Yu Darvish

Yu Darvish

37-Year-Old PitcherSP
San Diego Padres
Out
Injury Personal
Est. Return 8/10/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Darvish was pitching capably, albeit not at the All-Star level of previous years, before right elbow inflammation put him on the shelf at the end of August. A bone spur was discovered, ending his campaign, and at the time Darvish and his doctor could not rule out a cleanup procedure in the offseason. Darvish, now 37, has a history of elbow trouble including Tommy John surgery in 2015 and a stress reaction in 2018. He owns the record for the most strikeouts by a Japanese-born pitcher in MLB history, though his dominance has been fading in recent years (25.1 K% over the past two seasons). The team context is a mark in his favor, particularly the dimensions of Petco Park, but it's becoming increasingly tougher to justify the dice roll on his health with the skills in decline. The bone spur looms as a major concern -- surgery to shave or remove the spur would not necessarily solve all of Darvish's problems at this stage. Per his doctor, such a procedure could make the elbow too loose and open the right-hander up to other potential issues. Read Past Outlooks
RANKS
Rest of Season From Preseason
#188
ADP
$Signed a six-year, $108 million contract extension with the Padres in February of 2023.
Placed on restricted list
PSan Diego Padres
Personal
July 6, 2024
The Padres placed Darvish (elbow) on the restricted list Saturday, Kevin Acee of The San Diego Union-Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
Darvish has been on the injured list since the beginning of June due to a groin strain and right elbow inflammation, but he will now move to the restricted list as he deals with a personal matter. The Padres didn't provide any information regarding how long the 37-year-old might be away from the team.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
81
Last 10 Games
82
Last 5 Games
86
How many pitches does Yu Darvish generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Yu Darvish generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-4%
BAA vs LHP
2024
 
 
-11%
BAA vs RHP
2023
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2022
 
 
-21%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .222 841 227 55 171 39 1 22
Since 2022vs Right .232 732 164 40 156 20 2 24
2024vs Left .230 107 26 5 23 3 0 2
2024vs Right .204 121 27 10 22 8 1 4
2023vs Left .271 316 81 28 76 20 1 10
2023vs Right .245 258 60 15 58 5 1 8
2022vs Left .185 418 120 22 72 16 0 10
2022vs Right .233 353 77 15 76 7 0 12
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-6%
ERA at Home
2024
 
 
-59%
ERA on Road
2023
 
 
-9%
ERA at Home
2022
 
 
-26%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 3.51 1.09 202.1 12 12 0 9.1 2.2 1.3
Since 2022Away 3.75 1.09 185.0 16 9 0 9.0 2.2 0.8
2024Home 3.89 1.19 39.1 2 3 0 8.5 2.5 1.1
2024Away 1.59 0.76 17.0 2 0 0 8.5 2.1 0.5
2023Home 4.36 1.27 76.1 3 6 0 9.8 2.5 1.5
2023Away 4.80 1.33 60.0 5 4 0 8.7 3.3 0.8
2022Home 2.60 0.88 86.2 7 3 0 8.8 1.9 1.1
2022Away 3.50 1.01 108.0 9 5 0 9.3 1.6 0.9
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Yu Darvish compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
3.53
 
