
 
+3%
OPS on Road
2021
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2020
 
 
+37%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2020Home .865 783 115 29 98 45 .305 .358 .508
Since 2020Away .884 822 137 31 113 26 .325 .369 .516
2022Home .798 340 46 9 44 13 .292 .341 .457
2022Away .819 366 55 12 56 14 .303 .344 .475
2021Home .956 312 51 16 40 23 .336 .381 .574
2021Away .868 334 56 12 37 9 .320 .368 .500
2020Home .822 131 18 4 14 9 .261 .344 .478
2020Away 1.124 122 26 7 20 3 .407 .443 .681
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Stat Review
How does Trea Turner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Expected BA
    Expected Batting Average.
  • Expected SLG
    Expected Slugging Percentage.
  • Sprint Speed
    The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
  • Ground Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
  • Line Drive %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
  • Fly Ball %
    The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.
BB/K
0.34
 
BB Rate
6.4%
 
K Rate
18.6%
 
BABIP
.342
 
ISO
.169
 
AVG
.298
 
OBP
.343
 
SLG
.466
 
OPS
.809
 
wOBA
.352
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
31.4%
 
Barrels/PA
5.6%
 
Expected BA
.276
 
Expected SLG
.432
 
Sprint Speed
24.7 ft/sec
 
Ground Ball %
42.9%
 
Line Drive %
21.4%
 
Fly Ball %
35.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Batted Ball Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trea Turner
2023 Fantasy Baseball Rankings - Way Too Early Top 300 Draft Ranks
42 days ago
James Anderson provides a way too early top 300 rankings for those who have the itch to start drafting for 2023.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Friday Picks
48 days ago
Mike Barner is looking to build his Friday Yahoo MLB lineups around some surprisingly affordable Dodgers bats.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks
50 days ago
With a pair of NLDS Game 2's taking place Wednesday, Mike Barner has your Yahoo postseason DFS picks.
MLB Bets at FanDuel Sportsbook Today: NLDS Picks, Player Props and Parlays
50 days ago
Juan Blanco breaks down the best MLB bets available at the FanDuel Sportsbook for Wednesday's MLB Playoffs action.
The Z Files: NFBC Holdem Rankings and Strategies
52 days ago
Todd Zola shares his gameplan and his rankings for NFBC Postseason Holdem contests.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
The only flaw to Turner's 2021 season was that he led off in 72 games thereby limiting his RBI to just 77. He was the only hitter with at least 25 homers, 25 steals and a batting average over .300, and he was multi-positional eligible for a good chunk of the year to boot (2B, SS). While he's dealt with a few injuries over the years (just a COVID-IL trip in 2021), his production has been steady. The 28 homers were a career high, while his 32 steals were a career low over a full season. Moving forward, the plate discipline (career 18 K%) and power (ISO over .200 each of the last three seasons) show no signs of degrading. Additionally, he could see more counting stats over a full season with the Dodgers. The only worry is that his steal total will not stay over 30 coming off career-worst marks in his sprint speed (30.7 f/s) and time-to-first (4.13 sec).
Don't overthink this; Turner is an easy first-rounder in virtually all rotisserie formats. The speedster was a top performer during the shortened 2020 season, finishing behind only Jose Abreu and Fernando Tatis among hitters in roto leagues. He shaved six percentage points off his strikeout rate (to 13.9%) while besting his previous career high in ISO by 28 points. Most of his damage was done against fastballs, with 23 of his 31 extra-base hits coming off heaters. Statcast suggests he overachieved on breaking pitches, but even so Turner was in the 96th percentile in xBA. While his success rate on the bases took a hit, Turner's sprint speed remained in the 99th percentile, so it's not like he's lost a step already at age 27. Turner's past injury history looms, but Turner in theory provides a five-category foundation, and by easing the speed burden early, opens up your choices with subsequent draft picks.
Turner had 171 fewer plate appearances in 2019 than he had in 2018, and met or nearly exceeded his statistics across the board. He missed time early in the season when the Nationals were struggling, and returned to help carry them all the way to a World Series victory. Tim Locastro is the only player in baseball with a higher sprint speed than Turner, and Turner does not hesitate to use his speed on the bases under the aggressive style of Davey Martinez. There is absolutely no doubt Turner's skills and abilities are worth $35-plus in auctions and a first-round pick in straight drafts, but the fact that he has had just one season in which he avoided the injury bug is what holds many back from drafting him. There are safer players out there to acquire for your team, but there are precious few that offer the production that Turner is capable of when he's healthy. He could be a top-five player in a full season.
Those passing on Turner fearing he was an injury risk paid the price last season. He was one of only seven players to appear in 162 games on the way to leading the Senior Circuit with 740 PA. He also paced the NL in pilfers with 43, his second straight season with at least 40. Turner's fantasy allure is steals without sacrificing power -- he set a career high with 19 long balls. He's established a high floor; the question is whether he's worthy of a top-10 pick. Keeping in mind Turner didn't miss a game last season, he finished the season just outside the top-10 overall. As such, he'd need to improve on last season's numbers, which will be a chore considering the huge volume of at-bats. The pathway would be a higher batting average, as last season's .314 BABIP was below his career mark. Still, it's a matter of philosophy and roster construction. Steals are one category, and other first rounders contribute elite production in multiple categories.