K/9
8.5
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
1.0
 
Fastball
93.8 mph
 
ERA
3.20
 
WHIP
1.07
 
BABIP
.269
 
GB/FB
1.00
 
Left On Base
73.6%
 
Exit Velocity
83.0 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
4.0%
 
Spin Rate
2402 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
24.6%
 
Swinging Strike
12.3%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Darvish struggled with back and hip injuries during the second half of 2021 but rebounded last season with a 3.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 197:37 K:BB across 194.2 innings. The sub-1.00 WHIP represents the lowest mark of his MLB career, and it's the most innings he pitched since he exceeded 200 back in 2013. The right-hander remained steady with his fastball velocity and averaged 95 mph, which is an encouraging sign with his 37th birthday coming up in August. There's always risk when banking on the continued success of pitchers this late in their career, but Darvish looked as strong as ever last year and should again be a key cog in San Diego's starting rotation in 2023.
Darvish was in line for an All-Star berth with a 2.65 ERA and 0.95 WHIP in early July. He had to leave his last outing before the break with back and hip soreness, but not before yielding six runs in three innings. Darvish posted a 6.16 ERA and 1.26 WHIP over the second half, with 15 homers allowed in only 61.1 frames. Considering he had an August IL stint with back stiffness and missed his last start with hip discomfort, it's safe to say lingering soreness affected Darvish's second half performance. Even so, his 1.09 WHIP was the third lowest of his career, fueled by a 6.5 BB%, the second lowest of his career. Historically, Darvish allows a lot of homers, but his skills are otherwise at their zenith. With a full offseason to recover, Darvish should be 100% heading into spring training. The question is how long will he stay that way, considering he'll turn 36 years old in August.
After signing a six-year, $126 million deal with the Cubs before the 2018 season, Darvish finally looked like a bona fide ace for Chicago in 2020. The righty struck out 93 batters in only 76 innings to go with eight wins, a 2.01 ERA and 0.96 WHIP. The eight wins led the National League during the condensed season, while his strikeout, ERA and WHIP all landed among the top five in the league. The ERA and WHIP were actually the lowest of Darvish's MLB career, albeit in a smaller sample, and his 11.0 K/9 was right in line with his 11.1 career mark. The 34-year-old ended up second in NL Cy Young voting after his stellar year. There have been injuries and inconsistent results, but fantasy managers can feel a bit more confident about him heading into 2021. A December deal to the Padres will give Darvish a more forgiving home park and a better offensive tailwind, if he can sustain this high level over 162 games.
Darvish may have had the best 6-8 season with a 3.98 ERA in the history of baseball. Through his first seven starts, Darvish was 2-3 with a 5.79 ERA, 1.71 WHIP and eight homers allowed in 32.2 innings. Over his final 24 starts, he went 4-5 with a 3.58 ERA and 0.92 WHIP while striking out 192 batters and walking 29 in 146 innings. It was as if the pitch command that had been absent since before his Tommy John surgery finally found its way back home after being lost by United baggage claim at O'Hare. The one issue which plagued him in the summer was multi-homer games as he had seven such games, including three with three or more homers allowed. The exciting part is we finally saw the old Darvish skills back on display as the season wore on. They were not consistently there, but the signs are now finally pointing in the positive direction. He cannot anchor your staff but is a strong complementary SP2.
Darvish made only eight starts before being sidelined with a right triceps impingement. After several setbacks, Darvish finally made a rehab start on Aug. 19, lasting one inning before aggravating his shoulder. An MRI revealed a stress reaction on the tip of his elbow along with a triceps strain. Darvish was shut down and underwent a minimally-invasive arthroscopic debridement in mid-September. He’s expected to be 100 percent by the spring. While on the hill, Darvish was off to the worst start of his career, posting a 4.95 ERA and 1.43 WHIP in 40 innings. He was missing bats as evidenced by a 27.2 K%, but he was also missing the plate, sporting an elevated 11.7 BB%. Darvish must be considered a performance and injury risk as it’s never good for a Tommy John recoveree to incur arm issues of any nature. As enticing as his strikeouts remain, it's best to view Darvish as a staff luxury as opposed to foundational force.
While a pair of rough starts in the World Series may have cost him some money in free agency, there shouldn't be any lasting effect in terms of 2018 performance. Darvish fashions one of the league's top strikeout arms, finishing 12th last season with 209 punchouts. His 1.16 WHIP was ninth best among hurlers with at least 180 innings, though a high home run rate resulted in a bloated 3.86 ERA. Darvish was one of the bigger names moved at the July 31 trade deadline as the Rangers parted ways with their ace. With the Dodgers, the 30-year old righty spun a 3.44 ERA, recording four of the 10 wins earned for the season. Darvish's best pitch is the slider, which was purportedly hindered by a slicker ball used in the playoffs. Another year removed from Tommy John surgery, there's no reason the veteran shouldn't challenge 200 innings, with well over 200 whiffs. One tier down from the elite, Darvish is still a fantasy stud.
Darvish's road to recovery from Tommy John surgery had some speed bumps, as a return trip to the disabled list with neck and shoulder issues occurred just three starts into his comeback. He didn't get as many as 90 pitches into a start until just before the All-Star break, after which he went on a streak of eight consecutive quality starts. The Rangers were careful with his single-game workloads, allowing Darvish to exceed 100 pitches in just two of his 17 starts, but most compelling was his sudden affinity for low-walk outings. Darvish walked one or zero batters in 11 of those 17 starts, and in the low-walk games he had a K:BB of 90:9 in 69.1 combined innings. Pitch command is typically the last thing to come around for a pitcher coming off major elbow surgery, so the fact that his stuff was intact and that his command was potentially better than pre-Tommy John mean that his skills survived the trip under the knife. He could take off once fully unbridled.
Darvish missed the entire 2015 season due to Tommy John surgery performed in mid-March. The timing of the surgery gives Darvish a reasonable chance to be ready for action when the season begins, though a late-April or early-May return may be more likely. Darvish's numbers in 2014 were a slight dip from his excellent 2013 campaign, thanks to a large jump in BABIP (.275 to .348), but a healthy Darvish should find himself near the top of pitcher rankings by season's end. He gives Texas a formidable duo along with Cole Hamels, and Hamels' presence should allow Texas to bring Darvish back up to speed at a slightly slower pace out of spring training if needed.
Many thought Darvish would be among the select few challenging Clayton Kershaw for the top spot on the pitcher rankings after a tremendous 2013 where it seemed like he was primed for a no-hitter every time out. Despite lowering his walk rate and maintaining a tremendous strikeout rate, Darvish just wasn't himself in 2014 and even lost time to a pair of DL stints, including elbow inflammation that cost him almost all of the final two months. Was the elbow to blame for his .334 BABIP and 8.3 H/9 or was there degradation of his stuff? Darvish left his first spring training start in March after just one inning due to triceps soreness. The Rangers sent him for an MRI, which revealed a torn UCL, and he will miss the entire 2015 season following Tommy John surgery.
Darvish enjoyed a Cy Young-caliber season in just his second year in the majors, leading the AL in strikeouts with 277 in 209.2 innings pitched. He also cut back a tick on his walks allowed, but he had some truly terrible luck to only end up with 13 victories on the year. Darvish pushed his swinging-strike rate up to 12.6% (from 11.8% in his first big league season), as he continues to keep hitters off balance with an arsenal of nasty offerings. He also erased concerns about having to pitch half of his games in Arlington, posting a better ERA at home (2.69) than on the road (3.05) as well as a better home-run rate in his home starts (0.9 HR/9 vs. 1.3 HR/9). In most situations, Darvish will be one of the first five starting pitchers off the board in 2014.
Darvish's much anticipated rookie season was largely a success, racking up 16 wins and 221 strikeouts. He struggled at times with his control, resulting in a poor stretch in July and August, but his September (36.2 innings, 20 hits, 39:7 K:BB) deserved more attention than it received thanks to Texas' collapse over the final few weeks. One explanation for the late-season improvement was increased reliance on his cutter. It's also possible that his arsenal became a bit easier for umpires to handle with respect to the strike zone. In any event, Darvish swing-and-miss stuff, and a slight reduction in his walk rate immediately vaults him among the ranks of the American League elite.