Can we please stop the "Turner doesn't have the track record to be a first-rounder" nonsense? If you want to argue injury-risk, OK, you have a point... maybe. However, there's no denying that Turner's skills are elite. He deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon with respect to steals, while hitting well more than twice as many homers as them, combined. Double-digit homers with at least 50 steals is first-round material, especially since his contact rate and groundball proclivity portend a fantasy-friendly batting average. That brings us to health. In 2015, his first full season as a professional, Turner played 142 games, most at Double- and Triple-A before appearing in 27 with the Nationals. In 2016, he played 156 contests, split between Triple-A and the majors. If you want to avoid a first-round talent because he was hit by a pitch in late June, costing him about two months, that's your prerogative.
Turner didn't have anything more to prove in the minors, but the Nationals sent him back to Syracuse anyway so he could hit .302/.370/.471 in 331 at-bats with 25 steals before finally getting a long-overdue promotion. If he was frustrated by his slow progress up the ladder, he took it out on opposing pitchers. While his .342 batting average was the product of an unsustainable .391 BABIP, his contact rates and batting averages have always been excellent, and 33 steals in 73 big league games isn't out of line with his minor league theatrics on the basepaths. The real surprise was the power he flashed at the highest level. After hitting just 19 home runs in 268 minor league games, Turner slugged 13 in 73 games with Washington. If that power proves to be even partially sustainable (and his 16.7 percent HR/FB rate, while high, wasn't outrageous), the Nats suddenly find themselves with a 23-year-old five-category shortstop, and a future pillar of the franchise.
Acquired from the Padres in the three-team deal that sent Steven Souza to the Rays, Turner immediately became the Nationals' shortstop of the future, a future that might begin as soon as 2016 with Ian Desmond leaving in free agency. The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner's plus-plus wheels are his major selling point, but his line drive swing produces excellent contact and his plate discipline should allow him to stick as a leadoff hitter. The Nats still have Danny Espinosa as a stop-gap at shortstop, so they don't need to rush Turner, but with Denard Span also on his way out the door they have a need at the top of the batting order as well as at shortstop that Turner could fill admirably if he reaches his full potential. An impressive showing in spring training could land him in the Opening Day starting lineup, but even if the team decides to delay his arbitration clock, his stay at Triple-A this year should be a brief one.
A former college teammate of highly coveted lefty Carlos Rodon, Turner closed out a three-year career at North Carolina State with a .342/.435/.507 line and 113 stolen bases in 127 attempts over 173 games despite an ankle injury that limited his impact as a basestealer during his sophomore campaign. Speed is easily Turner's best tool and he's an 80-grade runner, while his bat and plate discipline should be good enough for him to develop into a leadoff hitter at the big league level down the road. Defensively, Turner shifted to shortstop after the 2013 season for the Wolfpack, and it's believed that he has the footwork necessary to stick at short as he advances, and the arm strength necessary to handle third base if it's decided he's a better fit there. Upon signing, Turner went 23-for-27 as a basestealer at short-season Eugene and Low-A Fort Wayne, while toting an impressive .369/.447/.529 line over 46 contests at the latter stop. Turner was named as the player to be named later in the Will Myers trade, but won't join the Nationals until next June due to a technicality. His 2015 status may be murky as a result, but he's seen as a potential impact player when he finally starts playing for his new organization.
More Fantasy News
X-rays negative
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
Finger
October 15, 2022
Turner suffered nothing worse than a jammed finger in Friday's NLDS Game 3 loss to the Padres, as his X-rays were negative, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Drives in three runs in finale
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
October 5, 2022
Turner went 2-for-4 with a three-run home run Wednesday in a 6-1 victory versus Colorado.
ANALYSIS
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Adds steal, two runs in win
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
October 1, 2022
Turner went 2-for-4 with a walk, a stolen base and a pair of runs scored in Saturday's 6-4 win over the Rockies.
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Posts steal in win
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
September 29, 2022
Turner went 2-for-4 with a stolen base and a run scored in Thursday's 5-2 win over the Padres.
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Raps three hits Tuesday
SSLos Angeles Dodgers  
September 28, 2022
Turner went 3-for-5 with a double and scored two runs in Tuesday's loss to San Diego.
ANALYSIS
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