Darvish is considered Japan's top pitcher and perhaps the best player to come over from Japan since Ichiro Suzuki. He's had an ERA below 2.00 for five consecutive seasons, but had his best season in 2011. Darvish set personal bests in wins (18), ERA (1.44), shutouts (6), innings pitched (232), strikeouts (276), and walks (36). While the new pitcher-friendly ball may have helped his stats, Darvish added about 20 pounds of muscle to his 6-foot-5, 225-pound frame. He was also more assertive with his fastball than in previous years, frequently working at the higher end of his 92-95 mph range. He may lose a pitch from his deep repertoire and he'll have to adjust physically toward pitching more frequently with more demanding travel. Plus, he'll have to adjust mentally to not always being the best player on the field. But overall, Darvish has the polished talent to be a frontline MLB starter, and appears to have the makeup to realize his potential. Texas won his rights by bidding a record $51.7 million in the posting system with NPB. While he'll be in a hitter's park, he may quickly become an elite fantasy option.
Darvish is regarded as Japan's top pitcher and is perhaps the top player in the world not playing in the U.S. He was his usual dominant self in 2010, becoming the third NPB pitcher to post four consecutive sub-2.00 ERA seasons (and the other two played in the 1950's dead ball era). MLB transfer rumors were in overdrive until October, when he announced he would stay in Japan in 2011. Darvish has always been adamant about not wanting to move to MLB, but 2010 saw him soften his stance on the idea a bit. He still has four years of service time to go before qualifying for international free agency, and Nippon Ham will want keep him around for as long as possible. Still, he could be posted ahead of the 2012 season, but more likely he won't be in the U.S. for several more years if he decides to make the move.
Darvish is regarded as Japan's top pitcher and is perhaps the top player in the world not playing in the U.S. Japan's heir-apparent to Daisuke Matsuzaka has lived up to his billing with three consecutive sub-2.00 ERA, sub-1.00 WHIP seasons. Matsuzaka, by comparison, put up one sub-1.00 WHIP season and never posted an ERA below 2.13. Darvish has repeatedly denied any interest in moving to MLB, but the competition and dollars could prove difficult to resist. Any decision to move to the U.S. is unlikely before 2014.
More Fantasy News
Resumes light throwing
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
June 29, 2024
Padres manager Mike Shildt said Friday that Darvish (elbow) has resumed playing light catch, MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Imaging comes out clean
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
June 27, 2024
Darvish had imaging on his right elbow come back clean Wednesday, though he'll likely get additional imaging "for peace of mind," Bernie Wilson of the Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with elbow inflammation
PSan Diego Padres
Elbow
June 24, 2024
Padres manager Mike Shildt said Monday that Darvish (groin) won't be activated from the 15-day injured list to start Tuesday versus the Nationals due to "a little" right elbow inflammation, Dennis Lin of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Expected to start Tuesday
PSan Diego Padres
Groin
June 22, 2024
Darvish (groin) is scheduled to return from the 15-day injured list to start Tuesday's game against the Nationals, AJ Cassavell of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Next start will be in majors
PSan Diego Padres
Groin
June 22, 2024
Darvish (groin) is expected to come off the injured list to make his next start with San Diego, per MLB.com.
ANALYSIS
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Latest Fantasy Rumors
Behind in build-up?
PSan Diego Padres
March 17, 2023
Manager Bob Melvin indicated Thursday that the Padres are "concerned" about Darvish's lack of workload with Team Japan during the World Baseball Classic, per Dennis Lin of The Athletic, so it's possible the right-hander opens the season with a limited workload.
ANALYSIS
The 36-year-old has thrown just five innings during the tournament, including two frames out of the bullpen Wednesday. Two game appearances at this point would appear to put Darvish behind schedule in order to be fully stretched out by Opening Day, though he's likely still building up his arm in bullpen sessions. Even if Darvish is limited a bit to begin the season, it's unlikely to have a major effect on his 2023 outlook. He inked a six-year, $108 million extension with the Friars in January after he finished last season with a 3.10 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 197:37 K:BB in 194.2 innings.
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